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Replacing a $3000/mo Heroku bill with a $55/mo server

https://disco.cloud/blog/how-idealistorg-replaced-a-3000mo-heroku-bill-with-a-55-server/
67•jryio•36m ago•21 comments

Build Your Own Database

https://www.nan.fyi/database
259•nansdotio•4h ago•53 comments

Doomsday Scoreboard

https://doomsday.march1studios.com/
28•diymaker•49m ago•7 comments

LLMs can get "brain rot"

https://llm-brain-rot.github.io/
214•tamnd•6h ago•116 comments

Neural audio codecs: how to get audio into LLMs

https://kyutai.org/next/codec-explainer
292•karimf•8h ago•90 comments

Mathematicians have found a hidden 'reset button' for undoing rotation

https://www.newscientist.com/article/2499647-mathematicians-have-found-a-hidden-reset-button-for-...
54•mikhael•5d ago•30 comments

Foreign hackers breached a US nuclear weapons plant via SharePoint flaws

https://www.csoonline.com/article/4074962/foreign-hackers-breached-a-us-nuclear-weapons-plant-via...
245•zdw•5h ago•146 comments

NASA chief suggests SpaceX may be booted from moon mission

https://www.cnn.com/2025/10/20/science/nasa-spacex-moon-landing-contract-sean-duffy
119•voxleone•8h ago•396 comments

Minds, brains, and programs (1980) [pdf]

https://home.csulb.edu/~cwallis/382/readings/482/searle.minds.brains.programs.bbs.1980.pdf
16•measurablefunc•1w ago•0 comments

Wikipedia says traffic is falling due to AI search summaries and social video

https://techcrunch.com/2025/10/18/wikipedia-says-traffic-is-falling-due-to-ai-search-summaries-an...
151•gmays•19h ago•157 comments

Show HN: Katakate – Dozens of VMs per node for safe code exec

https://github.com/Katakate/k7
68•gbxk•5h ago•27 comments

Getting DeepSeek-OCR working on an Nvidia Spark via brute force with Claude Code

https://simonwillison.net/2025/Oct/20/deepseek-ocr-claude-code/
77•simonw•1d ago•3 comments

Our modular, high-performance Merkle Tree library for Rust

https://github.com/bilinearlabs/rs-merkle-tree
108•bibiver•8h ago•26 comments

Flexport Is Hiring SDRs in Chicago

https://job-boards.greenhouse.io/flexport/jobs/5690976?gh_jid=5690976
1•thedogeye•4h ago

Ilo – a Forth system running on UEFI

https://asciinema.org/a/Lbxa2w9R5IbaJqW3INqVrbX8E
93•rickcarlino•7h ago•31 comments

Diamond Thermal Conductivity: A New Era in Chip Cooling

https://spectrum.ieee.org/diamond-thermal-conductivity
135•rbanffy•9h ago•42 comments

ChatGPT Atlas

https://chatgpt.com/atlas
400•easton•3h ago•406 comments

AWS multiple services outage in us-east-1

https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status?ts=20251020
2199•kondro•1d ago•1996 comments

Binary Retrieval-Augmented Reward Mitigates Hallucinations

https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.17733
25•MarlonPro•4h ago•3 comments

The Programmer Identity Crisis

https://hojberg.xyz/the-programmer-identity-crisis/
127•imasl42•4h ago•133 comments

Show HN: bbcli – A TUI and CLI to browse BBC News like a hacker

https://github.com/hako/bbcli
38•wesleyhill•2d ago•6 comments

StarGrid: A new Palm OS strategy game

https://quarters.captaintouch.com/blog/posts/2025-10-21-stargrid-has-arrived,-a-brand-new-palm-os...
181•capitain•9h ago•38 comments

Apple alerts exploit developer that his iPhone was targeted with gov spyware

https://techcrunch.com/2025/10/21/apple-alerts-exploit-developer-that-his-iphone-was-targeted-wit...
204•speckx•5h ago•102 comments

What do we do if SETI is successful?

https://www.universetoday.com/articles/what-do-we-do-if-seti-is-successful
77•leephillips•1d ago•97 comments

Magit Is Amazing

https://heiwiper.com/posts/magit-is-awesome/
86•Bogdanp•2h ago•50 comments

The death of thread per core

https://buttondown.com/jaffray/archive/the-death-of-thread-per-core/
42•ibobev•23h ago•12 comments

Show HN: ASCII Automata

https://hlnet.neocities.org/ascii-automata/
75•california-og•4d ago•8 comments

60k kids have avoided peanut allergies due to 2015 advice, study finds

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/peanut-allergies-60000-kids-avoided-2015-advice/
215•zdw•17h ago•218 comments

Renato Casaro, 'Michelangelo of Movie Posters,' Dies at 89

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/10/10/movies/renato-casaro-dead.html
14•danso•1w ago•1 comments

Bare Metal (The Emacs Essay)

https://waxbanks.wordpress.com/2025/08/01/bare-metal-the-emacs-essay/
153•hpaone•1w ago•66 comments
Open in hackernews

Tesla is heading into multi-billion-dollar iceberg of its own making

https://electrek.co/2025/10/20/tesla-heading-into-multi-billion-dollar-iceberg-of-own-making/
224•ndsipa_pomu•9h ago

Comments

Someone•9h ago
FRA: “As for HW3 owners who bought FSD, which basically turned out to be an interest free loan to Tesla for years, the automaker needs to offer free FSD transfer and a $10,000 discount on a car upgrade.

While this might sound like a lot”

It would add up to a lot of money for Tesla, but for customers? Some of these people paid $15.000 years ago for something that hasn’t been delivered, and now, they would be able to get $10,000 ‘back’, only if they commit to spending way more again, in the hope to eventually get what they bought years ago, or, more likely, in the hope of eventually being able to subscribe to get the features they already paid for years ago.

CaptainOfCoit•9h ago
Yeah, sounds completely backwards, how could anyone accept that? "Yeah, sure, you lied to me about it before, but for my next purchase I'll get it slightly cheaper, sounds great"
cjrp•8h ago
I think it would work for the fully-indoctrinated customers, but what % of their total base is that? 5%?
boringg•8h ago
I think it is much higher for tesla.
LightBug1•8h ago
At this stage, I imagine them mostly wearing red gag balls ...

Why else would you put up with this nonsense?

If nothing else, Musk is a Svengali extraordinaire ...

cjrp•8h ago
Hmm I'm not so sure, admittedly based on anecdata. In the UK I know 10+ people who drive Teslas, and none of them are fanboys in any way. It was just the cheapest EV with decent range when they bought it.
boringg•8h ago
I'd say the UK isn't representative of the Tesla market is my guess. Ive talked to a bunch of friends who own them and are the antethesis of red pilled. They lament that the competition is still not there at all and that their Teslas are a much better experience then the rest of the market. Take it for what its worth - anecdotal.

Would they buy them again? Probably not but thats because of politics.

chronci739•7h ago
> Would they buy them again? Probably not but thats because of politics.

That’s the article’s point.

Politics, FSD overpromises, Elon, whatever the reason.

Tesla deliveries are down and people aren’t coming back.

ToucanLoucan•7h ago
Also the QA issues.

I can't fathom wanting a Tesla unless the politics are not merely a turn-off for you, but you want to support them directly.

boringg•4h ago
On the politics things -- thats only one side of the population. The other side would be more open to purchasing it. Almost nets out except that whole ability to pay piece.
LaSombra•5h ago
What does it mean "...the competition is still not there at all..."?

What are these features that tie people to Teslas that the competition is unable to deliver on?

lotsofpulp•5h ago
In the US:

1) sufficiently long track record of reliability (I might consider Ford and Rivian now)

2) free remote start and unlock

3) camera recordings - how is this not standard in all cars by now?

4) not having to buy via dealership (this is worth a lot to me). Bought a Tesla on my couch in 15 minutes and picking it up took 15 minutes. Dealerships take hours and hours, and try to upsell you.

5) $35k to $40k price point - if BYD were to come to America, I would drop Tesla in a heartbeat

boringg•4h ago
The camera recordings thing to me BLOWS MY MIND! Also for competitors such as Volvo -- only finally having a functional user experience for apple or google. They are years behind on the trivial matters (that people care about).

I don't think Ford is in the running.

FSD is pretty sweet especially compared to volvo's woefully poor autopilot efforts.

LightBug1•5h ago
I know about 5 similarly minded people, all but 1 have switched to BYD ... and that's probably 99% due to the length of their lease.
shagmin•6h ago
Probably a significant difference for Cybertrucks compared to cars.
CaptainOfCoit•7h ago
Since 2024 or so I think every single new customer must be one of those, as no one else seems to want to buy a Tesla.
orochimaaru•8h ago
Unless it’s in the purchase agreement, the wording on “fsd” may skirt the ethically questionable but legally acceptable line.

If the “fsd” wording is present in the purchase agreement, then Tesla owners have a class action lawsuit.

estearum•8h ago
Fine print in contracts can't override and totally negate specific offers made in marketing or the sales process.

If they said "$x gets you y", ran ads saying "$x gets you y", held press conferences saying "$x gets you y", then gave you an invoice showing you pay "$x for y", a backing contract saying "$x does not get you y" will not stand up in court.

