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Common bad arguments for the correct answer to the Monty Hall Problem

https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11229-025-05389-6
4•mellosouls•4h ago

Comments

oarla•3h ago
The way I understood why it’s beneficial to switch your choice after the host opens a door showing you a goat is as below

Assume that door 1 has a goat , door 2 has a car and door 3 has a goat behind it. There are 3 trials possible in the Monty Hall scenario

Trial 1 Contestant chose door 1(which is a goat). Host opens door 3(because he has to) and asks if contestant would like to switch. If he switches, then he wins the !

Trial 2 Contestant chooses door 2, host can open door 1 or 3 doesn’t matter. Host asks contestant if he’d like to switch and if he does then he loses.

Trial 3 Contestant chooses door 3(which has a goat). Host opens door 1(he has to) and asks if contestant would like to switch to door 2. Contestant switches to door 2 and wins a cat!

So 2/3 times contestant wins when switching his/her original choice.

Copilot SDK in Technical Preview

https://github.com/orgs/community/discussions/184872
1•edent•41s ago•0 comments

Google is ending full-web search for niche search engines

https://programmablesearchengine.googleblog.com/
2•01jonny01•2m ago•1 comments

Voice Layer for AI Agents Built with Rust, Pluggable to All Agentic Frameworks

https://github.com/SaynaAI/sayna
1•tigranbs•3m ago•0 comments

Raiden Warned About AI Censorship [video]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-gGLvg0n-uY
1•DeathArrow•6m ago•0 comments

Show HN: Thalo – A "programming" language for structured knowledge

https://github.com/rejot-dev/thalo
1•WilcoKruijer•11m ago•0 comments

From Tomorrow Back to Yesterday: A Tale of Two Web Architectures – Yang [video]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8W6Lr1hRgXo
1•adityaathalye•11m ago•0 comments

The State of Modern AI Text to Speech Systems for Screen Reader Users

https://stuff.interfree.ca/2026/01/05/ai-tts-for-screenreaders.html
1•tuukkao•16m ago•0 comments

Apple is burying the Time Capsule, but how to replace it?

https://sixcolors.com/post/2026/01/apple-is-burying-the-time-capsule-but-how-to-replace-it/
2•tosh•18m ago•0 comments

What time you should arrive at cinema to avoid adverts

https://news.sky.com/story/what-time-you-should-actually-arrive-at-cinema-to-avoid-adverts-13149863
1•austinallegro•18m ago•0 comments

Subject of Unique Interest: Mary Freeman Heuston Lewis and William Dean Howells

https://commonplace.online/article/a-subject-of-unique-interest/
1•bryanrasmussen•19m ago•1 comments

DeepSeek's mHC: Stabilizing Training Divergence from 3,000x to 1.6x

2•Research_Brief•20m ago•0 comments

How to Think About Self-Attention Intuitively

https://www.henrydashwood.com/posts/attention-intuition
1•HenryDashwood•22m ago•0 comments

Nvidia PersonaPlex: natural conversation AI

https://research.nvidia.com/labs/adlr/personaplex/
1•ricardobeat•25m ago•0 comments

Doing Gigabit Ethernet over My British Phone Wires

https://thehftguy.com/2026/01/22/doing-gigabit-ethernet-over-my-british-phone-wires/
2•user5994461•27m ago•0 comments

Microservices Architecture Fails Due to Poor Product Topology

https://www.hyperact.co.uk/blog/product-topology
1•birdculture•27m ago•0 comments

Tried Qwen3-TTS Open source to clone my voice and created a video

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0LU9nmnR0cs
1•naveen-zerocool•33m ago•0 comments

Why are there so many CPU bugs nowadays

https://mas.to/@gabrielesvelto/115939583202357863
7•riffraff•34m ago•0 comments

Ask HN: Do You Prefer Cursor over Codex or Claude Code? Why?

3•halamadrid•34m ago•0 comments

Show HN: SpiraCSS – CSS architecture where tooling and AI handle the rules

https://spiracss.jp/
1•zetsubo•35m ago•0 comments

Can You Run Recursion on Ideas?

1•codenighter•35m ago•0 comments

Picking up the missing pieces of Apple's Creator Studio

https://sixcolors.com/post/2026/01/whats-the-real-value-in-creator-studio/
1•tosh•36m ago•0 comments

Replacing Protobuf with Rust to go 5 times faster

https://pgdog.dev/blog/replace-protobuf-with-rust
3•whiteros_e•37m ago•0 comments

Section 230 Didn't Fail Rand Paul. He Just Doesn't Like the Remedy That Worked

https://www.techdirt.com/2026/01/22/section-230-didnt-fail-rand-paul-he-just-doesnt-like-the-reme...
2•beardyw•39m ago•0 comments

Adep

https://adep-france.fr/
1•compado•40m ago•0 comments

Howard Lutnick heckled at Davos dinner as Christine Lagarde walks out

https://www.ft.com/content/e2ae0417-6146-4428-96db-0484a6b024d1
1•saubeidl•41m ago•1 comments

AI-exposed jobs deteriorated before ChatGPT

https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.02554
1•dandelionv1bes•44m ago•0 comments

Tell HN: Alibaba Sucks

1•burnt-resistor•44m ago•1 comments

A Microsoft engineer reveals how Windows 95's 'secret' fast restart worked

https://www.xda-developers.com/microsoft-engineer-reveals-how-windows-95s-secret-fast-restart-wor...
1•daniel_iversen•45m ago•0 comments

Ask HN: How can a new back end dev start contributing to real-world open source?

1•hejhdiss•47m ago•0 comments

Ask HN: How can a new back end dev start contributing to real-world open source?

1•hejhdiss•48m ago•0 comments