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OpenCiv3: Open-source, cross-platform reimagining of Civilization III

https://openciv3.org/
503•klaussilveira•8h ago•139 comments

The Waymo World Model

https://waymo.com/blog/2026/02/the-waymo-world-model-a-new-frontier-for-autonomous-driving-simula...
843•xnx•14h ago•506 comments

How we made geo joins 400× faster with H3 indexes

https://floedb.ai/blog/how-we-made-geo-joins-400-faster-with-h3-indexes
57•matheusalmeida•1d ago•12 comments

Monty: A minimal, secure Python interpreter written in Rust for use by AI

https://github.com/pydantic/monty
166•dmpetrov•9h ago•76 comments

Show HN: Look Ma, No Linux: Shell, App Installer, Vi, Cc on ESP32-S3 / BreezyBox

https://github.com/valdanylchuk/breezydemo
166•isitcontent•8h ago•18 comments

Show HN: I spent 4 years building a UI design tool with only the features I use

https://vecti.com
281•vecti•11h ago•127 comments

Dark Alley Mathematics

https://blog.szczepan.org/blog/three-points/
60•quibono•4d ago•10 comments

Microsoft open-sources LiteBox, a security-focused library OS

https://github.com/microsoft/litebox
340•aktau•15h ago•164 comments

Show HN: If you lose your memory, how to regain access to your computer?

https://eljojo.github.io/rememory/
226•eljojo•11h ago•141 comments

Sheldon Brown's Bicycle Technical Info

https://www.sheldonbrown.com/
332•ostacke•14h ago•89 comments

Hackers (1995) Animated Experience

https://hackers-1995.vercel.app/
422•todsacerdoti•16h ago•221 comments

PC Floppy Copy Protection: Vault Prolok

https://martypc.blogspot.com/2024/09/pc-floppy-copy-protection-vault-prolok.html
34•kmm•4d ago•2 comments

An Update on Heroku

https://www.heroku.com/blog/an-update-on-heroku/
364•lstoll•15h ago•252 comments

Show HN: ARM64 Android Dev Kit

https://github.com/denuoweb/ARM64-ADK
12•denuoweb•1d ago•0 comments

Why I Joined OpenAI

https://www.brendangregg.com/blog/2026-02-07/why-i-joined-openai.html
79•SerCe•4h ago•60 comments

Show HN: R3forth, a ColorForth-inspired language with a tiny VM

https://github.com/phreda4/r3
59•phreda4•8h ago•9 comments

Female Asian Elephant Calf Born at the Smithsonian National Zoo

https://www.si.edu/newsdesk/releases/female-asian-elephant-calf-born-smithsonians-national-zoo-an...
16•gmays•3h ago•2 comments

How to effectively write quality code with AI

https://heidenstedt.org/posts/2026/how-to-effectively-write-quality-code-with-ai/
211•i5heu•11h ago•158 comments

Delimited Continuations vs. Lwt for Threads

https://mirageos.org/blog/delimcc-vs-lwt
9•romes•4d ago•1 comments

I spent 5 years in DevOps – Solutions engineering gave me what I was missing

https://infisical.com/blog/devops-to-solutions-engineering
123•vmatsiiako•13h ago•51 comments

Introducing the Developer Knowledge API and MCP Server

https://developers.googleblog.com/introducing-the-developer-knowledge-api-and-mcp-server/
33•gfortaine•6h ago•9 comments

Learning from context is harder than we thought

https://hy.tencent.com/research/100025?langVersion=en
160•limoce•3d ago•80 comments

Understanding Neural Network, Visually

https://visualrambling.space/neural-network/
258•surprisetalk•3d ago•34 comments

I now assume that all ads on Apple news are scams

https://kirkville.com/i-now-assume-that-all-ads-on-apple-news-are-scams/
1020•cdrnsf•18h ago•425 comments

FORTH? Really!?

https://rescrv.net/w/2026/02/06/associative
52•rescrv•16h ago•17 comments

Evaluating and mitigating the growing risk of LLM-discovered 0-days

https://red.anthropic.com/2026/zero-days/
44•lebovic•1d ago•13 comments

I'm going to cure my girlfriend's brain tumor

https://andrewjrod.substack.com/p/im-going-to-cure-my-girlfriends-brain
96•ray__•5h ago•46 comments

Show HN: Smooth CLI – Token-efficient browser for AI agents

https://docs.smooth.sh/cli/overview
81•antves•1d ago•59 comments

How virtual textures work

https://www.shlom.dev/articles/how-virtual-textures-really-work/
36•betamark•15h ago•29 comments

WebView performance significantly slower than PWA

https://issues.chromium.org/issues/40817676
10•denysonique•5h ago•1 comments
Open in hackernews

The United States has lower life expectancy than most similarly wealthy nations

https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-025-01969-1
90•rntn•7mo ago

Comments

msarrel•7mo ago
That's only if you include the entire population.
standeven•7mo ago
Is there any reason you shouldn’t include the entire population?
bobxmax•7mo ago
I assume he's being tongue-in-cheek
ranprieur•7mo ago
Because the medical system doesn't.
otikik•7mo ago
I believe the implicit assertion there is "if they are poor, they don't matter".
pieds•7mo ago
> Comparison data also showed that at every wealth level in the U.S., mortality rates were higher than those in the parts of Europe the researchers studied. The nation’s wealthiest Americans have shorter lifespans on average than the wealthiest Europeans; in some cases, the wealthiest Americans have survival rates on par with the poorest Europeans in western parts of Europe such as Germany, France and the Netherlands.

https://www.brown.edu/news/2025-04-02/wealth-mortality-gap

The US also have less healthy years.