So in addition to not being legally okay, it's obviously not "ethically questionable." Taking people's money and not delivering value you promised to them in exchange is bad.

altcognito•8h ago
Since Tesla thinks they are clever by not running "ads", but instead relies on their own "viral marketing", they may find it rather upsetting when they go through discovery and there are heaps of internal memos talking about how it is important to market the idea that they are selling FSD forward, very directly misleading customers.
bluGill•7h ago
Just Elon's public statements should be upsetting.
bluGill•7h ago
Courts generally know that people don't read fine print, much less understand it. So if there is something courts see as a promise that people will see and understand they will tend to decide that when the fine print is in conflict with advertising they tend to assume that there is an intention to deceive and so they will punish you for it.

When reading the above, think: the opposition lawyers have incentive to present the case that way. Judges rarely stop them. Juries tend to accept the above presentation. Of course the other side has lawyers that will try to pick apart that argument. It is anyone's guess what the jury (and thus court) will decide.

There are many different legal systems in the world. The above is a US perspective. I cannot comment on other countries, just know that each is different. Even if Tesla wins in court in the US, they can still lose a lot of money in other countries that work different.

JumpCrisscross•7h ago
> the wording on “fsd” may skirt the ethically questionable but legally acceptable line

Under U.S. federal law, perhaps.

That's where "Tesla’s current FSD expansion in international markets" gains salience. I doubt courts in "China and now Australia and New Zealand," or states with strong lemon laws [1], will let a manufacturer off the hook on a just-kidding clause.

[1] https://www.autosafety.org/in-new-lemonlaw-rankings-illinois...

mrtksn•8h ago
It’s a cult, in cults people don’t demand refunds from the messiah. IRL they ask what else I can contribute to the church to fix that because it mist be their fault that the prophesies didn’t come true. In the end it’s not a problem if parties choose not to make a problem if it.

In recent years the leader of a cult in Turkey known for being filthy rich died and when cult split the new factions summoned the believers to re-do their inauguration ritual, which involves money collecting, since the old one expired within the death of the leader. And they went and did that, because although its not the members that are rich they still benefit from being in the community and the business connections.

Tesla has a similar thing, they are on a mission and many make money from being part of the community as they collect referrals, make content and sell accessories. Even if not doing any of that they ysually have Tesla shares and even if that’s not the case they want to keep the value of their vehicle high. Also in comes with the emotional baggage of having told everyone how their tesla drives autonomously etc.

IAmBroom•7h ago
Elon has eroded, even exploded, a lot of that cult. I've seen multiple Teslas in the wild with apologetic "I bought this before I knew he was crazy" bumperstickers.
stronglikedan•7h ago
> "I bought this before I knew he was crazy" bumperstickers

how ironic

gipp•7h ago
That probably describes some corners of Tesla's market, but 99% of people buying Teslas and FSD are doing it because it is (was?) a cool car with a potentially cool feature. You're letting the wildly unrepresentative sample of "loud people on the Internet" distort your perception of the world at large.
mrtksn•7h ago
Those who don’t care, wouldn’t care anyway. If they still have the car the can just sell it, if they don’t have the car its irrelevant.

Most people just don’t want new troubles in their lives, its juts money long gone.

drcongo•7h ago
$15k?! I've got a bridge they could buy for just $10k.
NickC25•7h ago
>It would add up to a lot of money for Tesla, but for customers? Some of these people paid $15.000 years ago for something that hasn’t been delivered, and now, they would be able to get $10,000 ‘back’, only if they commit to spending way more again, in the hope to eventually get what they bought years ago, or, more likely, in the hope of eventually being able to subscribe to get the features they already paid for years ago.

Sounds like fraud.

Why is Musk allowed to be worth half a trillion dollars again? The guy can't help himself but lie and make deliberately misleading half-truth (at best) statements in investor meetings and presentations. Textbook fraud.

An ethical steward of capital he is not. We've gone through 4+ US presidential administrations with him as the CEO, and not once has he been effectively taken to task let alone held accountable for his bullshit.

code_for_monkey•7h ago
America is run by sham companies with con man ceos. Look at the president! He is one. The federal government does the kind of crypto pump and dumps you'd expect to see being run on snapchat. Of course no one is holding Musk's feet to the fire.
lern_too_spel•4h ago
It's not a pump and dump. It's a one-time sell-off of Trump Coins sold by the various Trump-affiliates organizations to companies in China that wanted to be excluded from tariffs and regulations and individuals who wanted to get Trump's ear at a dinner. It's a bribe. The secondary market value of the coins is exactly 0 because that money isn't going to Trump.
danans•7h ago
> Why is Musk allowed to be worth half a trillion dollars again? The guy can't help himself but lie and make deliberately misleading half-truth (at best) statements in investor meetings and presentations.

Perhaps you just answered your own question. But are you sure he's the only big tech CEO who does it, or does he just do it the best?

igor47•6h ago
It doesn't matter is he's the only one. He's the one we're talking about right now. Comments like yours read to me as "well everyone is doing it" and I really don't like how this serves to normalize bad action. Trump makes this rhetorical move all the time to justify his own corruption.
danans•5h ago
> Comments like yours read to me as "well everyone is doing it"

You are reading the literal meaning right: everyone is doing it.

But you are reading the intent wrong, which is to point out the extent of fraud and deception in boardrooms and markets.

judahmeek•4h ago
Definitely sounds like you're normalizing this kind of behavior.
danans•4h ago
You can interpret my intent however you like, but I find that "kind of behavior" abhorrent and a reflection of broader societal problems.
immibis•7h ago
Because it's about, and always has been about, and always will be about, power and personal connection, not following the rules. Following the rules is one avenue to power - if the rules are enforced as written. But there are others, like bribing whoever is meant to enforce the rules and then breaking them. Another is to abuse rules, like setting up a string of companies that go bankrupt like crumple zones.
sporkxrocket•6h ago
We created Sarbanes-Oxley after Enron and made it very difficult to go IPO, yet somehow TSLA is allowed to engage in blatant and obvious fraud. Musk lies in every shareholder meeting and is rewarded with hundreds of billions of dollars. I can't think of another case of financial fraud at this scale that is allowed to go completely unchecked.
JumpCrisscross•6h ago
> Why is Musk allowed to be worth half a trillion dollars again?

Because he founded a company that turned into PayPal, single-handedly launched the Western EV revolution and single-handedly secured American access to space. He's been a fuckup for the last few years. But he's "allowed" to be worth a lot because if he were doing what he's doing elsewhere, he'd facilitate a multi-trillion dollar wealth transfer from America to that place.

suckler•6h ago
Paypal kicked Musk out for being annoying and useless and wanting to implement bad ideas. He bought Tesla after it already put out its fan-favorite car. To say he contributed anything is questionable, and to say anything he has done is revolutionary is laughable.
lotsofpulp•6h ago
Repeated success along multiple businesses is an objective measure. There is a chance he lucked into paypal, tesla, spaceX, and starlink, but it seems reasonable to assume he is contributing (and detracting simultaneously) something to score 4 successess, even if that is just hiring the right people and making big bets.

These are also hard businesses, dealing with physics, chemistry, and regulations. Unlike SaaS businesses one spins up on cloud services. Which lends some more credence to not just being lucky.

Obviously, he has a reprehensible agenda, but there is clearly a case to be made about his ability to execute.

pas•2h ago
this is a bad framing. he did put in a lot of work, he did mercilessly churn through engineers to get results, cajoled various power-brokers to get subsidies and financing necessary to keep on keeping on.

he is the ultimate right place right time person, managed to turn innovative historically doomed-to-fail ventures into very highly valued mature(ish) businesses.

it's unlikely that someone without his micromanagerial madness could have done these. (and of course in a better world he would have gotten help, employees wouldn't have been fired on a whim, and the market wouldn't reward liars. not to mention that ideally the market would price in the consequences of enriching someone with so loose morals.)

hbarka•6h ago
Where’s my $15k deposit?
JumpCrisscross•6h ago
> let’s complete what we cede fuck-it-up worth to: Single-handedly secured the outcome of an election because he’s worth a lot, then, he’s allowed to be DOGE and fuck more shit up just because he’s worth a lot

This strikes me as more of an indictment of money in politics.

Musk didn't need half a trillion dollars to influence the election and trash our government. He needed a few hundred million. We should be able to create a system where a man, even a very rich man, cannot rent the most powerful position in the history of humanity with a few hundred million dollars.

ceejayoz•6h ago
> But he's "allowed" to be worth a lot because if he were doing what he's doing elsewhere, he'd facilitate a multi-trillion dollar wealth transfer from America to that place.

That was the argument against Massachusetts taxing millionaires. Instead, it made double even the optimistic estimates. https://www.wgbh.org/news/politics/2024-05-21/millionaires-t...

Turns out there's usually a good reason people settle in a place.

(And the US government gets a big say if you try to move a critical national security asset out of the country, too.)

JumpCrisscross•5h ago
I’m not talking about taxes, I’m talking about raw wealth creation. Musk is rewarded in part so America stays attractive to the next potential Musk. We could double his taxes and that message would still hold.
ceejayoz•5h ago
He's "allowed to be worth half a trillion dollars" because we don't tax him enough.
s1artibartfast•3h ago
would a 499 billion cap make you happy? 100 Billion?

It would require substantial punitive taxes and penalties to prevent this accumulation. Would founders and investors still develop in the USA if their upside were curtailed? Would Musk Found spaceX if they were not allowed to profit from it?

Also, it is not as simple as taxing profits. Almost all of this value is simply equity in controlled companies. What is the mechanism here? If you are too successful, the government seizes your company? Dont you think that would be disruptive to investment and growth?

