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Ubuntu 25.10 Delivering Some Nice Performance Gains for Core Ultra Lunar Lake

https://www.phoronix.com/review/ubuntu-2510-lunar-lake
1•rbanffy•46s ago•0 comments

Towards a Typology of LLM Chains-of-Thought

https://1a3orn.com/sub/2025-10-weird-cot.html
1•1a3orn•1m ago•0 comments

Sam Altman says ChatGPT has hit 800M weekly active users

https://techcrunch.com/2025/10/06/sam-altman-says-chatgpt-has-hit-800m-weekly-active-users/
1•mfiguiere•3m ago•0 comments

Live from DevDay – The OpenAI Podcast Ep. 7 [video]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QIdUllqmuls
1•emrehan•3m ago•0 comments

Rivian CEO Doubles Down on Decision to Not Offer Apple CarPlay

https://www.macrumors.com/2025/10/06/rivian-ceo-doubles-down-on-skipping-carplay/
1•CharlesW•3m ago•0 comments

Remove Watermark from Video Online – AI Video Watermark Remover

https://video-watermark-remover.com
1•jacksteven•4m ago•0 comments

Declarative Partial Updates Proposal

https://github.com/WICG/declarative-partial-updates
1•llcooliovice•5m ago•1 comments

Intuit's Numaflow Abstracts Away Infrastructure for ML Engineers

https://thenewstack.io/intuits-numaflow-abstracts-away-infrastructure-for-ml-engineers/
6•syayi•7m ago•0 comments

Scientists invent ACE2 biologic that blocks infection from all Covid variants

https://www.nature.com/articles/s42003-025-08819-w
2•ck2•7m ago•0 comments

Iridogorgia Chewbacca

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iridogorgia_chewbacca
2•thunderbong•9m ago•0 comments

Bari Weiss runs a Trump-friendly site – now she'll be in charge of CBS News

https://www.msnbc.com/opinion/msnbc-opinion/bari-weiss-cbs-news-free-press-trump-editor-in-chief-...
10•donsupreme•11m ago•0 comments

Nearly half of drivers killed in (Ohio County) crashes had THC in their blood

https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2025/10/251005085621.htm
6•pogue•13m ago•3 comments

OpenAI - Intro to Agent Builder [video]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=44eFf-tRiSg
1•ahmetcadirci25•14m ago•0 comments

Why your S&P 500 index fund might be more risky than the internet bubble

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-your-s-p-500-index-fund-might-be-more-risky-than-the-intern...
1•zerosizedweasle•17m ago•1 comments

Orbstack Debug Shell [March 2024]

https://docs.orbstack.dev/features/debug
2•TheTaytay•17m ago•1 comments

Harvard Students Skip Class and Still Get High Grades, Faculty Say

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/10/06/us/harvard-students-absenteeism.html
2•jimnotgym•25m ago•1 comments

Show HN: Marketplace for buying and selling land plots with mineral reserves

https://oreplot.com
1•hagan•25m ago•0 comments

OpenZL: A Novel Data Compression Framework

https://github.com/facebook/openzl
11•felixhandte•25m ago•4 comments

'Obedient, yielding and happy to follow': the troubling rise of AI girlfriends

https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2025/oct/06/rise-of-ai-girlfriends-adult-dating-websites
6•n1b0m•27m ago•0 comments

Open AI: Apps SDK

https://developers.openai.com/apps-sdk/
46•alvis•29m ago•18 comments

Deez Nust for Nust University

https://www.nutslms.com
1•dodobirdy•29m ago•1 comments

Show HN: AI generated summaries of tech news/announcements

https://www.techbriefai.com
1•ailinykh•31m ago•0 comments

Hostage to the Process

https://www.oldschoolburke.com/013-hostage-to-the-process/
1•zdosb•31m ago•2 comments

Rwf ‐ Rust Web Framework

https://crates.io/crates/rwf
1•kristianpaul•32m ago•0 comments

An Entropy Calculi

https://zenodo.org/records/17279652
2•rjn•33m ago•1 comments

ClickHouse: We scaled raw GROUP BY to 100B+ rows in under a second

https://clickhouse.com/blog/clickhouse-parallel-replicas
2•tosh•33m ago•0 comments

Dbrand lets Android users drink the Cosmic Orange juice, too

https://www.theverge.com/news/792712/dbrand-android-device-skins-orange-apple-iphone-17-pro
2•fcpguru•34m ago•0 comments

