He argues that landscape is changing (at least quarterly), and that services are (best) replaceable (often week-to-week) because models change, but that orchestration is harder to replace, and that there are relatively few orchestration platforms.
So: what platforms are available? Are there other HN posts that assess the current state of AI orchestration?
(What's the AI-orchestration acronym? not PAAS but AIOPAAS? AOP? (since aspect-oriented programming is history))
I couldn't tell you, but what I can contribute to that discussion is that orchestration of AI in its current form would focus on one of two approaches: consistent output despite the non-deterministic state of LLMs, or consistent inputs that leans into the non-deterministic state of LLMs. The problem with the former (output) is that you cannot guarantee the output of an AI on a consistent basis, so a lot of the "orchestration" of outputs is largely just brute-forcing tokens until you get an answer within that acceptable range; think the glut of recent "Show HN" stuff where folks built a slop-app by having agents bang rocks together until the code worked.
On the input side of things, orchestration is less about AI itself and more about ensuring your data and tooling is consistently and predictably accessible to the AI such that the output is similarly predictable or consistent. If you ask an AI what 2+2 is a hundred different ways, you increase the likelihood of hallucinations; on the other hand, ensuring the agent/bot gets the same prompt with the same data formats and same desired outputs every single time makes it more likely that it'll stay on task and not make shit up.
My engagement with AI has been more of the input-side, since that's scalable with existing tooling and skillsets in the marketplace instead of the output side, which requires niche expertise in deep learning, machine learning, model training and fine-tuning, etc. In other words, one set of skills is cheaper and more plentiful while also having impacts throughout the organization (because everyone benefits from consistent processes and clean datasets), while the other is incredibly expensive and hard to come by with minimal impacts elsewhere unless a profound revolution is achieved.
One thing to note is that Dr. Ng gives the game away at the Q&A portion fairly early on: "In the future, the people who are the most powerful are the people who can make computers do exactly what you want it to do." In that context, the current AI slop is antithetical to what he's pitching. Sure, AI can improve speed on execution, prototyping, and rote processes, but the real power remains in the hands of those who can build with precision instead of brute-force. As we continue to hit barriers in the physical capabilities of modern hardware and wrestle with the effects of climate change and/or poor energy policies, efficiency and precision will gradually become more important than speed - at least that's my thinking.
I second this, for the silence at least, I listened to the talk because it was Andrew Ng and it is good or at least fun to listen to talks by famous people, but I did not walk away with any new key insights, which is fine, most talks are not that.
ng*, ng-*, or *-ng is typically "Next Generation" in software nomenclature. Or, star trek (RNG). Alternatively, "ng-" is also from angular-js.
Ng in Andrew Ng is just his name, like Wu in Chinese.
Why faster and not better with AI?
Teams that can do both of these things, especially #1 will move much faster. Even if they are wrong its better than vague ideas that get applause but not customers
bgwalter•4h ago
reactordev•3h ago
I want an Andrew Ng Agent.
Bluestein•3h ago
(I'll see myself out ...)
arkmm•3h ago
reactordev•1h ago
hoegarden•3h ago
bgwalter•3h ago
Additionally, Baidu wasn't a startup when he joined in 2014.
hoegarden•3h ago
Maybe you can help me hire a vibe coder with 10 years experience?
bgwalter•2h ago
hoegarden•2h ago
But I do question why anyone who played a significant role in the foundation of the current AI generation would teach an obvious new Zuckerberg generation who will apparently think they are the start of everything if they get a style working in the prompt.
If not for 3 people in 2012, I find it highly unlikely a venture like OpenAI could have occurred and without Ng in particular I wouldn't be surprised if the field would have been missing a few technical pieces as well as the hire-able engineers.