JumpCrisscross•3h ago
> Would founders and investors still develop in the USA if their upside were curtailed?

Yes. Unified consumer market. Incumbency. Deep and international access to risk capital.

China only has the first two. It's still got a thriving start-up ecosystem.

> Almost all of this value is simply equity in controlled companies. What is the mechanism here?

Selling equity. This is a theoretical question for e.g. a closely-held family business. It's not for a public or mature private company.

> the government seizes your company?

Guess who ushered in the administration that's embraced this option!

s1artibartfast•2h ago
OK, where would you place this hard wealth cap and company forfeiture limit? Should we confiscate everything over 100 billion? 100 million?

Do you actually endorse confiscation of companies, or are you just taking a reactionary copy cat stance?

ceejayoz•3h ago
> Almost all of this value is simply equity in controlled companies.

Start by banning or curtailing these techniques they utilize to borrow against that equity or put it in tax advantaged accounts. https://www.propublica.org/article/billionaires-tax-avoidanc...

And perhaps a 1-2% wealth tax.

JumpCrisscross•3h ago
> And perhaps a 1-2% wealth tax

After $100mm. (I guess if you want to get the evangelicals on board you could do $39 or $390mm.)

s1artibartfast•2h ago
Do you think a 2% wealth tax would have prevented Musk's fortune?
ceejayoz•1h ago
No. That’s why I spitballed more than one idea.
s1artibartfast•20m ago
So you were just spitballing things you dont even think will work? Neither of them seem even remotely close to sufficient, either alone or in combination in preventing another Musk. 2% seems irrelevant and he would probably be even richer if prevented from buying twitter due to the ban on collateralized lending.

If we are just spitballing, I think we should charge Billionaires a nickel every time they tie their shoes, and a dime on Sunday.

One option that might actually work is following a more feudal model, where the POTUS/Trump executes or disappears any oligarch that accumulates more than X amount, as assessed by the executive.

My actually preferred option is to simply get the money out of politics.

NickC25•2h ago
>would a 499 billion cap make you happy?

Yeah. No single individual needs that much money. especially in this day and age where politicians are cheap as fuck to buy and the markets will reward any and all regulatory capture in the name of increasing short-term value of stock....while not giving a damn about the long-term ramifications of how it perverts our entire economic system.

>100 Billion?

That would too. Let me ask you - if you had $99 billion USD, would you whine that you don't have $100 billion, or would you, y'know, go out and use the money to enjoy your life and take care of people?

I know which I'd do. Hint: I'd be extremely fucking happy with what I'd have and I'd do all I could to spread the wealth around as far as I could. I wouldn't whine, I'd be overjoyed that I'd have more wealth than all but approximately 30 people on the planet.

The only "work" I'd do at that point is to figure out which diseases could likely be eradicated with enough money, and figure out how to give enough money to get it done. Gates, for all his faults, did pretty much just that. His money kicked malaria's ass.

>Also, it is not as simple as taxing profits. Almost all of this value is simply equity in controlled companies. What is the mechanism here? If you are too successful, the government seizes your company? Dont you think that would be disruptive to investment and growth?

It most certainly is quite easy.

If you have over a certain number in net worth (say, $100 billion), you can't take out loans against your stock portfolio - you have to sell stock or assets. The loans-against-portfolio system was designed to help middle class individuals buy homes, not to help centibillionaires buy $500mm yachts. If you are the sole founder of a multi-trillion dollar organization, your business expenses should cover quite literally anything you could ever need.

The mechanism isn't the government taking away a company, and it's certainly not disruptive to investment nor growth. In fact, as a founder myself, I'd take it as a badge of honor if the government came in and said "hey bro you are now worth a hundred billion dollars, you've won capitalism, go enjoy time with your friends and family". My investors, who invested small amounts of capital at a valuation in the low single digit millions, would be thrilled at a 100 billion dollar exit. That's nearly a 100,000x multiple ROI. If you, say, as an investor, dropped $10,000 on an investment. It gave you a return, after a decade, of 100,000x, or a billion dollars. Your reaction to that would be to complain that the government is discouraging and disrupting growth?

s1artibartfast•2h ago
> The loans-against-portfolio system was designed to help middle class individuals buy homes, not to help centibillionaires buy $500mm yachts. If you are the sole founder of a multi-trillion dollar organization, your business expenses should cover quite literally anything you could ever need.

This is nonsense. It wasn't "designed" to help the middle class. Portfolios are clear collateral assets and a natural backstop that doesnt need a "designer". It will arise in any financial system that allows free contracting and doesnt explicitly prohibit it.

> In fact, as a founder myself, I'd take it as a badge of honor if the government came in and said "hey bro you are now worth a hundred billion dollars, you've won capitalism, go enjoy time with your friends and family...".

This is such a contrived example it isnt worth discussing. The realistic outcome is the government taking it and giving you nothing. We aren't discussing the government "buying" anything.

JumpCrisscross•3h ago
> He's "allowed to be worth half a trillion dollars" because we don't tax him enough

On a technical level, sure. On a practical level, he'd still be fabulously rich and powerful, and the comment you're responding to would be asking why he's allowed to be worth hundreds of billions of whatever.

The problem isn't that Musk was "allowed" to become wealthy. It's that a trivial fraction of that wealth let him corrupt not only himself, but also his government.

ben_w•4h ago
> But he's "allowed" to be worth a lot because if he were doing what he's doing elsewhere, he'd facilitate a multi-trillion dollar wealth transfer from America to that place.

I think this is the critical point. It's kinda the foundation of why all extremely rich people are "allowed" to get so rich.

For the rest, not so much. Partly:

Much as I was impressed with him successfully turning the disaster that was Eberhard and Tarpenning's era into a viable business, I would not describe "noticing and fixing Eberhard and Tarpenning's mistakes" as "single-handedly" launching anything. The booster version is the opposite side of the same wrong coin as those who insist Musk was worthless because Eberhard and Tarpenning came first.

SpaceX similarly, for all I'm impressed by how he's used his charisma and vision and drive to get people organised, he's definitely not "single handed" on this.

But also, my understanding is that for valuations such as Tesla's share price, the "what it should be" is usually based on what they're likely to return in the next 20 years or so. Tesla's stock price is obviously disconnected from the business returns, at best speculation based on what Musk might be able to organise people to do eventually, and given he has been, as you say, "a fuckup for the last few years", the expected return for the Musk group should be lower, not higher.

NickC25•3h ago
>Because he founded a company that turned into PayPal

No he didn't. He co-founded (with several other people) a company that merged with a company founded over a year before (that he had no involvement in) which eventually became PayPal. He didn't found jack shit on his own.

> single-handedly launched the Western EV revolution

Say what now? Are we talking about Tesla? You know Toyota had a working hybrid on the market in 2000, correct? The West was already well on its way to electric vehicles when Musk bought himself a board seat at Tesla.

>single-handedly secured American access to space.

Americans had not only already gone to space, but had landed on the moon over 2 years before Musk was born. Yes, you read that right - he was quite literally not even conceived when Americans had not only sent rockets into space, but literally went to and landed on a moon.

rapnie•6h ago
Saw a youtube video about the "grand achievements" of the Boring company in Las Vegas. If it were smell video, this project would smell like fraud.
danaris•6h ago
> Why is Musk allowed to be worth half a trillion dollars again?

Because the US abandoned a number of years ago the idea that the law should apply equally to everyone. At least since the Reagan years, and to an increasing degree recently, "Greed is Good" has become the economic motto, and net worth is treated as if it's synonymous with one's moral worth.

This is all part and parcel of the devaluation of ethics that has led to a corrupt president whose election has serious questions around it wantonly flouting the law and treating the country like his own personal playground.

ModernMech•5h ago
> Why is Musk allowed to be worth half a trillion dollars again? ... An ethical steward of capital he is not.

You answered your question! Capitalism does not optimize for ethical stewards, and has nothing at all to say about morality or ethics. If a scam is profitable, capitalism says "that's okay!". Doesn't matter if it's illegal, immoral, amoral, destroys the environment, or even decapitates people leaving their head bouncing down the highway.

That's why Elon Musk is allowed to be worth half a trillion dollars. The system optimized for it; fraud, deception, and lawbreaking is a competitive advantage under capitalism. Someone has to be worth the most, and under this system, that person is going to be whomever is the most eager to wield his considerable wealth and power to commit crimes and defraud people.

slowmovintarget•6h ago
The Star Citizen model.
smusamashah•5h ago
Last line immediately reminded of Star Citizen which was first announced in 2012 and people are still paying for the promises/hypes the company keeps making.
scrollop•9h ago
As expected, based on it's actions and promises, over it's history.

There is a good choice of EVs from various manufacturers.

speedgoose•8h ago
In some markets, it means having to spend more or purchasing a worse car. Tesla offers some very good value cars, and 0% interest rate for 3 years. It almost makes you want to forget about the CEO.
anonymars•8h ago
Also, how does the charging situation compare outside of the Tesla ecosystem? (Assuming you can't charge it at home)

Tesla really makes charging about as seamless as can be. It integrates into the navigation system (the car will automatically add charging stops, pre-warm the battery, tell you how many spots are open, etc.), integrates the payment, etc.

I've rented a Tesla. The most annoying thing about it was the goofy unlock (tapping a key card at the right spot on the door pillar) but I'm very wary of renting any other EV and having to dick around with finding the right charge place, determining if it has the right connection, will it charge fast enough, can I just pay by card or do I need some stupid app, etc.

coldpie•7h ago
> Tesla really makes charging about as seamless as can be. It integrates into the navigation system (the car will automatically add charging stops, pre-warm the battery, tell you how many spots are open, etc.), integrates the payment, etc.

