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Robust and Interactable World Models in Computer Vision [video]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9B4kkaGOozA
1•Anon84•3m ago•0 comments

Nestlé couldn't crack Japan's coffee market.Then they hired a child psychologist

https://twitter.com/BigBrainMkting/status/2019792335509541220
1•rmason•4m ago•0 comments

Notes for February 2-7

https://taoofmac.com/space/notes/2026/02/07/2000
2•rcarmo•5m ago•0 comments

Study confirms experience beats youthful enthusiasm

https://www.theregister.com/2026/02/07/boomers_vs_zoomers_workplace/
2•Willingham•12m ago•0 comments

The Big Hunger by Walter J Miller, Jr. (1952)

https://lauriepenny.substack.com/p/the-big-hunger
1•shervinafshar•14m ago•0 comments

The Genus Amanita

https://www.mushroomexpert.com/amanita.html
1•rolph•19m ago•0 comments

We have broken SHA-1 in practice

https://shattered.io/
3•mooreds•19m ago•2 comments

Ask HN: Was my first management job bad, or is this what management is like?

1•Buttons840•20m ago•0 comments

Ask HN: How to Reduce Time Spent Crimping?

1•pinkmuffinere•22m ago•0 comments

KV Cache Transform Coding for Compact Storage in LLM Inference

https://arxiv.org/abs/2511.01815
1•walterbell•26m ago•0 comments

A quantitative, multimodal wearable bioelectronic device for stress assessment

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-025-67747-9
1•PaulHoule•28m ago•0 comments

Why Big Tech Is Throwing Cash into India in Quest for AI Supremacy

https://www.wsj.com/world/india/why-big-tech-is-throwing-cash-into-india-in-quest-for-ai-supremac...
1•saikatsg•28m ago•0 comments

How to shoot yourself in the foot – 2026 edition

https://github.com/aweussom/HowToShootYourselfInTheFoot
1•aweussom•29m ago•0 comments

Eight More Months of Agents

https://crawshaw.io/blog/eight-more-months-of-agents
4•archb•30m ago•0 comments

From Human Thought to Machine Coordination

https://www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog/the-digital-self/202602/from-human-thought-to-machine-coo...
1•walterbell•31m ago•0 comments

The new X API pricing must be a joke

https://developer.x.com/
1•danver0•32m ago•0 comments

Show HN: RMA Dashboard fast SAST results for monorepos (SARIF and triage)

https://rma-dashboard.bukhari-kibuka7.workers.dev/
1•bumahkib7•32m ago•0 comments

Show HN: Source code graphRAG for Java/Kotlin development based on jQAssistant

https://github.com/2015xli/jqassistant-graph-rag
1•artigent•37m ago•0 comments

Python Only Has One Real Competitor

https://mccue.dev/pages/2-6-26-python-competitor
4•dragandj•39m ago•0 comments

Tmux to Zellij (and Back)

https://www.mauriciopoppe.com/notes/tmux-to-zellij/
1•maurizzzio•39m ago•1 comments

Ask HN: How are you using specialized agents to accelerate your work?

1•otterley•41m ago•0 comments

Passing user_id through 6 services? OTel Baggage fixes this

https://signoz.io/blog/otel-baggage/
1•pranay01•41m ago•0 comments

DavMail Pop/IMAP/SMTP/Caldav/Carddav/LDAP Exchange Gateway

https://davmail.sourceforge.net/
1•todsacerdoti•42m ago•0 comments

Visual data modelling in the browser (open source)

https://github.com/sqlmodel/sqlmodel
1•Sean766•44m ago•0 comments

Show HN: Tharos – CLI to find and autofix security bugs using local LLMs

https://github.com/chinonsochikelue/tharos
1•fluantix•45m ago•0 comments

Oddly Simple GUI Programs

https://simonsafar.com/2024/win32_lights/
1•MaximilianEmel•45m ago•0 comments

The New Playbook for Leaders [pdf]

https://www.ibli.com/IBLI%20OnePagers%20The%20Plays%20Summarized.pdf
1•mooreds•45m ago•1 comments

Interactive Unboxing of J Dilla's Donuts

https://donuts20.vercel.app
1•sngahane•47m ago•0 comments

OneCourt helps blind and low-vision fans to track Super Bowl live

https://www.dezeen.com/2026/02/06/onecourt-tactile-device-super-bowl-blind-low-vision-fans/
1•gaws•49m ago•0 comments

Rudolf Vrba

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rudolf_Vrba
1•mooreds•49m ago•0 comments
Open in hackernews

Ask HN: Times the world has dodged a bullet

17•tempestn•4mo ago
I sometimes find myself frustrated, looking at ways history turned on a tiny unlucky break, resulting in things being, from my perspective, significantly worse than they otherwise might have been but for a bit of bad luck.

