I thought the S-Curve piece was interesting, but not complete. It's definitely true that Europe, Japan etc. are experiencing slowing wealth growth, but this specific visual makes it seem like once a society is wealthy, you're absorbed into a list of wealthy countries and that's it.

Meanwhile, many countries have gone from some of the world's most prosperous to countries people want to emigrate from (Argentina, Venezuela come to mind).

the S-curve doesn't end there.

Missing from his analysis:

* The potential impact of humanoid robots currently in development.[a] What happens in the US, in Europe, in China, and other countries if (when) anyone can buy/lease a humanoid robot that speaks human languages, for less than the price of a cheap car, capable of performing any task performed today by human beings, at a tiny fraction of the annual expense (a few hundred dollars a year per robot)?

* The potential impact of AGI, should it become possible.[b] What happens in the US, in Europe, in China, and other countries if (when) anyone can buy/subscribe to software that speaks human languages, for less than the price of a phone plan, capable of performing any task performed on a computer today by human beings, at a tiny fraction of the annual expense?

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[a] Examples include humanoid robots by Tesla, Agility, 1X, and others. Videos: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cpraXaw7dyc&pp=ygUNb3B0aW11c... , https://www.youtube.com/shorts/mOIxtSSa1NE , https://www.1x.tech/neo .

[b] There's no agreement as to whether AGI is possible, but predictions by people like Hans Moravec, Ray Kurzweil, and Vernor Vinge, going back to the 1980's (half a century ago), so far , are proving... right. We cannot blindly dismiss the possibility of AGI.