Other cars have all that, too, yeah. I got a 2025 Ioniq 5 and it does all that, and it's also not restricted to just one charging company's chargers. The payment integration stuff exists, but it requires support from the charging company obviously, and IMO that's kind of a mis-feature anyway, so I never bothered to set it up.

> can I just pay by card or do I need some stupid app

In my experience, almost all chargers just use a card. 100% of the ones I've used in regular gas stations on freeway exits just use a card. Once in a blue moon you run into a stupid app one, but it's usually an older charger that was installed in a city center in the early days of EV charging. The apps seem to be mostly disappearing, thank god. Ironically I'm pretty sure Tesla's chargers require a stupid app for non-Tesla cars, but I've never used one, so not certain.

> determining if it has the right connection

Yeah, the adapters are clunky. It's just gonna take time to phase out CCS. Hopefully that's a solved problem in 10 years as everyone switches over to NACS. I did use a native NACS non-Tesla charger with my native NACS non-Telsa car once on a recent road trip. The future is... almost here!

monkeywork•7h ago
The idea that you don’t need an app to charge is, in my view, highly dependent on the region. I follow several YouTube channels where people document long EV road trips to showcase how the charging infrastructure is evolving. While things have definitely improved over the past couple of years, using non-Tesla charging stations still often involves:

- Charging speeds that fall short of what's advertised

- A requirement to use an app for payment (even if no account setup is needed)

- Chargers that are out of service but not flagged as such in the system

coldpie•7h ago
> highly dependent on the region

Oh, I hadn't thought of it that way, but I bet you're right! I bet denser areas got chargers earlier, so they're stuck on the stupid-app-based model that was popular 5 years ago. Where I am in the upper midwest, the rollout has been happening only over the last couple years (e.g. several of the chargers I stopped at last month are not even on Google Maps streetview yet), so the chargers are in better shape and just have standard card readers now.

burnerthrow008•6h ago
> I got a 2025 Ioniq 5 and it does all that, and it's also not restricted to just one charging company's chargers.

Cool story bro. How is this relevant to a discussion about Tesla?

coldpie•6h ago
The parent was asking about EV charging experiences outside the Tesla ecosystem, so I replied with my experiences charging an EV without any Tesla products involved. Hope that helps!
anonymars•5h ago
Indeed, I (parent) have found the discussion interesting and helpful. (The observations about regional variations are also noteworthy in the context of renting/travel).

I'm glad to know that my mental model wasn't completely off-base, and happy to see that the situation is improving overall

And the parent response was a great case study in de-escalation. 5 stars, would ride again (assuming sufficient battery!)

aDyslecticCrow•7h ago
The Tesla charger is now the North American Charging Standard NACS (standardized as SAE J3400). So most or nearly all new EV's in USA use it. So that's not an issue anymore.

In Europe, Tesla use the European standard Type 2 (standardized as IEC 62196-2) charger. So that's not an issue either.

> correction: I thought Tesla still used their own charger in Europe.

padjo•7h ago
Teslas in Europe have Type2 connectors.
aDyslecticCrow•7h ago
I seem to be a bit outdated then. If they've also switched over then even less of an issue.

The EV charger standard wars are over.

padjo•3h ago
It was an EU mandate a few years back, I think every Tesla since about 2019 is Type2. I still have to deal with the occasional charger with a ChaDeMo port for old Nissan Leafs. I think those pioneers deserve some respect though!
fukka42•7h ago
Tesla is awful outside of the US where they didn't invest heavily in spamming their charging stations everywhere.
simonask•7h ago
Have never had any trouble in Scandinavia or Germany.

There are regions of Europe with less developed infrastructure, but the situation is identical for all car makers.

aDyslecticCrow•8h ago
Unfortunately (or fortunately if you like cheap good cars) China has gotten ridiculously good at lithium batteries, and is rapidly eating the EV market. The traditional American and European brands are either sold to china, or falling behind.

Tesla lead the market for quite a while, but lost their way trying to become a software company instead of perfecting manufacturing. They don't heave a lead anymore, and trust for their brand is tanking. Between tesla and a chineese EV, i trust both about equally now.

monkeywork•7h ago
Until N. America lifts the 100% tariffs on Chinese cars, it doesn't really matter if they are equal to Tesla or not in this market.
ta1243•4h ago
Tesla had no option -- its valuation was based on some massive new gains in software/power/etc, not on being a great car company.
aDyslecticCrow•3h ago
its evaluation med by musk yes. But they were a great car company, that would have done fine for itself regardless. Heck im not sure an overevaluation really helps their core buisness.

They were innovative and years ahead in technology. Their heatpump supermanafold is still ahead of the rest of the EV industry. While the rest of the western manufacturers struggle to even make basic software for their cars.

There is plenty to dislike about tesla, (asside from musk) like their spotty quality control and questionable infotainment cost cuts. But if they spent the last few years just perfecting and maturing as a manufacturer, they would be respectful leader in EVs now.

Instead we get Cybertruck (brilliant engineering whasted on a childish design) and an insistence being a software company which it isn't.

Chineese EVs had time to catch up, and now instead of a mature innovative and trustable western EV brand alternative, we got.... Tesla led by musk.

ta1243•1h ago
Even in the best case scenario where they were a major global leader in EVs (difficult when you have an American mindset on what a car is), their valuation would still be less than 1/10th what it currently is.
speedgoose•3h ago
Tesla sells made in China cars with Chinese batteries at good prices though. In Norway, you can buy a Chinese Tesla Model 3 for the price of a BYD Dolphin. Easy choice.
bdcravens•7h ago
Perhaps, but depending on the vehicle, you're giving up quite a bit:

Parking and proximity LIDAR/sensors

3d camera view

CarPlay/Android Auto

Lack of tactile controls (even Tesla has admitted removing the stalk was a mistake)

The ability to exit your vehicle if there's a power system failure

etc

lotsofpulp•7h ago
On the other hand, I paid $41k for a 2024 all wheel drive 3 row (5 adults + 2 kids) Model Y. That saved me $20k+ compared to alternatives.

> 3d camera view

The illustrated overhead view is sufficient that I do not miss a 3D camera view.

>The ability to exit your vehicle if there's a power system failure

This is not true, at least in my 2024 Model Y.

Not having carplay/android auto sucks, but I haven’t missed it enough. And there are enough tactile controls, in my model at least, that it hasn’t been an issue.

All in all, I wouldn’t pay $60k for a Tesla, but sign me up @ $41k.

speedgoose•3h ago
Fair enough for some of the points. My tesla is older so it has good controls, stalks, and parking sensors still. I can also exit the vehicle with a mechanical switch.

I personally don't really miss the fisher-price designed CarPlay (never tried Android auto). It's alright and often better than the car manufacturer infotainment, but it's also not very good. You can't even pinch to zoom the map for example.

CaptainOfCoit•9h ago
> Tesla needs to offer all HW3 owners a $5,000 loyalty discount, that goes on top of all other incentive program, when upgrading to a new car.

Is it just me, or does that seem backwards? If I purchased something with a specific feature, or promised future feature, and 5 years later it's still nowhere to be seen, I don't want a coupon for "my next purchase", why would I buy from the same place after they already lied to me before? The only acceptable solution would be to get back the extra money spent for that feature.

chronci739•8h ago
> why would I buy from the same place after they already lied to me before?

You are smarter than the repeat Tesla buyer.

baggachipz•8h ago
The only sane offer would be to give me my money back. They know how much I gave them, now give it back since you didn't deliver and I no longer have the car. Isn't it enough that I gave them an interest-free loan for all those years?
fukka42•7h ago
They should obviously pay interest, too.
baggachipz•7h ago
In an ideal world. Instead, I expect a class action settlement and me receiving a check for $25.
brandonagr2•7h ago
Nowhere to be seen if your head is in the sand. There are robotaxi pilot programs running in two cities, FSD 14 is actively rolling out to customers, and my car drove me to work this morning on v13. I don't see any lies
CaptainOfCoit•7h ago
So you're saying the submission article is just straight up lies, or why the difference in experience?
sjsdaiuasgdia•7h ago
Have they taken the "safety operator" out of the "robotaxis" yet?

Here's a handy compilation of Musk's self driving broken promises https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_predictions_for_autono...

UltraSane•27m ago
And no Tesla has EVER driven without a driver with Tesla assuming liability for crashes. And I don't think they ever will.

Waymo assumes liability for crashes. Tesla doesn't. That should tell you all you need to know.

skywhopper•9h ago
The time to address this productively was when “Autopilot” and “Full Self Driving” were announced. Tesla and Musk have been misleading customers for a decade now, and the FTC and other regulatory agencies have done next to nothing about it. I’m not expecting a serious crackdown at this point, but I’m also constantly shocked at the folks who still buy into this fever dream.
jgalt212•9h ago
Fool me once, fool me n times...
CaptainOfCoit•9h ago
According to the article, it seems like Tesla didn't land in hot water until they started to push the same scam outside of the US (article is mostly about Australia I think), but seems like regulators might be getting some balls to do the same in the US soon as far as I can tell.
baggachipz•7h ago
> seems like regulators might be getting some balls to do the same in the US soon

You must be new here. Kidding aside, the only reason they would do anything would be if Tesla doesn't sufficiently kiss the king's ring, which they did to the tune of $250 million quite recently. More payments will likely be required, but it's a cost of doing "business" these days.

