It is more national security & military adjacent
I’d stand up a joint agency for this requirement across DOD, NASA, NOAA, FAA, and Commercial Space/Newspace.
I have a feeling that the current US administration would not back such an idea, so this will end up back with the DOD, maybe the Space Force. Despite the DOD saying quite clearly they would prefer NOAA to do it
If the US Federal Government spent ZERO money on anything except:
1. Social Security
2. Medicare & Medicaid
3. National Defense
4. Net Interest on the Public Debt
5. Income Security
6. Veterans Benefits & Services
7. Federal Civilian & Military Retirement and Disability
... the US would still have a sizable deficit.
All the hoopla surrounding science spending, education, DEI, FDA, housing, foreign aid, disaster relief, etc., doesn't really address some huge issues if the goal is to reduce deficit spending.
Red herring. It’s not. It’s never been. We’re blowing out the deficit by trillions.
The motivation isn’t anything about the deficit. It’s that NOAA counters the climate narrative a narrow band of idiots would prefer to believe.
I hope all that stuff we bought with $36T was worth it!
No need for past tense. We’re currently in the most intense—the biggest, most beautiful, one might say—phase of deficit accumulation in American history.
Also let's not forget Sharpie Gate and how the petty Orange Emperor appointed a climate science denier to a top position in NOAA.
https://www.npr.org/2020/09/12/912301325/longtime-climate-sc...
Yet another systemic rat fucking so somebody can make a buck. It's only ever about the money.
Which means Starling would probably pay for most of it.
Then there are various spy satellites countries have that they dont want tracked? Or does the data from NOAA include spy satellites in strange orbits?
Then they’d switch to a user fee. Perhaps even at a profit, such that it’s deficit reducing.
That isn’t what they’re doing because that isn’t what this is about.
Don't all Starlink satellites have a plan to deorbit responsibly; specifically, do nothing, which results in a relatively quick deorbitting?
Starlink satellites are in low-Earth-orbit which can't accumulate much space debris, because everything deorbits naturally within a few years.
What would the free market solution be here? Someone builds all the infrastructure to track all the satellites, and maybe more than one (if not you have a monopoly) person does it. Then they charge for it?
But someone doesn't use it an now we have more space junk ...
If anything a government organizing this and everyone utilizing it seems like it makes for more efficient / lower risk situation with satellites. Everyone just gets on with more important business.
They’re the bag holder here, and this system could be built for a marginal hit to their bottom line in exchange for a huge amount of de-risking across their entire supply chain.
Insurance companies have the right incentive but they don’t need to be the ones building it. Safer cars get cheaper insurance, so there’s clear market pressure there without insurance companies having to build their own cars…
Pollution, kinds that suffer the “tragedy of the common”, are a good example where regulation is necessary to prevent a race to the bottom. But that’s a pretty simple and straightforward thing to democratically vote on without government spending.
I think the solution is fairly simple: private companies build these capabilities and offer them as a service. The idea that there won’t be a marketplace for this service seems misguided too. Adversarial militaries will want their own systems, likely contracted out to private companies, which will likely offer civilian use around the world…
Also, the US government and it's affiliated institutions already has networks of ground stations and the insurance industry doesnt.
A UN program for weather forecasting and satellite tracking, complete with open data sources and REST APIs, would be a boon. Unfortunately, the current organizational structure makes that impossible due to the vested interests of the respective Security Council members. We’re more likely to see the EU take up those mantles.
Whether that would happen is to be seen, but now it's down right impossible.
While this is true, I suspect that putting the UN in charge of all global matters will cause them to become such a hegemony.
Until we have multiple planets (or equivalents), I think a multi-polar world with multiple superpowers capable and motivated to work on such things is important.
Hopefully the superpowers will keep their fighting to "indirectly", like the USA and the USSR used to.
It has nothing to do with who is or isn't on the security council. That entire organization is full of the kinds of people who occupy the average government in the world, which is a very low standard of excellence. The UN has neither data infrastructure nor technical expertise to do something like this in any case.
