Adoption rate = first derivative
Flattening adoption rate = the second derivative is negative
Starting to flatten = the third derivative is negative
I don't think anyone cares what the third derivative of something is when the first derivative could easily change by a macroscopic amount overnight.
Corporate AI adoption looks to be hitting a plateau, and adoption in large companies is even shrinking. The only market still showing growth is companies with fewer than 5 employees - and even there it's only linear growth.
Considering our economy is pumping billions into the AI industry, that's pretty bad news. If the industry isn't rapidly growing, why are they building all those data centers? Are they just setting money on fire in a desperate attempt to keep their share price from plummeting?
Perfectly excusable post that says absolutely nothing about anything.
/s
That's a massive deal because the AI companies today are valued on the assumption that they'll 10x their revenue over the next couple of years. If their revenue growth starts to slow down, their valuations will change to reflect that
I had fun with that one getting GPT-5 and ChatGPT Code Interpreter to recreate it from a screenshot of the chart and some uploaded census data: https://simonwillison.net/2025/Sep/9/apollo-ai-adoption/
Then I repeated the same experiment with Claude Sonnet 4.5 after Anthropic released their own code interpreter style tool later on that same day: https://simonwillison.net/2025/Sep/9/claude-code-interpreter...
chrismorgan•33m ago
It’s way too early to decide whether it’s flattening out.
scotty79•11m ago
At larger companies adoption will probably stop at the level where managers will start to be threatened.
malisper•2m ago