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Hepatic adaptation to chronic metabolic stress primes tumorigenesis

https://www.cell.com/cell/fulltext/S0092-8674(25)01366-2
1•PaulHoule•1m ago•0 comments

Code Is Cheap Now. Software Isn't

https://www.chrisgregori.dev/opinion/code-is-cheap-now-software-isnt
2•fs_software•1m ago•0 comments

Malaysia and Indonesia block Musk's Grok over sexually explicit deepfakes

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cg7y10xm4x2o
2•breve•1m ago•0 comments

Show HN: The Thiele Machine – Coq-Verified Computational Model Beyond Turing

https://github.com/sethirus/The-Thiele-Machine
1•nwthiele•6m ago•0 comments

Barista: Serving up fresh stats for your Claude Code sessions

https://github.com/pstuart/pstuart/tree/main/barista
1•handfuloflight•6m ago•0 comments

Show HN: LifeOps – Relationship intelligence for developers (local-first)

https://github.com/senguttuvang/LifeOps-CLI
1•seng•7m ago•0 comments

CES 2026: "Worst in Show" – Calling Out Gadgets That Make Things Worse

https://www.ifixit.com/News/115344/worst-in-show-returns-at-ces-2026-calling-out-gadgets-that-mak...
2•gnabgib•8m ago•0 comments

Can Shawn Levy Resuscitate "Star Wars?"

https://www.nytimes.com/2026/01/08/movies/shawn-levy-star-wars-stranger-things.html
3•bookofjoe•15m ago•1 comments

Silent Rebuilds: Keeping Container CVE Counts Near-Zero

https://www.bretfisher.com/silent-rebuilds/
1•ropable•34m ago•1 comments

Anthropic bans xAI from using Claude in Cursor

https://xcancel.com/kyliebytes/status/2009686466746822731
5•Palmik•36m ago•1 comments

Federal prosecutors open criminal investigation into the Fed and Jerome Powell

https://www.cnn.com/2026/01/11/business/federal-prosecutors-criminal-investigation-federal-reserv...
10•washedup•54m ago•1 comments

Critical Analysis of Air Up's Scientific Marketing Claims

https://zenodo.org/records/18197315
2•OrthoBottle•54m ago•1 comments

Uncrossy

https://uncrossy.com/
6•dgacmu•1h ago•2 comments

Show HN: Constela – Build web pages using JSON instead of JavaScript

https://github.com/yuuichieguchi/constela
1•yuu1ch13•1h ago•0 comments

Which programming languages are most token-efficient?

https://martinalderson.com/posts/which-programming-languages-are-most-token-efficient/
16•tehnub•1h ago•6 comments

Fed Chair Powell says he's under criminal investigation

https://www.cnbc.com/2026/01/12/fed-jerome-powell-criminal-probe-nyt.html
8•victor106•1h ago•1 comments

Men Who Are Super Competitive About Sleep

https://www.wsj.com/style/fashion/competitive-about-sleep-gear-sleepwear-76761041
3•lxm•1h ago•1 comments

Karmic Tail Calculator – a free, explainable Matrix of Destiny tool

https://destiny-matrix.cc/en/tool/karmic-tail-calculator/
1•yxchen1994•1h ago•1 comments

AI models were given four weeks of therapy: the results worried researchers

https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-025-04112-2
3•andromaton•1h ago•4 comments

I made a simple agent for PR reviews. Don't use it

https://xeiaso.net/blog/2026/reviewbot/
3•xena•1h ago•1 comments

Show HN: Fetch – A minimalistic and super fast macOS app launcher

https://github.com/hackerbirds/fetch
2•hackerbirds•1h ago•0 comments

Show HN: Tmp.tf – Cross-device text transfer with just a channel name, no signup

https://tmp.tf
1•iamlin•1h ago•1 comments

BowMac Sign

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/BowMac_sign
1•kerim-ca•1h ago•0 comments

Show HN: Web CLI v0.2.4 – Added YAML/JSON validators with auto-fix

https://github.com/pozgo/web-cli
1•polinux•1h ago•0 comments

Show HN: Neurop Forge – AI executes verified blocks instead of writing code

https://github.com/Louw115/neurop-forge
1•LBWasserman•1h ago•1 comments

Chasing mythical creatures: a critique of entrepreneurship's unicorns obsession

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2352673422000634
2•wslh•1h ago•0 comments

Statement by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome F. Powell [video]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KckGHaBLSn4
313•sprawl_•1h ago•190 comments

Maybe the database got it right

https://fhur.me/posts/2026/maybe-the-database-got-it-right
1•fernandohur•1h ago•0 comments

Jerome Powell Responds

https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/powell20260111a.htm
251•0xedb•1h ago•94 comments

The Living Internet

https://www.livinginternet.com
3•hkhn•1h ago•0 comments
Open in hackernews

Statement by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome F. Powell [video]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KckGHaBLSn4
313•sprawl_•1h ago

Comments

jmclnx•1h ago
For those,like me, who do not wnt to go to youtube:

https://www.cnbc.com/2026/01/12/fed-jerome-powell-criminal-p...

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/federal-reserve-chair-powe...

zamadatix•1h ago
Official written statement (same as the speech given) for those who prefer https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/powell20260...
davidw•1h ago
This is... just crazy. One of those mostly boring bits of plumbing that has been left to professionals throughout the entire 50 years of my life - and they're trying to wreck it.
spamizbad•1h ago
It's also for very stupid reasons: The fed dropping rates to the degree that would satisfy Donald Trump would greatly accelerate inflation which in turn would further upset voters, who would in turn blame Donald Trump (just like they did Biden before).
Loughla•1h ago
Is it just a cynical view that enough voters can be convinced it's the other side at fault?

