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OpenAI has the right strategy, but is unlucky

2•Taikhoom2010•1h ago
OpenAI is a deeply mismanaged company. Most recently, a blog post that feels like it has got to have dozens of PR violations, responding to the Apple lawsuit.

More broadly, OpenAI's main problem is that it does not have a real competitive advantage. No real models do; the real differentiation is price; they will become commodities.

So while at first it may look like OpenAI is doing too much, it is a desperate attempt to create some kind of real, defensible business, and show some proof of such before they IPO. If they do not do so, public market investors will cut their throats, and they will see a valuation drop like no other, regardless of where we are in the capital cycle. If they delay IPO plans, it will become clear they are in shambles. They are far behind in the enterprise game, which is short-term anyway. Their best bet is hardware; credit to Altman and co for realizing this, although Apple is a roadblock, which I hope, for the sake of competition, is removed.

Now Anthropic having a more coherent strategy of focusing on enterprise from the start is better; it is still not defensible. Perhaps because of the fact that the cost of paying Anthropic is far too great and outweighs any form of customer captivity. Plus, an enterprise gets maximum leverage by training a model, ideally a cheap one, on its own data so it can get insights tailored to the enterprise specifically, something Anthropic cannot deliver. Anthropic's fall will likely be in line with the broader capital cycle.

I try to articulate ideas around tech companies' business strategy and specifically capital cycles and how models are commodities here -

https://taikhooms.substack.com/

The tax strategy used by the rich to pay 0% income tax

https://www.bloomberg.com/features/2026-aqr-tax-loss-harvesting-billionaires/
1•iamacyborg•4m ago•0 comments

Show HN: View GitHub PDFs in the browser, the easy way

https://pdfgithub.com
1•bogdannbv•13m ago•0 comments

Europe Wants to Break Free from American and Chinese Technology. But How?

https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/16/world/europe/digital-autonomy-ai.html
2•jamesblonde•13m ago•0 comments

Ask HN: In post AI world, who is responsible if the code break?

2•pranshuchittora•15m ago•1 comments

Why is Anthropic's public writing style so unlike Claude's?

https://cmart.blog/claude-writing/
1•chrismartin•15m ago•0 comments

Grok.com is returning Cloudflare Error 521

1•linzhangrun•18m ago•0 comments

LinkedIn says it won't be spending big on AI hardware this year

https://www.techradar.com/pro/linkedin-says-it-wont-be-spending-big-on-ai-hardware-this-year-but-...
1•01-_-•23m ago•0 comments

Apple challenges the UK's second attempt to gain access to iCloud data

https://www.euronews.com/next/2026/08/04/apple-challenges-the-uks-second-attempt-to-gain-access-t...
2•01-_-•24m ago•0 comments

A Common Thread

https://blog.oxplot.com/a-common-thread/
2•oxplot•24m ago•0 comments

reCAPTCHA-like verification now requires you to run curl – bash

1•dudalev•24m ago•2 comments

AI Futures Model: Timelines and Takeoff

https://www.aifuturesmodel.com/
1•m-novikov•26m ago•0 comments

How to Speak to City Councils About Public Safety Technology [pdf]

https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/28531454-flockbook/
1•Cider9986•26m ago•0 comments

What nobody tells you about writing agent skills

https://twitter.com/posthog/status/2084345938089316582
1•tosh•27m ago•0 comments

Understanding Dek Bass Through the Story of Bass Boss, DJ Khobir

https://pureemag.substack.com/p/idhar-attack-understanding-dek-bass
1•gregsadetsky•29m ago•1 comments

Tell HN: If you can hear this, you are the reaistance

1•reinitctxoffset•31m ago•0 comments

What Is Open Source Developer Relations?

https://opensourceonpurpose.substack.com/p/what-is-open-source-developer-relations
1•eigenBasis•34m ago•0 comments

The AI Revolution – History Repeating Itself – On Sentience

https://www.alanbonnici.com/2026/07/the-ai-revolution-history-repeating.html
1•TTMO•34m ago•0 comments

Quack: Turn DuckDB into a client-server database

https://duckdb.org/quack/
1•janandonly•35m ago•0 comments

When Every AI Trend Becomes a New Discipline [video]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2myd3cgqe2k
1•v-mdev•37m ago•0 comments

First Draft of a Report on the EDVAC (von Neumann, 1945) [pdf]

https://web.mit.edu/sts.035/www/PDFs/edvac.pdf
1•thedreammachine•39m ago•0 comments

I wasted four months waiting for Anthropic to review my MCP

https://joshsymonds.com/blog/anthropic-hates-developers/
1•Veraticus•40m ago•0 comments

What I Want to Tell You About Orbs

https://ampcode.com/notes/what-i-want-to-tell-you-about-orbs
1•tosh•42m ago•0 comments

A Norwegian government agency made a parody of the enshittification phenomenon [video]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T4Upf_B9RLQ
5•acadapter•46m ago•0 comments

Voice notes shouldn't cross the ocean. Keep your thoughts private

https://derogab.com/2026/08/01/AI-Notes/
1•derogab•48m ago•0 comments

The frontier of GPQA-Dumb models

https://github.com/ninjahawk/bongochat
1•ninjahawk1•49m ago•1 comments

Show HN: Ragleap-RAG – RAG engine that documents what it doesn't do yet

https://github.com/antonyrag/ragleap-core
1•antonyragleap•53m ago•0 comments

Show HN: ArtDeck – An infinite canvas for collecting and studying references

https://getartdeck.com/
1•artdeck•54m ago•0 comments

He Wasn't Chasing Mountains

https://hasskhan.substack.com/p/he-wasnt-chasing-mountains
1•pradeepchhetri•54m ago•0 comments

Bloody Awful Work Creeps in When Standards Are Relaxed

https://dailysceptic.org/2026/08/02/bloody-awful-work-creeps-in-when-standards-are-relaxed/
2•Michelangelo11•56m ago•0 comments

Apple says MacBook Neo is pulling schools away from Windows and Chromebooks

https://9to5mac.com/2026/08/01/apple-says-macbook-neo-is-pulling-schools-away-from-windows-and-ch...
3•gslin•56m ago•0 comments