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What Happened to Ukraine's Missile Defense

https://missilematters.substack.com/p/what-happened-to-ukraines-ballistic
10•bharbr•1h ago

Comments

FridayoLeary•1h ago
>Ukraine’s ballistic missile defense intercept rates had dropped from around 37 percent in August to just six percent in October

Israel must by now have intercepted more missiles of all kinds then the rest of the world combined, and more ballistic missiles too. They managed to shrug off 4 to 5 rounds of saturation attacks from iran with almost no major hits. Something like a 95% successful intercept rate. That's not even discussing short range Iron Dome interceptions.

I can only guess the difference is more sophisticated missiles, a larger area to defend and fewer resources to do so. I still feel i'm missing something here.

_djo_•1h ago
The major different factor is that Russia is sending these drone & missile strikes just about every single night, learning from the data they gather to use less predictable routes and more countermeasures.

Ukraine does the same too, obviously, but missile/drone defence is harder than attack, and there’s a numbers disparity in terms of interceptors and being able to place them in the right places.

Iran got just a couple of goes at Israel and didn’t get a similar chance to learn from and adapt to what it learned in the process.

TheAlchemist•44m ago
While it's probably true, most drones and quite a lot of missiles too were intercepted not by Israel itself, but it's allies (mostly US, UK and EU countries).
acdha•4m ago
Iran is a less sophisticated attacker and they attacked Israel on several days. Russia has been throwing everything they can make against the larger Ukrainian perimeter for multiple years. If Iran could keep pummeling Israel long enough for attrition to set in, or had the same caliber of missile and drone hardware, or artillery+aircraft strikes on the defense infrastructure you’d see Iron Dome dropping off, too.

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