I'm not seeing how you get from share buybacks to a shift in priorities in corporate research. If there's a fundamental reason why it can't be done now how it was before the 80's it's not that.
Suddenly they had a more lucrative was to spend their money, so they did.
Convert X% of a stocks value into a dividend and you pay taxes on that before you can buy more stock, but someone who keeps buying stock sees an exponential return. (Higher percentage of the company = larger dividends)
A company buys back X% of its stock functions like a dividend w/ stock purchase, but without that tax on dividends you’re effectively buying more stock. Adding a tax on stock buybacks could eliminate such bias, but it’s unlikely to happen any time soon.
On the other hand, a ton of amazing inventions came out of that system which created entire industries that went on to turbocharge the economy and create millions of jobs. I can see how someone may feel that a company being able to inflate it's stock price more is less useful to humanity and not worth the trade.
There may have been other reasons as well for the collapse of corporate research like changing tax rates, or maybe we were just in a golden age (1940s-1980s) as new advancements in physics and materials science allowed for a rapid amount of discoveries and now we're back in a slower period.
It's not only share buybacks, I would include offshoring, DEI, and a consolidation of management power as major factors in the destruction these labs. The pipeline has been so bad for so long now that it would take a miracle to get things started again.
The last org I worked at offshored the most promising work to China. Due to some high up international agreement the company had to spend $X on offshored workers so not only were they considered cheap they were considered free because the money had to be spent anyway and was coming out of someone else's budget.
I was working at a Research Org when the DEI push came through and it was a absolute disaster. A lot of projects ended their internship programs and avoided hiring in order to minimize the exposure. The bargain was always, you can have 6 seats but 50% need to be women and 50% need to be minorities, and since everyone got the push at the same time it meant that due to the intense competition for the same people you'd end up really having to scrape the bottom of the barrel. That made a lot of initiatives unviable.
I wasn't working at Yahoo Research but as I heard it was canned following a management rift. They were already bleeding talent for a while but had retained some good people that stayed out of comfort and inertia. The smart people cultivated in research orgs tend to be a competing source of power and management hates that.
A loss for whom? Society? Of course, and that's exactly why they don't happen anymore -- because while they were a boon for society they were a terrible bet for the company. And when a company has a choice between doing good for their bottom line or doing good for society, 100% of the time they choose their bottom line.
I mean, look at the legacy of Xerox Parc from Xerox's perspective. They invited this guy in, Steve Jobs, and he commercialized their ideas. Today Xerox is worth pennies on the dollar compared to their height, doing none of what Xerox Parc researched. Apple ate their lunch. The ROI for Xerox Parc was terrible for Xerox.
For all the amazing stuff they did, they were not rewarded by the marketplace for it, they didn't produce better products for themselves, they just did other companies' R&D.
That's where Universities come in, and where they are vital. If you take them our, their role will not be filled by corporations, because they can't stomach the kind of dollars needed to do fundamental research. Only the government can stomach that, and if somehow the voters are convinced all this isn't worth funding, it just won't happen at any level.
Prior to this, if a corporation wanted to have exclusive rights to basic patents, they'd have to run their own private research labs to generate those patents. Prior to Bayh-Dole, university inventions were patented but there were no exclusive licensing deals. This means no competitive advantage; anyone can use license the patents (I believe any US citizen) before Bayh-Dole.
So corporations largely stopped funding private research labs like Bell and instead entered into public-private partnerships; on the academic side we saw the rise of the shady enterpreneurial researcher whose business plan was to use government funds to generate patents (not uncommonly based on fraudulent research) which formed the basis of a start-up which was sold to a major corporation.
The fix is simple: patents generated with taxpayer dollars at American universities should be available to any American citizen for a small licensing fee; if people want exclusive rights to patents, they need to put up the capital for the research institution themselves, as was the case with Bell Labs. Practically, this starts with a repeal of Bayh-Dole.
I don't see why they need to own the original research.
They didn't though. Bayh-Dole was 1980. All the big tech firms have invested massively in R&D since then, and I think it's also true for many non-tech industries or tech-adjacent (e.g. chip manufacturing, oil and gas).
Now consider the choices a company makes when executives hold the Friedman doctrine as orthodoxy. Put money into basic research that might generate shareholder value in some unknown time, or buy their own stock back and pump up the price?
There are still many competing theories of business ethics, but the Friedman doctrine is what drives corporations today.
