Some interesting details to consider that I haven't seen mentioned in the usual hn discussions.
eg. Cities failing, no revenue or employees to keep electric, water, sewer, police, etc., infrastructure funded.
toomuchtodo•20m ago
The world remains awash in surplus labor (look no further than the US economy, where there is still too many workers in the prime age working cohort versus jobs to push wages up to living wages in the aggregate). Wages will eventually rise into the future as working age population cohort shrinks. Capitalism leveraged the surplus labor from the population boom, caused by women previously being less empowered to affirm reproductive choices, for immense shareholder returns over decades. This will end as populations shrink over decades as total fertility rates breach and continue past 1.0.
Surely there is enough accumulated capital to pay for the things you mention with higher wages as population pyramids shrink, no?
Broadly speaking, there is no demographic or fertility crisis; it is a socioeconomic system crisis. Could we make these systems more humane and conducive to family formation (and thereby encourage potentially higher fertility rates)? We could, but the choice is made not to, and system participants have responded rationally.
poiuyt098•44m ago
eg. Cities failing, no revenue or employees to keep electric, water, sewer, police, etc., infrastructure funded.
toomuchtodo•20m ago
Surely there is enough accumulated capital to pay for the things you mention with higher wages as population pyramids shrink, no?
Broadly speaking, there is no demographic or fertility crisis; it is a socioeconomic system crisis. Could we make these systems more humane and conducive to family formation (and thereby encourage potentially higher fertility rates)? We could, but the choice is made not to, and system participants have responded rationally.
Citations:
https://www.visualcapitalist.com/fertility-rate-of-world-pop...
https://ourworldindata.org/global-decline-fertility-rate
https://ourworldindata.org/world-population-growth-past-futu...
https://ourworldindata.org/population-simulation-tool
https://www.suerf.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/f_fa99ccdbe...
(podcast is aggressively pronatalist propaganda based on the panelists, take it how you will)