Given the leaks recently that they’re all aiming for an IPO asap, is this a strong signal that their investors feel this is the peak of their valuation for the near if not indefinite future?
I understand it’s impossible to know anything for sure, least of all how the market will react regardless of the motivations of these players, but I’m curious to get some perspectives.
There is little chance of Mars being profitable. Every colonization (and we have a rich history of them) is "successful" if it is profitable for the backers. But unlike North America or South Africa for the Europeans, there are no resources there worth bringing back. It's a cool vanity and possibly scientific project but not an interesting business.
Renting out all the GPUs stockpiled by Musk sort of is, unless they get constrained by power, water, etc. Launching them into space may be worthwhile for the short term. That's a business that can be profitable, but not in a way that matches the cost of the equity (with Elon strings attached all over it).
Practically, if you didn't like the idea of Iran threatening cables under the Strait of Hormuz, wait until your Starlinks (and your zero-G factories producing incredibly important whatevers) are threatened by a hostile nation. For commercial applications in space to become normal, military protections in space need to become normal. Now you've bought an interesting new world.
Really, SpaceX is Musk 3.11 for Workgroups and you have however long til he expires to find out how good that is.
Thankfully the richest man in the world owns it and is young and hyper and crazy enough to stick it out.
Also what happens when these players cannot afford to keep offering cheap token generation?
You've reached the end!
cinntaile•6h ago