REST APIs? One of the big issues is that the data sources are measured in exabytes these days. That means there can only practically be a single copy. This creates an insurmountable hurdle: most countries contributing data want to keep their data in their country. This makes any use of that data computationally intractable because there is not enough bandwidth connect the disparate data sources together. Also, given this extreme (and mostly unnecessary) bandwidth consumption, now they have to severely restrict access to the data to keep the system usable, effectively making it no longer public.
I've been to this particular rodeo several times. I have zero confidence it could deliver on the promise.
It really would require someone with a singular vision, the technical expertise, and the courage to pull it off. A committee of bureaucrats isn't going to make it happen.
tomrod•6h ago
This type of program has high value per dollar spent. It's an asset, not a waste. The first order, second order, and even third order effects are very large.
Let us get/return to more reasonable principles for doing these budget evaluations and requests.
nwatson•6h ago
staplers•5h ago
yapyap•5h ago
slater•5h ago
JumpCrisscross•5h ago
Someone would if given the time and infrastructure. This, on the other hand, is more DOGE-style idiocy.
tetris11•5h ago
sho_hn•4h ago
Even as an anime grump, I liked this one.
throwaway6734•4h ago
Rebelgecko•5h ago
alistairSH•6h ago
conartist6•5h ago
The political intent behind a new dark age makes sense if you think of the goal as being to destroy competent institutions which represent a real threat to an anti-science, post-truth administration
tomrod•5h ago
I literally do not care if someone feels more liberal or conservative in their heart of hearts. There is more that unites people than the pissantry propaganda that plays to divide us.
Rather, like you, I hate waste, which this budget, through underfunding, will create. Probably also like you, I also strongly dislike know-nothing propaganda, especially regarding things about which I am well informed.
Post-truth millieu is a lie. Truth is more adaptive to long term survival.
> For example they often have attended college and believe in science.
One doesn't believe in science. One uses science as a tool to test hypotheses, using real world evidence to understand reality and truth.
JumpCrisscross•5h ago
This requires a base rate of literacy and critical thinking that a lot of Americans, unfortunately, lack.
tomrod•5h ago
conartist6•5h ago
What interests me is the politics of it. A paper in a vacuum is nothing. How do people really convince each other of the importance of one argument or observation over another? How do those arguments grow to the scale of a whole society? Science at the scale of society doesn't happen in the language of scientific papers, but rather in rhetoric: in appeals to what the Greeks categorized as Ethos (Emotion), Pathos (Authority), and Logos (Logic).
At its most brilliant this is "Schroedinger's cat," which in two words encodes in our collective consciousness an appeal to logic which entreats us through contradiction to consider a philosophically meaningful set of ideas about the nature of reality. (shoutout: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kTXTPe3wahc)
justinrubek•5h ago
Yes, this is precisely that which they do not believe in. Plug your ears, bury your head in the sand, and whatever you do, do not use cause and effect, data, or evidence to backup your claims and positions. That is the platform upon which they stand.
Eextra953•4h ago
TheOtherHobbes•3h ago
The pitch is the usual anti-intellectual narrative: "How dare these people, with their fancy educations, look down on you and patronise you. Everyone's opinions are equally valuable. They're probably in it for the money."
It's been very organised, and both science and academia have completely failed to respond to it.
You can give science a pass because most scientists struggle to understand how craven politics and propaganda are.
Academia should have known better. Hannah Arendt described it far ahead of time. But somehow plain anti-authoritarianism became less sexy, and certainly less of a career move, than Continental Philosophy and Critical Theory, which have turned out to be largely impotent when faced with full-on fascism.
xpe•3h ago
> One doesn't believe in science. One uses science as a tool to test hypotheses, using real world evidence to understand reality and truth.
