> Prediction markets show the chance of a Taiwan invasion in 2027 are at the low end of their range
Can anyone tell me why people quote "prediction markets" like it's a first-hand account that deserves attention? I know it's a Substack article we're talking about, but I can't imagine a more intellectually lazy corollary to illustrate a point.
bigyabai•2m ago
Can anyone tell me why people quote "prediction markets" like it's a first-hand account that deserves attention? I know it's a Substack article we're talking about, but I can't imagine a more intellectually lazy corollary to illustrate a point.