given the money required it seems like it with always be one or the other that owns these? Maybe governments should own the machines (people would still complain)
disclosure, i am biased and think everyone should use paper.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2000_United_States_presidentia...
And of course, the magic cure for "we f*cked up at the simple job of doing X" is always "let's try to do something far more complex than X instead".
Then hire 100x the number of poll workers as are needed in other countries. The cost is still trivial relative to the importance.
In Canada, federal elections are run by Elections Canada, which is a non-partisan independent agency. It's responsible for both defining ridings (to avoid gerrymandering) and running the elections themselves.
I'm probably biased as a Canadian, but I have a lot more confidence in our approach than the U.S.'s. After this, even more so.
If you're upset about this today - you should be, but you should have been upset about it last week, last year, and for the past decade or so.
Yeah that's a nice thought, but it ignores a whole lot of recent evidence to the contrary.
If centralized ownership is an issue, we should all work together to fix that. If the issue is the party affiliation, then it isn't an issue at all.
Voting machine anxiety for lack of a better term has been a presence for some time and isn’t a partisan issue. What is a partisan issue is President Trump’s baseless allegations re the election he hasn’t acknowledged losing in 2020.
Party affiliation is absolutely an issue with respect to Marvel villain parody that the modern Republican Party has become. I can’t read the article because Substack, but if the new owner is in fact a MAGA guy, (and this isn’t just drama) that’s a big problem.
As for the reality, I can't say. I've not done the legwork to have an informed position.
Thanks for the finger wagging - great motivation there. I mean if you live in a country where these things are actual serious problems, you're no longer living in a democracy. I have doubts that ownership of the voting machine company is truly a problem - though it certainly doesn't look great.
Only one party tried to overturn an election, repeatedly refused to acknowledge they could lose and respect the result of the election, and is propped up by anti-democracy billionaires.
Hillary Clinton refused to concede on election night. Al Gore didn't concede in 2000 until over a month afterward. Gore initially conceded, retracted it, demanded multiple recounts and fought his loss in the courts all the way to SCOTUS.
Both parties have many billionaire donors - the Democrats are at about 10% of all donations, the GOP at about 30%.
As I've said elsewhere in this discussion, the only thing that I see that has changed with Trump is that his administration is doing openly what has traditionally been hidden from the public.
Hillary Clinton refused to concede on election night.
The Associated Press didn't call the election until 2:29 AM EST, publishing their primary story at 2:43 AM EST.See: https://www.ap.org/the-definitive-source/behind-the-news/cal...
See: https://apnews.com/article/fb2e92a47f054019a2589ace78d20836
Based on the former link, Hillary gave her concession call to Trump at 2:50 AM EST.
She gave her public concession speech several hours later.
See: https://www.politico.com/story/2016/11/clinton-concedes-to-t...
I'm rather curious what more you expected.
In Gore's case, we had a razor thin electoral result that hinged on a single state with less than a 550 vote margin against 5.96 million votes cast, or 0.009%. We can argue about how many recounts there should have been, but it makes perfect sense there'd be some contention when the entire election came down to so few votes.
To his credit, he conceded the day after the Supreme Court made their ruling, exhausting his final legal recourse.
See: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2000/dec/14/uselections200...
You may notice a distinct absence of attacks on the US capitol during the certification of either the 2000 or 2016 elections. You'll also do well to note that Bill Clinton in 2000 and Obama in 2016 dutifully aided their Republican successors getting up to speed with their office on the way in, sharply contrasting Trump's treatment of Biden's incoming administration.
And, to this day, Trump still hasn't publicly conceded his 2020 loss. Quite the opposite - on multiple occasions, he's voiced the opinion that he should be allowed to run again in 2028 to make up for his "stolen" second term.
There are still plenty of Republican members of Congress as well as many state-level Republicans who maintain the 2020 election was stolen.
You would have a hard time finding a single elected Democrat at either the federal or state level who would claim any presidential elections were stolen from their party's candidates.
There is no good faith argument to be made that both parties are the same in this regard.
No? I wasn't upset about it for the past decade, not only because I didn't know about it, but because I wasn't even concerned about it. Ten years ago US democratic institutions and norms were not being challenged and neither party seemed particularly intent on transitioning the country to one-man rule. During the second term of Obama, Biden, and even the first term of Trump (until he lost) democracy was not under attack.
Well those things that were true 10 years ago are no longer true now, so I can change what I get upset about. Jan 6 changed this country, unfortunately.
Hard to take this statement serious when all the headlines in this substack echo leftwing bias. At least be intellectually honest about your intent.
Or is this a new version of whataboutism, were you invent "facts"?
