This sounds useful. The main problem with large-scale uncontrolled immigration is that government can't reliably plan ahead for infrastructure improvements and upgrades, which typically need years-long lead times in preparation and execution, to support the expanded population.
As the supply end is so constrained, it makes sense they're using modern technologies to try to resolve the demand.
schoen•1h ago
Why can't they estimate the immigration (and emigration) rate like they estimate the birth rate and death rate? Both of those also change in response to numerous factors (including economics, culture, and technology), and both of them can also be estimated with statistical models.
jig_forty•49m ago
They can and do but it's much less reliable. Births and deaths are systematically recorded, and fertility rates are shaped by comparatively stable factors like education levels, access to family planning and gradual cultural shifts. Mortality rates follow similarly predictable trends.
Whereas migration flows are heavily influenced by sudden events that are difficult to anticipate, like economic crises, political instability, wars, natural disasters and so on. The data is less complete too, for example unauthorized border crossings will not be recorded officially in cases where these are undetected.
polski-g•34m ago
I know in my area the school districts complains that they don't get notification of new planned 400+ unit apartment buildings. So all of the sudden, the local schools are over capacity.
jig_forty•1h ago
As the supply end is so constrained, it makes sense they're using modern technologies to try to resolve the demand.
schoen•1h ago
jig_forty•49m ago
Whereas migration flows are heavily influenced by sudden events that are difficult to anticipate, like economic crises, political instability, wars, natural disasters and so on. The data is less complete too, for example unauthorized border crossings will not be recorded officially in cases where these are undetected.
polski-g•34m ago