> Just as in other countries, chronic conditions like heart disease are major factors in how many years Americans remain alive but in poor health. But, the authors add, a high burden of mental health and behavioral conditions — which the WHO groups together, and include depression, anxiety and addictions to alcohol and drugs — are also weighing heavily on our health span, as well as curtailing life expectancy in the U.S.

> Underpinning both chronic diseases and what are sometimes called deaths or diseases of “despair,” such as addiction, is the prevalence of loneliness, stress and inequality in the U.S., Gurven says. “It’s hard to avoid that living in a highly unequal society is stressful and that takes a toll on our health in so many ways,” he says. That inequality affects not only access to health care, but can also be seen in how little opportunity there is for Americans in many parts of the country to get physical activity or healthy meals in their busy days, helping to fuel the obesity epidemic, which, in turn, curtails health span.

https://www.yahoo.com/lifestyle/the-us-has-the-biggest-lifes...

knowitnone•7mo ago
US culture actively promotes alcohol use. Go to a college party and all their games revolve around drinking
nicoburns•7mo ago
Probably less so than in most European countries. I'd suggest that more likely causes for this are:

- Poor diet

- Low levels of exercise due to car dependence

- Difficulty accessing healthcare

- General lack of safety net for the poor

BadCookie•7mo ago
I’m not sure if “difficulty accessing healthcare” captures the whole problem. Even if you live next door to a hospital, you still don’t know how much it will cost you if you check yourself in. Sure, there is some theoretical maximum out of pocket, but are you certain that the hospital is in network with your insurance? Are you sure that every provider you will see and every test or scan you have done will be treated as in network?

I once had a doctor order a test at a hospital that he assured me was in network. The hospital got pre-authorization from my insurance company for me to have the test done. I had the test done. My insurance company then denied me any benefit because they said afterward that I went out of network … and there are millions of stories like mine.

Not to mention that even if you manage to stay in network, lots of people cannot afford even the max out of pocket that creeps up faster than inflation every year.

I have had some family members decide that they will just accept that they are going to die in an emergency situation because “if it’s my time, it’s my time” and they don’t want their life savings to get vacuumed up by some hospital administrators. This is not merely theoretical… one person in my life is dead now who probably would have lived if he had felt comfortable seeking medical care.

soperj•7mo ago
You're saying the same thing.
BadCookie•7mo ago
“Difficulty accessing healthcare” brings to mind doctors and hospitals being too far away—a real concern for lots of rural Americans, especially the ones who cannot drive. Or perhaps doctors are nearby, but wait times are too long. This is also a real issue. I have seen wait times for primary care doctors creep up to 4+ months in my area.

So I just wanted to highlight that even if those problems don’t exist, you still have the scary unknown cost question that might be the largest impediment of all.

nicoburns•7mo ago
The thing I find most scary about the American health care system is people not going to the doctor (/hospital) (/calling an ambulance) because they're concerned about the cost. Often even if they have insurance. And I definitely think if you can't afford something then that counts as having difficulty accessing it.
cookiengineer•7mo ago
But it's got electrolytes!
jimt1234•7mo ago
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kAqIJZeeXEc
thejazzman•7mo ago
Or high school..
mandevil•7mo ago
In 2019 per-capita alcohol consumption, the US came in 35th, behind most countries in Europe (1). Latvia, Czechia, Lithuania and Austria all consumed about 25% more pure alcohol per capita than the US did, by this measure. Latvia and Lithuania, in common with most fUSSR countries, have a lower life expectancy than the US, but Czechia and Austria both have higher life expectancy than the US, despite that notably higher per-capita consumption of pure alcohol. So I don't think that has much to do with it.

1: https://www.cia.gov/the-world-factbook/field/alcohol-consump...

tacticalturtle•7mo ago
We’re waaay down the list of per capita consumption, especially compared to Europe.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_alcohol...

And anecdotally, any corporate event I’ve attended in the US is dry or 1 drink. Which is a pretty stark difference from when I’ve visited European colleagues.

mandevil•7mo ago
I recall reading that Gordon Ramsay's first NYC restaurant (Gordon Ramsay at The London) didn't meet its financial projections because, used to London social mores, he expected far more alcohol consumption at lunch and dinner (but especially lunch) than actually happened, and without the huge mark-ups from alcohol the food couldn't pay for itself.
fortran77•7mo ago
Have you ever been to France, Germany, Greece, Sweden, Italy?
snovymgodym•7mo ago
The social drinking and binge drinking culture of most European countries make the USA look like Saudi Arabia.
scottLobster•7mo ago
The "Regional Differences" section is behind a paywall, but for an overview, here's a map of all-cause mortality in the US by county:

https://hdpulse.nimhd.nih.gov/data-portal/mortality/map?cod=...

Arubis•7mo ago
Not to worry, we'll fix this on our end by ensuring that we no longer keep accurate track of anything science or health-adjacent. A few years out comparisons like this will be impossible and meaningless.
jimt1234•7mo ago
Except for autism. ... Don't they wanna start tracking all autism treatments in the US for [reasons]? ¯\\_(ツ)_/¯
Arubis•7mo ago
I don't think the powers that be care if those numbers are accurate, so long as they can use them for control and intimidation.
amelius•7mo ago
> To gauge US health, life expectancy — the average number of years a person is expected to live — is a good place to start.