JumpCrisscross•7h ago
> More payments will likely be required, but it's a cost of doing "business" these days

A "multi-billion-dollar iceberg" is literally referenced in the headline.

Like, yes, if Tesla pays back all HW2 and HW3 FSD buyers their purchase plus interest, they should be fine.

baggachipz•7h ago
I meant that the payments will be... fees... to the executive branch of the US government. Still large, but way less than having to make their customers whole. A protection racket by the president, that's what I'm saying. A protection racket.
CaptainOfCoit•6h ago
> You must be new here.

You too, as otherwise you surely would have at least skimmed the article before commenting :)

> As we recently reported, thousands of Tesla owners have now joined a class action lawsuit in Australia[1] over Tesla misleading customers with its self-driving promises.

> It adds to similar ongoing lawsuits in the US[2] and China[3] .

1 - https://electrek.co/2025/10/13/thousands-of-tesla-owners-joi...

2 - https://electrek.co/2025/08/19/tesla-loses-bid-to-kill-class...

3 - (https://electrek.co/2025/09/22/tesla-being-sued-china-over-n...)

baggachipz•5h ago
My point was that the regulators aren't doing anything, and it requires a class action suit to do anything. Were regulators doing their job, they'd force Tesla to refund those who got scammed. Instead, a class action settlement MAY be reached and those who got scammed will get their check for $25 or whatever.
zozbot234•8h ago
AIUI "Autopilot" and "Full Self Driving" were always just SAE Level 2, although arguably a more full-featured implementation of that SAE level than other automakers. Which means you must pay attention to the road at all times (i.e. you're still very much driving!) and the car provides enhanced cruise control and lane following.
stetrain•8h ago
But FSD was promised to be Level 5, eventually, just as soon as Tesla can get regulatory approval. This has been the case since they started charging for the package back in 2016.
anonymars•8h ago
Exactly, the name is literally Full Self Driving
zozbot234•7h ago
Well, in practice that clearly stands for "you must be Fully Driving the car yourSelf". Totally checks out. Even SAE Level 4 for Tesla FSD is very much not there yet, let alone Level 5 (unattended full autonomy).
anonymars•4h ago
Ha, touché. After all, it doesn't say who the "self" is...

Reminds me of "No, money down!" (https://imgflip.com/memetemplate/382750775/Simpsons-Lionel-H...)

gchokov•9h ago
My EU Car was produced in Germany, in May 2024, with HW3. Already largely obsolete.
CaptainOfCoit•9h ago
Well, you did buy a smart fridge with wheels, not sure what anyone expects when doing such purchase decision.
davedx•8h ago
Consumers shouldn't need to do extended due diligence on the history of whether a company told the truth or not about what it's selling you over the last 15 years before making a purchase decision.

There are, in fact, laws about this kind of thing

paulcole•8h ago
But wouldn’t you feel like an idiot if you didn’t do due diligence and were conned? I don’t particularly like saying, “well the law was supposed to protect me…” in a case where my idiotic decision was completely preventable.
scott_w•8h ago
You say this as though it's trivial to just see that Tesla is a scam. There's multiple decades of fawning articles and reviews of Tesla to the point where the average person can't be blamed for assuming they're a reputable company.

But of course, blaming the victim is much easier because it lets the person doing the blaming pretend they're morally and intellectually superior in some way.

friendzis•8h ago
> You say this as though it's trivial to just see that Tesla is a scam.

You don't need any particularly deep due diligence to see that, in fact, not living under a rock is more than enough.

> There's multiple decades of fawning articles and reviews of Tesla to the point where the average person can't be blamed for assuming they're a reputable company.

There's multiple decades of articles highlighting, in various levels of detail, how exactly bad Tesla is and Teslas are. Checking for bad reviews and deciding how applicable they are to you in particular is part of rudimentary check

Sorry, but knowingly and deliberately buying a Tesla vehicle is entirely on the customer and they get in some sense even more than what they had ordered. Similarly, if you buy a ${brand-you-don't-like} you have no right to complain about ${common-problem}, because that's the state vehicles leave the factory.

scott_w•8h ago
> You don't need any particularly deep due diligence to see that, in fact, not living under a rock is more than enough.

From May 2025: https://cleantechnica.com/2025/05/05/us-consumers-dont-trust...

OP bought their Tesla in 2024, so customer sentiment was actually favourable to Tesla at that point.

In March 2024, brand loyalty was really high according to Experian: https://inspiramarketing.com/when-a-brand-becomes-its-own-wo...

In 2019, customer satisfaction was also high: https://www.businessinsider.com/tesla-model-3-customers-say-...

In 2020, they had an NPS of 97: https://customergauge.com/benchmarks/companies/tesla_motors

> Sorry, but knowingly and deliberately buying a Tesla vehicle is entirely on the customer and they get in some sense even more than what they had ordered.

Clearly, the customers were not knowingly and deliberately buying bad cars because the evidence available to the average person told them the exact opposite thing.

EDIT: Strikethrough below, it was a result of a bad search but the principle above still stands.

Hell, even on Hacker News, the bad news only seems to have started appearing 3 years ago, and I know for a fact your average consumer isn't browsing tech sites to form their opinion for their next car purchase.

friendzis•6h ago
> Major problems reported with Tesla vehicles include vehicle reliability issues like suspension failures ("whompy wheels") and sudden power loss, alongside quality control concerns such as paint defects and poor build quality. Additionally, there are safety concerns surrounding the Autopilot and Full Self-Driving systems, software glitches, and issues with customer service. Other problems include battery degradation over time, resulting in reduced range, and recurring HVAC system failures.

This is what google spews out when I type in "tesla major problems". The first result is Wiki entry "Criticism of Tesla, Inc.", where first section is literally "Fraud allegations".

All I had to do was look if there's negative feedback and it's not something mild what you would get replacing Telsa with e.g. Peugeot, but some really troublesome issues. If you don't agree that this is basic, rudimentary overview and instead argue that this is some deep research, well I don't believe we can agree on anything much at all. I invest more effort in picking a place to eat at than some people in buying their car.

Sorry, but there's no such thing as "bought it before Elon went crazy".

scott_w•5h ago
> "Fraud allegations"

Financial fraud. This isn't something the average person is going to dig up on their own because they aren't going to start reading the FT and WSJ before they buy a car.

> This is what google spews out when I type in "tesla major problems".

Be honest: have you ever done this in literally any other context? In fact, don't bother because I know you haven't. Because nobody does this.

How do I know nobody does this? Because, as I evidenced above, Tesla's public reputation only started to decline in 2024/2025 when Musk started throwing Sieg Heils, sorry, "putting his heart out to the crowd" after Trump's inauguration.

> it's not something mild what you would get replacing Telsa with e.g. Peugeot, but some really troublesome issues

Thanks for giving me a point of comparison. Apparently, the electronic handbrake can fail on certain Peugeots: https://www.service4service.co.uk/news/peugeot/the-most-comm...

I did the same thing you did. Why is this important? Just to point out that, if you do your "due diligence," you can find major issues with any car make. Again, going back to the average consumer, you can't really tell the difference between reports of one car brand being shit vs any other.

Again, this is not to defend Tesla: this is to point out that it's really fucking difficult for an average consumer to know whether a trusted car brand is actually just taking them for a ride.

paulcole•3h ago
> You say this as though it's trivial to just see that Tesla is a scam.

I asked if a person would feel dumb that they had been conned.

Isn't the answer going to be yes even if that con is very sophisticated?

Paying a lot of money for self-driving when self-driving literally doesn't exist isn't that sophisticated of a con! They are telling you it doesn't exist! I know it doesn't exist and am paying for the hope that it will one day exist.

I mean sure make a law against this or whatever. But at the end of the day it's my money and no law can stop me from making a regrettable decision.

blibble•8h ago
why not?

a car is the largest purchase most people will make (after property)

people should do more due diligence on it than e.g. on a new phone purchase

Loughla•8h ago
There's a difference between doing research into a car and doing research into whether or not a company is lying to me.
blibble•7h ago
why not?

I certainly looked into whether the company that built my house was prudent and known for not scamming people

fnordsensei•7h ago
Information, power, and insight asymmetry between an individual and a company. That’s why there are consumer protection laws in many countries; to even the scales, not to favor individuals. With no hand on the scales, asymmetry is the default.
blibble•6h ago
I 100% agree companies shouldn't be outright allowed to scam people

but if you're not at least reading the wikipedia page on a car and its manufacturer company before buying it looking for common "issues", that's kinda your fault

JohnFen•8h ago
Maybe they shouldn't need to, but they do. Due to regulatory capture and deregulation (at least in the US), the law provides very little protection against scumbag companies.
firecall•8h ago
They expect what is promised.

Consumer protections are a very real thing in the EU, UK, Australia and elsewhere!

If you make promises about the features a product will deliver, then you are obligated to deliver those features.

If not, the consumer is entitled to a refund.

6510•8h ago
You could wrap it in disclaimers of experimental technology. Just describe the exact content on the tin.

It seems fine to state one might get a free pony if it doesn't rain for 1000 days.

watwut•8h ago
Consumer protections prevent such contracts. That is why companies acustomed to "defraud as much as you want, just keep it legally plausibe" hate them so much.
friendzis•8h ago
> It seems fine to state one might get a free pony if it doesn't rain for 1000 days.