Someone who supports trump, please let me know the logic on this. Genuinely. I'm trying to read other places about these charges but they're just so slanted that they're not really trustworthy. Is there anything to this, or is it really just to pressure the federal reserve?

SpicyLemonZest•1h ago
I implore you to stop being credulous before it's too late. Trump supporters deeply believe, and are not shy about saying, that anyone who stops Trump from achieving his political goals should be imprisoned or murdered.
pluralmonad•1h ago
Holy shit. If you believe even a small minority actually want that, please unplug and talk to real people in meat space.
collinfunk•1h ago
Even if one grants that it is a small minority, aren't they still voting for someone who advocates for jailing and killing political opponents?
gruez•47m ago
>Even if one grants that it is a small minority

It is. What's more, such support is roughly the same across both parties, but both parties vastly overestimate the other side's support.

https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.2116851119

https://x.com/JustinGrimmer/status/1966997411060215960

throw0101c•37m ago
> It is. What's more, such support is roughly the same across both parties, but both parties vastly overestimate the other side's support.

The difference between the two parties is that one elected a leader that agrees with that minority. This 2012 scene from The Newsroom outlines the difference:

* https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cGsLhyNJBh8

The GOP let (?) the inmates run the asylum.

SpicyLemonZest•37m ago
I consider January 6 to have falsified all research along these grounds. I acknowledge, sure, that virtually nobody wants to see gun battles in the street. But if you can talk yourself into believing that a mob sent to overturn the election and install the loser doesn't count as partisan violence, you can talk yourself into believing all kinds of catastrophes don't count.
gruez•16m ago
>But if you can talk yourself into believing that a mob sent to overturn the election and install the loser doesn't count as partisan violence, you can talk yourself into believing all kinds of catastrophes don't count.

How's this different than say...

>polls show 99% (or whatever) of people are against crime

>voters elect a soft-on-crime politician, crime goes up

>"I consider the fact that the soft-on-crime politicians got elected to have falsified all research that people are against crime"

_DeadFred_•31m ago
FOX News is workshopping/normalizing the murder of undesirables. Is FOX speaking to/for a small minority?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=phYOrM3SNV8

gruez•6m ago
On a purely pedantic point, whatever he's advocating for isn't "political violence" any more than calling for the death penalty isn't "political violence". Yes, the death penalty plausibly could count as "violence", and the process of instituting it is political, but if you look at the questions in the first source, it's clear they're talking about stuff like politicians/activists getting killed, not the state doling "violence" as some sort of punishment.

Moving on to the actual video, if the implication is that someone says [absurd thing] on national TV, it must mean that the party (or its electorate) as a whole must support [absurd thing], then:

The guy end up apologizing, so what's the issue? I guess the expectation is that he should be canceled/fired or whatever? What about similarly absurd stuff from the left? It's not hard to find stuff like "racism = power + oppression" that's casually mentioned on npr or whatever without major pushback, even though most democrats don't believe in this type of stuff. Or is talking about killing people a special case? If so, what does that mean about discussions on the death penalty?

collinfunk•25m ago
I don't think this addresses the main point of my question, though. Do you know any prominent Democrats, e.g., representatives, senators, or presidents, who have called for a Republican to be killed?
ceejayoz•1h ago
They chanted “lock her up” en masse as a campaign slogan. The desire to imprison is quite evident.
netsharc•59m ago
Heh, some of them invaded Congress and were hunting down Mike Pence on Jan 6 2021...
gruez•41m ago
If citing the behavior of the most rabbid supporters is allowed (because that's who shows up to campaign rallies), then it's not hard to find an equivalent on the left. /r/all is full of people wanting various people in the epstein files, including trump, to be locked up on spurious associations.
davidw•35m ago
Locking people up for crimes is different from locking them up because they are your political opponents. I don't think I've seen people on the left yelling about locking Mitch McConnell up, for instance, even if he bears much responsibility for all of this.
gruez•34m ago
>Locking people up for crimes is different from locking them up because they are your political opponents.

I thought they were upset about her emails or whatever?

SpicyLemonZest•30m ago
Is there some well of non-rabid Trump supporters that I'm not aware of? I'm always open to the idea that I'm in a bubble, but my experience is that even the least rabid Trump supporters are completely unwilling to criticize him or oppose something he wants. Did any Trump supporters, for example, criticize the prosecution of James Comey?
gruez•20m ago
>Is there some well of non-rabid Trump supporters that I'm not aware of? I'm always open to the idea that I'm in a bubble, but my experience is that even the least rabid Trump supporters are completely unwilling to criticize him or oppose something he wants.

In the context of the previous comment, the "non-rabbid" (and probably median) supporter would be someone voting Trump because they think they trust him more on the economy/immigration or whatever. They might be indifferent to his claims that he'll lock up his political opponents, or think that they're actually guilty of something, but that's not the same as being "rabbid" (ie. showing up to rallies and chanting "lock her up").