Ok, but it is a lagging indicator. Hopefully there are faster ways to measure it.

invalidOrTaken•7mo ago
The U.S. is a multicultural society. Aggregate measures don't tell much.
lordgroff•7mo ago
So is Canada -- more so in fact -- and yet...
invalidOrTaken•7mo ago
That's my point though: and yet what?
lordgroff•7mo ago
It seemed to me that you were attributing the lower life expectancy due to US' diversity compared to many wealthy nations. My point was: Canada is similarly diverse and yet its life expectancy is higher.
invalidOrTaken•7mo ago
No, I was saying the diversity of American society means that aggregate measures won't tell us much. If Canada is similarly diverse (that seems contested, but accepting it for argument's sake) then aggregate measures there also won't tell us much.
lapcat•7mo ago
> So is Canada -- more so in fact

No, that's not a fact.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_the_United_Sta...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_Canada?#Visibl...

jimt1234•7mo ago
I'm really not sure what this means. Yeah, the U.S. is a multicultural society, but so what? Are we supposed to focus only on the certain cultures and ignore others when we talk about health and life expectancy?

I think I've heard this argument before in the context of gun violence in the US - as in, the US wouldn't have a gun violence problem if we excluded cities like Chicago and Baltimore from gun violence research. Is this the same basic argument?

msgodel•7mo ago
It makes a lot of sense actually, a lot of this stuff comes down to what the smaller groups are doing. It's for the same reason no one cares about global gun violence statistics.

Talking about behavior patterns of US people like they're all part of a single nation stopped making sense long ago if it ever did.

nonameiguess•7mo ago
It matters in discussion forums like this involving ordinary people. There are two reasons we might care about statistics and trends like this.

One, you're a public health official or maybe even just a voter trying to weigh various policy options or assess the success of what has already been done. In this case, sure, you have to care about national averages and other measures of central tendency and ways to characterize distributions.

Two, you're an individual American trying to figure out how much you should worry about an early death. In this case, national averages or even per-culture averages seemingly mean next to nothing for you. I can't speak for all Americans, but I expect to outlive the average by quite a bit.

For gun violence, it's often travelers and visitors worried they're going to get shot if they come to the US, and we're trying to tell them that whether they really need to worry heavily depends on where they're visiting. Even if they're actually visiting Chicago or Baltimore, gunshot deaths in tourist districts are damn near unheard of, and besides which, the vast majority of people ever killed by guns at all are either killed by themselves or someone who knows them. There aren't a whole lot of random stranger attacks happening anywhere.

Muromec•7mo ago
It"s a racist dog whistle, not an actual argument
shadowtree•7mo ago
Per Google: "In the United States, life expectancy varies significantly by race and ethnicity, with Asian Americans generally having the highest life expectancy and American Indian/Alaska Natives (AIAN) the lowest. In 2021, life expectancy was 83.5 years for Asian Americans, 77.7 years for Hispanics, 76.4 years for Whites, and 70.8 years for Black Americans, according to KFF. AIAN populations experienced the lowest life expectancy at 65.2 years. These disparities are largely attributed to factors like socioeconomic status, access to healthcare, and the disproportionate impact of certain diseases like COVID-19 on specific racial groups. "

Facts have a clear racist bias.

marcusverus•7mo ago
Say Canadian Whites and American Whites both have mean lifespan of 81, and Canadian Blacks and American Blacks both have a mean lifespan of 71. Using that data and the fact that the US has 3X the proportion of blacks, you could calculate how much of Canada's higher life expectancy is due to demographics. It could explain the entire difference!

Alternatively, if Canadian Whites and Blacks live proportionally longer than American Whites and Blacks respectively, you would know that demographics could not explain the difference.

Hence the need for the disaggregated data.

mrguyorama•7mo ago
I mean, okay, but what if black people live 10 years less than white people in such statistics?

That's still an abysmal thing, as the US would have something like 30% of their population getting clearly worse health and not caring or doing anything about it?

If the difference is down to demographics, surely that's really bad?

invalidOrTaken•7mo ago
Maybe so, but touting Canada's "superiority" over the U.S. would lead to the "obvious solution" of getting rid of black people. If the difference is down to demographics, you want to know that, rather than look at people in country-sized blocs.
invalidOrTaken•7mo ago
>Are we supposed to focus only on the certain cultures and ignore others when we talk about health and life expectancy?

If you want to get anything done, then hell yes! If life expectancy is low in Concord because of too many Doritos, but it's low in Phoenix because of a bad medical system, and it's mysteriously high in Fresno, you very much want to disaggregate. And you definitely don't want to ask "What is going so well in 'the U.S.'(Fresno)?" and then look at Concord.

bobxmax•7mo ago
Gun violence is responsible for nearly 2% of annual deaths in the US, I imagine that might skew the statistics slightly.