Staple Street Capital's leadership is full of--get this--capitalists who have donated to both parties.
I'm not a member of either major party, or any of the minor ones for that matter. I describe myself as an anarchist but practically speaking I'm a pragmatist. I grew up in a red state, so my "red mask" is higher quality than my "blue mask", but objectively I share about the same amount with each of them.
From where I sit the only thing that has changed is that Trump's administration isn't keeping up appearances. They're doing openly what every other administration in my lifetime has done behind closed doors.
I'll break down the rest and respond piece by piece:
> Perhaps a vengeful delusional authoritarian
Agree. No notes.
> who previously tried to manipulate an election
I don't disagree, but I'm not 100% confident that was his intent. I'll grant you "probably", and would even stretch to "almost certainly" if pressed.
> became president,
Yep. I've seen no compelling evidence of organized fraud in any of our recent elections that I've analyzed, either, so I assume he was rightfully elected.
> and his party, for whom he has something like a 90% approval rating from,
A couple of points here.
First, Trump has utterly destroyed the establishment GOP. That's why he has such a high approval rating within his party - the party itself has changed. That change was a direct result of the Obama and Biden presidencies; the consolidation of that support into a coherent party is a direct result of Trump's force of personality.
This isn't the first time this has happened; there are many parallels to Lincoln in Trump's rise. JFK was somewhat similar as well.
We won't know how Trump's second term will end up until we're through it. In retrospect, I was almost as rabidly "anti" during the Clinton and Obama years as I see many people here express about Trump. In hindsight, while I strongly dislike the man, I'd take Clinton over any options we've had since.
> bought a voting machine company.
Yep. I believe the real question should be: do we want to allow a single company or individual this level of influence over our electoral process?
(I know that already might seem a lot to some people, but I was wondering if there was anything to justify the title beyond that.)
- vote marking machines (eg it marks a voter readable ballot that is the official record). You get fast preliminary results and improved voter accessibility but still have very high tamper resistance.
- risk limiting audits in all jurisdictions
> See, the SAVE Act got a lot of attention in the media because it will take away eligible Americans’ ability to vote because it requires in-person registration with specific documentary proof of citizenship (like a passport or State ID + birth certificate) that millions of citizens lack. State ID alone is not enough. 47 states don’t print “U.S. citizen” anywhere on them.
Given the context that the federal government is currently rounding up US persons and detaining or exiling them without due process, it’s a doubly asinine argument.
For 80% of people, national ID is a no brainer. The other 20% are the issue, and it's a problem that won't be solved in this framework of government in the US.
Several states use Scantron, and a few jurisdictions (IIRC) still use punch ballot.
The state of Georgia uses these modern "digitally select, then print a ballot with QR code and legible names" ballots. They're great and feel optimal.
I understand why we don't do that - it would enable people to pay for votes with confidence, or to influence the votes of others via intimidation - but it would certainly make me feel better.
When they count your vote later, they have a high-speed system that can scan all the QR codes almost instantly. It's why we know the results in as little as an hour.
If there are any questions, or if the race is tight, a team of auditors can look at the ballot pages to check for any discrepancies. They'll check to make sure the machines themselves weren't tampered with by checking that the printed names and other ballot initiatives match the QR codes.
I think the main thing is that we have one federal, one provincial, and one municipal election per 4ish years (give or take…). And these are generally voting for one race.
American elections can have dozens of different races/questions. This causes them to depend on technology to count, as a full hand count is too impractical for that many different votes.
Simple, cheap, fast, and easy to audit.
I don't really see why this isn't the standard beyond very dense populations needing bigger election offices or ideally extended early voting.
The state of Georgia finally has the perfect voting machine setup after many years of "hackable" digital-only voting machines:
- Voters are given a signed, electronic card to make choices at a voting booth (same as before, in the suspicious "hackable" era).
- As of 2020, after you make your elections, you receive a full-page paper printout which records your choices on A4-sized paper. This is your ballot. The names of your choices are clearly visible so you can physically review all of your votes in a large, easy to read font. All of it is crisply printed with no "hanging chads", misprinting, or under-inked results. There's only one page.
- The paper ballots also have a large QR code that can easily be machine-read, but the human-readable portions are permanently linked with the QR code for later auditing.
- You scan and deposit your paper ballot and card together in a secure lock box that cannot be opened without key.
This system feels perfect.
How do you ensure secret ballots when it's printing an opaque identifier (the QR code) on your ballot?
After the elections you sample the ballots to make sure they match. If you find any instances of error, that immediately raises red flags about the entire vote set.
In a close election, you comb over the results.
If such a scheme was ever discovered, it would make national news.