The first quote is a shorthand. The second quote is accurate, technically, except that perhaps the author is misunderstanding the first quote. When many people write "person P believes in science", you can accurately translate that to "person P sees the value in science as a tool for truth-seeking."
tetha•5h ago
This might also be a program in which the goals of a privatized for-profit company are rather bad in the broader context. If you pay me millions to track and possibly control your satellite in orbit so it doesn't collide... I'll invest in rocket companies to launch more satellites. Even if they are very silly satellites.
After all, if they collide, the debris will most likely miss the shareholders, and then you get more satellites to get contracts for.
And who cares if some of those invaluable scientific systems with year-long plans get knocked out?
moralestapia•5h ago
Care to elaborate?
What's the value that comes back?
Rebelgecko•5h ago
moralestapia•4h ago
cco•4h ago
moralestapia•4h ago
Bootvis•4h ago
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Satellite_collision
mschuster91•4h ago
We've been lucky that this is the only publicly known satellite to collide with another satellite, other than satellites that got shot down as a demonstration of power.
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2009_satellite_collision
[2] https://www.space.com/969-china-space-debris-collide-orbit.h...
notahacker•3h ago
Satellite operators obtain much their space situational awareness data directly or indirectly from US govt sources. The fact that collisions are presently infrequent because satellite operators act on that data isn't a particularly good reason to eliminate much of it
adgjlsfhk1•2h ago
andsoitis•3h ago
Why should the (US) taxpayer foot the bill rather than the companies who operate and profit from the satellites?
adgjlsfhk1•3h ago
CamperBob2•2h ago
epistasis•5h ago
tomrod•4h ago
Food at a high level, yes. Pork specifically, no.
(I know you didn't mean literal pork, but thinking through the spectrum here).
tbrownaw•3h ago
tomrod•3h ago
Subsidizing production of next gen/green energy production and grid operations, yes.
DamonHD•2h ago
https://www.pnas.org/doi/epub/10.1073/pnas.2501605122
tomrod•2h ago
pstuart•4h ago
Yes, military investments have paid off in new technologies (e.g., Arpanet) but as a whole only reward the owners of the Military Industrial Complex.
laverya•3h ago
convolvatron•1h ago
and its pretty easily to cleave off defense spending for basic research performed by universities from the more applied R&D that defense contractors do, much of that from the black budget. this is a place where every visitor leaves shaking their heads at the overt corruption and waste. but its necessary to have such programs in general to support our common goal of self-autonomy as a nation.
so if we're going to serious as a democratic political body about trying to get the most value from our tax money, we can't really can't fixate on reductionist statements that assert that defense or social support money is an unalloyed bad or good. we really need better transparency and to actually dig into the details.
toss1•1h ago
Fukyima (sp?) was right about the end of history sort of happening when all countries of the world embrace liberal democracy, but he was very wrong that we are anywhere near that point.
Until then, only strength will deter or oppose the aggressors.
xpe•3h ago
"Return on investment" (ROI) is only the start of the conversation. ROI is only part of the context. Think of it as a 3-tuple: (ROI, Target, TimeHorizon). One has to define all three for it to be clear. By "Target" I mean the target population and/or impact area. By "TimeHorizon" I mean the period of time over which the ROI is calculated.
This entire comment is intended to be completely non-ideological. Bring your own values and preferred ways of organizing society. (I'm not going to change your deep-seated values, anyway.) But to be intellectually honest, we have to say what we mean.
Even truth-seeking libertarians who prefer market-based approaches understand that many market-based mechanisms are sometimes not well suited for servicing to "hard to reach" customers. Practically, this might mean geographically remote. Generally, it means having a set of characteristics that make them sufficiently out of the parameter space that a market will serve. Some examples include: rural broadband and low-income urban areas that need medical services.
kenjackson•2h ago
ModernMech•1h ago
As Timothy Snyder put it, authoritarian political capital is based on creating a "reservoir of fear" that the authoritarian can draw upon whenever he needs legitimacy or a mandate to enact cruel and inhumane policies. The reservoir of fear is created by making groups desperate, and you don't make them desperate by meeting their needs through funding government assistance programs.