But yes, US poverty is much worse than poverty in other countries. But the flip side is also true - it's generally better being rich in America than in Canada, for example.

bestouff•7mo ago
Not even that, even rich people have better life expectancy elsewhere.
rwyinuse•7mo ago
I would bet that unhealthy eating habits and car-centric city design affect rich people as well. Use of sugar and fatty processed foods appears to be out of control in America compared to your average EU country.
JPLeRouzic•7mo ago
> "US poverty is much worse than poverty in other countries"

You must be restricting your thinking to other Western countries, because there are a lot of areas on Earth that look like hell. At least no part of the US is in a constant state of war.

bobxmax•7mo ago
The post you're commenting on is comparing the US to other developed countries.
JPLeRouzic•7mo ago
Please, show me where it compares the US to other --developed-- countries.
bobxmax•7mo ago
The title: "The United States has lower life expectancy than most similarly wealthy nations"
marcusverus•7mo ago
US poverty is vastly overstated. The most common measures of poverty are based on census data, but the census excludes the vast majority of redistributions from its calculation of income. It even excludes cash programs like "refundable tax credits".

We spend $1.3 trillion dollars per year on medicaid, HUD, Food Stamps, and refundable "tax credits" like the earned income credit and child tax credit. That's $32,500 of spending for each of the 40 million Americans who live "in poverty" (before including state-run programs and private charities like churches and food banks), meaning our welfare spending per "poor indvidual is higher than the median income for an EU household.

America's poor are doing just fine.

bobxmax•7mo ago
Comparing spend is an odd way to look at poverty - why wouldn't you look at outcomes?

I'm not sure how many pockets of, say, the Netherlands, look like Gary, Indiana.

nicoburns•7mo ago
> That's $32,500 of spending for each of the 40 million Americans who live "in poverty"

My understanding is that the amount of money spent on people in poverty isn't the problem. The problem is that it's spent so inefficiently due to an insistence from certain parts of the electorate on not making things "too easy" for such people. It would probably actually be cheaper to have european-style welfare state, provide housing for the homeless, etc.

See also: the US spending many times what other countries spend on healthcare without actually getting better care.

tptacek•7mo ago
The important bit of this article is the graph labeled "Varied Causes". Factor COVID-19 out, and everything but social causes (overdoses, traffic fatalities, homicide) is practically a rounding error. The one significant distinctive contributor is CVD, and CVD is extremely unevenly distributed in the United States; the northern states have CVD death rates akin to those of Europe, the southern states less so.
jandrewrogers•7mo ago
We probably shouldn't be including COVID at all in 2025 since it isn't relevant. That is like using all cause mortality models from 1944.
throw0101c•7mo ago
Pre-vaccines, COVID death rates were roughtly the same for Democrats and Republicans. Post-vaccine, Republican rates were higher than Ds:

* https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamainternalmedicine/fullar...

* https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S259022962...

nostrademons•7mo ago
It's quite an achievement of modern medicine that the vast majority of early deaths in the U.S. now amount to various forms of "killing oneself", or occasionally "killing other people near you". Accidental, unpreventable acts of nature (or God, depending on your persuasion) have basically dropped out of the statistics.

I wonder how much of this is because of America's embrace of liberty. If you give people choices, some of them will inevitably make stupid choices.

tptacek•7mo ago
In particular, this points away from our health care system as a significant life expectancy causal factor. The biggest health-related contributor to life expectancy, by a long ways --- really, the only "big" one --- is CVD. But CVD deaths in Mississippi look nothing like CVD deaths in Connecticut, despite the same health care structure in both locales; Connecticut's CVD deaths look like Europe's, despite drastically different systems.
notjoemama•7mo ago
Why?

> The biggest difference in death rates has been in people aged 15–49 (see ‘Early deaths’). Among these younger people, the death rate has been falling much more slowly in the United States than in peer countries — and it spiked drastically owing to COVID-19. “More people die younger,” says Lynne Cotter, a senior health-policy researcher at KFF. And because young deaths erase more years of life than do older ones, they drag down overall life expectancy.

> Overall, chronic conditions — heart disease, cancer, stroke and respiratory disease — take up four out of five spots on the country’s list of biggest killers.

> As of 2022, about 42% of adults were considered obese in the United States, compared with 27% in the United Kingdom and 5.5% in Japan. Obesity increases the risks of developing diabetes, heart disease, cancer and many other conditions.

> Research supports Kennedy’s argument that ultra-processed foods might be partly to blame for poor health. Their consumption has been linked to increased risks of obesity and some other chronic diseases, and is relatively high in the United States. Such foods comprise an estimated 58% of US daily energy intake — similar to that in the United Kingdom, but greater than the 48% in Canada and 31% in France3.

> Deaths from substance misuse are explained mainly by overdoses of synthetic opioids such as fentanyl — part of the US opioid crisis. Many Americans are killed in traffic accidents, partly because they tend to spend proportionately more time driving, and in bigger cars, than people in many other nations.

It looks like obesity promotes chronic disease and the younger demographic is dragging the life expectancy down.

Where?

https://hdpulse.nimhd.nih.gov/data-portal/mortality/map?cod=...

A higher concentration occurs in the south eastern quadrant of the US. This as I recall coincides with obesity rates.

What can I do personally? I guess eat less processed food, cook more at home, walk more, or engage in fun phisically active time. Even cleaning the house, yard care, home gardening, simple hikes, or walking while shopping can help. Chosing stairs over elevators, that kind of thing.

What can the government do to help? Maybe regulating sugar additives and plastic use in food containers? Limiting the use of seed oils in convenience foods, in favor of healthier options? Build back a strong middle class would go a long way towards preventing the other causes too. Drugs and gun deaths are linked to poverty. The closer the middle class is pushed to the poverty line the more those things increase. I suppose there's some merit to preventing the illegal import (smuggling?) of drugs like fentanyl, which in that case requires a harder stance on import from China. I dunno guys. I'm throwing darts at a wall here...

