frontpage.
newsnewestaskshowjobs

Made with ♥ by @iamnishanth

Open Source @Github

fp.

Open in hackernews

Water 'Bankruptcy' Era Has Begun for Billions, Scientists Say

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-01-20/water-bankruptcy-era-has-begun-for-billions-scientists-say
62•ciconia•2h ago

Comments

ciconia•2h ago
https://archive.ph/XpRIS
carschno•1h ago
Here is the paper on which the article is based: https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11269-025-04484-0
ceejayoz•1h ago
Yesterday: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46754600
digitalsushi•1h ago
I know there's no single answer to this. But, if we wanted to mitigate this, do we have the geoengineering ability to execute on it?

I know 'wanted' is doing a lot of lifting there. Solve the hypothetical as a star trek culture, everyone wants this to work.

What would it look like?

I am under the belief that we get a lot of fresh water but because we baked the earth or paved it, and that an awful lot of water could be redirected into the ground if only we could slow it down.

Could America engineer an aquaduct from the great lakes to california?

would it destroy the great lakes?

i dont know a thing about this topic other than from my arm chair, i'm just here to start a thread if there's interest, i'm sure interested to hear from people smarter than me

betaby•1h ago
Los Angeles already gets its water from 500km away. No need to exacerbate the situation.
digitalsushi•1h ago
it's hypothetical remember, its just a fantasy solution
sanex•1h ago
The Great Lakes states have an agreement surrounding how much water you can remove from the lakes. That would be your first regulatory hurdle. In addition I suspect the loss associated with an aqueduct of that scale would make desalinization more efficient, which is generally cost prohibitive at current water levels.
kevinmchugh•50m ago
We also have a treaty with Canada about the usage of water from the Great Lakes.
gramie•19m ago
We Canadians have seen how much value the US administration places on treaties.
dragontamer•1h ago
Is it cheaper to reroute a lake to a desert and build a new underground river?

Or is it cheaper to just move the city itself to a closer source of good clean water?

buckle8017•52m ago
Unfortunate probably cheaper to reroute the lake.
dragontamer•7m ago
On the contrary.

We've been moving cities and municipalities since the dawn of civilization. That's just how life worked.

Yes water works continue to improve but the age old solution is simply to stop city growth at its sustainable level and start moving people to other, newer, better areas to live.

-------

Alternatively, you can boom bust with feast and famine economics and have tons of people die due to poor planning. That's also part of the age old deal and it's evidence is written in the many mismanaged cities across history.

brk•1h ago
Not an expert, but a more-than-casual-observer as someone who has lived on the water (literally and figuratively).

A core part of the problem is things like the farming in California that uses excessive amounts of water, which is already brought in from very distant regions.

I don't think there is a way to distribute the fresh water supply equitably if you have various regions and industries that insist on being highly inefficient and wasteful. California is certainly not the only example, there are lots of places trying to grow crops in illogical places, water supplies being polluted by industries, etc.

rayiner•1h ago
The problem isn’t just farming in the desert. The problem is all those people living in the desert in the first place. There is a reason the Spanish then the Mexicans did almost nothing to settle and develop California. It was massive water projects by the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers that made modern California possible.
estearum•39m ago
I'm no fan of cities in deserts, but farming is by far the much, much, much larger problem.
jimnotgym•33m ago
How much has the infrastructure improved since then? I see on TV that some of California has snow and flash flooding. Are there attempts being made to capture that, or soak it into the ground? Or is it cheaper to keep using the old projects?

I see on YouTube that there are parts of Texas you can buy for peanuts because ranching doesn't work there any more. I gather that the cows eat so much of the ancient grassland away that the soil washed away and now we have flash flooding? Then I see terrible flooding in the main rivers. I wonder if it is because governments are (or were) good at big centralised water projects, but spending for thousands upon thousands of swales and check dams to be built is harder, and less sexy?

rayiner•1h ago
> Could America engineer an aquaduct from the great lakes to california?

Why would the midwestern states consent to that? The southwest is structurally unsustainable. If we can’t develop sufficient renewable energy to power desalination, we’ll probably have to abandon much of California.

My prediction is that if we ever have another civil war, it will be states going to war over access to water.

shoxidizer•1h ago
Perhaps it isn't possible because of economics. If you build an aquaduct to a somewhere sunny so that water is plentiful there, then farms, cities, parks, and so on will grow as long as the water is cheap, reaching the capacity of your infrastructure, and the causing a crisis whenever there's a droubt.
everdrive•39m ago
People don't know how to be efficient at scale. Large complex problems could in principle be understood by a few experts, but they always become political problems. (ie, people must be socially, politically, or religiously attached to the right ideas rather than strictly convinced by detailed facts) Worse, people don't know how to maintain excess. People are a gas, and expand to fill the space they're in. If we had an abundance of water, all people would do is expand their water usage until that abundance is gone.
bell-cot•37m ago
> aqueduct from the great lakes to california?

