Original title: "Canaries in the Coal Mine? Six Facts about the Recent Employment Effects of Artificial Intelligence" - Erik Brynjolfsson, Bharat Chandar, Ruyu Chen
Abstract: "Using high-frequency administrative data from ADP, we document six facts characterizing labor market shifts following the widespread adoption of generative AI. Early-career workers (ages 22-25) in AI-exposed occupations experienced 16% relative employment declines, controlling for firm-level shocks, while employment for experienced workers remained stable. Adjustments occur primarily via employment rather than compensation, with employment changes concentrated in occupations where AI automates rather than augments labor. Results are robust to excluding technology firms and occupations that are remotable. These six facts provide early large-scale evidence consistent with generative AI disproportionately impacting entry-level workers in the American labor market."
bikenaga•1h ago
Abstract: "Using high-frequency administrative data from ADP, we document six facts characterizing labor market shifts following the widespread adoption of generative AI. Early-career workers (ages 22-25) in AI-exposed occupations experienced 16% relative employment declines, controlling for firm-level shocks, while employment for experienced workers remained stable. Adjustments occur primarily via employment rather than compensation, with employment changes concentrated in occupations where AI automates rather than augments labor. Results are robust to excluding technology firms and occupations that are remotable. These six facts provide early large-scale evidence consistent with generative AI disproportionately impacting entry-level workers in the American labor market."