SpicyLemonZest•14m ago
Right! With a non-fascist politician, what you're describing would be extremely abnormal; the median Biden supporter, Obama supporter, or Bush supporter would routinely take positions their guy didn't agree with even though they supported him overall. But the range of Trump supporter opinions stretches only from "politely support everything he wants to do" to "be performatively mean about everything he wants to do".
bdcravens•1h ago
If you genuinely believe that, then I have some hope that the very toxic messages I see daily in political social media, saying exactly what's being alleged here, aren't deeply held beliefs but a tiny fringe.
SpicyLemonZest•55m ago
All of the Trump supporters I knew in meatspace reassured me that he would never do his insane tariffs, and then when he did insisted that it was a good idea and they never thought otherwise. So I no longer trust that they're telling me the truth about what they want or what they would support.
_DeadFred_•48m ago
Fox News, a major American media company, had one of their main personalities say that homeless people should just be killed by lethal injection on air. The desire for killing for random reasons is so mainstream to them that their media is comfortable stating out loud people they don't want/are undesirable should just be killed. Their media organs are workshopping/normalizing killing undesirables.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=phYOrM3SNV8

JumpCrisscross•48m ago
I know many. They’re good people. But they’re willing to be indifferent to violence if the perpetrators are not on their team. Everyone does this to some degree, but their tendency to align on messaging is much higher than e.g. folks going at each other about their pet war.
m0llusk•24m ago
They put a great deal of effort into talking about political violence and implying that Democrats are a source of rioting and terrorism. The indifference is only to their own violence.
senordevnyc•46m ago
Maybe eight years ago. But in my experience, Trump supporters today have no line he can cross which will cause them to stop supporting him. They might claim to, but time after time, they just find a way to justify and double down.
blurbleblurble•13m ago
Look what's happening to real people in meat space in Minnesota right now
loeg•1h ago
I don't think it's that deep or that Trump is even thinking ahead. He just wants the rates to be lower.
wat10000•1h ago
Exactly. He thinks he knows better than the experts. He thinks lower interest rates are good and people saying they should be higher are just trying to make him look bad. Nothing he does is a clever gambit.
JumpCrisscross•49m ago
> He thinks he knows better than the experts

It’s a kleptocracy. He doesn’t care. He just wants cheap money from the Fed as patronage.

voidfunc•1h ago
Im not convinced Trump cares anymore. For whatever reason that may be, he has decided there is nothing that can stop him at this point. There is no congress or court that will hold him accountable. His supporters are unwavering and drunk on unchecked power right now.
spankibalt•1h ago
The MAGA crowd and their lickspittles/enablers are so far removed from reality that they only believe their leader.

And many others will vote for system-wreckers (broadly: conservatives) again, because the democrats cannot fix much of the damage done within the next legislative periods, let alone just one... even if the miracle of a trifecta happens and SCOTUS loses its majority on top of it. Rinse, repeat.

quadragenarian•47m ago
These are the very people who would help him rewrite history that yes he indeed did earn the Nobel Peace Prize as it is obviously and prominently displayed in his office, the words and records of the Nobel committee be damned.
crystal_revenge•1h ago
> would further upset voters

I continue to be surprised by people who have seen things unfold as they have over less than a year of this administration and still somehow believe we'll continue to have "free and fair" elections anytime in the near future.

We have over, and over again seeing virtually all of the "checks and balances" we learned about as kids being overridden without consequence.

This community of all other should be aware of how easy it is to exert total control of information (I'm still surprised this article is on the home page). Everyone consumes almost all of their information through digital, corporate controlled means. Even people getting together a organically socializing in bars, something that was common 30 years ago, has been replaced with online interactions. Trump does not need mandate from the people to continue to rule the country.

wahnfrieden•48m ago
News from today: https://www.nytimes.com/2026/01/11/us/trump-voting-machines-...

> Trump Regrets Not Seizing Voting Machines After 2020 Election: In an interview, the president said he should have ordered the National Guard to take the machines

SpicyLemonZest•21m ago
We've had a number of free and fair elections in the past year, including some where the Trump-supported candidate lost. That doesn't mean we're out of the woods, but Trump has not historically been willing to go out of his way to protect the electoral fortunes of people who aren't himself, and at least some of his allies are well aware that the peace and security we presently enjoy is not guaranteed in a post-democratic US.
wmf•6m ago
There's no inflation if they don't publish the data.
abrookewood•1h ago
It's also completely in character with Trump's behaviour. He is a dictator who wants what he wants and can't abide anyone standing in his way. He wants absolute authority to do as he wishes. This extends to removing foreign heads of state so he can access their countries resources and also threatening 'allies' so he can take their territory. We're watching him systematically destroy any good will or moral authority that the USA held.
jiggawatts•54m ago
He was the owner and CEO of a private company — essentially a dictator without even a board or the SEC keeping him in check.

For decades he hasn’t had to tolerate “checks and balances”! Nobody could say “no” and retain their jobs under him.

The American public decided to put this type of person in charge.

The consequences were predicted.

dboreham•1h ago
This week's episode of "Not the Epstein Files".
throw0101c•47m ago
> One of those mostly boring bits of plumbing that has been left to professionals throughout the entire 50 years of my life - and they're trying to wreck it.

There is even a more boring and obscure bit of plumbing, the Treasury payment system, that they/DOGE went after last year:

* https://arstechnica.com/tech-policy/2025/01/musks-doge-clash...

* https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42904200

* https://hn.algolia.com/?q=treasury+payment+system

Every knee must (forced to) bend.

swagmoney1606•18m ago
There hasn't been a single point in my shorter life so far where things have been this out of control. The fed is supposed to be as non-political as possible. I know politics and the economy are intertwined, but tell me how this won't end up a disaster please. How do we get back to the USA we had even 10 years ago?
OutOfHere•10m ago
It never was non-political if you look at the individual votes of the board members. Perhaps it was non-political in aggregate, but never at an individual level.
ameliaquining•1h ago
The relevant page on the Fed website both embeds the video and includes the text: https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/powell20260...