Show HN: I Built a Transcription CLI Because Uploading 4GB Videos Was Killing Me

https://medium.com/@illyism/i-built-a-youtube-transcription-cli-tool-because-uploading-4gb-videos...
3•illyism•34m ago•1 comments

Sora 2 clones start flooding the App Store worldwide

https://9to5mac.com/2025/10/04/sora-2-clones-start-flooding-the-app-store-worldwide/
1•fcpguru•35m ago•0 comments

Video generation with the Sora 2 API

https://platform.openai.com/docs/guides/video-generation
2•minimaxir•36m ago•1 comments
Open in hackernews

One to two Starlink satellites are falling back to Earth each day

https://earthsky.org/human-world/1-to-2-starlink-satellites-falling-back-to-earth-each-day/
53•af78•2h ago

Comments

JumpCrisscross•1h ago
> Soon, McDowell told us, there will be up to 5 satellite reentries per day

Starlink’s next-generation V3s, which will require Starship to launch, weigh in around 2 metric tonnes [1]. (They’re currently “around 260 and 310 kilograms” [2].)

“Every day, Earth is bombarded with more than 100 tons [91 metric tons] of dust and sand-sized particles” [3]. So we’re talking about a 2 to 10% increase in burn-up by mass. (Not accounting for energy, which natural burn-up has more of, or incomplete burn-up, which reduces the atmospheric effects of artificial mass.)

Broadly speaking, we don’t seem to be in a problematic place in respect of the atmosphere. Where improvement may be required is in moving from splashdown, where we sink space junk in the ocean, to targeted recovery.

[1] https://starlink-stories.cdn.prismic.io/starlink-stories/Z3Q...

[2] https://www.teslarati.com/spacex-elon-musk-next-gen-starlink...

[3] https://www.nasa.gov/solar-system/asteroids/asteroid-fast-fa...

Y-bar•1h ago
Asking from a place of ignorance on my part, but does the chemical composition of the satellites versus asteroids/dust have any adverse effects?
SoftTalker•54m ago
The satellites are mostly metal and silicon I would guess, not too different from asteroids.
bwestergard•51m ago
If someone has the time, I'd love to see the total amount of lead added to the atmosphere by burning up satellites compared to the amount from other anthropogenic sources.
adastra22•45m ago
Rough napkin math would be negligible impact. The amount of lead in a satellite is very small, if not actually zero. The amount of lead added by burning coal is about 30 tonnes per day.
everforward•15m ago
There is almost definitely a small, negligible amount of lead in the solder in them. Eg NASA requires a small (single digit I think) percentage of lead to prevent tin whiskering.
perihelions•50m ago
It's postulated that the high aluminum content of satellites (for perspective, Bennu samples are only 1% Al), as oxidized Al2O3 particles in the stratosphere, catalyze chemistry that destroys ozone. But that's far from a quantitatively meaningful problem, at the current scale.

This source[0] says satellite reentries are about about 12% of the space industry's contribution to ozone depletion (the big one is chlorine from solid rockets), which in turn is 0.1% of the entire anthropogenic contribution; i.e. satellite reentries are ~0.01% of the total.

https://www.space.com/spacex-starlink-reentry-pollution-dama...

schiffern•13m ago

  >0.01% of anthropogenic ozone depletion
The percent increase in stratospheric AlO is still rather alarming.

Satellite reentries in 2022 (mostly pre-megaconstellation) were already raising stratospheric AlO levels by 29.5% above normal levels (with satellites adding 17 t/year), but megaconstellations could raise that to ~480% above natural levels (adding 360 t/year).

This isn't a rounding error, it's a non-trivial change in chemical composition over the entire globe, and effecting a complex and poorly-understood part of the climate system. What could go wrong?

What else might this effect beyond ozone? I guess we're gonna find out.

https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2024GL10...

svmt•43m ago
Bloomberg ran a piece about this in March: https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2025-space-orbit-satellit...
nicce•49m ago
There is a limit how much satellites LEO/GEO can hold unless every satellite has perfect dodging system. Called as Kessler syndrome [1], and one estimate is around 70k satellites. So it is a race who can get the most satellites orbiting, because after a certain point, there is no "space" anymore, and anyone who tries to launch after that point, will be blamed for destroying the satellites of the others. Winner takes all.