Instead what you do as an authoritarian is you "other" and arrest their neighbors, take away their health care, allow their homes to be flooded, take away their information channels, prevent them from going to school, make sure they're unemployed, make food more scarce... make them desperate enough, blame their desperation on the "others" and they'll be happy to enact whatever cruelties you ask them to on the "others" if they think it'll lessen their misery, or at the very least bring more misery to the "others".
LorenPechtel•5h ago
There is a lot of trouble with bureaucrats defending fiefdoms that would be better consolidated, but you can't fix that with an axe.
ajmurmann•5h ago
That said, regulations that make the economy less dynamic and slow stuff down have a high opportunity cost. While it's bureaucrats that write the implementation details and enforce them, it's congress who requires it to happen with AFAIK often little regard to how it would be executed in practice.
AnthonyMouse•4h ago
The vast majority of the government budget is "entitlements and military" because donors have their pork classified as those things when they don't want it to be cut. A lot of entitlement programs are structured as handouts to the companies providing those services (e.g. drug and healthcare companies, or landlords) or vote buying of affluent retirees who don't actually need a government subsidy. And I'd like to see someone try to claim with a straight face that there is no waste in the military budget.
But even within those budgets, most of the waste and corruption isn't a single program going to a single place. It's millions of programs that each waste millions of dollars and collectively waste trillions of dollars. And then it doesn't matter if you classify the program as military or entitlements or something else; what matters is if the program is worth the candle.
The problem is that everybody will say that their program is worth it, many them are lying, and it's hard to tell who isn't.
But the thing that's unambiguously true is that the amount of government revenue has been stable as a percentage of GDP for generations and has been growing in terms of real dollars per capita, and yet the amount of government spending has outpaced that by a huge and growing amount.
Is DOGE making a hash of things? Maybe, but then let's do a better job instead of using it as an excuse to keep running reckless deficits until the largest item in the federal budget is interest.
JumpCrisscross•5h ago
It should be incredibly clear that the motivation for these folks isn’t reducing government spending (or cutting waste).
The problem is the programme is at NOAA, and NOAA tells a story about the climate that some folks don’t like. So they trash the messenger and his tools.
zer00eyz•5h ago
This is an international issue being funded by the US taxpayer regardless of their own utilization of said services.
Programs like these need to exist, but services like starlink should be the ones footing the bill. The military and weather services would need larger budgets to fund their portion of this effort so some of it would come back to "general taxes" but a much smaller amount.
Meanwhile, All those other groups and nations with launch capabilities and a vested intrest in NOT having issues could be contributing too.
> Let us get/return to more reasonable principles for doing these budget evaluations and requests.
These efforts need to be funded with a tax to support them, and not all be drawn from the same general fund. It would make the arguments about "taxes" and "spending" much more reasonable.
ourmandave•4h ago
https://www.fcc.gov/general/universal-service-fund
Star Link and other companies can charge back their customers what they pay into the fund.
Like how AT&T hits me for the Fed USF, the 20 States Fund, and state and local taxes.
https://www.att.com/legal/terms.otherWirelessFeeSchedule.htm...
jandrewrogers•4h ago
In recent years, the operating environment in orbital space has changed rapidly, and it isn't just the number of objects. These changes are outside the design assumptions of traditional orbital traffic systems, degrading their effectiveness. In response to this reality, governments with significant space assets have been investing in orbital traffic systems that are capable of dealing with the modern environment. However, these rely heavily on classified technology and capability to address the limitations of the older systems.
An argument could be made that it no longer makes sense to fund a public system that is descending into obsolescence due to lack of capability and which can't be meaningfully fixed because that would require exposing classified technical capabilities that no one is willing to expose. In this scenario, the private sector is acting as an offramp from a system that had no future technically.
Space has turned into an interesting place, in the curse sense. It isn't as simple as it used to be.
counters•4h ago
But that explanation isn't being offered by the powers-that-be. So there's no point trying to rationalize it post-hoc.
