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The ladder is missing rungs – Engineering Progression When AI Ate the Middle

https://negroniventurestudios.com/2026/03/19/the-ladder-is-missing-rungs/
37•sorenvrist•6h ago

Comments

wolttam•1h ago
I feel like some of the data in this is horrendously out of date. They're referencing articles from the end of 2024.

There was a massive step-change in the capability of these models towards the end of 2025.

There is just no way that an experienced developer should be slower using the current tools. Doesn't match my experience at all.

The title of the article, though - absolutely true IMO

Esophagus4•25m ago
Yeah…

> For tasks that would take a human under four minutes—small bug fixes, boilerplate, simple implementations—AI can now do these with near-100% success. For tasks that would take a human around one hour, AI has a roughly 50% success rate. For tasks over four hours, it comes in below a 10% success rate

Opus 4.6 now does 12hr tasks with 50% success. The METR time horizon chart is insane… exponential progression.

indoordin0saur•22m ago
Really depends on what you're working in. For me, I work with a lot of data frameworks that are maybe underrepresented in these models' training sets and it still tends to get things wrong. The other issue is business logic is complex to describe in a prompt, to the point where giving it all the context and business logic for it to succeed is almost as much work as doing it myself. As a data engineer I still only find models to be useful with small chunks of code or filling in tedious boilerplate to get things moving.

Fedware: Government apps that spy harder than the apps they ban

https://www.sambent.com/the-white-house-app-has-huawei-spyware-and-an-ice-tip-line/
82•speckx•1h ago•18 comments

Do your own writing

https://alexhwoods.com/dont-let-ai-write-for-you/
105•karimf•7h ago•28 comments

How to turn anything into a router

https://nbailey.ca/post/router/
459•yabones•6h ago•172 comments

Bird brains (2023)

https://www.dhanishsemar.com/writing/bird-brains
253•DiffTheEnder•6h ago•159 comments

Cherri – programming language that compiles to an Apple Shortuct

https://github.com/electrikmilk/cherri
131•mihau•2d ago•22 comments

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https://www.codingfont.com/
198•nvahalik•4h ago•113 comments

A sea of sparks: Seeing radioactivity

https://maurycyz.com/projects/spinthariscope/
23•maurycyz•1h ago•6 comments

Seeing Like a Spreadsheet

https://davidoks.blog/p/how-the-spreadsheet-reshaped-america
20•paulpauper•2d ago•1 comments

OCR for construction documents does not work, we fixed it

https://www.getanchorgrid.com/developer/docs/endpoints/drawings-doors
67•wcisco17•3h ago•46 comments

William Blake, Remote by the Sea

https://www.laphamsquarterly.org/roundtable/william-blake-remote-sea
9•occurrence•42m ago•0 comments

Build123d: A Python CAD programming library

https://github.com/gumyr/build123d
82•Ivoah•22h ago•35 comments

The Hateful Eight is 85% of S&P 500 Decline

https://paulkedrosky.com/chart-of-the-day-the-hateful-eight-is-85-of-s-p-500-decline/
19•aanet•1h ago•13 comments

Take better notes, by hand

https://brianschrader.com/archive/take-better-notes-by-hand/
118•sonicrocketman•3h ago•57 comments

In math, rigor is vital, but are digitized proofs taking it too far?

https://www.quantamagazine.org/in-math-rigor-is-vital-but-are-digitized-proofs-taking-it-too-far-...
65•isaacfrond•4d ago•51 comments

An NSFW filter for Marginalia search

https://www.marginalia.nu/log/a_134_nsfw/
47•speckx•3h ago•7 comments

Mathematical methods and human thought in the age of AI

https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.26524
167•zaikunzhang•8h ago•65 comments

FTC action against Match and OkCupid for deceiving users, sharing personal data

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173•gnabgib•4h ago•88 comments

Show HN: Coasts – Containerized Hosts for Agents

https://github.com/coast-guard/coasts
28•jsunderland323•4h ago•9 comments

The curious case of retro demo scene graphics

https://www.datagubbe.se/aipixels/
321•zdw•14h ago•81 comments

I am definitely missing the pre-AI writing era

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/BJ4pnropWdnzzgeJc/i-am-definitely-missing-the-pre-ai-writing-era
182•joozio•12h ago•155 comments

How Does Offline Bitcoin Signing Work Step by Step

https://frozensecurity.com/blog/how-offline-bitcoin-signing-works/
3•frozensecurity•55m ago•1 comments

I use Excalidraw to manage my diagrams for my blog

https://blog.lysk.tech/excalidraw-frame-export/
235•mlysk•12h ago•99 comments

New Washington state law bans noncompete agreements

https://www.seattletimes.com/business/local-business/new-washington-law-bans-noncompete-agreements/
231•toomuchtodo•2h ago•89 comments

Proactively Parasocial

https://nicklandolfi.com/posts/proactively-parasocial.html
18•jxmorris12•4d ago•3 comments

Fibonacci's Composed Fractions

https://ztoz.blog/posts/fibonacci-fractions/
6•aebtebeten•3d ago•1 comments

You are falling behind because you haven't fed the insincerity machine

https://christianheilmann.com/2026/03/28/you-are-falling-behind-because-you-havent-fed-the-insinc...
99•speckx•2h ago•17 comments

The ladder is missing rungs – Engineering Progression When AI Ate the Middle

https://negroniventurestudios.com/2026/03/19/the-ladder-is-missing-rungs/
37•sorenvrist•6h ago•3 comments

Recover Apple Keychain

https://arkoinad.com/posts/apple_keychain_recovery.html
10•speckx•2h ago•0 comments

Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman Equation: Reinforcement Learning and Diffusion Models

https://dani2442.github.io/posts/continuous-rl/
135•sebzuddas•12h ago•39 comments

Copilot edited an ad into my PR

https://notes.zachmanson.com/copilot-edited-an-ad-into-my-pr/
1370•pavo-etc•15h ago•561 comments