Shades of Roko's Basilisk!

Your past thoughts have been dredged up and judged.

For each $TOPIC, you have been awarded a grade by GPT-5.1 Thinking.

Your grade is based on OpenAI's aligned worldview and what OpenAI's blob of weights considers Truth in 2025.

Did you think well, netizen?

Are you an Alpha or a Delta-Minus?

Where will the dragnet grading of your online history happen next?

* Nvidia GPUs will see heavy competition and most chat-like use-cases switching to cheaper models and inference-specific-silicon but will be still used on the high end for critical applications and frontier science

* Most Software and UIs will be primarily AI-generated. There will be no 'App Stores' as we know them.

* ICE Cars will become niche and will be largely been replaced with EVs, Solar will be widely deployed and will be the dominate source of power

* Climate Change will be widely recognized due to escalating consequences and there will be lots of efforts in mitigations (e.g, Climate Engineering, Climate-resistant crops, etc).

Swift is Open Source https://hn.unlurker.com/replay?item=10669891

Launch of Figma, a collaborative interface design tool https://hn.unlurker.com/replay?item=10685407

Introducing OpenAI https://hn.unlurker.com/replay?item=10720176

The first person to hack the iPhone is building a self-driving car https://hn.unlurker.com/replay?item=10744206

SpaceX launch webcast: Orbcomm-2 Mission [video] https://hn.unlurker.com/replay?item=10774865

At Theranos, Many Strategies and Snags https://hn.unlurker.com/replay?item=10799261

s/"free"/stolen/

The bit about college courses for future prediction was just silly, I'm afraid: reminds me of how Conan Doyle has Sherlock not knowing Earth revolves around the Sun. Almost all serious study concerns itself with predicting, modelling and influence over the future behaviour of some system; the problem is only that people don't fucking listen to the predictions of experts. They aren't going to value refined, academic general-purpose futurology any more than they have in the past; it's not even a new area of study.

And scroll down to the bottom.

It would be very interesting to see this applied year after year to see if people get better or worse over time in the accuracy of their judgments.

It would also be interesting to correlate accuracy to scores, but I kind of doubt that can be done. Between just expressing popular sentiment and the first to the post people getting more votes for the same comment than people who come later it probably wouldn’t be very useful data.

A non trivial amount of people get laid off, likely due to a finanical crisis which is used as an excuse for companies scale up use of AI. Good chance the financial crisis was partly caused by AI companies, which ironically makes AI cheaper as infra is bought up on the cheap (so there is a consolidation, but the bountiful infra keeps things cheap). That results in increased usage (over a longer period of time). and even when the economy starts coming back the jobs numbers stay abismal.

Politics are divided into 2 main groups, those who are employed, and those who are retired. The retired group is VERY large, and has alot of power. They mostly care about entitlements. The employed age people focus on AI which is making the job market quite tough. There are 3 large political forces (but 2 parties). The Left, the Right, and the Tech Elite. The left and the right both hate AI, but the tech elite though a minority has outsized power in their tie breaker role. The age distributions would surprise most. Most older people are now on the left, and most younger people are split by gender. The right focuses on limiting entitlements, and the left focuses on growing them by taxing the tech elite. The right maintains power by not threatening the tech elite.

Unlike the 20th century America is a more focused global agenda. We're not policing everyone, just those core trading powers. We have not gone to war with China, China has not taken over Taiwan.

Physical robotics is becoming a pretty big thing, space travel is becoming cheaper. We have at least one robot on an astroid mining it. The yield is trivial, but we all thought it was neat.

Energy is much much greener, and you wouln't have guessed it... but it was the data centers that got us there. The Tech elite needed it quickly, and used the political connections to cut red tape and build really quickly.

The EU may give LLM surveillance an F at some point.

I cannot believe this is just put out there unexamined of any level of "maybe we shouldn't help this happen". This is complete moral abdication. And to be clear, being "good" is no defense. Being good often means being unaligned with the powerful, so being good is often the very thing that puts you in danger.

It does seem better than just upvotes and downvotes though.