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AI 2027 (2025)

https://ai-2027.com
20•gafferongames•4h ago

Comments

27183•4h ago
> It’s informed by trend extrapolations, wargames, expert feedback, experience at OpenAI, and previous forecasting successes.

In other words: bias. Tons and tons of self-congratulatory, glue sniffing bias.

Mond_•4m ago
> Hacker News Guidelines

> Please don't post shallow dismissals, especially of other people's work. A good critical comment teaches us something.

sigalor•4h ago
I wonder when the people will get that intelligence is not only directed at the external, but only really starts when you look at the internal (joy, pleasure, traumas, taboos, awkwardness, abuse etc.). Look up the word "interoception".
glenstein•4h ago
>Agent-2, more so than previous models, is effectively “online learning,” in that it’s built to never really finish training. Every day, the weights get updated to the latest version, trained on more data generated by the previous version the previous day.

That seems to me to be a natural progression, from discrete models to models that are just continuously improved. Maybe we'll end up with different models with different rates of improvement rather than static differences in performance, and methodologies for that improvement will be the thing we care about. Maybe over time, even benchmark tests will be primarily concerned with that kind of efficiency.

I think a huge debate right now is the relative value of the "frontier" models from Western companies at the cutting edge, vs distilled versions of those models that are good enough and exponentially cheaper coming from China. But a paradigm of 'always training' means an always active, always advancing frontier, which is a stronger moat than a one-off model that's more advanced for a few months.

Topology1•1h ago
Mom said it was my turn to post this
Ydarbleoj•1h ago
Sorry, but the notion that creative writing and robotaxi's exist as proof of anything is like saying my child can drive and write; and while true, the measure of that ability is not at the level of the best humans. It's average at best.
weezing•57m ago
At which point do we get to fight in the anti clanker uprising?
firemelt•57m ago
https://isaiprofitable.com/

I like this one better

ealready_value•37m ago
Oh look, the answer is the same when I looked a couple months ago. Interesting

Rust is tier-1 language at Microsoft

https://rustfoundation.org/media/guest-post-rust-is-tier-1-language-at-microsoft/
410•mmastrac•5h ago•220 comments

Cognition launches new SWE-2 model, Rivaling Fable 5.1 and GPT-Astra

https://cognition.com/blog/swe-2
169•seelos•3h ago•89 comments

I have a theory that software drives people insane

https://graybeard.ing/software-drives-people-insane/
141•rglover•2h ago•63 comments

More questions about whether researchers can trust OpenAI with unpublished math

https://mathstodon.xyz/@andreasthom/117240535270608201
269•pred_•12h ago•398 comments

NASA Color Trick Was Meant for Mars. Now It's Unveiling Rock Art on Earth

https://gizmodo.com/this-nasa-color-trick-was-meant-for-mars-now-its-unveiling-rock-art-on-earth-...
113•gumby•3h ago•17 comments

Shopify moves back to Native from React Native

https://shopify.engineering/back-to-native
515•fnthawar2•4h ago•364 comments

Neki

https://planetscale.com/blog/introducing-neki
115•simon_weber•3h ago•44 comments

Forgejo <=16.0.3 Critical RCE

https://codeberg.org/forgejo/forgejo/src/branch/forgejo/release-notes-published/16.0.4.md
54•weierstass•2h ago•25 comments

Douglas Hofstadter: Analogy as the Core of Cognition [video]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n8m7lFQ3njk
60•tosh•4d ago•26 comments

Music Theory for the 21st-Century Classroom

https://musictheory.pugetsound.edu/mt21c/MusicTheory.html
21•aanet•1h ago•5 comments

Silicon Valley Is Transforming the Military-Industrial Complex

https://costsofwar.watson.brown.edu/paper/how-big-tech-and-silicon-valley-are-transforming-milita...
64•paimapi•3h ago•83 comments

Hitachi launches CO2 heat pump water heaters with solar-friendly tariff controls

https://www.pv-magazine.com/2026/09/07/hitachi-launches-co2-heat-pump-water-heaters-with-solar-fr...
233•thelastgallon•1d ago•194 comments

>10x More Efficient Pretraining

https://magic.dev/blog/pretraining#
88•ronfriedhaber•2d ago•47 comments

DeepSeek v4.1 Flash

https://twitter.com/deepseek_ai/status/2097930608790167907
828•Liwink•12h ago•460 comments

Neki is sharded Postgres by PlanetScale

https://neki.dev/
81•handfuloflight•3h ago•21 comments

Cognition's SWE-2 achieves 92.8 on Terminal-Bench 2.1

https://tokenstead.ai/models/swe-2
15•cdnsteve•1h ago•5 comments

What algorithm did Windows XP use to choose your initial user picture?

https://devblogs.microsoft.com/oldnewthing/20260909-00/?p=112683
289•soheilpro•9h ago•143 comments

List of references on Sony websites to players "owning" their digital games

https://consumerrights.wiki/w/Sony_PlayStation_digital_game_ownership_lawsuit
269•haunter•6h ago•89 comments

Macbeth and His Problems

https://porticoquarterly.com/essay/macbeth-and-his-problems/
61•apophatic•2d ago•23 comments

JEP 544: Ahead-of-Time Code Compilation

https://openjdk.org/jeps/544
14•Skinney•1h ago•9 comments

Casablanca: How an unproduced play marched into movie history

https://www.thecollector.com/casablanca-unproduced-play-movie-history/
33•mdp2021•2h ago•10 comments

Python sets and dictionaries can have quadratic-time performance

https://lemire.me/blog/2026/09/03/python-sets-and-dictionaries-can-have-quadratic-time-performance/
52•ibobev•2d ago•22 comments

Stockfish 19

https://stockfishchess.org/blog/2026/stockfish-19/
225•atiedebee•3d ago•131 comments

iPhone Duo

https://www.apple.com/iphone-duo/
1364•thecosmicfrog•1d ago•2375 comments

To write non-fiction, draw the trunk, then the rest of the tree

https://devz.cl/posts/how-to-write/
63•DanielVZ•2d ago•21 comments

Show HN: DOOM in the kernel, or fibers in eBPF

https://ayles.github.io/doom-in-kernel/
15•ayles•1d ago•5 comments

Show HN: MultiMatte, a Promptable Image Background Removal Model

https://usefeyn.com/blog/multimatte/
12•snyy•3h ago•4 comments

AI 2027 (2025)

https://ai-2027.com
21•gafferongames•4h ago•9 comments

The Four-Color Theorem Gets a Rare New Proof

https://www.quantamagazine.org/the-four-color-theorem-gets-a-rare-new-proof-20260910/
21•pavel_lishin•4h ago•5 comments

Show HN: Syq – copy files between machines fast (better than rsync)

https://greaber.github.io/syq/
21•greaber•3h ago•27 comments