I suggest that the moderators change the link to that (it is currently directly to the YouTube video).

layer8•41m ago
Or merge with https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46582420.
Loughla•1h ago
Holy shit.

So our monetary policy will be just set at the arbitrary whims of the president if this new scheme works.

Why does all of this feel like it's just sliding completely out of hand? Am I just being a doomer?

nemomarx•1h ago
Lots of respected limits and lines on government power are just being casually broken, so I don't think you're wrong. Whatever's going to happen next it probably won't have the stability of the past.
toomuchtodo•1h ago
Because it is, you are not. Checks and balances are at their limits (judicial branch), or non existent (Congress).
dc396•1h ago
https://rall.com/2026/01/08/checks-and-balances-are-dead
davidw•1h ago
I find myself seeking out non-doomer people to read, since the doom and gloom doesn't really help, it's just demotivating. "Look for the helpers" and all that.

This outlet has some good things from time to time, like https://www.liberalcurrents.com/we-are-going-to-win/

That said, yeah this is really bad.

Herring•1h ago
Not sure about that article. In the short term maybe you might get through this round, but the long term really doesn’t look good. https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2021/04/how-stop-m...

I’m applying to jobs in Europe.

davidw•1h ago
Who are your favorite non-doomer folks to read?

I thought this post was a good one on why doomerism is just a waste of time - featuring Ken Jennings of Jeopardy fame:

https://bsky.app/profile/goldengateblond.bsky.social/post/3m...

Some accounts at random that tend towards "this all sucks really bad - however!"

https://bsky.app/profile/olufemiotaiwo.bsky.social

https://bsky.app/profile/golikehellmachine.com

It's a particular and kind of peculiar attitude, because objectively "things ain't great" and it's really easy to dwell on that. But we also need some hope.

consumer451•1h ago
Well, you see... he is part of the "un-elected deep state."

Clearly, that is a problem that needs to be solved.

Aurornis•1h ago
I know you’re being sarcastic, but Trump was the person who nominated Jerome Powell as chair.

This move is public punishment for not falling in line.

Apreche•1h ago
It’s been completely out of hand for some time now.
Analemma_•1h ago
I hope I turn out to be wrong, but the most convincing explanation I've seen for the "why" is that the 1945-2000 period was an anomaly, and now we're reverting to the mean: despotic governments, frequent wars for territory, and massive wealth inequality leading to powerful oligarchies as the only other important political players aside from the despot. This was the norm for the overwhelming majority of human history and perhaps it was massively hubristic to think we had escaped it for good.
whatever1•1h ago
Probably it coincides with the fact that the last people who remember WW2 are now gone.

None of us understand the devastation that a WW incurs.

Thegn•1h ago
With the added fun of nuclear weapons!
Uvix•1h ago
"Has been set," not "will be set". We've been operating under the new scheme for months. Despite Powell's protestations, there was no evidence for cutting rates, and lots of evidence for doing the opposite. Unfortunately he gave in to Trump... but that obviously wasn't enough.
blackjack_•52m ago
The only reasonable conclusion at this point is that the fascists in the white house see their deep unpopularity, obvious loss of power in the near future (they have lost nearly every election in the past year by a landslide), and the Epstein files closing in. The obvious outcome will be at minimum jail and ridicule due to their continuous and obvious corruption, high crimes and misdemeanors like invading Venezuela, trying to invade Greenland, and sexual crimes against children. So they have to accelerate chaos to try and destroy law and order before it catches up with them and destroys them.

Its time to put up or get put down by masked goons.

nipponese•1h ago
Unprecedented times call for unlikely youtube heroes.
prodigycorp•1h ago
Many times I've disagreed with Powell, but major props for this statement.
toomuchtodo•1h ago
Courage in short supply, refreshing to see it flexed.
abrookewood•1h ago
It's honestly depressing how little push back there seems to be.
davidw•32m ago
I hope that some heads of universities, CEO's and people running important journalism outfits are looking at this and feeling a deep sense of shame.
ptero•1h ago
I came in to say the same thing -- major, major respect to Powell.

I am not a big fan of his earlier policies (or of Greenspan's and anyone after him for that matter). His "unlearn the importance of M2" did not age well. He made the tail end of the ZIRP more painful than it needed to be. But those were honest mistakes from a public servant who did his best and believed in what he is doing.

And standing up for what he believes is right, against this insanity from the president is the gold standard of what we need from public servants. My 2c.

JumpinJack_Cash•18m ago
> > a public servant who did his best and believed in what he is doing.

So is Trump. If anything his belief is stronger because his life taught him that he is right again and again and again.

This is the classic entrepreneur micro-manager problem which happens in millions of companies in the US and worldwide

The "orange man bad" trope is dumb and should not be on HN.

This is what happens when the kid who proudly wears a t-shirt with the quote "let's save time and assume im right" ends up effectively being right basically all the times from when he starts to talk until whatever Trump's age is right now. Or failing upwards which essentially amount to the same thing if you are a result-oriented person.

2026 Trump is the result you get when incredible luck and fortunate life circumstances happen to a healthy, normal, heterosexual human male all through their life

pizlonator•1h ago
Yes.

