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Ask HN: Anyone suffering from the tyranny of the Waiting Equation?

2•akersten•1h ago
In space exploration, there's a famous conundrum that we shouldn't launch a 100-year journey transport ship to another galaxy, because in 20 years technology will have made the ship twice as fast, and we can get there earlier by waiting.

In this episode of "how this translates to B2B sales," I ask if anyone else is struggling to invest in ideas (anywhere from side projects to startups) knowing that the frontier of AI might soon overlap any possible technical or operational moat that you spend a year or more building, and your entire business is just a one-shot prompt away (from either you, meaning you wasted time building, or your target customer, who no longer has a reason to pay you).

Historically it's always been better to Just Build, but this reality seems to be getting tougher to ignore.

Comments

ac2u•43m ago
I guess the difference is the folks on the 100 year ship won’t get any feedback that the tech leapfrogs have happened, whereas at least some of the software players have a chance to use their market knowledge to at least adapt.

The marketing outreach in general for too many companies still leans heavily on “we use AI”, whereas most customers just want results and whether you use AI to either provide those results (or to make it cheaper or faster) isn’t a primary concern of the customer.

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2•teaman2000•1m ago•0 comments

Look at Silicon Valley history from 360 degrees over the years

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Building Political Superintelligence

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I've converted my website to grayscale

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Optical Memory Link Could Boost AI in Robotics

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Persistent Money Struggles Linked to Faster Brain Ageing

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LLM Cliche Highlighter

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America's schools admit screens make students worse off

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Kitty [terminal emulator] chases the mouse

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In a Ukrainian bomb shelter, Laura Loomer explains shift on Russia's war

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Please ship APIs, not AI

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Illume Labs – Your 24/7 personalized health companion

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OpenAI: A Bubble Bigger Than Dotcom

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Go server-less for projects that only need to scale from 2-200 users

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Iran used roaming systems, ad tech to track US troops in Gulf: Report

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BSD seq(1) on Linux

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What Happened to Tagging? (2019)

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OptMem: Plug-and-play infinite memory for any agent

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The bitter lesson for skills and coding agents

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Doom running on nothing but regex find-and-replace

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Learning two pointers from scratch after solving 100 LeetCode problems

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I Made Open Source Adobe Acrobat – Windows 11

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We need to rethink tech stack

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Angels in Coptic Magic I: Introduction

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Writers set to share millions after $1.5B Anthropic settlement

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Stages of Denial

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Show HN: The source of one own knowledge and it's causes

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The US is charging an American citizen for wiping his phone at the border

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5•arkits•44m ago•1 comments