Clean link: https://archive.is/lHoGG

Alternative to archive.is

   x="Mozilla/5.0 (Linux; Android 14) AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko) Chrome/127.0.6533.103 Mobile Safari/537.36 Lamarr"
   y=https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2025/11/26/investors-expect-ai-use-to-soar-thats-not-happening
   busybox wget -U $x -O 1.htm $y
   firefox ./1.htm

I watched the Google interview with Ilya yesterday and this came up. There's a large disconnect between the evals and the real-world performance, and he admitted that the evals are targeted.

There was a storm of hype the last couple weeks for Gemini 3 and everyone, correctly, rolled their eyes. Investors are demanding a return and it's not happening. They're just going to have to face reality at some point.

It will probably take decades for machine learning to transform the way we live and work.

There is something called hype curve that doesn't always go up.

What is the definition of "soaring"? The charts in the article showed that the percentage of the companies that adopt AI for automation has increase 3X. At least 40% of the companies pay for GenAI, and at least 10% of the employees use GenAI daily. Combined with the fact that the companies like OpenAI and Anthronpic frequently run out of capacity, how is the AI use not soaring?

Anecdotally, I use a lot more AI then ever before - at least 5x more - hard to measure.

As soon as every big corp started stuffing their UIs with AI buttons, we all knew it was investors pushing for AI use to go sky high without a care for the nuances of the current state of AI. The reality is that AI usage isn't as impactful as it was promised. Where is the productivity increase in being able to generate a picture via some prompt? When deep research could contain hallucinated text or references, where is the productivity increase? It is undeniable that these tools have uses but when you look at all the investment made into this tech, the outcomes are not great.

Is it not soaring? I can't think of a recent time a new technology was invented and I began using it almost every day, and I don't even consider myself that heavy of a user of AI.