Combined with risk limiting audits you have a very strong system
There's no way to design a voting system that won't confuse some percentage of the population.
But when I said "scantron" it's not an actual scantron. The ballots look like this [1]
I don't really see how you could make that easier to fill out.
EDIT: Gah, they make it hard to create these links.
Click on district "1921" to see a sample ballot.
> You get fast preliminary results
A non-problem. Exit polls can do this if you really need it.
A machine prints your ballot with your choices in large, human-readable font. You can read it before you drop it in the submission box.
A QR code on the same page digitally encodes your choices.
You can get near-immediate results after the election, and everything can be perfectly audited and accounted for.
My contention has always been that until we see the basis of identity secured like Estonia/CAC/PIV/Passports through strong identity proofing and robust processes, we are not ready to talk about the Pandora’s box that is voting machines.
Votes are recorded by filling in the dots on a scantronic ballot form.
The form is scanned and the votes are tallied electronically.
The original paper ballot is archived, and can be re-scanned (or hand counted) if a recount is required.
This combines the best of both worlds: speed and accuracy of electronic tally, and the original hand-filled paper ballot is retained as a record.
Which means many companies can make the equipment/systems...
https://calmatters.org/newsletter/california-certified-elect...
1. California allows mail in ballots to be counted if they arrive up to 7 days after the election. 2. California requires a 1% manual tally. This can take a really long time in a big jurisdiction like LA.
Note that this doesn't mean you don't know the likely answer relatively quickly. The 5 weeks is about how long it takes to have a certified result.
https://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/ovsta/frequently-requested-...
For example, LA uses Ballot Marking Devices.
(Mixed rating, according to Snopes.)
[0] https://www.nytimes.com/1880/05/26/archives/imperialism.html
The state should be auditing them prior to using them to see that they work as expected.
1. It is crazy that we are using machines in any way in the voting process.
2. Which is it? The MAGA people tried many lawsuits and many appeals to voting authorities for investigations. The unanimous response “safest election ever”. Ok fine, then no one should have a problem with whoever owns the voting machines, because there’s so little risk, only crazy people would even ask for investigation.
Which is it?
Ofc there is a problem with a single company or organization controlling a nontrivial segment of the voting machines used in the US. And ofc it was a problem in 2020 as well. The solution is to get easy-to-tamper-but-hard-to-detect stuff out of the voting process. Pen and paper and video recorded hand counts in front of witnesses. Same night results. It is not rocket science and most of the rest of the world does it this way.
I disagree. My state uses paper ballots and scantrons which I think is exactly the right mix of machine in the process. A hand recount can be pulled off pretty easily (Which, IMO, you probably want some sort of machine involved there too to hold the tally. Even if it's just a txt file).
What's crazy is the extreme side of the machine in the process, where the machine is opaquely keeping track of who voted how.
A more scalable approach is to use paper ballots with optical scan followed by a risk-limiting audit [2]. This still provides software independence, but at a much lower cost.
The following blog series on why voting is hard goes into this in more detail: https://educatedguesswork.org/posts/voting1/, https://educatedguesswork.org/posts/voting-hcpb/, https://educatedguesswork.org/posts/voting-opscan/, https://educatedguesswork.org/posts/voting-vbm/, https://educatedguesswork.org/posts/voting-dre/
[0] https://educatedguesswork.org/posts/voting-hcpb/#scalability
[1] https://www.usenix.org/legacy/events/evt08/tech/full_papers/...
This is the problem. Voters shouldn't be expected to work on 20+ decisions simultaneously during the campaign season. Canada certainly doesn't do this and I'm not aware of any countries aside from the US that do.
What you handwave as "the unanimous response" has in reality been dozen of trials, where the people pretending there has been election fraud weren't able to offer any proof, and some were even held in contempt for refusing to substantiate their baseless claims in front of a judge.
There are some key details missing in this story.
1. voters mark paper ballots 2. observers from all parties watch the counting 3. results are tallied publicly
Yes, this is very much feasible; and no, this is not the right domain to be ingeniously efficient and cost sensitive. US being the richest country in the world or some such, etc..
nullorempty•2h ago
mystraline•2h ago
During the Biden campaign, there were a few people doing rudimentary data gathering and election machine investigations. After they announced to their bosses, order came from the top to cease all voting machine research and destroy what they did.
We dont know why the order to cease and destroy was issued. But, yeah. A guess was that the existing players bribe both parties, and bribe was called in.
If you want to snoop more, go look at what Defcon's Election village is doing. Quite a few of those findings were damning.
OrvalWintermute•2h ago
Ancapistani•2h ago
When I pointed it out I was told that it was policy and they couldn't lock them. They didn't even have a key.
wahern•2h ago