Talk to a civil engineer about the lead times, length, flow rate, and elevation changes you'd need - nope, zero chance of any project that expensive and long-duration ever becoming operational.

Talk to a political scientist about the voters and leaders at the water intake end - nope, "over our dead bodies".

betaby•1h ago
Governments are not ready to admit the fact of the Earth's overpopulation.
Sharlin•1h ago
Water scarcity is mostly caused by factors other than overpopulation.
betaby•1h ago
Let's concentrate on couple of countries to simplify the discussion: Iran, Egypt, Algeria. Water scarcity there is dominated by explosive population growth there in the last 70 years.

Water is not scarce in general, just yet. It scarce where population is exploding.

mring33621•32m ago
High birth rates in low-resource localities seems like a poor survival strategy.

Unless the new people are used as an army to take the needed resources from others...

Gareth321•1h ago
I think it's both. Local populations adapt to whatever the local reservoirs can sustain but as soon as an unexpected climate event occurs (such as unusually low rainfall in a given season), the water reserves can no longer sustain the population. See Cape Town (2015-2018), Chennai (2019), São Paulo (2014-2015), California (2012–2016 & 2020–2022), etc.

If the local reservoirs were not already at capacity, or had much more redundancy, these events would have been much easier to manage. Fewer people in high risk areas would in fact reduce the risks of water scarcity.

onion2k•1h ago
The world has more than enough water, food, and energy to sustain a much, much higher population. The issue is that people in the areas with a lot of resources don't want to share - that's more of an observation than a criticism. People don't have to share.
betaby•52m ago
Water available in Nunavut, Canada is no help to Algeria's water crisis. And the opposite, natural gas available in Algeria is no help to Nunavut energy situation.
Gareth321•45m ago
This is a commonly stated aphorism which betrays a deep ignorance of the issue. Namely the logistics. If we had Star Trek transporter technology we could in fact solve world hunger. We could take the excess bananas grown in Colombia and drop them outside the doors of hungry people in Nigeria. But we don't. It is very expensive and difficult to transport food and water from one place to another. The world has sent Africa $1.5T over the last 50 years, and yet the number of undernourished people has almost tripled in that time, from 100M to 282M as of 2022. Why?

1. Corruption. I saw this first hand. For every $1M sent into Africa, a very large proportion is confiscated by tribes, gangs, militia, and the government. You can send all the excess food in the world, but there are thousands of people between production and the hungry person who is eager to violently steal it.

2. Africa's population is booming. Thanks, in part, to food aid. Half of Nigeria doesn't have access to toilets. 40% doesn't have electricity. 25% doesn't have running water. Their fertility rate is 5.2 children per woman. We are unintentionally propping up a future catastrophe.

3. Food aid has destroyed local farming and food production. Locals cannot compete with free.

4. Equitable allocation is impossible. There is no hunger score above each person's head. Even if there were, there is no supply chain anywhere in the world which can reliably and repeatedly deliver the necessary food aid to each person in the deepest African jungles. We rely on distribution hubs which are sparse, poorly run, intermittent, and subject to temperature and humidity extremes. This means food perishes fast unless it is ultra processed and packed for durability. Basically army rations. Even those expire after some time. Meaning we can't just take the Colombian bananas and send them around the world. Only certain foods work, and they need to undergo expensive and specialised processing. This entire supply chain is far more expensive than you can imagine.

I will close with my own opinion. While the world could sustain a higher population, it is clear to me that it will result in diminishing quality of life for everyone. Crowded conditions and increasing scarcity are not aspirational goals for humanity.

onion2k•7m ago
I understand the logistics very well. I'm not suggesting we move the food and water to the people. I'm suggesting we move the people to the food and water. Cities like New York have a population density of 50k/mile^2. We can build lots more cities at that scale much closer to where resources are easily available.

I'm choosing to ignore a lot of the problems with people from disparate backgrounds living together, people not actually wanting to leave where they live, people not wanting to share freely available resources, etc. Those are very hard to solve problems.