IANAL, but if it was "fine" that would still fall quite firmly under "gambling"

piva00•8h ago
This kind of legal loophole might be common in the USA but in the EU is much harder to weasel out of obligations from the spirit of the law with legalese.

They can wrap as in many disclaimers as they want, if the law is clear that consumers had a presumption of delivery due to marketing promises which were unfulfilled they are on the hook for it.

It's why many American companies constantly complain about EU regulations, they empower consumers which is "bad for business™" since fraud becomes much harder to wrap in loopholes.

JohnFen•8h ago
> It seems fine to state one might get a free pony if it doesn't rain for 1000 days.

No, it doesn't seem fine at all. That's scam territory.

dboreham•6h ago
This only works in a country with a scam culture such as the USA.
martini333•8h ago
How? You still have exactly what you bought. You even got new features as OTA updates for free. What other car would not be as-bought after purchace?
bdcravens•7h ago
> What other car would not be as-bought after purchace?

The other cars that also have OTA updates? (Rivian, Polestar, and more, plus quite a few that provide less-extensive OTA like Hyundai, VW, etc)

martini333•2h ago
...what other car is not "Already largely obsolete" after purchance..?
layer8•8h ago
The whole FSD promise was such a scam from the start (or self-delusion on Tesla’s part, if you want to be charitable) that it would be nice to see them feel real consequences from it.
Havoc•8h ago
> It’s unclear why would Tesla sell a subcription to something that doesn’t even exist

No I’d say it’s pretty clear

firtoz•8h ago
Can you please enlighten those of us who are watching from a distance?
WJW•8h ago
Money?
rsynnott•8h ago
I mean, they were selling something which didn't exist as a one-off payment for about the last decade, so I'm not sure why selling it on a subscription basis is inherently any weirder. They clearly have the sort of customer base who like paying for non-existent things, so why not?
hiddencost•8h ago
One of the most notorious liars in history was heavily leveraged and needed the stock to do well, to avoid bankruptcy, so he lied repeatedly for years?
hypeatei•8h ago
There are a lot of "true believers" in the Tesla customer base so it's an easy way to collect money without doing much. The same mindset applies to the stock: it's not really based on any fundamentals, just vibes and Elon's personality.
__MatrixMan__•8h ago
When you get paid for not doing anything, you get paid, but you don't have to do anything.
code_for_monkey•7h ago
Musk is a con man, he'd accept money for bus tickets to Mars.
FlyingSnake•8h ago
For a minute I thought this is an moon-shot to stop climate change by building real icebergs.
IAmBroom•7h ago
That's hilarious.
KaiserPro•8h ago
Ok, so I imagine that the fine print of the $5k FSD addon has something like "This is a beta and may or may not delivered in full"

or something similar.

I can't imagine that they made it easy enough for someone to take them to court for non-delivery of FSD, which we knew wasn't going to be possible.

_hark•8h ago
They really should have just marketed the software "as-is" to whatever extent that is allowed by law. I guess they didn't because deployed automobile software is probably not allowed to be considered experimental.

Still, comms that framed it like: "This software purchase upgrades your car with state-of-the-art autonomy capabilities from our AI team, as we approach full self-driving" would have been more honest, still exciting to consumers, and avoided over-promising.

friendzis•8h ago
> and avoided over-promising

Stonk is the product and is literally built on over-promising.

panick21•8h ago
AI and focus on Self-Driving has been the biggest failure and blindspot for Tesla (Musk). So much of the strategy evolved around that, its a big reason why I pulled my investment. I invested because they were growing fast, had a pretty good product and had very high marin despite massive investment charging, service and verticial integration. And their next generation product should have been a reusable platform that could delvier a basic van, basic suv and basic pickup, all from the same assembly line. After that focus on a cheaper smaller electric car.

I thought it made a lot of sense to focus on a well functioning Level 2 System that they owned themselves. Make highway driving, start-stop traffic and such easy as possible. Make the car helpful and easy to use.

But then Tesla started focusing on making complex navigation and remote summening a feature when tons of basic stuff didn't work very well yet. For example, automated parking, 360 view, detection of features like shadows and such. Why not focus specifically on the actual dangrous problem looking around blind corners and installing a sensor suit that can help humans with the problem.

Promsing Full Self Driving with existing hardware and selling that when they had not proven that it could work was idioitc and I always felt like it was a liability. They should have been sued over this a while ago.

Initially Tesla messaging was save, nice software, fun to drive and green, and it then became half baked software, don't drive it and risky.

When it came out that Musk said they should build a cheaper next generation car, because Self-Driving would collapse the car market by 80% I knew the company had completely lost its way.

riffraff•8h ago
but the whole self driving shtick is what gave it the insane valuation, isn't it?

"we're general motors, but better" is not the same as "we'll have self driving taxis that make money to our customers while they sleep".

Musk's 2018 Pay Package had a lot of market cap-based targets[0].

[0] https://www.equilar.com/elon-musk-2018-tesla-pay-package-ana...

consumer451•8h ago
> I knew the company had completely lost its way.

For me, the biggest signal was when Tesla was suddenly all-in on BTC, and promised to build their own full node.

It made no sense.

olalonde•7h ago
Do you have a source for "promised to build their own full node"? As far as I recall, they just added BTC to the list of currencies they accept.
consumer451•7h ago
I used to spend an unhealthy amount of time watching TSLA back then, it was just my recollection. Here is a tweet from Musk on the topic:

> Tesla is using only internal & open source software & operates Bitcoin nodes directly. ...

https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1374619379929772034

https://xcancel.com/elonmusk/status/1374619379929772034

Geee•7h ago
That's the proper way to accept BTC payments, with your own node, instead of using some third-party service.
consumer451•7h ago
That may be so, however:

1. Up to that sudden 180, Musk had been a cryptocurrency skeptic. What changed?

2. It had nothing to do with Tesla's mission, in-fact it seemed to go against it. At best it was a distraction when there were real problems to deal with.

3. When reality caught up, Tesla reversed course.

I am not stating some grand thing here, this is just my recollection of events.

Geee•7h ago
The first claim isn't true, because Elon has been a bitcoiner for a long time. There was a huge Bitcoin hype / hubris at that time. Specifically, Saylor happened, and he convinced Elon and others that Bitcoin is the best reserve asset, and Tesla had a lot of cash, which was melting like an ice cube due to inflation. There was a lot of inflation talk / protecting against inflation. And in the end it actually worked out for them pretty well, given that BTC has about tripled since then (they bough at $34k).

After they had bought the bitcoin, adding it as a payment option was a way to add hype to increase its value. They quickly found out that it's too volatile for payments to be practical, and the hype cycle was ending anyway and they sold half of their reserve.

consumer451•6h ago
This quote is not indicative of someone who was into BTC (2017):

> ... A friend sent me part of a BTC a few years, but I don’t know where it is.

https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/935329447594541056

Geee•6h ago
Well, he has been aware of it for a long time, and made occasional tweets mentioning it. He has not been a huge bitcoiner, but I don't recall him being a sceptic.
consumer451•18m ago
Thanks for "Saylor happened" context, I was not aware of that. It helped fill a void of understanding for me. I appreciate it.
immibis•5h ago
It's a weird thing to fixate on. Everyone who accepts Bitcoin should have a full node. Satoshi was right about Bitcoin having relatively low hardware requirements in the future due to the advancement of hardware.
consumer451•3h ago
That's fair. All my other points stand, in my very humble opinion.
t1234s•8h ago
I would think the hw3 to hw4 retrofit would be easy. just swap out the FSD computer under the front and swap out the cameras. I'm sure they could make a kit that is compatible with the existing camera harnesses (if they are different). Also they would need to make a way to retrofit the bumper cam housing on older models.

If they offered this for sale for $8k including the FSD license for older hw3 teslas that don't have FSD it might offset some of the cost to bring up the people who already paid the $8k on HW3.

jimbo808•8h ago
This is kinda a hilarious coincidence, because I just watched a podcast with Andrej Karpathy, the guy who was running their autopilot program back when the sage "fully autonomous in one year" predictions kicked of their 15+ year long run (and counting).

These days he's moved on to predicting 10 years for AGI and is, I shit you not, citing his 15 year track record of making accurate predictions (timestamped link below if you want have a laugh).

https://youtu.be/lXUZvyajciY?si=3PyVM476W6k3n-DR&t=181

morkalork•8h ago
So, tacking on the 15x multiplier from his Tesla FSD prediction: AGI in 150 years.

Yeah that actually sounds about right!

estearum•8h ago
Do we know that Karpathy was the one making those predictions? Musk is absolutely notorious for throwing completely made up and detached-from-reality deadlines onto his teams, including making public obligations to such.
Fricken•7h ago
Karpathy, the celebrity AI influencer with no relevant autonomous vehicle experience, was hired to make Elon's bad predictions look good. He was an active and willing component of the scam. I'm sure he was paid handsomely.

Autopilot's first director, Sterling Anderson, was fired because he was not willing to go along with the scam.

londons_explore•8h ago
Every time Elon made an FSD prediction on stage live, you could see Andrej wincing in the background.

You could tell Andrej was going along with what hiss boss said, but didn't believe it himself.

skeeter2020•8h ago
I don't think that absolves him from any of the scorn though. In fact it might make his shortcoming even worse.
ben_w•7h ago
Absolve? No.