His statement is firm and well articulated. I have nothing bad to say about the man right now

lamontcg•1h ago
I have bad things to say about him. But they're firmly on pause. What Trump wants for the Federal Reserve is far worse.

And anyone who is a hard-currency quantity-theory-of-money conservative, should also be appalled by it.

Trump is way worse than what the harshest critics of the Federal Reserve think about it. Nobody right or left should support it. Only the billionaires will profit off the monetary disorder.

AnimalMuppet•51m ago
> Only the billionaires will profit off the monetary disorder.

Maybe not even them. Certainly not all of them.

don_neufeld•1h ago
Economists: The interest rate on US Treasuries is often used as a benchmark for the “risk free rate”

Trump: Hold my beer.

JKCalhoun•1h ago
Wild. Some kind of fucking banana republic.
AnimalMuppet•1h ago
"The threat of criminal charges is a consequence of the Federal Reserve setting interest rates based on our best assessment of what will serve the public, rather than following the preferences of the President."

Thank you, Mr. Powell. We really want interest rates set to serve the people, not the whims of the President.

ralph84•1h ago
The Fed doesn't care about the public. They had no problem keeping rates low while inflation raged in everything except wages. But at the first hint of labor gaining some power and wages rising in 2022, they were relentless in raising rates to make sure labor would not gain the upper hand.
ohyoutravel•1h ago
This is an exceptionally poor take on the matter.
hrimfaxi•56m ago
You had a comment to explain the poor take and instead do the equivalent of point and laugh. Can you help but wonder as onlookers question what your point might have been? People undoubtedly think this way, and to discount wholesale their line of thinking without engagement does not win hearts and minds.
cconroy•42m ago
why? asset holders in this country have a free fed put, wage earners get smashed in the face. you can make a solid case this institution is more harmful and free banking is much better for wealth equality.
collinfunk•1h ago
It seems like they learned a lot from the Letitia James and James Comey cases, which are going great (not in the way they intended).
voidfunc•1h ago
Exciting two weeks to start the year!
jb1991•1h ago
I don’t think “exciting” is the right word.
voidfunc•1h ago
Where's your sense of adventure?
jb1991•1h ago
There is a time for adventure, and this is not it.
AnimalMuppet•48m ago
"And did you find adventure?"

"No. Neither does anyone else. Adventures happen to other people. When it happens to you, it just looks like trouble."

- The Ballad Of Sir Dinadan, by Gerald Morris, quoted from memory

throwaway_2494•1h ago
You know this part of the problem!

Politics is now consumed as entertainment, and ask any writer of books or screenplays and they will tell you _conflict_ makes for good entertainment.

Politics should be _boring_. The fact that we demand to be entertained by our political system is a big part of the problem.

JumpinJack_Cash•1h ago
Far too many people decide to occupy the us vs. them part of their brain with National politics as opposed to sports.

Both are basically useless as it relates to your personal quality of life but at least with the latter you can see nice geometric combinations between players on a pitch and some incredible athleticism in between

hrimfaxi•58m ago
The issue being that one actually impacts your life and the other is a spectacle.
JumpinJack_Cash•50m ago
No it doesn't come on.

If your life can be impacted more than 5% by [ insert name of the person residing in the White House] then you are either a politician or someone not doing a proper job at navigating through life.

retrocog•1h ago
Its crazy how you can see where things are heading and still be surprised when they arrive there.
whatever1•1h ago
Everyone calling it out was named a doomer.

Well doom is here. Congrats.

retrocog•1h ago
Gradually (last 3 decades) ==> Suddenly (we are here)
LorenPechtel•55m ago
Fundamentally, people don't like situations with no good answer. I see it again and again, present a problem with no good answer and most people will resort to the answer that aligns with their political leanings even when faced with clear evidence they are wrong.

Look how quickly big business rolled over for The Felon--because they saw what mot people have been denying since the election.

throw0101c•35m ago
> Everyone calling it out was named a doomer.

Or labelled:

* https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trump_derangement_syndrome

shrubble•1h ago
I’m of the opinion from the old Yiddish proverb: “when the cat and dog are fighting, the mouse is safe”.

If the admin is fighting with the Federal Reserve, it means they are not focused on figuring out how to further screw us over…

Aurornis•1h ago
They have had no problem screwing people over on multiple fronts at the same time. This is wishful thinking.

> If the admin is fighting with the Federal Reserve, it means they are not focused on figuring out how to further screw us over…

Messing with interest rates for short term political gain would screw us over.

refulgentis•1h ago
Puerile and uninformative, unfortunately. I respect that each of us has their world view, but if the last decade has shown anything at all, it is that when you are in the public square, you are asking for interlocution, not for escapism to be indulged. And the best thing is to do as you implicitly ask, and interlocute.
Philpax•1h ago
I don't think a fight with the Federal Reserve will stop ICE from murdering civilians.
et-al•1h ago
What's a pleb supposed to do now? Convert every paycheck to BTC, gold, or EUR?
rvz•1h ago
You might as well for the next 3 years.
closingreunion•1h ago
Toilet paper and ammunition.
Aurornis•1h ago
Terrible. Trump was even the person who nominated Powell in 2017, and now he’s being squeezed for doing the job of Federal Reserve Chair instead of bending to demands.
brcmthrowaway•1h ago
Does anyone have a steelman argument for this?
Aurornis•1h ago
Do you think that criminal prosecution for Jerome Powell for maybe doing something wrong with some building renovations under timing that just happens to coincide with the President’s personal and public vendetta against this person is worth steelmanning?