I'm only saying that over-population is not the cause of resource problems. If we can solve the other problems then a lack of resources stops being a problem, which proves population size is not the root cause.

tmtvl•1h ago
Leaving the question of whether the statement is true or not aside, I doubt many people are ready to admit it.
Zababa•59m ago
Why would you leave the question of whether it's true or not aside? If it's false, isn't it a good thing that not many people are ready to admit something false?
betaby•55m ago
Based on what metric you declare my statement as false?

For example for Algeria: "available resources dropping from 1500 \(m^{3}\)/capita/year in 1962 to 500 \(m^{3}\)/capita/year by 2016, far below the 1000 \(m^{3}\) threshold set by the World Bank"

the main factor is a region overpopulation.

qgin•51m ago
Hate to see this downvoted. The definition of “overpopulated” shifts as technology improves our ability to produce and distribute resources, but we’re arguably approaching that threshold for current technology. As it stands, we’re only getting by because a small fraction of the world consumes at American levels.
spenrose•45m ago
This perspective dates to at least 1940, when the population was a fraction of the current size. The fantastic Charles C. Mann wrote an excellent book, The Wizard and the Prophet, about it.

Regarding water specifically, we now have multiple desalination projects of 1MM m^3/day, enough to support a city of 4MM people. They are expensive, but getting cheaper, and real (rich) polities in the Middle East are relying on them.

SoftTalker•6m ago
The good news is they don't have to. Populations of all species regulate themselves in response to availability of resources.
comrade1234•1h ago
Not n Switzerland... water is practically free. they don't even bother with putting water meters on individual apartments and instead just split the bill up by all of the apartments at the end of the year. Hot water is metered though.

I've lived all over the USA and I remember wondering why I was stuck with a shitty shower with California-standard shower head even though water was cheap and plentiful where I lived.

Sharlin•1h ago
In Finland even the hot water bill is split, per-apartment water meters are only now getting common in new buildings.
whiterock•53m ago
same in Austria. The mountains giveth
csense•3m ago
> Hot water is metered though

This is weird to me, in the places I've lived in the US each apartment has its own hot water heater. You don't get hot water delivered, you get cold water and heat it yourself (you pay for it indirectly via the gas / electric bill.)

comrade1234•1h ago
There are abandoned ancient cities all over India and SE Asia because the city ran out of water. Tehran is not a new phenomenon.
jimnotgym•1h ago
> Chronic overuse of groundwater, forest destruction, land degradation, and pollution have caused irreversible freshwater loss in many parts of the world

I wonder if this is helpful? 'You are screwed no matter what you do' is not a good way to motivate people to action. People have heard this all before, and don't trust it. You can only cry wolf so many times with apocolyptic stories.

In the UK after a prolonged drought in Southern England the news announced something like, 'The aquifer is so depleted that it will take years to recover'. Then came 3 months of the wettest summer on record. I remember a local fishing tackle shop going out of business because noone could fish due to flooding! The acqifer filled in 3 months.

Then I saw a village in Southern Spain where the acquifer dried up. Someone realised that the Moors had built an ancient water harvesting system in the hills, at least hundreds of years before, and because of rural depopulation the knowledge and labour to maintain them had been lost. The abundance of water was not natural, it was human created, and then human lost.

I think the final problem I wanted to speak about is the 'it's the end users fault' problem. I pay for my water, through water rates (a tax on the property I live in). Others have water meters. The company that gets that money has to supply me water, and take away my sewage. The company used to be a public utility, but was privatised when I was young. When there is a drought they tell me I should shower rather than bath, they ban the use of hosepipes! They tell me to buy low flush toilets and more efficient washing machines. But they never share that pain, they still make massive profits for their shareholders. The private water companies in the UK have not built a single reservoir since privatisation in 1989. To be fair most of the water infrastructure is Victorian. The infrastructure that filed reservoirs was left unmaintained. A staggering amount of water leaks from pipes in the road. Their solution is for me to use less water, so they can continue to get rich. And they know that they can fail to invest forever, and the government will have to bail them out. I suspect this is the problem in other places too.

fullstop•45m ago
> I wonder if this is helpful? 'You are screwed no matter what you do' is not a good way to motivate people to action. People have heard this all before, and don't trust it. You can only cry wolf so many times with apocolyptic stories.

The water supply in a town near me is permanently contaminated by PFAS after the foam that the fire department used for training ran into the well: https://www.nbcphiladelphia.com/investigations/how-officials...

rayiner•44m ago
I'm curious. You complain about "profits," but do you know how much money private investors put into the water companies to begin with? Because the alternative to privatization was the government issuing bonds to get that money. Are these profits more or less than the interest to bondholders you'd otherwise be paying?