[1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kessler_syndrome

dgs_sgd•45m ago
I’m just a layman, but why can’t they increase the orbital radius to solve this problem? Like, if the current “layer” is too full, have the new satellites orbit further out?
nemomarx•39m ago
Low orbit is how star link is able to achieve their connections, isn't it? I think of they moved to normal telecom orbit the performance would be like normal satellite internet too
peterfirefly•34m ago
They originally planned to be about 1100km up. They are currently about 550km up. Plenty of possible layers in between...

Another 500 km won't affect latency much. It'll be around 3 more ms per round trip.

nemomarx•11m ago
That's not a bad latency addition, you're right. Good note
parl_match•39m ago
very simple explanation but there's a few issues

radio bandwidth: higher frequencies travel a shorter distance and provide more bandwidth. so you get frequency contention and also you need your sats to be physically closer

latency: the further a sat is, the higher the latency. not an issue for text messages. a huge issue for phone calls and general internet tasks. the further you "push" your sat "back", the worst the user experience is

there's other issues too, like geostationary vs geosynchronous and coverage and exposure.

01HNNWZ0MV43FF•39m ago
WP says Low Earth Orbit is popular because it's cheap to get stuff there, the latency is low (speed of light starts to matter when you're a couple Earth diameters up) and bandwidth to the ground is high (I assume it's harder to send a signal a longer distance, even through vacuum)

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Low_Earth_orbit see "Use"

4rt•37m ago
The reason starlink are so low in the first place is its cheaper to launch to that altitude, you need way less signal strength for devices to connect to them and the round-trip latency is vastly improved. They're intended to be essentially disposable, they're going for shorter lifetime and iterating on hardware improvements faster.

The further out you get, there's less atmospheric drag and each satellite is in view of the ground stations for longer but the cost of launch is higher and latency becomes a big issue. People expect 50ms latency for internet access not 500ms.

michaelmior•35m ago
Not with a geostationary orbit. That must have a fixed radius. The problem is that satellites have to move to counteract the force of gravity to avoid falling out of orbit. But if they move too much or too little, then the satellite moves with respect to the earth and the orbit is no longer geostationary.

(Caveat: Not an expert by any means, just someone who had a similar question and did some reading, so my answer may well be incomplete or not fully correct.)

01HNNWZ0MV43FF•43m ago
A land grab. That might explain the desire to put anything in space, even something useless like mirrors to reflect sunlight
ricardobeat•40m ago
That’s one single estimate, and the problem is much more nuanced.

For example, Starlink satellites orbit so low, that even if every single one of them collides and becomes dust, it will all decay and burn up in a matter of months, a couple years at most. The debris cannot physically move to higher orbits to affect other “normal” satellites, though it might impair launches.

Conversely, collisions at much higher geosynchronous orbits can’t possibly create a dense debris field as the total area is immense, deorbit will take millions of years, and everything is usually moving at the same speed (the synchronous part).

nicce•25m ago
> For example, Starlink satellites orbit so low, that even if every single one of them collides and becomes dust, it will all decay and burn up in a matter of months, a couple years at most.

That is way too long. The threshold we are speaking of cannot allow any fragments, because they start chain reaction and destroy more satellites. And there is always one which is on the highest level. What if that gets destroyed?

bryanlarsen•21m ago
No it's not. Kessler simulations show those chain reactions happening over multiple decades.
nicce•18m ago
It purely depends of the density of objects. The whole definition of the Kessler syndrome is about the estimation when the density is too much to handle.
peterfirefly•38m ago
Starlink's orbits are so low that everything deorbits automatically. The satellites need to actively work to stay up. That means no Kessler syndrome there.

How many you can fit depends on the available technology. It should eventually be a lot more than 70K just in those low orbits... and still leave plenty of space for rocket launches and returns to thread their way in between them.

nicce•28m ago
> Starlink's orbits are so low that everything deorbits automatically.

It is enough if it goes one round around. They can make a cascading effect which can destroy tens of satellites at once, and few fragments are enough. And closer to earth you are, less space there is. They can't all orbit on exactly the same level. There is always one which is on slightly higher level.

trenbologna•1h ago
Does this create pollution? I don't think I want to inhale satellite dust.
mrguyorama•1h ago
Unfortunately right now we just don't know how it will affect things.