Even worse? Nah, the judgement of someone in their 20s should be assumed poor.

mcmcmc•7h ago
And yet VCs throw hundreds of millions of dollars at startup founders in their 20s every year
geodel•6h ago
Yeah, because it works as law of probability not law of physics. So out of ten thousand immature 20s a dozen may be very good making something that generate lot of wealth and immaturity in those cases might be helping not hurting them.
ben_w•6h ago
That reflects worse on the VCs than on the founders, IMO.
mnky9800n•6h ago
you would think there could be a better way to do it.
senordevnyc•4h ago
He was born in 1986, so he was almost 31 when he joined Tesla in 2017. By the time he left, he was almost 36.
moralestapia•7h ago
Absolutely.

There's a funny but very crude saying in Slovakia, which where he's from so he might know it, lol. I cannot write it here for obvious reasons but it's related to letting people do things to you for money ...

As others have pointed out, there were a lot of incentives ($$$) for Krapathy to behave like that during his tenure at Tesla.

pilingual•7h ago
https://youtu.be/FnFksQo-yEY?t=1357
daveguy•7h ago
Hm. Is Karpathy the fool who convinced Musk that the best sensing technology (lidar) shouldn't be used? That is disappointing. I like Karpathy and always thought the cameras-only mistake came from Musk as chief fool.
JKCalhoun•6h ago
It's impossible to know from this data point alone if Karpathy was a leader in this regard, convincing Musk, or if he was tapped to be merely the enabler.

(I definitely like Karpathy 2.0 better though.)

jimbo808•5h ago
Karpathy was in charge of the autonomous driving unit, while Elon was in charge of playing video games, calling random people on Twitter pedos, making flamethrowers, poaching a bunch of NASA engineers and selling them back to the government, digging holes, gaslighting us about the Hyperloop, and uhhh... yeah, too busy to have been super hands on with this I'd imagine.
chronci739•8h ago
> the guy who was running their autopilot program back when the sage "fully autonomous in one year" predictions kicked of their 15+ year long run

To be fair, if I’m being paid $10 million/year, I’ll make any damn prediction my boss tells me to make

maxerickson•8h ago
I mean, I probably would do too, but it doesn't exactly speak to the integrity of whatever is being said now.
senordevnyc•8h ago
I mean this question in good faith, and with all due respect to Karpathy: is there any reason to give this guy any credence beyond his ability to teach about LLMs? The only interesting industry experience of his that I'm aware of is leading Tesla's AI division during the period where they decided on this disastrous and dangerous vision-only approach that has resulted in multiple deaths. That alone makes me think he's not only incompetent but unethical. Am I missing something?
chronci739•8h ago
> during the period where they decided on this disastrous and dangerous vision-only approach that has resulted in multiple deaths

To be fair, it was a direct decision from Elon due to covid supply chain shortages of radar and ultrasonic sensors. Not from engineers (as is common at Elon companies)

But Andrej deserves some of the blame because he was too busy sucking on the $TSLA stock teat to say anything

fukka42•7h ago
Pretty sure musk was hell bent on Vision only before covid.
daveguy•7h ago
Yes, the decision was definitely made well before covid. It's just that musk and fanboys couldn't stop crowing about it during the covid shortages because that temporarily made camera-only sensing look like a good idea.
_hark•8h ago
I don't recall Andrej making "next year!" claims, it was always Elon. I found Andrej's talks from that time to be circumspect and precise in describing their ideas and approach, and not engaging in timeline speculation.
Geee•7h ago
He doesn't say that at all on the video. He refers to his experience in the industry in regards to other people making predictions. To be clear, he knows that FSD predictions were too optimistic, and that's why he says that AGI will take a decade at least. Almost everyone else in the industry is predicting AGI "soon", i.e. in 1 or 2 years.
dawnerd•7h ago
But we still don’t have FSD despite whatever robotaxi is doing. We’re not getting AGI in a decade.
CaptainOfCoit•7h ago
Saying "We won't get X in N" is easy and not very interesting, what about answering "When will we get X?" instead?
lossolo•6h ago
There are literally zero people who know the answer to that question, or even have an estimate that is based on anything more than a hunch, it could be one year, or it could be ten years or more.
JumpCrisscross•6h ago
> literally zero people who know the answer to that question

But plenty willing to guess. Folks without domain expertise tend to average the experts' guesses without accounting for the condition of being willing to guess in the first place.

jimbo808•4h ago
If someone averages only the guesses from this subset, they’re ignoring the conditional selection effect, that the dataset (the set of guesses) is biased by the very act of being willing to guess. So the "average of guesses" doesn't represent the true expert population, and ignores the conditional selection effect.

There's also just the reality that most of these experts have a lot of skin in the game, and there's lots of pressure in this world to a true believer, so I'm not going to buy into it too much.

CaptainOfCoit•6h ago
But together with a bit reasoning, you have something like a HN comment that people willingly wanna discuss, instead of some off-hand "that'll never come".

I'm fairly sure what type of sentiment I'd prefer, at least it'd be half-assed then.

dawnerd•5h ago
Never said it wouldn’t come. Said it wouldn’t in a decade.
CaptainOfCoit•5h ago
> Never said it wouldn’t come. Said it wouldn’t in a decade.

Yeah, easy and not very interesting.

JKCalhoun•6h ago
If anything he comes across as repentant.
ben_w•6h ago
> Almost everyone else in the industry is predicting AGI "soon", i.e. in 1 or 2 years.

I've not read any original quote from anyone saying that, either. Closest things I have seen were people doing a game of telephone with Altman's "thousands of days" ending up as that, and the 2027 paper which was predicated on the USA systematically deleting every obstacle rather than vibe-coding a tariff policy and having ICE mass-arrest people building relevant factories, and even then the authors indicated 2027 was on the optimistic side.

jimbo808•5h ago
No serious person is predicting that. There are a few categories of person who are making those predictions:

- AI CEOs, who require hype to be able to keep hemorrhaging money long enough to... hemorrhage more money

- The poor AI researchers the AI CEOs drag into public to lie in support of their narrative

- People who are not close to the tech, but who are influential in poltiics, finance, podcasts, etc who are wholly convinced by the grifters above - they did a little bit of poking around and saw some smart looking regurgitated boilerplate

- Grifter influencers, entrepreneurs, etc who don't care, they just want to push AI doom or vibe coding dreams for clicks, or sell some shitty AI solutions to companies eager to get in on the hype

The people you don't hear from are the AI researchers who know most of this is bullshit, but they aren't going to go on the record publicly expressing that they don't believe in the tech they're working on, because they like to be employed (and for absurd amounts of money)

WhitneyLand•7h ago
Oh come on. How many of us have been an engineer on a project and had to watch an exec make promises we knew were not reality?

It also doesn’t necessarily mean he was a yes man. Often in these situations people spell out their confidence levels plainly and directly to such execs and it just bounces off.

I’m also seeing below people suggesting he could have publicly voiced his concerns, but that probably wasn’t even a legal option for multiple reasons.

auntienomen•6h ago
I watched the same video. Karpathy isn't predicting AGI in 10 years. He's saying we won't have AGI in less than 10 years -- contrary to what industry boosters are promising -- and that what we end up with won't be some sort of god-in-a-box.
blinding-streak•8h ago
I have zero sympathy for any Tesla owner that believed anything from Elon's mouth. That's your own fault.

Tesla has shown time and time again to be hostile to its own customers in a variety of ways.

niek_pas•8h ago
Thankfully, there are actually laws about this sort of stuff! So companies don't (necessarily/always) just get away with "you shouldn't have listened to us, this is your own fault."
bdcravens•7h ago
Correct, but unless regulatory bodies proactively force Tesla to compensate, there at least has to be an effort from consumers to stand up, admit they were conned, and press the issue.
JumpCrisscross•7h ago
> there are least has to be an effort from consumers to stand up

FTFA: "...thousands of Tesla owners have now joined a class action lawsuit in Australia over Tesla misleading customers with its self-driving promises. It adds to similar ongoing lawsuits in the US and China."

bdcravens•7h ago
I was replying to a comment which seemed to imply that the law alone was adequate to prevent abuse of consumers.
JumpCrisscross•6h ago
> the law alone

Lawsuits.

bdcravens•5h ago
Lawsuits

As in, you must file suit. The law alone is useless without consumers being proactive.

array_key_first•3h ago
I don't know man, the US is very wishy washy with laws at the moment.

And all of this relies on Tesla customers going after Tesla. But people are poor, times are tough, ain't nobody got time for that.

And of the people that do got time for that, a lot of them bought Teslas because of the vision. Or something. Not sure if those people would sue.

delecti•7h ago
Maybe that applies to people who believe something he says today, but a decade ago Musk's history as a grifter wasn't nearly as apparent. And like the other reply says "you got tricked and it's your fault" doesn't apply to false advertising or fraud laws.
bob1029•8h ago
I feel like Tesla would have been significantly more competitive with the non-EV market if they had gone in a completely opposite direction with regard to fancy technology.

Give me a boring ass 90s control layout with the electric drive train and I'm much more interested. Make the car kind of ugly too. On purpose. I don't need a GPU farm inside my car. I'm not running a robotic taxi company. I just want to go get some groceries.

I've worked on cars long enough to realize I don't want a chip using a leading edge semiconductor node in my vehicle somewhere. I live in a pretty nasty climate. A car sitting in a Texas parking lot in July will get to temperatures that the engineers probably didn't think possible. There's always something that starts to break once you cross into that 150F temperature level. I want semiconductors that were engineered to run in the basement of hell 24/7/365. 28nm and thicker sizes. I don't want 3nm gates in my car. There's no way these chips would last 10 years.

zozbot234•8h ago
> A car sitting in a Texas parking lot in July will get to temperatures that the engineers probably didn't think possible.