It just saves an extra step and doesn't trigger tax event. It also makes more sense. If you prefer cash you sell it on the market to the company. If you prefer holding shares you don't do anything. You get a choice when it cash out instead of being forced to on regular basis.
The biggest reason why companies don't seek to emulate "Dupont, Bell Labs, IBM, AT&T, Xerox, Kodak, GE", is probably that it reads like a list of textbox examples of "companies that failed to execute on their research findings", so clearly there was something wrong with this approach.
GE (under Jack Welch specifically) is a textbook example of how financialization and focusing on numbers at the expense of products destroys companies.
Kodak is a textbook example of disruption. Yes they failed to capitalize on digital cameras specifically, but their research in all other areas was very much acted upon.
The same thing will happen to Google & co.
And DuPont is very much alive doing DuPont things.
Its worked out ok for Google and others, because there's little teeth to anti monopoly, so all the big tech players can just buy the successes, which is safer than trying to grow them (esp. once the talent left). I really have no idea if this is an accurate take as its mostly vibes, sans for a few of said smart Google folks I've met in startup land(s). Yet Google is so big, they could bleed all kinds of employees telling all kinds of stories and it could all be simply random. Yet at the same time I can't help but think about every aging tech companies biggest / best products being via acquisition.
While I think monopoly is bad, I don't know if ^ otherwise is so bad. Maybe its just creative type folks _should_ avoid big tech, and build their own labs. Capital and compute are readily available to people who can demonstrate success, and its easier than ever to build and experiment in some fields. i.e. if we had stricter capital accumulation associated taxes, maybe the ills of this process wouldn't be so bad.
LLMs are just better google. In the past, you used to google shit, and copy paste from stack overflow, now you just skip the middle man and go directly to Chat GPT. Anyone that has been programming for a while can attest to that the answers aren't any better, its just more efficient to iterate on them now.
AI hasn't even begun to be solved yet. Everyone is focused on feedforward transformer architecture that is never going to replace the imperative processing of actual intelligence.
Smartphones are pretty much solved, as they have replaced a lot of the need for in person interaction (which by extension means transportation). The last decade has been all about monetizing smartphones.
Wearables aren't transforming society at all.
3d printing and home fab is still too niche and expensive for most people, and you can't really make it cheaper and more accessible.
Electric vehicles largely suck. Self driving is mediocre.
We literally went through a pandemic and people got richer because they had to stay at home and not spend money on things like daycare or gas or car maintenance, without losing any productivity.
Hell, the state the US is in currently is largely explained by the fact that most all the problems in society have been solved to the extent that people have to invent bogeymen and elect a demented felon into office on the promise of solving those problems.
I think the core problem is that innovators typically only capture low single digit percent of the value they generate for society.
Bell Labs existed in an anomalous environment where their monopoly allowed them to capture more of the value of R&D, so they invested more into it.
This is the typical argument for public subsidy of R&D across both public and private settings because this low capture rate means that it is underprovisioned for society's benefit.
Before Tim Cook Apple had never done a buyback - Jobs was always thinking Apple could do better with the money in R&D than paying off shareholders. Wall Street did not approve of this position, but Jobs wasn’t one to listen to anybody, so it did not matter. Most CEOs are not going to take such a strong position when they, the stockholders, and every other executive can be guaranteed a financial reward through a buyback.
That's the key phrase, they benefit all shareholders. Buybacks on the other hand only benefit the following shareholders:
1. those with regularly vesting stock options and stock grants - basically employees. For non-tech companies especially, this only means high-ranking employees
2. those who intend to sell - that is, soon-to-be-ex shareholders
3. those who borrow against their stock - typically high-net-worth individuals who own a lot of the stock
Stock buybacks are thus a non-egalitarian way to return profits. To reward all shareholders equally, pay dividends.
I’m just not following the connections here.
It seems like your assumption is that a stock buyback is a short term gain.
One of your arguments is that the strike price for options is set based on a certain amount of stock in circulation, and decreasing that amount will “artificially” raise the stock price, making the options more valuable. I agree that higher stock price benefits those with options, and I would even agree that it is possible that when those strike prices were valued, the valuation did not take into account the possible global change in the amount of stock (although a market would have included this valuation).
I suppose the other part of the argument could be that R&D is good for the stock in the long term in a way that stock buybacks are not… the buybacks pumping up the price of the stock before it is driven into the dirt by competitors who do invest in R&D.
There, I’ve done my best for your argument but I still don’t really believe that increased stock prices for everyone is not benefiting everyone more or less equally.
