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Everything Is Correlated

https://gwern.net/everything
68•gmays•5h ago

Comments

eisvogel•1h ago
It's just as I suspected - there are NO coincidences.
andsoitis•1h ago
there is but a single unfolding, and everything is part of it
dang•1h ago
Related. Others?

Everything Is Correlated - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=19797844 - May 2019 (53 comments)

stouset•1h ago
Correlated, you mean?
pnt12•8m ago
Those would be all articles posted in HN :)
senko•1h ago
The article missed the chance to include the quote from that standard compendium of information and wisdom, The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy:

> Since every piece of matter in the Universe is in some way affected by every other piece of matter in the Universe, it is in theory possible to extrapolate the whole of creation — every sun, every planet, their orbits, their composition and their economic and social history from, say, one small piece of fairy cake.

sayamqazi•1h ago
Wouldnt you need the T_zero configuration of the universe for this to work?

Given different T_zero configs of matter and energies T_current would be different. and there are many pathways that could lead to same physical configuration (position + energies etc) with different (Universe minus cake) configurations.

Also we are assuming there is no non-deterministic processed happening at all.

senko•55m ago
I am assuming integrating over all possible configurations would be a component of The Total Perspective Vortex.

After all, Feynman showed this is in principle possible, even with local nondeterminism.

(this being a text medium with a high probability of another commenter misunderstanding my intent, I must end this with a note that I am, of course, BSing :)

petters•1h ago
If two things e.g. both change over time, they will be correlated. I think it can be good to keep this article in mind
Evidlo•1h ago
This is such a massive article. I wish I had the ability to grind out treatises like that. Looking at other content on the guy's website, he must be like a machine.
tmulc18•1h ago
gwern is goated
kqr•5m ago
IIRC Gwern lives extremely frugally somewhere remote and is thus able to spend a lot of time on private research.
2rsf•40m ago
Did they quote https://www.tylervigen.com/spurious-correlations ?
apples_oranges•31m ago
People didn't always use statistics to discover truths about the world.

This, once developed, just happened to be a useful method. But given the abuse using those methods, and the proliferation of stupidity disguised as intelligence, it's always fitting to question it, and this time with this correlation noise observation.

Logic, fundamental knowledge about domains, you need that first. Just counting things without understanding them in at least one or two other ways, is a tempting invitation for misleading conclusions.

st-keller•31m ago
„This renders the meaning of significance-testing unclear; it is calculating precisely the odds of the data under scenarios known a priori to be false.“

I cannot see the problem in that. To get to meaningful results we often calculate with simplyfied models - which are known to be false in a strict sense. We use Newtons laws - we analyze electric networks based on simplifications - a bank-year used to be 360 days! Works well.

What did i miss?

whyever•11m ago
It's a quantitative problem. How big is the error introduced by the simplification?
syntacticsalt•9m ago
I don't disagree with the title, but I'm left wondering what they want us to do about it beyond hinting at causal inference. I'd also be curious what the author thinks of minimum effect sizes (re: Implication 1) and noninferiority testing (re: Implication 2).

Sonic Liberation Devices

https://sonicliberationdevices.com/
1•crousto•4m ago•0 comments

Claude Code's erratic behavior from May-August 2025

https://github.com/bogdansolga/claude-code-summer-2025-erratic-behavior
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My first project in Go is a terminal dashboard (what a programming language)

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