Interesting document. People are vibe coding some crazy shit:

"A single Claude subscriber, likely a Bamako-based independent consultant working with Mali’s state intelligence service, the “Agence Nationale de la Sécurité d’État (ANSE),” used Claude to build a system named “Lakana 360,” a population-scale domestic surveillance platform that monitors roughly 25 million SIM cards on all three of the country’s national mobile operators. The actor designed the platform to circumvent Malian legal restrictions that require a court order for the disclosure of certain surveillance records. The actor directed Claude to generate intelligence dossiers on any tasked phone number, without prompting ANSE users for valid legal process. "

And the Yemen one:

"We identified a cell of threat actors based in northern Yemen running three weapons development programs: a guided rocket that used a commodity phone-class flight computer with final-phase homing guidance; a multi-stage ballistic missile with a stated range goal above 2,000 km; and a multi-variant missile (referred to as the “R2000” set) that included a hypersonic glide vehicle variant." ... "These actors carried out a sustained effort to develop guided weapons, including using Claude to design guidance software. We do not have evidence the actors succeeded in fielding an operational device; but they did test-fire a guided rocket. This field test appears to have failed: within hours, the actors returned to Claude to work out why it failed."

Fascinating document - the headline (can't ready the article) talking about a bioweapon (i.e. a weird obsession of anthropic's) really buries the interesting part.

link?

If it didn't work, they wouldn't be doing it.

I mean, they literally tell everyone they're "spying" on their customers. They've made that very clear.

I accidentally brewed up an effective one myself. Round when I must have been 8 or 9 or so, some neighborhood kids and I played at creating a brew in a trick-or-treat bucket by putting everything we could find in it, like grass clippings, some sand, leaves, some mushrooms we found lying around, just everything, and giving it a fairly aggressive stirring. At the end of the day it was time to dispose of it, so we poured it on top of a very large group of ant nests that had developed.

The next day, the ant's nest was gone.

In hindsight, it was almost certainly the mushrooms. Thank goodness we didn't have the kind of kids who would have dared each other to drink some... that could have gone legitimately badly.

Decades later, I mentioned this to my father and he recalled that there was this ants nest that he had intended to take care of, which he remembered for that long to give a sense of how out-of-the-ordinary this was. He was surprised when it just disappeared entirely one day, and perhaps just as surprised to find out decades later why it just disappeared.

Nobody needs to report me... I'll turn myself in.

Straight to jail

That was the chemical weapons block, not the bioweapons block!

Guessing Opus 5 burned through kilowatts of thinking tokens to output, "powerhouse of a cell."

There's something worth flagging here – mitochondria aren't just the powerhouse of the cell, they're load-bearing to the entire ecosystem. And honestly? I should have surfaced this earlier.

The difference between nukes and bioweapons is energy level. Body counts are on the same order of magnitude. Bioweapons are just way easier to make and much harder to detect.

>successful deployment of a biological weapon by a rogue state actor

I was under impression that any medium or large state actor would have no problem developing biological weapons? They certainly have enough resources and talent. A much bigger problem is if every wannabe-terrorist suddenly could build a biological weapon in their garage.

I don't know why you emphasize rogue and non-state actors. It seems equally likely to me that it would be done by America. America is the only country who deployed nukes (Japan) and chemical weapons (Vietnam) on massive scales.

I can agree that access to bioengineering tooling is easier and cheaper than ever, and thus eventually it stands to reason that a nobody in his basement could engineer a lethal novel virus and lose control of it.