But I'm not casting aspersions on the commenter. I'm responding directly to his implication that if he doesn't understand X then X is false. That's not a thing.
A stock buyback rewards all stockholders equally. Those who sell, get their reward in cash. Those who do not sell, get their reward in the proportion of their ownership of the company going up.
Yes, but less because in many countries dividends are taxed more than selling shares after a share price increase.
Companies can give "shares" to employees, which means excess profits can be made dividends out of which employees "touch a bit".
If you would have your own company (privately own and full control) you are of course free to share the excess profit as you see fit.
Edit: and of course, share buy back avoids some taxes that you must pay, which in other schemes would have to be paid.
They could, but why should they? Which advantage get the shareholders from this?
The only reason why a company with excess profits "should" pay the employees more is if
i) for a given role, the expected results of potential applicants varies a lot (i.e. the company has an incentive "to hire the best of the best")
ii) the market for these exceptional talents is tough (i.e. if the company does not hire the best, someone else will; additionally, if the company does not pay the employees really well, they will be poached)
the purpose of a company is to deliver maximum return to shareholders; if they're not doing that, then they're failing their fiduciary duty and the shareholders might try to force the company to change its ways
the shareholders want the money coming to them, not to the employees
(this is why the Public Benefit Corporation, "B-Corp" structure was invented, so that the company's stated purpose can be something other than simply generating value for its shareholders)
To be fair share owners also like the stock price to go higher, they also like dividends (and higher dividends would tend to drive the stock price higher too), but an X% increase in share price caused by buybacks is favoured over an X% dividend because it isn’t immediately taxed.
> Jobs was always thinking Apple could do better with the money in R&D than paying off shareholders. Wall Street did not approve of this position, but Jobs wasn’t one to listen to anybody, so it did not matter.
(Head spins) wait what?! No! You’re not supposed to do that! If you fail to always maximize short term profits, people might start thinking CEOs actually have agency, and they won’t be able to hide behind the “maximizing shareholder value” excuse!
That's quite a bold claim. Do you have an example in which a company/CEO/board was sued specifically for not doing enough buybacks?
Stock buybacks are simply a more tax efficient dividend.
We're now in the end stage of the latter in the US.
The US still plays at invention - or rather a few of its oligarchs do - but it's far, far behind what's happening in other countries.
if the company has a vision - then reinvesting that money into research or what else is better. it might reap the benefits, it might not.
companies use buybacks if they can't do anything productive with the money - Apple is a recent example.
pretty easily: stock buybacks allow you to directly reward executives and funnel profits back to shareholders (by increasing share prices), making the company appear more valuable (further driving investment)
research brings long-term benefits, and immediate outcomes don't show up in 10-Qs
Only in very rare cases is doing basic science anything but a total waste of money, viewed from a commercial perspective. Companies should seek to be commercial entities, which operate for profit. Anything else is just self destruction.
Look at Bell Labs, it could only exist because some company decided it could use a money shredder. Bell Labs could not survive the dismantling of the Bell telephone monopoly, because ending that monopoly ended the prerequisite that was needed to allow it to exist.
The anti-government sentiment is frankly anti-American. Even the ones who are naturalized don't know the basics about how ballots are validated ("If my wife vote with a provisional ballot, couldn't just anybody?"). I thought there was some testing for naturalization but it must be easy to cheat.
Anyone who convinced themselves that "economic anxiety" was actually a thing should talk to any MAGA or "centrists" about the present state of the economy.
Ok, then why do they get affected by funding? The truth is, today there is not a scientist, artist, researcher or writer who is not driven by funding. The era for curiosity-driven science is was over a long time ago.
The direction of research or science is all driven by funding.
What pays for your leisure time so you can be alive and not starve? Money. Nobody on the face of the earth can just be curious and do science and not starve.
Less snarky: getting funding and making a living in academia, which is the most accessible way to be a scientist, has been cutthroat since long before this administration. If it were more accessible, or if staying alive weren't so damn expensive, I think we'd see more curiosity-driven science being performed.
Also, I don't believe one negates the other. As an engineer, my work satisfies my curiosity / desire to build, and I would do it for $50k, but I'm not gonna take a pay cut to prove how curious I am.
Unfortunately, we've created a system that wears them down to being driven largely by self-preservation.
Many people eager to better the world come of age every second. It's just that once they've amassed enough power to make a dent, most of them have been worn down.
