https://www.cbsnews.com/amp/news/nih-layoffs-budget-cuts-med...
https://www.science.org/content/article/nsf-director-resign-...
We’re so unbelievably fucked.
This administration has shown that it absolutely isn't incompetent. It's getting stuff done. Which means it's malice. Guaranteed. We're watching a self made disaster where few will profit, but will profit ENORMOUSLY.
With all of this coming together, we should be accelerating both public and private investment in biotechnology because we're getting closer and closer to transformative therapies. But...we're failing to rise to the occasion and meet the moment.
- CAR-T
- CRISPR
- PRIME editing
- Base editing
- Modified mRNA
- PD-1 inhibitors
- On the cusp of personalized cancer vaccines
- ADCs
- Structure correctors
- Targeted protein degraders
- siRNAs
These have all really hit their stride in the past 15 years. Guess where all of them initially came from? Random ass government-funded academic research. Sure, you can split hairs with me on the 15 years and NIH/NSF etc funding, but it’s basically true. We are killing the golden goose…
Huge debt overhang, much of it “hidden” that is dragging down growth
The real estate problem still isn’t solved and a big reset of prices is going to have a big impact on the economy
China placed a big bet on “key industries” under the theory “supply first then we find demand” which isn’t panning out well with tariffs
This is showing up in the stock market which rent saw a 50% decrease
And economic growth has been a weak 5% when they need 9-11% if they hope to avoid the middle income trap
All while the population is rapidly aging and shrinking at the same time
Conservativism preserves currently widely accepted structures, including ideas, by ridiculing and excluding new ones; social structures, by outlawing / persecuting / demonizing new ones as a threat to 'our traditions' and 'way of life'; businesses, through tariffs and other anti-competitive measures - the House GOP is considering a bill that reduces antitrust powers, for example; existing economic sectors, by government picking winners and funding them, limiting the economy to what is popular and that the government already understands, such as manufacturing; etc.
Remember the land of the individual, of personal freedom, of opportunity, that by its culture generated invention and innovation that other places, without that culture, couldn't match. What China, which is limited by central control, is doing is copying well-established innovations - a biotech industry that relies on clinical trials. Cutting edge stuff - decades ago.
What has made the US successful is creating, innovating, and moving on to the next thing - things the government and most of the public are far behind on. Look at the boom in the IT industry over the last several decades (also no longer cutting edge except in limited ways).
How can that happen now? The US has currently embraced relatively extreme conservatism. People are afraid to offer challenging ideas, and make their money from rent and from squeezing revenue from old ideas (the stereotypical private equity model). They can't go anywhere except by pleasing the oligarchy, now including the government.
In the end, alternation of rulers is probably on average healthier than having the same guys over and over, but it is no guarantee of success.
I think Trump's real powerbase is a wealthy elite, including those who have great influence over the business world and, most critically, over the flow of information, including on Facebook, Instagram, and X.
They don’t seem to be limited by it at all and in many areas of high tech innovation they are years ahead.
It’s very hard to argue that their EV market, for instance, is not an example of competitiveness driving innovation, which is supposedly the hallmark of the free market.
Not only that, but we're also a lot more obsessed with patient privacy. If somebody dies of cancer, there's no headline news about them dying of a cancelled trial, even if that's actually what happened. If patient data leaks, there's both a PR nightmare and legal consequences for the institution. That drives priorities.
I wouldn't be surprised if (some) Chinese researches are allowed to SELECT * from citizens where disease = 'bone_cancer', whereas researchers in the US have to send people to waiting rooms in hopes of catching an eligible patient[1]. Unless this gets changed, things won't get better.
We really need to start optimizing for min(deaths) instead of min(bad_pr) or min(outrage). That's a genuinely hard problem in a democratic society that respects the right to free speech (which, to be clear, is a very good society to live in IMO). In a way, it's a good problem to have.
[1] is a really good and accessible overview of why drug trials are so hard and what could be done to make them easier, it's worth checking out for anybody who wants to dive deeper into the subject.
[1] https://www.complexsystemspodcast.com/episodes/drug-developm...
1) Author cites that China introduced priority review mechanisms, conditional approvals, and accelerated timelines to streamline approval pathways. They fail to mention that the US helped pioneer these same mechanisms and that they are currently, actively, in use. We DO have priority review vouchers to incentivize investment in orphan disease, conditional approval pathways, and breakthrough designations for drugs addressing unmet needs to name a few. The US has been, and continues to be an innovator on these topics and credit should be given here - this stuff isn't new to us and there is a rich history of attempts to incentivize innovation ranging from offering prizes for cures to disease, to purchasing experimental therapeutics in advance of approval to ensure sponsors have the cashflow to continue development.
2) Regarding acceptance of foreign data, whose data do you think the rest of the world wants to use by designing their policies the way they have? Many countries are willing to accept foreign data because that includes data generated in the US, where historically and presently, standards are very high and the research infrastructure is well-supported (recent events notwithstanding). One need only look at the story of Dr. Frances Kelsey and thalidomide to understand why the US has gone to great lengths to ensure a high bar that is carefully maintained by its own FDA's standards. This is NOT to say great data isn't generated elsewhere and there are examples where ex-US data has been used to support US approval of promising drugs (particularly in areas of significant unmet need, for example, neurodegenerative disease), but there is rhyme to the reason that goes beyond the argument that the US is antiquated in its approach. That said, one can acknowledge there is a geopolitical component that may wax and wane in relative importance depending on the current political climate.
3) Citing the Lunar trial actually highlights the robustness of the US biomedical enterprise rather than detracts from it - that trial was conducted in patients with stage IV NSCLC after they progressed on platinum therapy. In the US during the enrollment period, ICIs like pembro were being approved as first-line monotherapy displacing platinum-based therapies. So the problem there is when practice changes, you're going to 1) have a harder time finding patients that are progressing on the thing that is no longer first line and 2) remember the intervention arm was ICI + TTF...so you can't intervene when people have already received the drug class that is part of your intervention. Saying they couldn't enroll because of bad infrastructure is like saying the apple store is bad at enrolling customers with dead Iphone 10s to trial your combo therapy when most of the people they see have Iphone 15s. You need to enroll then where most people coming through have iphone 10s and this is precisely why they enrolled a significant proportion of patients ex-US because the standard of care elsewhere had not yet changed.
Props to the author for bringing up the important question of US competitiveness in drug development. But let us not forget that we have an enviable biomedical apparatus for a reason - the US has a strong track record of high standards and innovation because we have a good many rigorous, scientifically-minded folks who work on improving it all the time. It's not perfect, but if we don't call out the good, pioneering work that has been done here, then people may feel justified in questioning if anything has been done at all. One should not get the impression we're just waiting around to get hyperdunked or just lucked into the good things we do have.
Veedrac•1d ago
The best news here is that we might finally have a prosaic means to escape our modern-era applied biotech stagnation, the same way solar has appeared as a means to kick the feet out of traditional energy sources. China is pretty new to being an R&D powerhouse, but there are few more worthy causes.
narrator•7h ago
kccqzy•7h ago
boplicity•3h ago
henry2023•5h ago
tway223•4h ago
tehjoker•3h ago
tway223•3h ago
tehjoker•3h ago
The western capitalists are now pissed that china didn't "liberalize" and let them take control of the country and are attempting to retaliate. This is why you have imbibed this propaganda that they created.