Muromec•7mo ago
Those causes are all doctrine- motivated. Too much cars and not enoygh socialism is the thing kills you and doesnt kill Europeans that much.
AstroBen•7mo ago
What can the government do? Some more ideas: I don't agree with regulating it but taxing sugar, heavy sweeteners, and fast food and invest it into a universal healthcare system. Invest in improving walk-ability and bike-ability in cities and stop subsidizing the meat and dairy industries

If you want to eat junk then fine but there's something going wrong if it's the cheapest, most convenient option available

jandrewrogers•7mo ago
In the case of the US it is somewhat unhelpful to look at the "United States" as a unit of measurement. There is ~10 year life expectancy difference between individual States and most of the risk factors mentioned are a function of State policy, not Federal. It also maps to large differences in population genetics across regions e.g. the famous observation that "the only person that lives longer than a Japanese woman is a Japanese woman in America" is doing a lot of work in Hawaii. There is a well-known inverse correlation between obesity and elevation which is doing work in the Mountain West.

While the lifestyle of many Americans leaves a lot to be desired, I do recognize that many parts of the US have weather/climate that is prohibitive for outdoor activity much of the year and these places tend to be fat. If you look at the life expectancies in parts of the US that are known for having human friendly weather and outdoor activity, they tend to be among the highest in the country with low obesity rates to match, but this is confounded by geography and genetics.

It is complicated. The causes are sufficiently diverse and regional that the solutions need to be local.

cherryteastain•7mo ago
If we're cherrypicking like that I'm sure you can find some Japanese prefecture or Swiss canton that has 10 years+ higher life expectancy than Hawaii's 79.9 years, the US state with the longest life expectancy.
alephnerd•7mo ago
You absolutely should do the same spatial inequality analysis in Japan and Italy as well (in fact, this is the norm in Italy's policymaking space due to the documented north-south divide). Heck, this is called out in the Nature article as well if you read TFA.

The US (330m), Japan (120m), and Italy (60m) are all large countries, and in the US and Italy's case, extremely federalized with social service delivery responsibilities falling onto subnational governments.

And for large developed countries like the US, UK, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, etc their developmental indicators have largely converged at a macro-level (the difference in living standards between countries with a national HDI of 0.900, 0.920, and 0.940 are marginal), but spatial inequality continues to act as a persistent laggard.

Outliers matter. This is like statistics/EDA 101.

P.S. If you do EDA on Japan versus US from an HDI perspective, you find that the Southern Kanto region (ie. Greater Tokyo) tends to skew Japanese statistics - with a subnational HDI comparable to MA - but the rest of the subnational regions of Japan have HDIs comparable to Tennessee (0.890-0.900) or Florida (0.920-0.930).

What this highlights is that public service delivery is stronger in the Greater Tokyo region than the rest of Japan.

And this is unsurprisingly a major topic of discussion in Japanese policymaking as well, as the poorer regions have seen a massive youth flight to Tokyo.

Same with the less developed regions of the US as well.

When you do a similar spatial analysis of the US, you find the Deep South (MS, AL, AR, LA), Appalachia (WV, TN, KY), and MO continuing to lag. You also end up identifying rust belt states like MI and OH starting to lag.

The interest thing is, the Deep South and Appalachia didn't seem to lag in the early 1990s compared to the rest of the states, but remained stuck at 1990s levels while other states improved significantly in the 2000s and 2010s, and it was these states that regressed the most in the COVID years (2020-2022) [0]. My running theory is that these states were the kinds of states where low value single factory/industry towns (eg. Textiles) were most prominent, and were the worst hit by a mixture of NAFTA, China Shock, and the Great Recession.

This would also explain why GA, NC, and SC didn't see the same laggardness despite being comparable with the rest of the south in the 1990s - Atlanta, Charlotte, RTP, Greenville, and Columbia were industrialized enough in high value industries like automotive and power systems and had significant additional industries like Finance and Tech that allowed them to upskill and diversify.

[0] - https://globaldatalab.org/shdi/table/healthindex/USA/?levels...

jandrewrogers•7mo ago
Almost every US State is larger than Switzerland -- the entire country -- never mind a single canton. If you want to get that granular some State counties have life expectancies in the mid-90s.
alephnerd•7mo ago
I think a subnational analysis of Switzerland is a good metric for analyzing subnational development in similarly sized states like MA, Kansas, Minnesota, and Mississippi.

At a macro-level or even for larger states of the US like California or Texas, not really.

netsharc•7mo ago
My reply is beside the point, but here's the life expectancy per canton of Switzerland: https://ind.obsan.admin.ch/indicator/obsan/lebenserwartung
m463•7mo ago
I think of the okinawa centenarian study...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Okinawa_Centenarian_Study

zeristor•7mo ago
I thought that had been discounted, as with many of the Blue Zone studies.

Due to birth records being lost in war time bombing, I just need to find a citation to support this beyond that of a few podcasts.

Værsgo:

https://www.ucl.ac.uk/ioe/news/2024/sep/ucl-demographers-wor...

https://theconversation.com/the-data-on-extreme-human-ageing...