Anybody doing science at a University is definitely doing it at a significant discount to their salary (phds are paid ~$50K at the high end) at a private company.
I agree with a lot in this post, but I think it's also worth mentioning how this is a two-way street. Practical considerations often drive theory research as much as the other way around.
The US science establishment was all about buying and utilizing Russian rocket engines until he-that-shall-not-be-named came along. SpaceX took the breakthroughs that existed in the US in things like control theory, which the same science establishment had failed to value appropriately.
It doesn't look like the science establishments of any country are actually successfully feeding their innovation machines, or have done so for decades. Switching a non functioning system off does at least allow it to be replaced by something that risks doing things when something comes back.
Of course many pure scientists will, legitimately, argue that innovation isn't the point in the first place, and that is a far more solid point, but real academic diversity has been so destroyed by the global consensus making peer review process that much of their progress has effectively stalled.
The canonical example here is 5G. Once again the US science establishment had the guy, he ends up doing the breakthroughs for polar coding, they failed to appreciate him, he left and ended up being funded by Huawei.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Erdal_Ar%C4%B1kan
The US science establishment isn't broken as an innovation engine because of Trump - it's because they're clearly rewarding the wrong things.
What isn't so clear is if Chinese science is creating Chinese startups. It may yet happen.
This could start to change if present US hostility towards all things foreign results in a shift in investment and migration.
When you build something to the point where there is a bureaucratic "establishment" in control you can be sure that innovation slows to a crawl. You may still have a few individual scientists doing great work, but you can be sure that some miserable bureaucrat will pat him on the back and stick it in a drawer somewhere never to see the light of day again. The same is true whether that bureaucratic establishment is at a government or in universities, or any other type of bureaucratic organization.
In the last 80 or so years, this has been the case, but I don't think it's historically the norm. It just so happens that through whatever accident of scientific history, we were set up perfectly for a series of discoveries in basic theory that lent themselves well to immediate implementation and productization. We had a "science cycle" to match the business cycle that looked like this: Come up with a theory -> works? (yes: proceed, no: start again) -> publicize result -> collect huge sums of money -> plow that into new experiments -> find a problem with current theory -> start again. I don't think there is much disagreement that this cycle has slowed down considerably over the last 30-40 years.
Science by its nature is descriptive. As a discipline, it isn't actually geared towards discovering maxima in a space of design possibilities. No scientist invented the automobile or the airplane or the steam engine. A more typical mode is that engineers demonstrate that something is possible, and scientists recapitulate/integrate it into theory.
> The Soviet Union’s collapse partly reflected failure to convert science into sustained innovation, during the same time that U.S. universities, startups and venture capital created Silicon Valley. Long-term military and economic advantage (nuclear weapons, GPS, AI) trace back to scientific research ecosystems.
The US has an extremely entrepreneurial culture, which is why Americans are so good at building innovative businesses. In the UK, money is seen as grubby and the class system has consistently placed barriers between those with ideas and those with money. Similarly, the Soviet Union struggled to make use of its innovators due to the strictures of central planning. Australia punches well above its weight in scientific research but is unwilling to engage in any economic activity other than digging rocks out of the ground and selling them to China.
So the idea that scientific research is a limiting factor in economic growth is not general; it's specific to the US and countries with that same entrepreneurial culture.
I also wouldn't say Congress allocating this or that block grants toward broad areas is planning the economy either. Usually planned economies are bad because it's one guy or one committee doing the planning, and they're really just a dysfunctional and doesn't incorporate evidence to make decisions. You get better decisions when you spread the planning across groups of loosely affiliated experts in their field.
If the US is increasingly relying on universities for foundational research, and corporate R&D is only focused on short-term, applied projects, we're definitely running the innovation engine on fumes.
It’s hard to build the next trillion-dollar company if the core science wasn't funded 20 years ago.
It is not compelling at all. The difference between dividends and share buybacks are not big enough to explain this at all. The argument is totally absurd, companies could always reward their shareholders with their profits.
Bell Labs did not end because of share buybacks, it ended because Bell was broken up and their free money printer did no longer exist.
>If the US is increasingly relying on universities for foundational research, and corporate R&D is only focused on short-term, applied projects, we're definitely running the innovation engine on fumes.
Why? This is just total nonsense. The only difference is the physical location of basic researchers. And that the government decides what to fund. That is literally it.
Basic university research is still funded by corporations. Only they are paying the money to the government, which then decides what to fund.
Let's talk about the other $49B.
