I don't think they're going to lose the House over just one thing. The economy feels fundamentally broken in some sense that doesn't seem to show up in statistics. (Affordability plus job mobility, maybe?) Tariffs are only a part of that. But there's also the brutality and thuggishness of the ICE crackdown. There's the rule by executive order, sidelining Congress. There's the constant trampling of norms and precedent (and even the Constitution). There's the rampant egomania and attention-seeking. There's the corruption and graft. There's the rambling, disjointed speech that makes one wonder if he's all there. There's Epstein. There's the "peace president" attacking Venezuela and threatening to go to war against Iran. There's the incompetence and buffoonery of the Cabinet.

It just goes on and on and on. Cutting tariffs is not going to be anywhere near enough to save the Republicans in the midterms.

Peter Navarro is the tariff lover, probably told stories about tariff golden age of old to trump. Lutnick seems to like them as a tool to enrich himself.

The country that elected him twice is also not well.