Discussed here 9 months ago:

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=41597415

Reddit discussion seems to tackle this research more critically:

https://old.reddit.com/r/longevity/comments/1fhcfvu/the_data...

UncleMeat•7mo ago
The blue zone debunking was done by somebody outside of this field of study. The actual researchers who did the on the ground work to verify ages aren't so foolish as to just blanket ignore this sort of thing. Verification is more complex than "ask Bob how old he is and write it down."

"Blue zones as health miracle" is overstated. "Blue zones as simple fraud" is overstated.

tim333•7mo ago
>Okinawa in Japan is one of these zones. There was a Japanese government review in 2010, which found that 82% of the people aged over 100 in Japan turned out to be dead. The secret to living to 110 was, don’t register your death. (conversation article)

sounds fairly fraudy.

UncleMeat•7mo ago
None of the blue zones from the actual research are cities this large. And the researchers that identified the blue zones did not get their data from government census information.
lapcat•7mo ago
> I do recognize that many parts of the US have weather/climate that is prohibitive for outdoor activity much of the year and these places tend to be fat.

This is completely untrue. In fact, most of the fattest states are in the south. A number of the fittest states are in the north, including Alaska, as well as Minnesota. https://www.forbes.com/sites/garystoller/2019/11/12/9-states...

jandrewrogers•7mo ago
Your comment doesn't make any sense. The South has terrible climate, suffocating heat and humidity much of the year. It is at the same latitude as North Africa. Why would anyone expect people to be outdoors in this environment? There is a reason they rely on air conditioning.

The populated parts of Alaska have mild climates similar to the Pacific Northwest, certainly more pleasant than the Midwest and not nearly as cold in winter. The high desert (e.g. Utah, Colorado) similarly has a pleasant low-humidity climate most of the year that is conducive to outdoor activity.

lapcat•7mo ago
> The South has terrible climate, suffocating heat and humidity much of the year.

I just have to laugh at this. Have you lived in the Midwest? We have suffocating heat and humidity too, in fact the past several days. In the winter, we have biting cold windchills. And guess what, we also rely on air conditioning!

Two other factors worth noting: exercise does not depend on the outdoors. There are gyms, etc. Moreover, obesity does not depend entirely on lack of exercise; diet is a major factor too. Indeed, many would argue that diet is the more important factor.

nostrademons•7mo ago
I'd interpreted GP's comment "parts of the US have weather/climate that is prohibitive for outdoor activity" as specifically referring to the South, much of which is extremely unpleasant and borderline uninhabitable without air conditioning.

I don't know much about the Midwest but I grew up in Massachusetts (one of those northern states with good health & life expectancy but a reputation for bad weather) and my sister lived in Houston for a decade (which has mediocre life expectancy and bad weather). In Massachusetts, the winters were cold and snowy, the summers are hot and humid, and you had about 3 weeks of good weather in the spring and 2 weeks in the fall, but you sucked it up and went outside anyway. The snow wasn't going to shovel itself. In Texas, you stay inside in your nice air conditioned home all the time, unless you're getting into your nice air conditioned car to drive to a nice air conditioned indoor place. Nobody goes outside.

I'm in California now, in a town that is both hilly and walkable, and a lot of the residents here live to 95. When you're climbing the equivalent of 200 stairs each time you drop your kid off at school, you get a lot of background exercise without really trying.

I'm fairly convinced that exercise or the lack thereof and relatedly the rate at which people go outside is a major predictor of health outcomes.

lapcat•7mo ago
> I'd interpreted GP's comment "parts of the US have weather/climate that is prohibitive for outdoor activity" as specifically referring to the South

To each their own, I guess, but I immediately thought of Midwest winters.

> borderline uninhabitable without air conditioning

The south was inhabited long before air conditioning was invented.

> In Massachusetts, the winters were cold and snowy, the summers are hot and humid, and you had about 3 weeks of good weather in the spring and 2 weeks in the fall

Minnesota is like that too, except the winters are colder and the summers hotter.

> you sucked it up and went outside anyway

Indeed, it's a choice. People exercise in all types of weather, hot and humid or cold and bitter.

> unless you're getting into your nice air conditioned car to drive to a nice air conditioned indoor place

Like the gym, for example?

> Nobody goes outside.

That's false, but in any case it's a choice.

> I'm fairly convinced that exercise or the lack thereof... is a major predictor of health outcomes.

Of course it is. But you completely ignored my statements about diet.

> and relatedly the rate at which people go outside

This is a different matter. Speaking personally, I almost always exercise indoors nowadays.

DangitBobby•7mo ago
Your AC argument is weak. The south was quite miserable before AC. And we don't know anything about relative obesity back in the day between the South now, AFAIK. You can argue that not exercising is a choice, but either they consistently make that choice because are inherently lazy compared to others (dubious), it's all down to diet (possible) or because there actually is something different about physical activity in the South. I think extreme temps negatively impacting desire to exercise is an interesting theory. I know it's trivial to dress well for outdoor activities down to 40 degrees and quite manageable down to 30. 90+ on the other hand is not manageable, even in low humidity. So your comparison between hot and cold is a false equivalence.

Also the gym fucking sucks so I don't know why we are pretending it's a viable replacement for liveable climate. I don't go to the gym, but I ride my bike. I even ride it in extreme heat, like yesterday the heat index was over 100. Still won't catch me wasting my life doing boring exercise I hate in a gym.

lapcat•7mo ago
> Your AC argument is weak. The south was quite miserable before AC.