But, it WILL affect things in climate and atmosphere.

https://csl.noaa.gov/news/2025/427_0428.html

"Pollution" is what this is

metalman•1h ago
The real world concentrations of all of the elements that are in a satelite, dont go up by any measurable amount dues to space X sattelites burning up. What does have a huge impact is climate change causing industrial waste sites to dry up and spread dust, or just the inevitable increaes due to more human activity and mining for our resouce heavy consumption, especialy anything with chips, and batteries, exotic alloys in screens
ggreer•41m ago
Current Starlink satellites are 800-970kg[1] and 100% of their mass is vaporized on reentry, so 1-2 satellites a day would be approximately 1.5 tons per day added to the atmosphere. The atmosphere's mass is 5.15 quadrillion tons. Even if satellite vapor stayed in the atmosphere forever, it would take approximately 10,000 years before it reached 1 part per billion.

So basically it's not worth worrying about.

1. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Starlink#v2_(initial_deploymen...

advisedwang•6m ago
The launches are probably significantly worse!
ActorNightly•1h ago
At this point, Im just waiting to find out that Falcon launches aren't actually that much cheaper in reality, and are just heavily subsidized.
adastra22•43m ago
You'll be waiting a long time, because that is simply not true.
chermi•1h ago
Don't forget people are benefitting from starlink every day. Internet is a modern necessity, and more people have it/have more reliable version of it because of starlink. But maybe it doesn't count because it's Musk.
londons_explore•1h ago
0.018% of the worlds population have starlink subscriptions.

Yet 100% put up with the atmospheric pollution of a lot of mass being plasmified on the way back to earth, the light pollution, the lack of other services delivered with that spectrum, etc.

One might ask how the 99.982% of us will be compensated.

loeg•1h ago
Personally, I've never suffered from satellite plasma or light pollution from satellites, or spectrum allocation. I suspect most of the 100% are like me.
hobs•1h ago
Personally, I've never suffered when you've gotten punched in the nose either.
ggoo•56m ago
Scientific advancement has suffered from the light pollution and that advancement is a driving force behind your modern life. So you have (or will) suffer indirectly over time.
loeg•32m ago
I think your attempted connection between astronomy and modern technological conveniences is pretty thin.
IAmBroom•1m ago
Unless you don't breathe air, you can't make the first statement with absolute certainty.

"Workin' in these coal mines ain't hurt me none no-how."

oceanplexian•1h ago
A single terminal could serve an entire African village. It's also serving use cases in the Ukraine war, ships at sea, Antarctic research stations, numerous aerospace and military use cases, and so on. DTC is provide texting and emergency services to countless people who might need it in an emergancy, like we saw in North Carolina.

Last and most importantly, Starlink exists is to create revenue for SpaceX and to fund the Starship program. The value to humanity of Starship succeeding at its goals is extremely high.

tgv•1h ago
> The value to humanity of Starship succeeding at its goals is extremely high.

I beg to disagree. I see no value at all. This must be one of those accelerationist or extropianist/utilitarian beliefs.

xnx•1h ago
> The value to humanity of Starship succeeding at its goals is extremely high.

Starship to orbit sounds useful, but Starship to Mars is near useless. If that's what rich people want to spend their money on, go nuts.

thrance•31m ago
You're discounting the fact that building Starship, if successful, has a non-zero chance of taking Musk away from Earth forever. That's a huge potential positive.
leptons•53m ago
>The value to humanity of Starship succeeding at its goals is extremely high.

This does not benefit "humanity" at all, even if they do succeed. If a human colony on Mars is established, and all of humanity is wiped out on Earth, does it really benefit "humanity" or only the 0.000000001% of "humanity" located on Mars?

And life on Mars is going to be difficult, it isn't habitable, and is in fact quite hostile to life. I seriously doubt any colony on Mars would be viable long-term. If life on Earth is wiped out, the colony on Mars will very likely wither and die soon after without continued support from Earth.

Any colony on Mars is going to be so exponentially more fragile and fraught with problems for sustaining life, that the suggestion that it's somehow going to save humanity is ridiculous.

bryanlarsen•50m ago
The primary benefit of Starship is a sizable reduction of the cost of getting mass to orbit, not Mars dreams.
leptons•3m ago
That's a bit of a re-branding.

How does "getting mass to orbit" benefit all of humanity more than what we have now? Not that much, I think, but maybe you have some inside scoop that the rest of us don't know about.

londons_explore•2m ago
> The value to humanity of Starship succeeding at its goals is extremely high.

If humanity agreed with this statement, humanity would fund the program directly through investment, donations or taxes, the same way we fund roads and schools which we also value highly.

xnx•1h ago
Could we say the same about flights to Hawaii? Small number of people take lavish vacations, everyone else gets the pollution.

