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Human migration has surged since 2000 – these maps reveal where people are going

https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-026-01796-y
35•tzury•1h ago

Comments

mettamage•1h ago
As the article points out. The researcher’s site has an exploratory tool to view the data [1].

[1] https://www.socsc.hku.hk/rhps/global-migration/

gadders•2m ago
If you pick 2023/2024 and the UK, you can see the disaster that is the Boris Wave.
curiousObject•1h ago
People who believe they are financially secure may move from regions which are considered “wealthy” to regions which are seen to be “poorer” (and cheaper). This outflow can influence this data.

https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/american-...

swiftcoder•45m ago
> This outflow can influence this data

Influence how? Migrations from wealthy to poor regions are still migrations, no?

firesteelrain•1h ago
Can someone explain the graphic?
blondie9x•29m ago
The graphic seems vague and not particularly revealing.
firesteelrain•8m ago
I was trying to figure out the inflow and outflow. It looks bidirectional.
FrustratedMonky•4m ago
Left to Right.

Leaving, Arriving.

Supernaut•1h ago
Further down the page, there's a link to an article from a couple of years ago, titled "Migration isn’t increasing".

So which is it?

swiftcoder•19m ago
There's a quote from one of the study authors:

  "Because previous estimation methods relied on coarse five-year snapshots, 
   they yielded very few data points and created the impression that the rate 
   of global migration flows was stable," adds co-author Guy Abel, a research 
   scholar in the Migration and Sustainable Development Research Group of the 
   IIASA Population and Just Societies Program and professor at the University 
   of Hong Kong. "Our annual data provides a clearer picture, revealing that 
   this rate has actually risen since 2000. This upward trend appears to be 
   driven by long-term demographic shifts and economic development rather than 
   sudden, isolated crises."
So if I'm following correctly, when you look at coarse data, you miss a lot of the smaller-scale migration, and that small-scale migration pushes the totals up a lot?
bcjdjsndon•9m ago
Their dataset is so pathetically small you can't infer anything from it. There are still people alive from the India/Pakistan migration in 48 and that would be number one on this list
swiftcoder•46m ago
Fascinating to see that MENA is a net positive on migration. There's often a lot of rhetoric around MENA migration to Europe and North America, but you hear much less about migration to MENA countries.
Cthulhu_•27m ago
I think people underestimate how many people move back to their home country once they have a better chance (through e.g. education or money) and / or when the situation there improves (e.g. stability). It's why I don't understand why the anti-immigration parties don't do more internationally to help other countries.
pjc50•21m ago
The Gulf states take in a lot of migrant workers, who have basically no labour rights there.

https://www.ilo.org/regions-and-countries/arab-states/united...

"The UAE hosts some 8.7 million migrant workers – equivalent to over 80 per cent of the country’s resident population – making it one of the largest foreign labour-receiving countries in the world. With Emirati nationals mainly employed in the public sector, migrant workers constitute the bulk of private sector employment"

nirav72•6m ago
Isn't migration to MENA - specifically migration to North Africa mainly from Sub-Saharan part of Africa?
nobrains•38m ago
Why has , recently, Pakistan been seen added more and more to a new category "MENAP" and separate from South Asia (i.e. India, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, and Bangladesh) ?

These classifications should be geographic and could even racial, but it seems this new classification (MENAP) seems more "religious"

kdheiwns•34m ago
In America at least, all the hot deserty places between Europe and India=Middle East. I only started hearing the term "South Asia" to refer to places like Pakistan after encountering more non-Americans online. Afghanistan is also considered as part of the Middle East to basically every average American (hence why it's lumped in with all those "Middle Eastern wars"), but I'm not sure if it's seen that way in other areas.
ricardobeat•27m ago
Pakistan being “south asia” makes about as much sense as Turkey and Saudi Arabia being labeled “west asia”. Technically correct, odd choice for modern communication.
bcjdjsndon•13m ago
Bangladesh is Muslim though
nomilk•37m ago
Only 1.7m people left North America in 2023 (4.4m arrivals). Would be interesting to compare to figures from 2025.
gcanyon•30m ago
> interesting

You have a funny way of spelling "sad" my friend.

ricardobeat•32m ago
Interesting how South America, with several countries made up majorly of immigrants, receives almost no new migrants now.

Meanwhile the middle-east population is fleeing and being replaced with asians?

Cthulhu_•29m ago
"fleeing" and "replaced" are loaded terms, I don't think you can derive that from this data. That said, there's a lot of workers being imported from Asia to the middle-east for their ambitious construction projects, could that explain it?
bcjdjsndon•12m ago
> Meanwhile the middle-east population is fleeing and being replaced with asians?

Persians brought Hinduism to India, so maybe they're returning the favour

somelamer567•24m ago
The year 2000 also happens to coincide with the rise of the Putin regime. One of their favourite methods of statecraft is to spitefully lash out at perceived "enemies" by using their enormous information-warfare capability to stoke irregular immigration in ways to maximise chaos in countries that Russia hates and resents.
gaiagraphia•20m ago
Here's the actual graph/data in question. The article is a dense academic snooooooozefest:

https://www.socsc.hku.hk/rhps/global-migration/

Ffs, trying to click on a country and the globe keeps rotating, hahah. When i click on nations, it doesn't tell me the numbers either, there's just these blobby lines :/

Not very usable.

Milpotel•12m ago
Options -> change projection helps a little bit.
bcjdjsndon•14m ago
*data doesn't go back beyond 2000, safe to ignore
pjc50•11m ago
???

Data quality issues usually get worse the further back you go.

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Human migration has surged since 2000 – these maps reveal where people are going

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