And it's miserable in the Midwest without AC too.

> 90+ on the other hand is not manageable, even in low humidity

Ridiculous. I have a lot of family in Arizona, where it's 90+ with low humity all the time. It's very manageable.

Also, let's not pretend it's 90+ all day all year in the south. It's not. Not even close:

http://www.worldclimate.com/climate/us/mississippi

> Also the gym fucking sucks so I don't know why we are pretending it's a viable replacement for liveable climate.

Ok, that's your opinion, but millions of people go to gyms, and millions more use indoor exercise equipment in their homes.

For me personally, it's a 100% viable replacement.

DangitBobby•7mo ago
Did I say every day? Did you say every day was sub zero in the Midwest?

It's "very manageable" as in, safe to sprint and exercise rigorously for people who aren't already heat conditioned athletes?

Yes people use gyms. Vastly many more don't.

lapcat•7mo ago
> Did I say every day? Did you say every day was sub zero in the Midwest?

No, and no. Because both would be gross exaggerations.

My point is that both Minnesota and Mississippi, for example, have many days a year that are good for outdoor activites and many days a year that are not good for outdoor activities. The climate of Minnesota is no less hostile than the climate of Mississippi. Thus, differences in climate do not explain why Minnesota is one of the fittest states and Mississippi one of the fattest.

Needless to say, these are only relative differences. There are many fit people in both states, and many fat people in both states. When commenters say crap like, "Nobody goes outside", it's an absurd hyperbole, and it undermines the argument.

moritzwarhier•7mo ago
This all sounds valid, but isn't there a significant portion of people who deliberately avoid treatment of their illnesses because they can't afford it?

Can a worker who does not earn six figures and who does not have large savings afford treatment for diabetes, cancer, heart disease, or proper time to heal after an accident?

Go to the dentist when they have a toothache, or to the general physician when they have a flu or even a severe cold?

There is no paid sick leave, right?

I'm asking this in earnest, because it is not clear to me what the minimum public healthcare currently covers in the US?

Being sick or even chronically ill when you are not wealthy is already likely to make you poor even in places with broad public healthcare in Europe, if you are in bad luck.

But if you aren't given a minimum life support when sick (1-room flat, money for food) and no treatment in such a situation, you'll likely to end up homeless or die from your disease while grinding in your low-paid job until the end, no?

bdangubic•7mo ago
the answer to each of your questions is yes
stevenjgarner•7mo ago
https://archive.ph/lIIns [Paywall Bypass]
jimt1234•7mo ago
> One of the biggest drivers of those deadly conditions is obesity

That jumped out at me, because, unfortunately, it seems it's become unpopular, or even offensive, to claim there's a link between obesity and poor health/lower life expectancy. I've heard of doctors refusing to recommend weight loss to their patients for fear of being accused of "body shaming".

keiferski•7mo ago
Does this actually happen in real life, or only in online outrage anecdotes?

My guess is that doctors typically understand that the patient already knows they’re obese, and therefore tries to get them to do something, anything, that’ll help.

veggieroll•7mo ago
This happened to me. I switched doctors.
keiferski•7mo ago
What happened to you? The doctor refused to diagnose you as obese, someone else, or…? Your comment is unclear.
veggieroll•7mo ago
I went to my doctor as someone overweight bordering on obese and asked for help. I told him my plan for losing weight. But, he told me I didn't need to lose weight, because being overweight isn't bad for your health. Eventually I lost 70 lbs and found a new doctor.
keiferski•7mo ago
Interesting, but good that you did switch doctors and had success!
npteljes•7mo ago
That is a different thing. It was not that the doctor was reluctant to recommend weight loss due to their fear of being branded as body-shaming, it was that he denied the link outright, even though you were receptive to a weight-loss plan.

Wild story, either way. I expect professionals to be better.

const_cast•7mo ago
Being overweight isn't bad for your health, being obese is. It sounds counter-intuitive but being overweight has zero effect on your longevity or risk of cardiovascular disease. At least, not alone.
reverendsteveii•7mo ago
IME the opposite is true. I myself and several friends have had doctors that refuse to treat something until a weight issue is addressed. In my case the treatment was for obstructive sleep apnea and losing weight as part of combined therapy w my CPAP has helped a lot. In at least one friend's case she had severe, constant belly pain and multiple doctors gave her the old "have you tried losing weight about it". It wasn't until one actually engaged with her symptoms that they found out she had an active infection in her abdomen and also several tumors on her ovaries. So, you know, a mixed bag. Sometimes they tell you to lose weight because being heavy directly correlates with the symptoms you're expressing, sometimes they tell you to lose weight because losing weight is vaguely correlated with positive health impacts overall and they've got 10 minutes per patient to make a diagnosis and develop a course of treatment.