At some point it stops being steelmanning and starts becoming an invitation for some propaganda to distract from the obvious.

zamadatix•1h ago
The more obvious something seems the more valuable steelmanning becomes, precisely because if the only steelman arguments you get (if any) are propaganda at best (instead of reasons you just hadn't considered) then you can be that much more confident your outrage is based in reason rather than feelings. My guess is there won't be many coming up with steelman arguments for this one though anyways.

Inviting propaganda is good, let the obviously weak arguments come front and center to be logically considered and ridiculed rather than put in small private group chats where they seem to grow and grow. This only works, in any way, if people stop saying things aren't worth having consideration about because it's obvious to them.

Aurornis•41m ago
I understand the theory of steelmanning, but in cases like this it's just an high-brow version of the "both sides" style of journalism where you pretend like both sides are similarly plausible and deserve equal consideration. At the extremes, the steelmanning can turn into a game of giving the other side more consideration.

> Inviting propaganda is good, let the obviously weak arguments come front and center to be logically considered and ridiculed

That's literally what I'm doing: Ridiculing the obviously weak arguments.

And do you know what's happening? My ridicule and dismissiveness are being talked down, while you invite someone to "steelman" the argument instead. This pattern happens over and over again in spaces where steelmanning is held up as virtuous: It's supposed to be a tool for bringing weak arguments into the light so they can be dismissed, yet the people dismissing are told to shush so we can soak up the propaganda from the other side.

drpepper42•1h ago
The interest rates? If you wanted to crash demand for dollar various things makes a bit more sense. Venezuela might be more about threatening BRICS if you squint at it. The EU–Mercosur agreement looks like it might pass - timing is kind of weird. There is maybe a kind of logic to it for exports but I think it lowers the standard of living for us plebs.
unclad5968•1h ago
As a casual follower of economic news and completely ignorant of politics, my guess is that the administration believes the fed isn't acting according to mandate of stability and jobs. I have no clue how valid that is
sidibe•47m ago
Trump thinks lowering the interest rates means market goes up before election. That's all there is to it everyone knows it's not about stability and jobs
neom•1h ago
So I'm sitting here as a Canadian wondering what the American people are going to do? I understand a lot of what the President of The United States says - I even agree with some of it, the problem is I don't feel like we're engaging with the American people anymore. I really wonder where you guys are headed and what it means for the rest of us, I spent 15 years in the states, built a public company there, I really like the Americans, but I don't want annexation. I wonder where you guys are headed.
Frost1x•1h ago
Complain to our representatives who will do absolutely nothing because the system is ripe for abuse and we’ve put people who actively want to abuse and exploit it into office.

I keep telling everyone and have been for a year, it’s not just our problem, due to global US positioning it’s now a world problem. Just ask Venezuela. Regardless of what you think about the end result the ends did not justify the means.

I for one will be collecting my (completely legal) hunting rifles and weapons I’ve had in storage since I was a kid, have them professionally serviced and grab some ammunition, on the terrible case I need to defend myself which I thought I’d never ever have to consider and I’d just sell them some day. But alas we have a lot of really really stupid as well as downright toxic voters in this country.

jiggawatts•1h ago
You’re all tooling up to defend against your neighbours instead of the people causing the political instability.

The outcome of this is all too predictable.

renegade-otter•1h ago
America has enough power to help someone else. No one has the power to save America from itself.

The cavalry is not coming, and this fire is going to take its course.

One day, maybe we will rebuild from scratch.

mandeepj•1h ago
> No one has the power to save America from itself.

Wrong!! Please don’t say that! We all have power inside the US. Congress had the opportunity in 2021 to correct the wrong, but Republicans kowtowed and they are still doing so. That was the easy way. Now for the hard way, American people will have to do something about it.

Edit: Grammar

renegade-otter•40m ago
We don't disagree. It is going to be us and only us.
Aurornis•37m ago
> One day, maybe we will rebuild from scratch

The current situation is bad, but this is just doomerism.

The current administration will end. Trump can't live forever. His approval rating is already low and falling.

We're in for a bumpy ride, but then it's going to start reverting toward the mean. Not necessarily back to the way things were, but periods of extreme like this are followed by a reversion to the mean more often than not.

tersers•1h ago
Time to get your PAL buddy
tptacek•1h ago
Nothing? Trump is playing freeway chicken with Powell, he's driving a Pontiac Fiero and Powell is driving a bulldozer. The Supreme Court has already signaled that they're not on board fucking with the Fed. This will potentially cost Trump his next Fed nomination for awhile, because GOP Senators are putting a hold on his nominations until the legal stuff resolves.
mapontosevenths•57m ago
> I wonder where you guys are headed.

You need to know only two facts about America to guess that:

* Fifty three percent of Americans now read below the sixth grade level.

* As (ostensibly) a representative Democracy America's fate is dictated by the majority of it's citizens.

Our future is to become a broken nation governed by middle-school student level thinking. The only way to build a better America is to build a better populace, and that would be contrary to the interests of the angry, spoiled, children who seem to hold all the power now.

voidfunc•55m ago
Not doing much. Playing PC games and watching the world burn. Not much I can do.

Just bought a new 5080 this week. Hoping I can hunker down in my cave for the next couple years and see what's left of the world in 2030.

Oh yea, beer, lots of beer.

fooey•49m ago
There's basically nothing the American people can do short term.

The US government is entirely non-responsive and only nominally representative.