It's good to look at the costs vs. benefits of everything, but satellite networks are way far down on my list of concern (and I do some astrophotography).

ggoo•59m ago
After just coming back from a trip to Maui, yeah you can totally say the same about flights to Hawaii.
01HNNWZ0MV43FF•37m ago
We should. A global pollution tax would shake out a lot of problems.

A strong and trustworthy global democracy to enforce it, and to provide for the general welfare of everyone currently trapped in car-based cities... Is left as a simple exercise to the reader

runarberg•57m ago
Also worth considering is the Uber effect of public infrastructure. Meaning that politicians may use the existence of StarLink as an excuse to delay or cancel public projects which would otherwise have delivered broadband internet to under-served areas via traditional infrastructure.

This is similar to how the existence of Uber has caused delays or cancellation of public transit projects because politicians were able to say the people were better served with Uber than public transit.

garciasn•34m ago
I specifically went w/Starlink b/c the cancelation (I assume) of rural broadband initiatives and financial offsets raised the cost of rural fiber in the area of my lake home made Starlink a less expensive and significantly faster (downstream) option.

Fiber build out began three years ago and final run to home was delayed by 2y. This year they raised the cost (on an annual contract) to $85.39 for 100/100 from $39.95/month with $5/month seasonal disconnect. I can get Starlink (residential lite in my area is available) for $80/month which is supposedly limited to 120/25 but I get ~400/50 on average and is month-to-month, which saves me, being I only use the service ~6m a year.

I assume, as funding cuts continue from the federal end, this will only exacerbate the issues, in favor of wireless and/or LEO-based options--which may very well be by design.

chermi•55m ago
I'd wager many of those connections are serving much more than one person, considering they're often hubs in rural areas. But screw them.

It's interesting how if it's anti-elon, it's ok to complain about how the poor are causing the privileged some difficulties.

runarberg•53m ago
I would like to see stats how many people got new connections via traditional infrastructure. I bet that number is much higher, probably even an order of magnitude higher.

This is HN, so I should probably look for the data my self...

EDIT:

In 2024 global internet usage grew from 5.3 billion users to 5.5 Starlink grew by a similar absolute amount, from 2 million users to 4 million over the same time period, majority of users in the USA already had access to the internet via traditional infrastructure.

I tried to find how many StarLink users got internet access (or even high speed internet access) that didn’t have one before, but I couldn’t find the numbers. Somebody could correct me, but I very much doubt that number is high enough to consider StarLink to make even a blimp in providing internet to new users.

londons_explore•5m ago
> In 2024 global internet usage grew from 5.3 billion users to 5.5 Starlink grew by a similar absolute amount, from 2 million users to 4 million over the same time period,

Is this some AI answer or did you foobar this math by a factor of 100?

dweinus•8m ago
If we wanted to subsidize internet for rural and low-income communities responsibly, we could invest in fiber and other solutions, and control the externalities (this is exactly the ReConnect program is). Starlink is not that, it is a classic case of privatizing profits by socializing hidden externalities, in this case to the entire world. Externalities in the form of pollution that will cost us all more than fiber in the long run. Funny story though, Starlink was awarded a $900M subsidy to provide rural USA internet access. In the end, that money was not given because the FCC found that Starlink "failed to demonstrate that the providers could deliver the promised service.". So no, it is not about screwing rural people, it's about not getting taken advantage of by fat cats and grifters like Elon.
j45•45m ago
It's less about percentage.

Economic opportunity is largely shifting towards not only having internet access, but performant internet access.

Costs will come down. There will be alternatives.

But they might have taken much longer to come to market without something like this.

I'm not a fanboy, but there's obviously a lot of people who have worked hard to make Starlink a reality.

runarberg•26m ago
Traditional infrastructure is a proven method of bringing both the availability to uderserved areas, as well as bringing the costs down for those already served.

