frontpage.
newsnewestaskshowjobs

Made with ♥ by @iamnishanth

Open Source @Github

fp.

Open in hackernews

S&P 500 to Gold Ratio

https://www.macrotrends.net/1437/sp500-to-gold-ratio-chart
4•jameslk•5mo ago

Comments

AnimalMuppet•5mo ago
So by this measure we're not as overvalued as we were in 2000.

I'm not sure that's comforting...

andsoitis•5mo ago
What do you have to assume to be true for this ratio to be a useful tool?
nostrademons•5mo ago
This is a "hard money to stocks" ratio. The normal S&P 500 is essentially a measure of how much cash do you expect American companies to generate relative to competing investments (represented as the discount rate). By pricing it in gold, you tease out the effect of dollar devaluation and inflation. Some fraction of those earnings will be because the dollar is worth less and so companies can charge more, but this affects both future earnings and the dollars you use to buy the stocks. If you measure in gold used to buy the stocks, you eliminate the denominator there, teasing out present inflation.

That the ratio is not as high as the raw S&P 500 indicates that a significant component of the S&P 500's high valuation is because investors consider the dollar to be worth less, and expect that it will be worth even less in the future. However, that the ratio is better than it was in say the 1970s suggests that investors believe there is still a significant amount of real productivity in American companies and it's not all inflation.

One key assumption here is that gold = hard money. If gold is considered a speculative asset like Bitcoin (again assuming Bitcoin is not hard money, which is uncertain in 2025), one which is traded only by a small number of enthusiasts, then the ratio may measure speculative fluctuation in the value of gold more than any useful quantity.

P2P crypto exchange development company

1•sonniya•8m ago•0 comments

Vocal Guide – belt sing without killing yourself

https://jesperordrup.github.io/vocal-guide/
1•jesperordrup•13m ago•0 comments

Write for Your Readers Even If They Are Agents

https://commonsware.com/blog/2026/02/06/write-for-your-readers-even-if-they-are-agents.html
1•ingve•13m ago•0 comments

Knowledge-Creating LLMs

https://tecunningham.github.io/posts/2026-01-29-knowledge-creating-llms.html
1•salkahfi•14m ago•0 comments

Maple Mono: Smooth your coding flow

https://font.subf.dev/en/
1•signa11•21m ago•0 comments

Sid Meier's System for Real-Time Music Composition and Synthesis

https://patents.google.com/patent/US5496962A/en
1•GaryBluto•28m ago•1 comments

Show HN: Slop News – HN front page now, but it's all slop

https://dosaygo-studio.github.io/hn-front-page-2035/slop-news
4•keepamovin•29m ago•1 comments

Show HN: Empusa – Visual debugger to catch and resume AI agent retry loops

https://github.com/justin55afdfdsf5ds45f4ds5f45ds4/EmpusaAI
1•justinlord•32m ago•0 comments

Show HN: Bitcoin wallet on NXP SE050 secure element, Tor-only open source

https://github.com/0xdeadbeefnetwork/sigil-web
2•sickthecat•34m ago•1 comments

White House Explores Opening Antitrust Probe on Homebuilders

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-02-06/white-house-explores-opening-antitrust-probe-i...
1•petethomas•34m ago•0 comments

Show HN: MindDraft – AI task app with smart actions and auto expense tracking

https://minddraft.ai
2•imthepk•39m ago•0 comments

How do you estimate AI app development costs accurately?

1•insights123•40m ago•0 comments

Going Through Snowden Documents, Part 5

https://libroot.org/posts/going-through-snowden-documents-part-5/
1•goto1•41m ago•0 comments

Show HN: MCP Server for TradeStation

https://github.com/theelderwand/tradestation-mcp
1•theelderwand•43m ago•0 comments

Canada unveils auto industry plan in latest pivot away from US

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cvgd2j80klmo
3•breve•44m ago•1 comments

The essential Reinhold Niebuhr: selected essays and addresses

https://archive.org/details/essentialreinhol0000nieb
1•baxtr•47m ago•0 comments

Rentahuman.ai Turns Humans into On-Demand Labor for AI Agents

https://www.forbes.com/sites/ronschmelzer/2026/02/05/when-ai-agents-start-hiring-humans-rentahuma...
1•tempodox•49m ago•0 comments

StovexGlobal – Compliance Gaps to Note

1•ReviewShield•52m ago•1 comments

Show HN: Afelyon – Turns Jira tickets into production-ready PRs (multi-repo)

https://afelyon.com/
1•AbduNebu•53m ago•0 comments

Trump says America should move on from Epstein – it may not be that easy

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cy4gj71z0m0o
6•tempodox•53m ago•4 comments

Tiny Clippy – A native Office Assistant built in Rust and egui

https://github.com/salva-imm/tiny-clippy
1•salvadorda656•58m ago•0 comments

LegalArgumentException: From Courtrooms to Clojure – Sen [video]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cmMQbsOTX-o
1•adityaathalye•1h ago•0 comments

US moves to deport 5-year-old detained in Minnesota

https://www.reuters.com/legal/government/us-moves-deport-5-year-old-detained-minnesota-2026-02-06/
8•petethomas•1h ago•3 comments

If you lose your passport in Austria, head for McDonald's Golden Arches

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/us-embassy-mcdonalds-restaurants-austria-hotline-americans-consular-...
1•thunderbong•1h ago•0 comments

Show HN: Mermaid Formatter – CLI and library to auto-format Mermaid diagrams

https://github.com/chenyanchen/mermaid-formatter
1•astm•1h ago•0 comments

RFCs vs. READMEs: The Evolution of Protocols

https://h3manth.com/scribe/rfcs-vs-readmes/
3•init0•1h ago•1 comments

Kanchipuram Saris and Thinking Machines

https://altermag.com/articles/kanchipuram-saris-and-thinking-machines
1•trojanalert•1h ago•0 comments

Chinese chemical supplier causes global baby formula recall

https://www.reuters.com/business/healthcare-pharmaceuticals/nestle-widens-french-infant-formula-r...
2•fkdk•1h ago•0 comments

I've used AI to write 100% of my code for a year as an engineer

https://old.reddit.com/r/ClaudeCode/comments/1qxvobt/ive_used_ai_to_write_100_of_my_code_for_1_ye...
3•ukuina•1h ago•1 comments

Looking for 4 Autistic Co-Founders for AI Startup (Equity-Based)

1•au-ai-aisl•1h ago•1 comments