I read or heard someplace that at many universities tuition paid by students in the social sciences is effectively subsidizing the STEM fields, as the history department or psychology professors are unlikely to require huge investments in new buildings, specialized equipment, etc., yet they pay the same tuition fees as STEM majors. Families/students paying full freight at a private university are looking at undergraduate degrees that cost $250k-$400k all in.
That can't be the whole picture, as money also flows from rich donors, corporate partnerships of various types, and at some schools such as MIT licensing fees.
It doesn't seem like tuition can keep growing at the rates that it has to make up the shortfall from government research cuts, but what about the other areas?
Diploma mill universities in my state are consolidating the smaller STEM universities and trade schools to build football and sports programs, gyms, and "lifestyle" amenities.
This university in particular [1] mints basket weaving degrees and has used consolidation to build sports programs [2] and lavish facilities for sports.
It's also been a revolving door of politician to high-ranking, high-compensation executive staff positions.
This university [3] has used funding to acquire properties from the state, such as the 1996 Olympic Stadium [4].
Neither of these universities does real, impactful research. The latter is ranked as an R1, but everyone at the "real" R1s in our state will tell you this is a fabrication. They're diploma mills and extract six figures from their student body. They turn this money into sports facilities and upper level faculty pay.
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kennesaw_State_University
[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kennesaw_State_Owls_football
[3] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Georgia_State_University
[4] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Centennial_Olympic_Stadium
And this is just mentioning a sample of admin bloat, never mind the other areas.
Cut spending on admin staff and facilities.
Schools do not need amenities to attract students. They need lower tuition. You could teach students out of a tent and do away with all the flashy health spas and do a better job at the core mission of empowering students.
No new buildings, no land acquisitions, no taking over facilities from the state for millions of dollars.
University leadership does not need to make $300k, $600k salaries. They should make what the median professor makes.
Universities will tell you they need all of this to compete with other universities. So to get the ball started, tax all of this as a negative externality and give it to the universities that do not spend in this way. Or turn it into scholarships.
Speaking of scholarships, stop putting a cap on admissions. Let everyone that wants to come in do so if they meet academic thresholds. Let them stay if they maintain a good GPA.
And make student loan debt dischargable. That might mean not everyone qualifies for a loan, but by making the system an "infinite money glitch", universities have grown into gluttons for tuition. They've taken this "free, unlimited money" to grow to obscene proportions. It's malinvestment propped up by an artificial quirk of economics.
This is not true at my state flagship R1 institution. Tuition and fees make up a little over 10% of the institution's total revenue. General funding provided in our state budget provides a larger percentage of the total revenue to the university and federal research funding provides an even larger percentage than the state.
The essential takeaway here is that our state taxes subsidize the actual cost of providing education to in-state students. In-state students are mandated to be at least 80%-ish of students.
The professors in the STEM fields are required to raise a significant percentage of their salary via research grants ("soft" money), teaching, and service work. The non-STEM professors are more often funded via "hard" money - eg, the institution has committed to pay the salary of history professors.
I googled and apparently a little more than 70% of undergraduate students in the US attend public schools. I don't know much about how funding works at the private universities that have the other 30% of undergraduate students.
Bringing it to market requires money and management and luck. Many/most of the promising candidates fall out along the way.
rthrfrd•1h ago
If you love control and have control, why would you want to create fertile ground for startups?
(This was meant as devil's advocate, not my personal point of view).
aeonik•1h ago
You can't stop innovation across the planet, you will lose control over time as adversaries continue to innovate and subsume antiquated control structures.
rthrfrd•1h ago
api•1h ago
When a company or a society is threatened the usual response is to double down on things that accelerate decline like killing novelty and innovation.
These things worked when we were small primates fighting over limited food sources on the savannah. Our brain stems don’t know what millennium they are in and still run those programs.
teeray•1h ago
Which is exactly what our system encourages. You don’t need to think beyond the next quarter / election cycle. You’re only in it to extract as much wealth in the short-term as possible and secure your chair before the music stops playing.
ortusdux•1h ago
bluecalm•1h ago
It looks like long term risky bet on new technology to me - exactly what you want those rich capitalist do.
Larrikin•1h ago
ninetyninenine•1h ago
Hitler for example thought he was justified. And so do all the people who claim global warming isn’t real.
dexwiz•1h ago
portaouflop•57m ago
nemomarx•49m ago
I can see it as a rational strategy if you're worried successors won't be up to the job.
dexwiz•10m ago