Here in the U.S., almost all water utilities are operated by the government. We have a more than trillion dollar investment shortfall that taxpayers will have to cover: https://nawc.org/water-industry/infrastructure-investment/. It's not a problem with our government either. Both countries just have a lot of infrastructure built in the post-war era that is nearing end-of-life. And it just costs a lot more to replace that infrastructure than people think it should cost.

Our subdivision had a community-owned water/sewer system built in the early 20th century that was failing. The county government came in and tore it all out and connected everyone to the public system back in 2014. The county imposed a charge of $32,000 per house, which was added to everyone's county tax bill to be paid over 20 years (with interest). That was just the cost of hooking one subdivision up to the existing water/sewer plants. The existing public system ended less than half a mile away.

bell-cot•30m ago
Even the Economist and FT are underwhelmed by the performance of many of England's privatized water utilities:

https://www.ft.com/content/bda390bc-8cc4-4fa4-9a90-36af08651...

https://www.economist.com/leaders/2023/07/05/the-real-proble...

gramie•20m ago
The BBC said (https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cw4478wnjdpo) that in 30 years, private water and sewerage companies in England and Wales have extracted over 86 billion pounds (~USD $115 billion), while investing very little.

Meanwhile, consumer water rates in those areas increased by as much as 50% in the past year alone.

rayiner•18m ago
What is the number? It is a huge red flag if you see an article that cites a profits number without citing a number for capital invested. You literally cannot reach a conclusion either way without comparing the two numbers.

EDIT: The UK water regulator has the capital investment data here: https://www.ofwat.gov.uk/publication/long-term-data-series-o.... What does it say?

estearum•41m ago
The big lesson in The Boy Who Cried Wolf is, after all, that wolves don't exist.

I don't see how anything you've written is relevant to the question of whether the listed behaviors are causing water supply problems.

freedomben•30m ago
Are you sure that's the big lesson? That wolves don't exist?

To me the big lesson was that wolves do actually exist, and if you repeatedly claim that they are here when they are not, then nobody will believe you when they actually are here.

mikkupikku•13m ago
Sarcasm.
alecco•1h ago
Previous discussion 21hs ago 124 points: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46754600

My comment then: UN and EU push hard for the closure of reservoirs and dams then cry about lack of freshwater, and shout "climate change" when preventable floods cause mass casualties.

code51•39m ago
Physical losses in undermaintained water grids are the biggest cause for the issue. Yet, economic downturn creates a vicious circle: governments avoid infra spend because of low funds, then agriculture and other economic output gets hit because of water shortage. Lower resource lower will for infra spend. Until you hit the very low: stopping the grid because day zero. At that point, both the grid and city hygiene becomes a mess anyway. Costs build up so much that most governments cannot cope up with it properly.

and this is why you need sane people at the top earliest

sbacic•30m ago
> Physical losses in undermaintained water grids are the biggest cause for the issue.

Correct me if I am wrong, but doesn't that mean the water is returned back to the environment? It's not made unusable, nor does it disappear permanently.

citrin_ru•13m ago
In many places water is pumped from deep underground aquifers but leaks go to surface ground waters and could quickly end-up in the Ocean so aquifers are still depleted.
jezzamon•9m ago
We're talking about accessible fresh water. If it evaporates and then rains over the ocean then it's lost, or as the article mentions, if it becomes contaminated then it's not longer usable as fresh water
ChrisArchitect•5m ago
[dupe] Earlier: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46696347

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46754600

Faelon•2m ago
We have a tremendous opportunity to use our food choices to push towards a more water-abundant world. 70% of all freshwater withdrawals go to agriculture, and 80% of agricultural land on Earth is used to feed animals. Animal-based foods are ENORMOUSLY less water efficient than plant foods, accounting for equivalent nutrition. 3oz of cheese is like leaving your shower on full blast for 30 minutes. Nearly half (46%) of all water diverted from the Colorado River is used to feed cows and the food they eat. We could cut down dramatically by eating plants directly. https://ourworldindata.org/water-use-stress https://ourworldindata.org/environmental-impact-milks https://www.npr.org/2024/09/09/nx-s1-5002090/colorado-river-...

