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We Warned About the First China Shock. The Next One Will Be Worse.

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/07/14/opinion/china-shock-economy-manufacturing.html
5•mitchbob•9h ago

Comments

mitchbob•9h ago
https://archive.ph/2025.07.15-034816/https://www.nytimes.com...
jqpabc123•9h ago
Not to worry, the USA is winning the trade war with our enemies in Canada, Mexico and the EU.

EU joke: What borders on stupid?

Answer: Canada and Mexico.

Who doesn't want to pay more for lumber and produce?

atakan_gurkan•9h ago
https://archive.md/1x4Dy
duxup•9h ago
The manufacturing jobs discussion (in the article called China Shock 1.0), I find it confusing and maybe nonsensical.

The market for those jobs changed, the market became cheap labor from wherever, in this case China. That's what happened, it seems like it is less China as those jobs effectively became low wage (bad jobs) and I don't see anyone magically protecting those jobs at the time or now. It's not like the US could hold out and say "nope these manufacturing jobs have to pay higher wages" and that work in any way.

jasonthorsness•9h ago
"Today, it is aggressively contesting the innovative sectors where the United States has long been the unquestioned leader: aviation, A.I., telecommunications, microprocessors, robotics, nuclear and fusion power, quantum computing, biotech and pharma, solar, batteries."

I think at least in solar and batteries China has already gone beyond "contesting"... and maybe telecommunications and robotics (components)? The others don't seem as clear on China's path to dominance.

maxglute•8h ago
PRC probably has more than OECD combined in STEM by now. Based on past 20 years of even declining births and tertiary + STEM enrollment %s, they're still on trend to add another 40+ million in next 20-25 years, i.e. it's demographically baked in. Many of whom will be in the workforce until the 2070/80s/90s - for most of our and our kids life times. +40m is more than US is expected to increase population (births + immigration) total - US would need every new baby and immigrant to be STEM to compete on talent. Meanwhile more PRC talent staying/harder to brain drain/even returning irrespective of western immigration policies. It's no exaggeration to say PRC is reaping the greatest high skill demographic dividend in recorded history.

All the current contesting across innovative sectors PRC doing today (well last 10 years) was while they were rapidly fumbling through building industrial chain and R&D processes... catching up with fraction of resources. Now it's increasingly obvious their R&D and industries arespinning towards escape velocity with the most brains and most complete manufacturing chain (PRC only country in the world whose manufacturing sector has every industrial category classified by the UN).

West going to be much more keen to protect these sectors domestically, but it's going to be hard to prop them up. I think study from 5 years ago, when a low cost PRC competitor enters market, western incumbent global market share erodes rapidly -> operating margins collapse by 50-100% -> run out of $$$ for R&D -> stops growing and become dividend zombies. 2nd China shock will be this industrial trap repeat across many sectors.

GenAI-Powered Inference

https://arxiv.org/abs/2507.03897
1•JackeJR•22m ago•1 comments

UK fintech Curve in talks to be acquired by Lloyds

https://www.headforpoints.com/2025/07/13/lloyds-bank-in-talks-to-buy-curve/
1•gregorvand•23m ago•0 comments

AWS announced support for clusters with up to 100k nodes

https://aws.amazon.com/blogs/containers/under-the-hood-amazon-eks-ultra-scale-clusters/
2•dropbox_miner•27m ago•2 comments

World's 'oldest' marathon runner dies at 114 in hit-and-run

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cpqnppnx0z1o
1•layer8•28m ago•0 comments

Show HN: Tlsinfo.me – check your JA3/JA4 TLS fingerprints

https://tlsinfo.me/json
2•elpy1•29m ago•0 comments

Some Australian dolphins use sponges to hunt fish, but it's harder than it looks

https://apnews.com/article/dolphins-australia-sponge-noses-9ba412c3d0184ee84a66ec8b5a5b5319
1•c420•35m ago•1 comments

Sexting with Gemini

https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2025/08/google-gemini-ai-sexting/683248/
1•JumpCrisscross•35m ago•2 comments

