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Dear Comrade Xi

https://www.campbellramble.ai/p/dear-comrade-xi
16•surprisetalk•1h ago

Comments

andsoitis•1h ago
> What would China actually need to do to make the RMB a global reserve currency?

My understanding is that in the long-run, you cannot be the world’s reserve currency AND hold a trade surplus. It is called the Triffin Dilemma.

seanmcdirmid•1h ago
They also need to be willing to soak up (borrow) excess RMB with a decent rate.

Oh, and they have to let it freely float, obviously.

thunderbong•1h ago
Thank you. Didn't know about this. Very interesting.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Triffin_dilemma

Muromec•10m ago
The Dutch disease of sorts, where your main export is just money
advisedwang•54m ago
> What would China actually need to do to make the RMB a global reserve currency?

> The answer, it turns out, is a five-point plan that is conceptually straightforward, historically grounded, and politically impossible.

The answer, based on western economic theory. There are other options. An illustrative example is that a military empire can mandate tribute paid in their currency, essentially forcing global adoption. China hasn't shown more of an inclination to economic incentive though. Tie belt-and-roads development to economic integration and RMB will be used, even if there are huge flaws as shown by the economic theory.

Muromec•8m ago
There is a curious case of Thailand that decided to go ahead with the high speed train project, but refused the funding. Knowing the mood out there a bit, it seems they know what to expect.
andrewflnr•44m ago
Maybe it's a minor point among everything else, but I don't see why it's necessary that foreign investors in particular be able to short Chinese banks. It seems like if Chinese investors were allowed to short them then you would still get price discovery and at least any politically-sensitive "profits from bank failure" would stay in the country.
logicchains•35m ago
There's no way for foreign investors to have confidence that local investors were allowed to short them, even if it was technically legal, because the government is known for applying extralegal pressure on local firms to go long.
andrewflnr•28s ago
I mean, they can just see if the prices look like the kind of thing they would want to short if they were allowed. But that really just relates to the overall political impossibility of it.
dmurray•27m ago
And while it might sound like government intervention incompatible with a market economy, short selling of banks has been prohibited in Spain, Italy and the US at various times in the last 20 years.

Only in downturns as an "emergency response", but that's when people want to short sell them and when they are most likely to be overpriced.

Computing Diffusion Geometry

https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.06006
1•aanet•1m ago•1 comments

Stone parchment or laser-written glass? Scientists find new way to preserve data

https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2026/feb/18/scientists-new-way-preserve-data-microsoft
3•billybuckwheat•1m ago•0 comments

Show HN: A public map of startups worldwide (anyone can add theirs)

https://startupsoftheworld.com
1•zacharykapank•2m ago•1 comments

Derived Unique Key per Transaction

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Derived_unique_key_per_transaction
2•wslh•2m ago•0 comments

Nature: The political effects of X's feed algorithm

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-026-10098-2
2•bhouston•3m ago•1 comments

The Accidental Discovery of the Most Valuable Shipwreck in History

https://lithub.com/the-accidental-discovery-of-the-most-valuable-shipwreck-in-history/
2•PaulHoule•3m ago•0 comments

Show HN: Growl Owl 2 RL Reasoner

https://github.com/Trivyn/growl
1•jcadam•3m ago•0 comments

Inertia is a property of things that matter

https://inertia.tools
1•xandwr•3m ago•1 comments

Show HN: Assign tasks to 7 AI agents with -mentions, autonomous mode, OpenClaw

1•bahaAbunojaim•3m ago•0 comments

Show HN: Wakapadi – Meet locals and travelers nearby and join free walking tours

https://www.wakapadi.io/
1•CodePapi_•3m ago•0 comments

LiveBench – AI Survival Game

https://hkuds.github.io/ClawWork/
1•shirian•4m ago•0 comments

Boston Cooked the Golden Goose

https://garryslist.org/posts/boston-cooked-the-golden-goose
1•andygcook•4m ago•0 comments

Show HN: OneContext, an Open-source AI identity that syncs across all your tools

https://www.onecontext.dev/
1•robinfaraj•5m ago•1 comments

Show HN: Slimg – Fast Image Optimizer CLI in Rust with Kotlin/Python Bindings

https://github.com/clroot/slimg
1•clroot•5m ago•0 comments

Disney trip turned into immigration detention

https://www.propublica.org/article/ice-dilley-maria-antonia-guerra-story
4•marysminefnuf•6m ago•0 comments

Data Is the New Gold

https://docs.eventsourcingdb.io/blog/2026/02/19/data-is-the-new-gold-heres-how-to-mine-it/
1•goloroden•7m ago•0 comments

Why Some People Thrive on Four Hours of Sleep

https://www.newyorker.com/culture/annals-of-inquiry/why-some-people-thrive-on-four-hours-of-sleep
1•mitchbob•7m ago•1 comments

Reproducible and traceable configuration for Conan C and C++ package manager

https://blog.conan.io/cpp/conan/configuration/reproducibility/lockfile/2026/02/17/Reproducible-Co...
1•ibobev•10m ago•0 comments

DNS-Persist-01: A New Model for DNS-Based Challenge Validation

https://letsencrypt.org/2026/02/18/dns-persist-01.html
2•todsacerdoti•10m ago•0 comments

We just made a $200M AI movie in just one day

https://twitter.com/thedorbrothers/status/2023460644905742577
1•carra•10m ago•0 comments

The Biophysical World Inside a Jam-Packed Cell

https://www.quantamagazine.org/the-biophysical-world-inside-a-jam-packed-cell-20260218/
1•ibobev•10m ago•0 comments

Valve Wins 'Patent Troll' Trial

https://news.bloomberglaw.com/ip-law/steam-game-developer-wins-patent-troll-trial-against-inventor
2•robhlt•11m ago•0 comments

Australia counts sheep with AI to help farmers sleep easily

https://www.ft.com/content/715fca08-b496-404a-bd6a-aa7124c4b1b8
1•mhb•11m ago•0 comments

Rumors of the death of SaaS have been greatly exaggerated

https://codemade.net/blog/death-of-saas/
1•lorisdev•12m ago•0 comments

Using AI to Estimate Software Costs

https://risogroup.co/insights/llm-etl-pricing
1•jamesriso•14m ago•0 comments

Show HN: Hardware.dog: automated schematic and PCB review

https://www.hardware.dog/
1•ariwasch•15m ago•0 comments

Show HN: XDL – A Twitter Video Downloader with No Ads

https://xdl.vercel.app/
2•jbegley•15m ago•0 comments

You Cannot Defeat Entropy with AI

https://greenbluegray.substack.com/p/you-cannot-defeat-entropy-with-ai
1•nathanfig•16m ago•0 comments

Trump will kill Netflix's bid for Warner and help Paramount win

https://washingtonmonthly.com/2026/02/17/trump-media-control-paramount-warner-merger/
3•throw0101a•16m ago•0 comments

How LLMs Express JavaScript (experiment, results inside)

https://terminalvalue.net
1•plif•17m ago•1 comments