I was thinking it might be helpful to consider cases of the opposite, when we got lucky and maybe I don't even realize it, since we wouldn't necessarily spend a lot of time thinking about, or even necessarily be aware of, a bad thing that merely almost happened. (Or even more so, a good thing that never did.)

The most obvious examples are the two instances of possibly averted nuclear war: Vasily Arkhipov blocking the launch of a nuclear strike from a Soviet sub during the Cuban missile crisis, and Stanislav Petrov choosing not to report an apparent missile launch from the US in the (correct) belief that it was a false alarm.

Are there any others that come to mind? I suppose someone with a very different belief system than mine might count some of my unlucky happenings instead as lucky ones, but are there any other reasonably objective ones? Discoveries made by chance that likely would not have been made for a long time otherwise? Wars narrowly averted? Other sorts of positive events I'm not even considering?

As a final aside, this wasn't in my mind when I started writing, but I'm now reminded of the Apple TV series For All Mankind. While it's obviously fiction and takes a lot of liberties, I think it does pretty well at showing how significantly history might be altered by individual events.

Comments

tempestn•4mo ago
One other one that just came to mind is the Chernobyl disaster. Obviously it was still a disaster (it's in the name!), but if I recall correctly, there was a water reservoir below the meltdown, which if reached (and I think it came close?) would likely have caused an explosion that would have spread enough radiation to make much of eastern Europe uninhabitable, among other disastrous effects. That's quite a dodged bullet.
codyro•4mo ago
I just finished Hot Zone by Richard Preston, which is about some of the origins of Ebola and an example case of potential disaster being thwarted by the hair of our chin. Fun read.
nocoiner•4mo ago
HIV being relatively intransmissible.

I don’t know the biodynamics of a virus with its case fatality rate and latency period being susceptible to airborne transmission, but if it had been…

retrac•4mo ago
I have often thought about the timing of HIV's emergence.

Retroviruses were discovered only a few years before the first AIDS cases. The molecular amplification technologies that form the basis of HIV testing were only developed in the 1970s. The first antivirals that worked against HIV had been developed to treat other retroviruses, just a few years before, too.

If it had emerged in the early 20th century, there would have been no tests for it and no treatments for it. It would have been impossible to control. (We don't do a very good job of it even with all the tools we have now.)

karlshea•4mo ago
I bet this question would also get a lot of fun answers on the AskHistorians subreddit.
bawis•4mo ago
Someone (OP it's your question) should post this question there.
tempestn•4mo ago
Done!
tempestn•4mo ago
And removed because they don't allow "hypothetical questions".
karlshea•4mo ago
:(
RickS•4mo ago
The discovery of penicillin in dirty petris that had been left out over vacation:

https://time.com/4049403/alexander-fleming-history/

tempestn•4mo ago
I wonder how much later antibiotics would have been discovered if not for that.
muzani•4mo ago
It took thousands of years for people to discover agriculture. Eventually they all do or they get assimilated by the ones who do. But I think this might have taken a very, very long time as well.
getlawgdon•4mo ago
Stanislav Petrov
dh2022•4mo ago
Your heart is in the right place, and Stanislav Petrov deserves all of our respect. However, the reality is more complicated. Due to geography, USSR used a system called dead hand [0] to detect a nuclear attack and to retaliate. In particular, SLBMs launched by US off the coast of Norway needed only 5 minutes travel time to Moscow. Similarly, US Pershing missiles stationed in West Germany required about 6-7 minutes to reach Moscow. All of these meant USSR required a nuclear retaliatory system that could prevent hasty decisions. Hence Dead Hand system.

On the other hand, Vasily Arkhipov probably stopped a nuclear war in Oct 1962 [1]...

[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dead_Hand [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vasily_Arkhipov

ivape•4mo ago
Hitler didn't get the nuke.
seydor•4mo ago
The Battle of Vienna

The Battle of Plataea

Someone•4mo ago
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1983_Soviet_nuclear_false_alar...:

“On 26 September 1983, during the Cold War, the Soviet nuclear early warning system Oko reported the launch of one intercontinental ballistic missile with four more missiles behind it, from the United States. These missile attack warnings were suspected to be false alarms by Stanislav Petrov, an engineer of the Soviet Air Defence Forces on duty at the command center of the early-warning system. He decided to wait for corroborating evidence—of which none arrived—rather than immediately relaying the warning up the chain of command. This decision is seen as having prevented a retaliatory nuclear strike against the United States and its NATO allies, which would likely have resulted in a full-scale nuclear war. Investigation of the satellite warning system later determined that the system had indeed malfunctioned.”

7373737373•4mo ago
> human ancestors went through a severe population bottleneck with about 1280 breeding individuals between around 930,000 and 813,000 years ago. The bottleneck lasted for about 117,000 years and brought human ancestors close to extinction

https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.abq7487

tempestn•4mo ago
That's wild. How would a population of 1000ish survive for that long without growing or going extinct?