The AI That Broke the Internet's Back

https://medium.com/@th71852/the-ai-that-broke-the-internets-back-24c1bd2e825e
1•antiochIst•37m ago•0 comments

Retrieval Embedding Benchmark

https://huggingface.co/spaces/embedding-benchmark/RTEB
1•fzliu•38m ago•0 comments

Amazon S3 Vectors

https://aws.amazon.com/blogs/aws/introducing-amazon-s3-vectors-first-cloud-storage-with-native-vector-support-at-scale/
2•andrewbarba•39m ago•0 comments

Amazon S3 Vectors

https://aws.amazon.com/s3/features/vectors/
1•jonbaer•40m ago•0 comments

Amazon EKS now supports 100K nodes per cluster

https://aws.amazon.com/blogs/containers/amazon-eks-enables-ultra-scale-ai-ml-workloads-with-support-for-100k-nodes-per-cluster/
2•cmckn•40m ago•0 comments

Conversion of millimolar dissolved CO2 to fuels with molecular flux generation

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-025-56106-3
1•PaulHoule•40m ago•0 comments

Staff laid off at King will be replaced by AI tools they helped to create

https://www.gamesindustry.biz/sources-suggest-that-staff-laid-off-at-king-will-be-replaced-by-ai-tools-they-helped-to-create
4•teamspirit•42m ago•1 comments

The C3 Programming Language

https://c3-lang.org
1•0x54MUR41•42m ago•0 comments

The competition behind AlphaFold is at risk of shutting down

https://www.science.org/content/article/exclusive-famed-protein-structure-competition-nears-end-nih-grant-money-runs-out
1•elektor•53m ago•0 comments

Full Disclosure of Security Vulnerabilities a 'Damned Good Idea' (2007)

https://www.schneier.com/essays/archives/2007/01/schneier_full_disclo.html
2•greyface-•1h ago•0 comments

Uncontrolled File Write/Arbitrary File Creation

https://hackerone.com/reports/3250117
2•smartberry9•1h ago•0 comments

Show HN: Autopilot for Cursor IDE

https://github.com/hmldns/nautex
1•Homo__Ludens•1h ago•0 comments

Corkami/pics: File format dissections and more

https://github.com/corkami/pics
2•chubot•1h ago•0 comments

Large study squashes anti-vaccine talking points about aluminum

https://arstechnica.com/health/2025/07/large-study-squashes-anti-vaccine-talking-points-about-aluminum/
8•pseudolus•1h ago•1 comments

GPUHammer: Rowhammer attacks on GPU memories are practical

https://gpuhammer.com/
33•jonbaer•1h ago•13 comments

Nvidia chips become the first GPUs to fall to Rowhammer bit-flip attacks

https://arstechnica.com/security/2025/07/nvidia-chips-become-the-first-gpus-to-fall-to-rowhammer-bit-flip-attacks/
9•jonbaer•1h ago•2 comments

Creating a Colorscheme

https://robinroses.xyz/blog/creating-a-colorscheme/
2•comfysage•1h ago•0 comments

What Were the Earliest Laws Like?

https://worldhistory.substack.com/p/what-were-the-earliest-laws-really
2•crescit_eundo•1h ago•0 comments

Claude is kicking ChatGPT's butt (in one thing)

https://ben-mini.com/2025/claude-is-kicking-chatgpts-butt
11•bewal416•1h ago•1 comments

Google WiFi Pro: Glitching from Root to EL3: Part 1 – Characterization

https://raelize.com/blog/google-wifi-pro-glitching-from-root-to-el3-part-1-characterization/
3•timschumi•1h ago•1 comments

GitHub: Social login with Google is now generally available

https://github.blog/changelog/2025-07-15-social-login-with-google-is-now-generally-available/
1•tech234a•1h ago•0 comments

Trade Signal

https://www.investopedia.com/terms/t/trade-signal.asp
1•ibobev•1h ago•0 comments

Introduction to Random Graphs [pdf]

https://www.math.cmu.edu/~af1p/BOOK.pdf
3•ibobev•1h ago•1 comments