There's no evidence that this is anything more than yet another round of ideologically-fueled maladministration.
jandrewrogers•4h ago
Governments rarely give genuine explanations for their actions and rarely need to. Much easier to use a plausible soundbite related to the current thing. Most people aren't paying attention anyway.
counters•2h ago
This is an absurdly cynical take. It certainly doesn't jive with how NOAA has historically operated - which has necessitated as much transparency as possible, because that is the only way it can engender the trust with the public necessary to steward life and property.
The standards have historically been much higher, and we ought to strive for them to be higher still.
jandrewrogers•58m ago
My take isn't cynical, it is what I've seen first hand. I've worked for the US government (and others) and NGOs off and on since Clinton was President. The standards were pretty mediocre when I first got involved and they've only become worse.
The standards were probably higher before the 1990s. All of these organizations have a few true believers in the mission but those are the old guard. They've slowly been replaced by the equivalent of DMV bureaucrats, even in the more science-y parts of the government. People interested in doing science have known those organizations are not where you go to do science since long before the current administration, which has been a long, vicious spiral.
notahacker•3h ago
But that seems like a very poor argument for removing a system which might be approaching obsolescence in military terms but is still relied on for a rapidly increasing number of civil satellites to make rapidly increasing conjunction avoidance manoeuvres (and is also relatively inexpensive). Anything that makes them less aware threatens defence and critical civil government infrastructure too, and the private sector doesn't exactly seem to be embracing it as an exciting opportunity - look at the quote from Slingshot! Plus if anything the changes taking place would seem to be a reason to invest more in orbital traffic control with regulation to make it more like the FAA. You don't have to give away the classified tracking tech if you're barking out move orders rather than simply sharing predictions so operators come to their own conclusions about conjunction risk, and likewise orders and requirements for operators to broadcast position and intent are a much better way of dealing with a future of private servicing missions and space megastructures than "let them buy their own tracking data and make their own decisions"
tomrod•2h ago
browningstreet•4h ago
This is privatization and federal dismantling, and it’s happening so fast and recklessly it will also show up as cultural and civil destruction too. He’s wrecking America so that technocrats can buy it all up.
There’s no intended upside for citizens or for the society they make up. People die and his supporters shrug and defend. It’s Microsoft’s embrace, extend, extinguish as political policy, but reduced by hyperscaling to “eviscerate”.
tomrod•4h ago
It is so weird to live in a world where the progressive movement is a better supporter of Chesterton's fence than the allegedly conservative GOP and even the corporate/neoliberal wing of the controlled opposition.
browningstreet•4h ago
The socials are replete with incremental accounting of how each step aligns with Project 2025. No shit. So, many of his voters didn’t read Project 2025, or if they did.. they’re not playing it forward to see what it looks like 10 years in the future.
But what feels true, too, is that the DNC hasn’t read it either. Or if they have, they’re not working against it. I know there are efforts in courts to deny some of these things, and that’s commendable.. but there are no real social or political unities arising to play offense in the next political cycle.
So we have very little defense, and almost no offense. And the referees are bought.
tomrod•4h ago
browningstreet•4h ago
What’s especially alarming is that they’ve learned they don’t have to do anything in the dark. Epstein may be a small blip in that, but we’ll see how the story goes in the coming weeks.
slater•3h ago
fakedang•2h ago
Yeah, it's not right to blame the Dems for this, but the Reps are responsible for this shitshow and far from redemption. The Dems are the only possible counterforce in the US (unlike most other countries), but they seem to be inclined to do jack shit to assume that role.
efnx•2h ago
fakedang•2h ago
Instead, like all entities doing business in the US, foreign and otherwise, we'll just find novel ways to extract more from the US and send it elsewhere.
tremon•2h ago
- people are being disappeared in broad daylight, by masked mercenary squads and without due process
- the military has already been deployed domestically
- courts have been neutered/ignored
- the supreme court generally rules in favour of the regime, and when it doesn't even the supreme court gets ignored
- the first political adversaries have already been assassinated
- the majority of the Senate is happily cheering on all of the above
All three branches of government are already fully under control of this regime. Add to that the many agencies that have been gutted or clipped, and the dismantling of healthcare and social security. What do you think will be left of the US' institutions in 18 months?