That being said, I'm gonna file "doctors are afraid to tell patients they're obese because they'll be accused of body shaming" next to "they're putting litter boxes in the classrooms so the furries can poop in front of everyone" and "strangers are putting LSD in halloween candy to get kids hooked". It's 100% made up rage bait and the people who believe it believe it because they hear it all the time from their propaganda echo chambers.

bananalychee•7mo ago
Alcoholics know that they drink, chain smokers know that they smoke... Obesity has an impact on longevity that is on the same order of magnitude as cigarette smoking. I would hope that it would come up during a checkup. If it doesn't, rationalize it however you want, but it's clearly because the doc decided it wasn't worth the risk of saying it out loud. In other countries it's not uncommon to be blunt about it with friends and family, let alone at the doctor's office, but in the US it's considered extremely rude. As a result, I know many people who have a skewed definition of obesity. To them a BMI of 30 is a tad overweight and obese starts maybe at 40. They're prescribed pills and CPAP machines and no one ever tells them they need to lose weight as long as their blood work looks decent. It's easy to neglect a health issue that no one wants to talk about.
const_cast•7mo ago
The first words out of any doctor's mouth if you're a smoker or obese is "lifestyle changes". The idea that doctor's don't talk about it is just not true.

The reality is that patients do not listen and do not have the tools to make changes. A lot of these people are barely living life, they're just on autopilot.

veggieroll•7mo ago
Yes! Can confirm: I went to the doctor when I was very overweight (on the verge of obese BMI-wise) and he pulled this line. He was a nice guy. But, I couldn't get out of there fast enough. Why go to a doctor that won't even acknowledge one of the most important things you can do for your health?
reverendsteveii•7mo ago
What line? Your doctor told you that you were overweight but that he wouldn't recommend you do anything about it?
veggieroll•7mo ago
I went to my doctor as someone overweight bordering on obese and asked for help. I told him my plan for losing weight. But, he told me I didn't need to lose weight, because being overweight isn't bad for your health. Eventually I lost 70 lbs and found a new doctor.
reverendsteveii•7mo ago
Wow, that completely flies in the face of the experience I and everyone I know has with doctors all the time. IME it's much more likely that your weight will be blamed for any and all conditions that develop because losing weight is strongly correlated with improvements across the board in overweight and obese people and (and I think this is the key to why it's the first line of defense for so many disparate things) insurance companies all but mandate that "lifestyle changes" be tried as treatment before they will cover any other treatment option.

Riddle me this: were you trying to lose weight as a course of treatment for some other thing that was happening or were you trying to lose weight for its own sake? I'm wondering if the doctor actually thinks that being overweight is fine or if they were just saying you don't have any particular condition that being overweight would treat or relieve. I don't mean to call you out in particular, it's just that your experience is directly opposite to anything I've experienced or been told about as someone who was overweight and went to doctors about it and as someone whose entirely family has always been in healthcare in some way or another (a couple doctors, several nurses, I'm in med tech alongside a couple cousins and my dad runs a power plant but even he runs a power plant owned by a hospital system).

veggieroll•7mo ago
Yes, I understand because I also couldn't believe how any doctor could think that.

But no, I had no active medical conditions and this was the first time I saw this doctor. So, he didn't really know my medical history anyways.

The weight loss was really the entire reason I went in. But over my medical history I've had a lot of experiences like this where doctors really aren't very helpful. Or at least, they don't have enough time to actually think beyond the 10 most common things that happen to people.

reverendsteveii•7mo ago
I'm trying something that's new to me here: I'm gonna try to come up for an explanation for this that doesn't assume anyone is an idiot or an asshole but still makes the facts make sense. The only thing I can come up with from that framework is maybe were you looking for drugs to help you lose weight? Maybe GLP-1s or stimulants. I can see a world where a doctor might say something like "These drugs have side effects and I hesitate to prescribe them to you unless the weight loss you're seeking will alleviate some other disease." I can't see a world in which a doctor would say "Don't bother with losing weight via exercise and healthy diet because it doesn't make a difference to your overall health outcomes". Also you don't happen to remember your BMI at the time, do you? It's not a great stat overall but it can be a starting point for determining what improvements to other health outcomes one might expect with weight loss.
veggieroll•7mo ago
I definitely appreciate the perspective of benefit of the doubt and seeking understanding. But I really can't figure out what he was getting at.

This was in 2018, before GLP-1's, and I wasn't looking for medication.

reverendsteveii•7mo ago
ew, then idk and I'm sorry that the competence of GPs seems to fall on a Bell curve like everything else. also fwiw I never thought you were an idiot or an asshole, I was referring to the doctor (who I'm now confident has to be one or the other).
cedws•7mo ago
It’s crazy how food manufacturers continue to get a free pass for killing people. They should be treated like the tobacco industry if they’re going to advertise and sell junk that ruins peoples’ bodies. I live in Japan at the moment and you see almost no overweight people here. Sorry to say, but the times I do see overweight people they’re usually American tourists.

It’s true that in Japan people walk a lot more, but I think good nutrition and eating habits from a young age are a key factor in why people don’t get fat here. Also, if you want “fast food”, ramen or teishoku is faster than McDonalds.

UncleMeat•7mo ago
Have you heard this from doctors? Or is this third hand?

I'm a healthy weight and every single time I speak to my GP they talk about diet and exercise and the importance of maintaining a healthy weight. I can think of no health advice I have received more than "control your weight." Not even "don't smoke."

antifa•7mo ago
> I've heard of doctors refusing to recommend weight loss to their patients for fear of being accused of "body shaming".

I've literally never heard of this, in fact I've heard hundreds of stories about doctors refusing to put any effort into giving people a real diagnosis if they're even the slightest bit overweight.

slaw•7mo ago
> The United States has higher mortality than comparable rich countries in most age groups, the the biggest gap is those in their late teens or early adulthood.

> Five times more people died as a result of substance misuse in the United States in 2021 than the comparable country average.