StarLink provides a great oportunity for politicians to delay or cancel projects which would otherwise have given broadband connection to underserved areas. In urban planning this is known as the Uber effect.

gtsop•51m ago
Or you know, we could use wires..
thrance•43m ago
Musk and his right-wing propaganda platform plays a big part in the destruction of Western democracy. He deserves the hate he is receiving. Providing internet to an insignificant fraction of the global population does not even begin to offset that.
Fairburn•2m ago
No, not because of Elon. But I can see how you think so.
superkuh•1h ago
Short lifetime and quick re-entry is a great feature of vLEO constellations. No long term space junk. Compare that to MEO or GEO where sats are there pretty much forever (hundreds to thousands of years). Or even high LEO with many tens of years.
micromacrofoot•54m ago
It sure would be nice if we found out if this mattered before it does.
josefritzishere•50m ago
I am not convinced that Starlink will continue to exist long term. They reported break even in 2023 but I don't think that included the ongoing cost of replacing satillites.
adastra22•44m ago
Their accounting does include that cost.
bryanlarsen•44m ago
They reported cash flow positive. "Cash flow positive" is a much stronger statement than "profitable" because it doesn't let you play games with amortization. So it included the ongoing cost of replacing satellites plus 100% costs of putting up new ones for future use where normal accounting would allow you to amortize those costs.

SpaceX is obviously quite profitable. They're obviously spending many billions annually on salaries, Starlink launches and Starship development yet they haven't raised significant money via debt or equity financing rounds in the last few years.

mothballed•40m ago
Starlink is operated by Starlink Services, LLC which allows SpaceX to play all sorts of accounting tricks by mixing in engineered contracts with SpaceX.
bryanlarsen•22m ago
Independent estimates are for $5B of profit on $10B of revenue for Starlink for 2025.

You don't get numbers like that by subsidizing it from the ~$1B/year launch business.

https://www.advanced-television.com/2025/10/01/forecast-8-2m...

Fischgericht•11m ago
[Disclaimer: Not a hater, just a Nerd looking at data.]

And just as Tesla's stock goes up whenever there are reports about them no longer selling cars, or being years behind on self-driving tech and robotics... if Starlink would be publicly traded, their stock would now shoot way up.

On a more serious note: If analysts would do their job, they could have found out years ago that Starlink will never ever be profitable, just as no Sat ISP in history ever has been. All always have and are funded with tax-payer money.

Why is that? Simple maths.

Including R&D and launch cost and expected usage time, the TCO of one of their satellites will be somewhere in the area of $2,000,000. One of them in theory has a peak speed of 100 GBit/s. If you overbook the link by a factor of 10 as it is common for an ISP, that gives you 1,000 Gbit/s to sell.

So in best case over the lifetime of the system you will make a revenue of 1,000 * $100 * 36 months. So you end up somewhere in the area of $3,600,000. Yes, that is more than $2,000,000, but well, there are a couple of billions of investments and investor money here to be paid back one day.

"But why are you only assuming a usage time of 3 years?"

While Musk's idea of rapid R&D cycles is fine for Software, it's extremely expensive. The "Oops, the Sat-to-Sat links are not working, so we now have to build base stations everywhere and can not do load distribution" might have cost Starlink something like $10 BILLION? I guess I would have tested my stuff first before launching it. With now two generations of Starlink sats already being outdated and/or falling from the sky, the "in two weeks" promises from Musk don't make me very confident that Starlink v3 will actually be properly tested prior to polluting space with their buggy trash again.

But let's restart it in a much simpler way: A currently used commercial fiber cable can do 800 GBit/s, so eight times of a Starlink Satellite. Real-life data has already proven that the lifespan (outdated transceivers etc) is somewhere around 5-8 years, with the biggest risk being your cable getting cut. The cable itself costs virtually nothing. Due to this "developing" countries have mostly decided to not lay fiber underground. In Thailand for example, the fiber cables are simply thrown onto houses and through the jungle, as replacing them is dirt cheap. Anyway: If you map this to the TCO on 3 years as mapped above, this means compared to the TCO of $2,000,000 for Starlink, for fiber you are looking at something in the area of $10,000 instead. It's a no-brainer.

Real-life proof: I live on a tiny and very very remote Island in Asia. Some people used to have Starlink here. But due to their Satellites now being massively overbooked, speeds went down months to months. So people noticed that it is actually cheaper to run 10 KILOMETERS / 6 Miles of Fiber cable through the jungle. And on this tiny remote Island there are three Fiber ISPs to choose from. Two of them offer 1 GBit/s for $13 per month, and if you want a business service, for $40 you can get 2 GBit/s down / 1 GBit/s up. And unlike Starlink those ISPs are profitable.

You have to be EXTREMELY remote for Sat internet to make sense. No, not rural USA. Fiber will be cheaper. No, not Africa. Fiber through the desert will be cheaper. Sat Internet may make sense if you live in the artic or on mount Everest or something like that. Or Mars. In all other cases the TCO of Fiber will win.