MapLibre Tile: a modern and efficient vector tile format

https://maplibre.org/news/2026-01-23-mlt-release/
224•todsacerdoti•5h ago•50 comments

Porting 100k lines from TypeScript to Rust using Claude Code in a month

https://blog.vjeux.com/2026/analysis/porting-100k-lines-from-typescript-to-rust-using-claude-code...
46•ibobev•1h ago•20 comments

After two years of vibecoding, I'm back to writing by hand

https://atmoio.substack.com/p/after-two-years-of-vibecoding-im
201•mobitar•1h ago•82 comments

Exactitude in Science – Borges (1946) [pdf]

https://kwarc.info/teaching/TDM/Borges.pdf
12•jxmorris12•43m ago•1 comments

Google AI Overviews cite YouTube more than any medical site for health queries

https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2026/jan/24/google-ai-overviews-youtube-medical-citations-...
46•bookofjoe•1h ago•13 comments

The Holy Grail of Linux Binary Compatibility: Musl and Dlopen

https://github.com/quaadgras/graphics.gd/discussions/242
132•Splizard•7h ago•97 comments

Things I've learned in my 10 years as an engineering manager

https://www.jampa.dev/p/lessons-learned-after-10-years-as
324•jampa•4d ago•81 comments

The browser is the sandbox

https://simonwillison.net/2026/Jan/25/the-browser-is-the-sandbox/
250•enos_feedler•10h ago•144 comments

Apple introduces new AirTag with longer range and improved findability

https://www.apple.com/newsroom/2026/01/apple-introduces-new-airtag-with-expanded-range-and-improv...
102•meetpateltech•1h ago•102 comments

Transfering Files with gRPC

https://kreya.app/blog/transfering-files-with-grpc/
31•CommonGuy•2h ago•7 comments

First, make me care

https://gwern.net/blog/2026/make-me-care
688•andsoitis•20h ago•206 comments

Windows 11's Patch Tuesday nightmare gets worse

https://www.windowscentral.com/microsoft/windows-11/windows-11s-botched-patch-tuesday-update-nigh...
15•01-_-•20m ago•3 comments

Vibe coding kills open source

https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.15494
179•kgwgk•2h ago•143 comments

Show HN: Only 1 LLM can fly a drone

https://github.com/kxzk/snapbench
38•beigebrucewayne•4h ago•22 comments

Text Is King

https://www.experimental-history.com/p/text-is-king
75•zdw•5d ago•32 comments

TSMC Risk

https://stratechery.com/2026/tsmc-risk/
25•swolpers•4h ago•14 comments

Scientists identify brain waves that define the limits of 'you'

https://www.sciencealert.com/scientists-identify-brain-waves-that-define-the-limits-of-you
252•mikhael•15h ago•67 comments

Cop-assisted extortion of DWI arrestees in New Mexico include getting them drunk

https://reason.com/2026/01/23/cop-assisted-extortion-of-dwi-arrestees-in-new-mexico-included-gett...
19•leephillips•18m ago•0 comments

Blade Runner Costume Design (2020)

https://costumedesignarchive.blogspot.com/2020/12/blade-runner-1982.html
15•exvi•5d ago•1 comments

Wind Chime Length Calculator (2022)

https://www.snyderfamily.com/chimecalcs/
23•hyperific•5d ago•7 comments

A macOS app that blurs your screen when you slouch

https://github.com/tldev/posturr
642•dnw•23h ago•207 comments

The future of software engineering is SRE

https://swizec.com/blog/the-future-of-software-engineering-is-sre/
200•Swizec•17h ago•89 comments

AI will not replace software engineers (hopefully)

https://medium.com/@sig.segv/ai-will-not-replace-software-engineers-hopefully-84c4f8fc94c0
5•fwef64•23m ago•1 comments

LED lighting undermines visual performance unless supplemented by wider spectra

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-026-35389-6
146•bookofjoe•17h ago•131 comments

Water 'Bankruptcy' Era Has Begun for Billions, Scientists Say

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-01-20/water-bankruptcy-era-has-begun-for-billions-sc...
62•ciconia•2h ago•58 comments

Clinic-in-the-loop

https://www.asimov.press/p/clinic-loop
13•surprisetalk•4d ago•2 comments

A static site generator written in POSIX shell

https://aashvik.com/posts/shell-ssg/
56•todsacerdoti•6d ago•27 comments

Using PostgreSQL as a Dead Letter Queue for Event-Driven Systems

https://www.diljitpr.net/blog-post-postgresql-dlq
240•tanelpoder•23h ago•72 comments

Running the Stupid Cricut Software on Linux

https://arthur.pizza/2025/12/running-stupid-cricut-software-under-linux/
44•starkparker•11h ago•10 comments

Emissary, a fast open-source Java messaging library

https://github.com/joel-jeremy/emissary
25•jeyjeyemem•3d ago•10 comments