arrowsmith•1h ago
k099•59m ago
browningstreet•1h ago
The Rosie O’Donnell thing today is another demonstration of his commitment to iterating against norms. He’ll push and push until he finds a front that collapses in his favor. The whole idea of the unassailable rights of citizens will continue to be tested. The Democrats need a “no F’ing way” line to hold. An American born citizen should be an easy line to defend. We’ll see what kind of pushback surfaces.
vjvjvjvjghv•2h ago
mandmandam•1h ago
The DNC are sheepdogs, at best. Their role is to shepherd any sort of leftist energy into safely neutered channels. And science in general has big 'leftist energy'.
The campaign promises: "We'll end corporate donations! We'll end executive orders! We'll copper-fasten Roe! We'll end ICE! We'll stop the illegal forever wars! We'll legalize cannabis!" - have now devolved to, "vote for us and if you're lucky the Gestapo we funded won't raid your house in the middle of the night without a search warrant - or if they do, at least they won't be masked".
So, no. We're not going to get much help from the guys that 'failed' [0] to stop a rapist insurrectionist con-man from taking the Presidency, and it's really pretty silly to have any hope in them whatsoever.
0 - https://sarahkendzior.substack.com/p/servants-of-the-mafia-s...
galangalalgol•1h ago
vkou•6m ago
danieldk•4h ago
beezlewax•2h ago
tremon•1h ago
toss1•1h ago
apwell23•53m ago
bugglebeetle•4h ago
TheOtherHobbes•3h ago
This is dense, but stunningly prescient.
https://library.fes.de/libalt/journals/swetsfulltext/1230310...
While things are undoubtedly bad in the US, Trump's grip on everything - including personal health - is far more tenuous than Yeltsin's was. And (ironically) the US has more of a history of violent resistance and agitation for both worker rights and civil rights.
The US has always been a soft economic dictatorship. But a lot of people still expect a functioning social contract, and they're going to become increasingly angry as that disappears.
It's a much more complicated picture than the one in Russia, which has essentially been the same kind of violent autocratic monarchy for centuries, even as the set dressing around it changed.
chairmansteve•1h ago
lyu07282•19m ago
I would argue that was happening way before Trump, it's precisely why he was elected. He didn't just scapegoat but also pretended to take their economic grievances seriously and was the only permitted political outlet to people's grievances.
I think what happens is just the natural course of neoliberalism in the west, not any conscious long term strategy. That's why you can see the far-right gaining ground in every western country.
watwut•3h ago
Security state apparatus in Russia filled different role. These guys are true Putin equivalents.
adgjlsfhk1•3h ago
tomrod•2h ago
mattkevan•1h ago
ck2•4h ago
It's about destroying science, not just current science but the future of science.
By destroying all existing structure so that it will cost trillions to rebuild so impossible anytime soon.
Including academia that seeds the science.
They aren't "conservatives" they are "regressives".
vjvjvjvjghv•2h ago
That's how I feel too. "Conservative" should mean "cautious and slow", not "destroy as quickly as possible"
pstuart•4h ago
Many (including myself) believe that Government should be for "the common good", via a legal system, government investments in shared needs/resources, etc.
The current admin believes that Government exists for only two reasons: personal enrichment and punishing perceived enemies. I'd love to be proven wrong but I don't see that happening.
bpodgursky•4h ago
1. Wants to cut the budget so we don't go broke
2. Punishes anyone who talks about unsustainable retirement, disability, and healthcare entitlement programs.
So, they get politicians who try to find a third way, even if it doesn't make a budgetary difference. To get out of this, the public (especially the boomer retiree population) needs to be more mature about the fiscal situation they put the country in and realize they are not living within their means.
watwut•3h ago
- Make debt larger and risk make usa go broke.
- Cut retirement disability, and healthcare entitlement programs.
It will however cut taxes for bilionaires and republicans love it.