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Microsoft turns to AWS as GitHub faces AI capacity crunch

https://runtimewire.com/article/microsoft-github-aws-ai-capacity-crunch
84•ilreb•1h ago

Comments

csbrooks•1h ago
> commits were on pace to hit 14 billion in 2026, up from 1 billion in 2025

So AI means 14x the checkins? That's not 14x features completed, but still... wow.

nomel•57m ago
Seems very reasonable, from my use. I commit much more often, as checkpoints, with branch rules that prevent force pushes/deletions, so the agents can't delete anything. And, suspect MS is only counting commits, and not the eventual squashes to one commit.
larusso•17m ago
And every checking runs a whole CI run?

We had it internally with our teams that open a PR to then push like 10-20 more commits but never actually interested in the client builds etc. turned out they opened the PR as a checkmark/ way to share the current state. We set cooldowns and auto cancel for the ci. And then there is the developer who uses the CI compute to run tests instead of running them locally for various reasons. We had to remind that compute isn’t for free.

nomel•11m ago
Nope. You can configure CI to not run for every commit of every branch (seems insane to have full CI for every commit, unless you don't allow your devs to push until done with something, which also seems insane).
N_Lens•50m ago
AI has 100x'd our productive capacity such that we're moving at unforeseen speeds at digging holes and refilling them!
shimman•28m ago
This is too generous, they aren't even filling in the holes.
californical•16m ago
It’s filling in a lot of the holes, but it’s putting a very convincing paper cover over the ones it misses. So it’s very hard to find the ones it didn’t fill, better hope your most valuable customers don’t walk over the paper ones!
BobbyTables2•45m ago
Is that even a lot?

Spread over a year, roughly estimating a generous 4 kbytes of data per commit, comes out to a throughput of a little under 2 MB/s.

Of course, it isn’t spread out uniformly and there is also a lot of hashing and other things going on.

Maybe pulls and clones drive more I/O ?

3eb7988a1663•39m ago
I suspect there is a cacophony of work that happens when a commit hits the server. That request needs to get replicated, git repositories need to be repacked, pull requests need to calculate diffs, CI jobs need to execute, on and on.

That's also just assuming the good-faith usage. There are probably plenty of adversarial and poorly behaved scrapers that are putting additional load on the system.

3eb7988a1663•42m ago
I am surprised it is that low. The Bun Zig-to-Rust AI port was 6755 commits in like two weeks. If you make 10 commits per working day, that is 2500/year.

While that is (hopefully) the upper end of the distribution, several companies have loudly encouraged engineers to light tokens on fire to the AI gods, so it only takes a handful of the devout to push up the average in gas town like ventures.

Aperocky•6m ago
That commit count alone should not become any problem for infrastructure, even for Azure. They probably developed some ungodly mess with actions that did not/could not translate very well on Azure infrastructure.
ashishb•1h ago
I wonder what percentage of pull requests are cascading updates caused by dependabot and multiple code review bots reviewing those PRs.

My belief is it is likely 1% or more. And likely coming in as an avalanche.

jf•57m ago
I helped set up the first meeting between a Microsoft executive and Thomas Preston-Werner.

One of the moments that stood out to me was when Robert Youngjohns (the exec) asked Tom what it would take to have GitHub move to Azure. I was surprised that Tom had a response ready, saying that IOPS were really important and that virtual disks weren’t fast enough.

jiggawatts•23m ago
Wait, are you trying to tell me that 1/100th the speed at 50x the price isn’t a great offer for Microsoft’s customers!?

Heathen lies!

Oh, wait… we have to use it? Oh, that’s terrible…

not_kurt_godel•54m ago
Saving this for the next time someone trots out the "All cloud providers are the same" line
dr_kretyn•54m ago
If they pull out "Embrace. Extend. Extinguish." on AWS then I'm going to be impressed beyond mad.
solumunus•30m ago
How is this relevant or possible here.
Aperocky•8m ago
That only work on smaller business/organization.
citizenpaul•34m ago
My favorite part of this is that MS is just bending over to take it lest the gods scorn their "free" training data temple.
locusofself•27m ago
I have to imagine this is very temporary.
pjmlp•23m ago
So this is an Hotmail moment?
UnlockedSecrets•17m ago
Is this in reference to something that should be linked for those not alive or in the know at the time?
kqgnkqgn•10m ago
I'm not sure if it was entirely true, but there are stories that after Microsoft bought Hotmail in the mid-90's, they quickly attempted to move them from FreeBSD (?) to Windows NT. But it failed miserably, and they went back to the original stack for another ~decade.
fortran77•19m ago
Still, it’s mostly text. You’d think it wouldn’t be that much of an issue.
rickette•6m ago
Easy to criticize this, but I rather see GitHub survive than fail under its own success. So thanks for acting on this MS!

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