Barring a wave of Republican retirements in the House, the absolute soonest there are any guardrails are after the 2026 midterms when a new congress is seated in 2027.

burnt-resistor•34m ago
Gerrymandering, infinite lobbying corruption, and manufactured consent are supposed to keep the populace doing and thinking what the 1% want, and cheating to help them. They can't even do those properly anymore with vast resources. Perhaps billionaires and failed celebrity reality stars don't make the best public administrators.
Mistletoe•43m ago
We vote. That’s all we can do. 50.5% of the people voted for this insanity in 2024. We can only hope they see how this is going and vote differently in 2026 and beyond.
hazard•1h ago
And of course equity futures immediately dropped on the news
scottarthur•1h ago
Yep, we’ll see how the free market responds. Wonder if it will be a TACO Tuesday (or even Monday)
dashundchen•53m ago
Guarantee there are dozens if not more in the admin insider trading like they have on so many announcements. Market manipulation right out in the open.

The slimiest swampiest criminals, they need to be put on trial.

rvz•1h ago
So this is the bar for the next country to surpass the US as the world's economic super-power, if this continues it's most likely going to be China to surpass the US.

An opportunity for the EU to stop its bureaucracy and cleanup its act. If it cannot convince anyone that they are next, then one can argue that democracy is completely finished.

If this nonsense continues it will be the UAE + Saudi Arabia + China, cutting off the west and that's that.

AnimalMuppet•45m ago
If that's the bar, well, China is not a sterling example of central bank independence and the rule of law either.
Herring•39m ago
China hasn’t dropped bombs on foreign soil in 45 years. I think I’m ok with that situation.
rr808•1h ago
Still - lower rates are coming. New tech boom on the way! Thanks to our glorious leader - long may he reign.
rvz•1h ago
An economic crash is getting engineered.
hrimfaxi•57m ago
One must ask, to whose benefit? On what side are they wagering?
tclancy•53m ago
You’re assuming they’re clever instead of mean and stupid.
hrimfaxi•52m ago
Fuck. This blew my thinking wide open. Thank you but damn you but thanks.
cmurf•19m ago
This is his entire life's work history.

The country doesn't understand why but it elected an abuser, and voted to become poorer. And the country will be abused, and get what it voted for.

It will still not understand that it did this or why.

Perhaps once we're all gathered in the valley of despair we'll have a chance of understanding.

blurbleblurble•6m ago
Why not all three?
blurbleblurble•7m ago
People with capital are always ready to buy the dip
closingreunion•1h ago
The titanic amount of generational neglect that has allowed even a fraction of voters to look at Trump for more than a second and find him qualified for any public office is truly fantastic.

This is one of the clear examples that Trump is seeing Putin's Russia as a model for his vision for the USA.

olalonde•1h ago
As a side note, is there a compelling reason why interest rates aren't set algorithmically? I assume human intuition isn't really a factor in setting them. This would eliminate concerns about political motivation.
martinald•1h ago
But who sets the algorithm? Whichever department of branch of govt was in charge of that would become have the enormous power, and political motivation would then fall to that.

Equally the same for data that goes into the algorithm - if you can control that you control interest rates.

hrimfaxi•1h ago
Would that make it easier or more difficult to guide, I wonder?
lamontcg•59m ago
Economic models are complex and far from perfect, and we're still waiting for Hari Seldon's psychohistory models to be created to tie together macroeconomics and macropsychology.
mandeepj•56m ago
> is there a compelling reason why interest rates aren't set algorithmically?

Can’t believe you are saying that!! Then anyone can manipulate it like they manipulate stocks by writing hit pieces one day and gushing articles a few days after,

jb1991•1h ago
Venezuela, Greenland, and this. Anyone notice how these extreme events all happened around the same time of the Epstein files getting released with highly publicized questions about all the redactions? It certainly seems like a distraction game.
ChrisArchitect•1h ago
[dupe] Post text with video: https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/powell20260... (https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46582420)
YY438723874623•1h ago
America has reached the inter-departmental warfare stage of failed states it seems. As an appreciator of all sorts of banana republics, kleptocracy and military juntas, this is a very familiar pattern of behavior.
igonvalue•55m ago
Here's Trump and Powell publicly disagreeing about these exact Fed renovation costs in July 2025: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EvYljCN970s

Powell corrects him in real-time. Worth watching given today's statement.

tolerance•52m ago
For people who don’t know what this is about and why everyone else is concerned…me neither.

2025-10-03

"You Decide: What Does the Fed’s Rate Cut Mean?”: <https://cals.ncsu.edu/news/you-decide-what-does-the-feds-rat...>

2025-12-10

“A divided Federal Reserve cuts interest rates for a 3rd straight time”: <https://alaskapublic.org/news/national/2025-12-10/a-divided-...>

"‘Silent Dissents’ Reveal Growing Fed Resistance to Powell’s Cuts”: <https://archive.is/JDlB0#selection-1235.0-1235.64>

2025-12-30

"Fed Minutes Reveal Split on Interest Rates Headed Into 2026”: <https://money.usnews.com/money/personal-finance/articles/fed...>

"Deep Divide Inside Fed Raises Questions About Timing of Further Rate Cuts”: <https://archive.is/7XdPo>

"Trump says he will 'probably' sue Fed's Powell”: <https://www.aa.com.tr/en/americas/trump-says-he-will-probabl...>

HTH

arminiusreturns•49m ago
If you are a complete normie, turn back now, it's gonna get conspiratorial. Otherwise, read on for some insights.

