But now when the viewers can see the pitch in 1000fps 8K slow motion, they expect better from the umpires. The entire premise of sports relies on the assumption that the rules are adjudicated correctly.
Part of the soul of the game is learning the umpire's particular strike zone and adjusting accordingly.
I'm with OP. Fun is being replaced by data.
Review systems for cricket and tennis seem to have enabled more crowd involvement and anticipation in the lead up to a decision being revealed.
Awful calls need to be struck from the game and this should do that. Tonight my Blue Jays had a double taken away on a foul call and a ball 2 inches off the plate called a strike in the same at bat with the bases loaded. Between this and the horrible reviews last week it feels like the fix is by MLB to keep us from winning the division.
Unlike tennis where in and out have always been strictly defined and we just didn't have the technology to enforce it, baseball has always involved the human element to the strike zone and some umpire judgement on whether the pitcher hit the spot or just got lucky and what a given batter's zone is. I want some of that to stay, with catchers holding game-long discussions about the zone with umpires, and batters having their own sense of the zone.
I don't want full automatic balls and strikes, so I like the challenge. There is some new strategy on when to deploy it and who can be trusted to recognize a missed call. It leaves some room for a pitcher and catcher to work a corner over a few innings to expand little by little.
I only hope they don't switch to a system entirely governed by an automated strike zone without umps.
It'll allow the "human element" many players still prefer along with some level of framing, while keeping umps honest (there are way too many egregious calls these days).
Then along comes sports betting and they basically have no choice but to use robots.
It’s sad to me how much sports betting changes sports. When I watch, I wonder if the referee has accepted a bribe every time a call is a little funky. Considering the millions of dollars riding on every play, some of them must have taken some money at some point.
There are literally countless incidents of people cheating. So my suggestion is to hope it doesn't happen but also just avoid making bets if you are not comfortable with the fact that you may lose.
What has not changed since before both of those timelines is baseball umpires have a union[0].
Maybe, just maybe, their union fought the introduction of this to the bitter end.
0 - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Major_League_Baseball_Umpires_...
He oversaw the last collective bargaining agreement in 2021/22. It’s expiring this year. That’s one of the reasons why the rule change is going through now.
I won’t deny that sports betting could be a factor, but Manfred wants faster more engaging baseball. That’s been his stated goal for a long time as he worked through rule changes.
We've come a long way from the black sox and Pete Rose being banned for life over gambling
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black_Sox_Scandal https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pete_Rose#Permanent_ineligibil...
I don't love sports betting in general, but I really hate betting on short term events like specific pitches or a strikeout. There is way too much incentive to fix.
Their rise and market is so large that only 5% of sports bets aren't placed through one of these apps.
Not sure if I agree with OPs take though. It might just be that baseball is a traditional, conservative game and they are hesitant to change it. maybe that's why they're just using robo umps for challenges, and not for every pitch, which would be easy to do and would further the all-about-betting theory.
It’s sort of been swept under the rug even though it was initially reported on
Professional NBA referee betting on games he was refereeing - what a joke
As a Cubs fan, I still read that and thought, "So say we all."
As someone that has been a soccer (makes me throw up a little to say that word), ahem, football referee, I can tell you that not all funky calls are because the ref is rigging the game. Sometimes, you just miss stuff. Sometimes, you just see it differently. Sometimes, you just fuck up. Yes, a few have definitely admitted to taking bribes. Granted, I never was an official on anything professional. Even still, you'd make a call and the fans of the team you call a foul against all go crazy. Two minutes later, you make a call going the other way, and the other fans go nuts. I always laughed when I'd hear comments about needing glasses and "how much they pay you". You can't make 100% happy, ever. Fan is short for fanatic, and it's very appropriate.
To that end, I'm surprised that MLB never introduced replays. Cricket has replays and even have microphones that they watch the waveforms to see if there was contact or not.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Instant_replay_in_Major_League...
But replays weren’t allowed for balls and strikes, the subject of the new system.
the above is from https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ron_Luciano 's book but wikipedia doesn't mention it. Though it was 40 years since I read the book so maybe I don't remember right?
I think it makes the game human. also football with replays on ever play is too slow.
The ability to bet on short term individual events (such as a single pitch) means that even a single pitch, otherwise nearly inconsequential, can be abused.
I realize that it's an objectively ridiculous thing to have strong feelings about, but boy do I hate it :D
The quest for eternal optimization is exhausting.
At the time, every umpire had their own strike box, and I loved it! It added variance to the pitches and swings each game. Some batters would turn their head and confirm with the umpire where one edge of the box was when they called a strike (and others would silently curse without turning their head haha)
The last frontier of ejections will probably be discretion when players get plunked at the plate.
The game will be fine.
That said. Strike zone height is between 53.5% and 23% of a player’s height. WTFBBQ. That’s a major change, and I don’t understand how it’s going to go with an Ump’s calling the zone — right now a player’s stance can affect the zone height. How will umps assess 53.5% of a player’s height realtime?
So in terms of volume, this isn't much. In terms of potential effects, it becomes a question of how well players utilize their teams' two challenges (teams retain challenges if they correctly use them, but only the batter, the catcher, and the pitcher can request a challenge).
It all becomes an interesting question in terms of strategies. A catcher when he's batting? Does he want to risk one of his team's challenges as a batter that he might want for his pitcher? A mediocre hitter in a low-stakes situation? Does he want to risk one of his team's challenges? What about a really good hitter in a low-stakes situation? Lots here for teams to consider, and since it's up to the players to decide on a challenge (not managers or coaches), teams will have to determine their approaches such that players can make decisions without assistance.
https://blogs.fangraphs.com/strike-three-lets-check-in-on-um...
I'll also note that MLB isn't doing the "replace umpires with software". Teams get 2 challenges to use, and those are adjudicated by robots. The initial call is made by humans and a human has to say "use my finite resource to engage the robots". (I would just make all calls by robot and have a challenge to have humans look at it, but whatever. Baby steps. We know where this is going.)
The NFL uses the same technology to measure first downs now. No more carrying the chains out to measure by hand. But the officials still spot the ball where they think they play ended, so the computer isn't doing anything important. It's just doing the tedious part.
Nobody is losing their job and no fun is being removed from the game.
If it's not a joke, please realize this doesn't replace anyone and is also not doing anything that's meaningfully "AI".
And at the end of it all, some missed calls get to be corrected.
pseudolus•3h ago
mbb70•1h ago