First, one must understand that the Federal Reserve was the main trojan horse vehicle for the European banking families into America. Read any number of good books, starting with the latest edition of G. Edward Griffins "The Creature from Jekyll Island".

But all that is mostly known already to those who have payed attention and done the reading... so whats next?

My conclusion is that America is being setup, in multiple ways (fall guy for global empire, etc), but one major setup that is going on right now is a twofer: 1) Jack up the US economy at any time by raising rates and unraveling the ponzi scheme and 2) If you do 1), you have the perfect excuse to try to implement some CBDC-esque new system, but this time with much more surveillance tech, for example unified ledgers that merge digital identity with financial identity, with ESG and social credit style added on. Read Whitney Webb for more on the structures being put in place for this.

So what is happening is that Trump knows the people that control the Fed, for whom the Fed chair is a mere mouthpiece, really want to suddenly and unexpectedly hike rates and soon, but Trump doesn't want it to happen under his last term, so he has been doing major backroom maneuvering to influence the Fed every time a rate-change date is coming up. Essentially he wants to kick the can to the next POTUS, but since the Fed is technically independent, it really can do whatever it wants, all he can do is fire after the fact. My guess is they will drop it on him late term, a perfect excuse to usher in the political pendulum swing of the hegelian game they play with us.

To me, that this backroom maneuvering is becoming more public tells me they really want to do the sudden rate hike.

Want a decent intro to the real fed? Try this video from the great James Corbett: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5IJeemTQ7Vk

arghandugh•49m ago
Why is this on Hacker News? The tech industry installed a pedophile mob boss specifically to overthrow the country, ruin its civic institutions, destabilize the global economy, and solidify the power of the 1% over the rest at gunpoint.

This is what you wanted. It's not news.

hash872•45m ago
From an institutional engineering POV (warning- I am a grouchy old former political scientist), it would be interesting to come up with institutional solutions for some of the problems America is facing right now. Specifically I think I'd remove the Attorney General role from the President's authority and give it to Senate, to nominate & confirm exclusively. Let's say 51 votes to confirm and 55 votes to impeach. Even among presidential systems, the US cabinet is unusually presidential-centric. I'm not a big LatAm expert, but I think they typically separate the public prosecutor from the president's nomination capacity.

Of course I would strongly prefer to not be a presidential system at all. But if we're discussing post-Trump constitutional reforms that could plausibly pass, I think removing the Attorney General/DOJ from the president's purview and also placing some checks on the pardon power seem doable

nabbed•18m ago
>Of course I would strongly prefer to not be a presidential system at all.

Having grown up in the US and having blinders on, I always thought all those parliamentary systems seemed unstable and sometimes comical. But now I see the value in it. Once a leader has demonstrated he is not up to the task, has grown out-of-touch, or has descended into madness, he can be replaced by his party, and if that didn't happen, a no-confidence vote could trigger an election. No guarantee either of those things would happen, but the option exists. The fixed four-year term idea now seems artificial and inflexible.

I suspect the current US leader and maybe even the previous US leader (maybe in his 4th year) would have suddenly found himself a back-bencher.

JumpinJack_Cash•42m ago
I am surprised by the negative comments, the low interest rates = better thesis has always been somewhat popular on HN , now just because Trump is saying it (and operating to get there) it becomes an issue or something not to be aligned with.

There are countless comments and discussions on this board about how:

1) interest rates should be zero,

2) interest rates being non-zero create a misallocation of capital where there is a return on an investment without any ingenuity or creation behind

3) Banks are too risk averse to lending and their risk averse behavior is due to the risk free rate they enjoy when they park money at the Fed and when they buy T-bills

No matter how little ingenuity or creation is required to keep afloat a zombie company or a dubious startup, for sure it's a notch higher than what happens when that money is parked at the Fed or invested in t-bills...

layer8•18m ago
Even if one disagrees with Fed policy, the way Trump is having the DoJ criminally prosecute Powell under unrelated pretexts is disgraceful and undermines the Fed’s independence.
hypeatei•26m ago
They're already pursuing a case against another Fed board member, and now this? I have a feeling these two cases are going to suffer the same fate as the Letita James and James Comey cases: thrown out due to incompetence and/or malfeasance. It's a disgusting, clear weaponization of the DOJ.

MAGA, of course, tried to accuse Biden of weaponizing them during his term so that they could justify the Trump 2.0 revenge tour. Now we're here.

macinjosh•25m ago
This is logical end game of having these economic controls at all. Put a steering wheel on it someone will drive it.

A true free market isn’t at whims of any one person.

throw0101c•17m ago
Observation:

> Some countries that have prosecuted or threatened to prosecute central bankers for the purpose of political intimidation or punishment for monetary policy decisions: Argentina, Russia, Turkey, Venezuela and Zimbabwe.

* https://xcancel.com/jasonfurman/status/2010532384924442645#m

* https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jason_Furman

And Senator Thom Tillis (R-NC)

> If there were any remaining doubt whether advisers within the Trump Administration are actively pushing to end the independence of the Federal Reserve, there should now be none. It is now the independence and credibility of the Department of Justice that are in question.

> I will oppose the confirmation of any nominee for the Fed—including the upcoming Fed Chair vacancy—until this legal matter is fully resolved.

* https://xcancel.com/SenThomTillis/status/2010514786467959269

who sits on the United States Senate Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs (which oversees the Fed):

* https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_Committee...

omnivore•7m ago
What an unhinged moment in time. At some point, they'll need to be courageous people with the ability and funds to speak up and say enough. But will they? It does not appear so.