AIUI, the car can run its cooling/AC system to keep itself cool, even when powered off. I'd imagine that this is actually a bigger concern for the battery's health and safety, not the chips. You're not supposed to let a battery get that hot.

bob1029•7h ago
If a cooling system needs to be built just to keep the car from dying when no one is using it, then I would argue we have jumped the complexity shark and need to go back to the drawing board. I can walk away from my vehicle without worrying about it turning back into a pumpkin. Most consumers are looking for an experience approximating this.
philistine•5h ago
If you're talking about a gas engine, you're missing the complexities because they've been with us for a century.

If you don't change the oil regularly, the car breaks down. If you leave old gas in the tank for a year, the car won't start. If you don't change the filters, the car eventually breaks down. If you don't change the belt after its admittedly long life, the car breaks down.

You swap all that for the need to keep the car's battery somewhat full to maintain a constant temperature in the battery bay. You don't do that, the car does it on its own. Just plug the car to recharge the battery somewhat frequently, dependent on your weather.

bluGill•7h ago
A car in stop and go traffic in Texas at the same time will need even more cooling, the car needs to be kept comfortable for the humans as well as what the batteries need, plus because the car is moving it has extra heat from turning motors.

As the others have pointed out all the major manufactures know the problems here, and ensure there isn't a problem.

hypeatei•8h ago
> Give me a boring ass 90s control layout with the electric drive train

Exactly. The minimalist interior is super unappealing to me. I want something that's not all based on one screen. It's not just bad from a usability perspective but also seems risky if there are any issues with the screen (climate controls are very important for visibility certain times of the year)

insane_dreamer•4h ago
Except that the single-screen approach is cheaper to build than a bunch of buttons and dials. Not to mention much easier to keep updated OTA.
hypeatei•2h ago
> Not to mention much easier to keep updated OTA.

I think I'd prefer not to have easier over-the-air updates. As we saw with Jeep recently, the chance of turning your car into a brick are non-zero with these updates.

> cheaper to build than a bunch of buttons and dials

Tesla's are already quite expensive, how much more would some buttons and dials add to the price?

cheschire•7h ago
Making the car kind of ugly does not get the sales though. Many people that buy new cars cannot afford them. They need the car to be sexy looking in order to boost their pride so they can convince themselves they "deserve" this 8 year financial obligation.

I would absolutely go for a 2002 electric Acura Integra though...

estimator7292•7h ago
I don't think there's more than like five people on the planet who think the cybertruck is sexy
bluGill•7h ago
I wouldn't either except that I personally know 5 people who think it is sexy, and I can't believe that my very small circle of acquaintances could possibly cover everyone, so there must be a lot more than five.
seanmcdirmid•2h ago
In 2022, I had the ILX and upgraded to a BMW I4 EV. An electric Acura Integra, I would have been all over that in a heartbeat...but they just had an Acura SUV EV that was a GM Blazer knockoff. Honda has really been slipping in EVs, unfortunately.
__MatrixMan__•7h ago
Back when those decisions were made, I bet they thought full automation was right around the corner and robotic taxis would make more sense than individual vehicle ownership.

I think they're caught flat footed because here we are a decade later and the consumer's opinion still matters.

bluGill•7h ago
I have long thought the idea of robotic taxis didn't make any sense for most people. Where people already get a taxi of course it makes sense. There are a few people who don't drive much who it also makes sense for. However for the vast majority owning a car will always make more sense.

Most people are traveling during rush hour - there isn't much opportunity to share cars with them, and where there is it means cars traveling empty from the city to the suburbs in the morning. (and the opposite at 5pm).

When you own your own car you can "leave your golf clubs in the trunk in case a chance to play a round happens in the middle of the day". You can run errands over lunch. You store other things in the car that you don't need everyday. None of these are a big deal (many people take transit and thus cannot do that), but it is enough that when the economics are not a clear win you will want to own a car.

__MatrixMan__•2h ago
I think they make sense because most personally owned vehicles spend 98% of their time parked. If instead they rarely parked we could have far fewer of them, pay less for parking, have better saturation of modern safety features into the vehicle pool (since they'd wear out at a more uniform rate), and have better incentive alignment re: maintenance (since the mechanic and the designer work for the same company).

The golf club problem is real, but I think we'll eventually find a way to solve it independently because the wastes associated with an ever growing percentage of the population owning a personal vehicle will eventually cross a tipping point.

bluGill•7m ago
> If instead they rarely parked we could have far fewer of them

Except that they would still spend most of their time parked. Almost nobody is driving at 3am - they will nearly all be parked every night. There are vastly more cars needed during rush hour than mid day, and then there is a smaller peak at lunch time. Most cars will still be parked 95% of the time as we don't need them that often.

> If instead they rarely parked we could have far fewer of them,

At the expense of putting even more of them on the road unoccupied going to their next pickup. Or a parking spot in a cheap area: pay less for parking is a motivation though I expect even self owned cars will do that. This is an environmental disaster - unless you have a 100% renewable power source.

> have better saturation of modern safety features into the vehicle pool (since they'd wear out at a more uniform rate), and have better incentive alignment re: maintenance

People whoes self image is wrapped up in a new car will not put up with older cars. People who want cheap will ask for older cars. As such I expect either the taxi will have different categories of costs, or more likely they will sell their used cars (with 30k miles) to someone else - if this actually develops, which again I mostly expect it won't (but it might in some areas where we will see these patterns).

> because the wastes associated with an ever growing percentage of the population owning a personal vehicle will eventually cross a tipping point.

If that is your concern you should be asking for good public transportation. In places where it is good a lot of people don't own cars. I wouldn't be surprised if you have never been to such a place (people who live in such places are rarely native English speakers, though is a common English second language for some) Still that is a much better focus on your efforts - we have the technology today, is scales much better than cars ever can, and is cheaper!

runako•7h ago
> I bet they thought full automation was right around the corner

I will bet that none of the engineers on the automation team over the age of 35 thought that. Only the young & naive or non-technical people would have believed that.

__MatrixMan__•2h ago
Agreed, but that's no way to talk to shareholders.
LeifCarrotson•7h ago
Check out Slate:

https://www.slate.auto/en

https://images.ctfassets.net/20dhmw20vttc/3FXvexNHHbtaijk1Ur...

Worried about infotainment and AI processors? It doesn't even have a radio. See those things on the door cards by your knees? They interface with an advanced window regulator and associated torque-sensing motion control system that uses evaporative liquid cooling to prevent failure due to overheating.

You could buy three for the price of a Tesla.

rocmcd•7h ago
> You could buy three for the price of a Tesla.

Except you could actually buy a Tesla today, which is not something you can do for a Slate. Also they don't even have expected delivery dates or official pricing yet, so who knows when they will be available or what the actual price will be.

I would love for Slate to become a thing, but at this point it looks like vaporware.

vscode-rest•7h ago
They won’t be able to sell in USA without a backup camera, curious what their plan is there.
philistine•5h ago
It's in the rearview mirror. They're starting only with the US market.
vscode-rest•5h ago
Ah cool. My FJ is the same. Great system.
yakz•6h ago
You can't buy it at all, yet.

Also, with the way these kinds of things have gone in the past:

- It's not certain that you'll ever be able to buy it. - If you can buy it, it'll probably be closer to $40k than $25k with no add-ons. - It's not certain that you'll ever actually be able to buy it with no add-ons. - Orders that include all of the most expensive add-ons will be heavily prioritized, so even if you can order it without add-ons, the queue could be months or years long. - The ones that you can actually get in a reasonable amount of time will be closer to $50k than $25k.

bickfordb•7h ago
The problem was they needed to pretend be a technology company (with FSD, and now robots) to juice the stock price/earnings multiple. If they were simply a car maker with EV motors, the stock would have a much lower multiple.
padjo•7h ago
I don’t think they _needed_ to do that. They chose to do that. It’s been fairly successful in the short to medium term but the jury is still out on what happens if/when the market acknowledges that they are in fact just a car company.
constantcrying•7h ago
The one reason which made Teslas growth possible was that it was seen as a technologically superior car company. Great software is part of that.

There were actually many companies which tried small basic "urban" electric vehicles. You never heard of them.

Customers will not care about the cars people on here want. Customers want highly integrated software. Law makers are also demanding increasing software complexity.

>A car sitting in a Texas parking lot in July will get to temperatures that the engineers probably didn't think possible.

Toyota, Ford and VW have proving grounds in Arizona, because engineers know that cars get very hot. This is part of standard vehicles testing.

bluGill•7h ago
People say that, but then they look at their real options and discover they could buy the bare bones model - or for a similar price they can get a several year old model with all the luxury items. They rarely buy those basic models because even though they don't need the luxury they want at least one and so the used car with everything is what they buy.

It isn't hard to make crank cars, but it will cost you a million dollars (likely 10, but lets go with 1 million) to build all the needed jigs to make them, so if there are only 1000 people who buy crank windows that means the cost of cranks is $1000/car. You can skip the jigs, but now the cost to manually make the cranks is $400/car, meanwhile because everyone else wants electric windows the cost per car is about $100. Those costs are why an option-free car would have to cost more than a luxury model.

stetrain•7h ago
People get the cause and effect of fancy EVs backwards.

To build an EV you have to spend $10-$20k on the battery pack that goes into it. They're getting cheaper, but that is a gradual process.

So your Toyota Camry / Honda Accord EV competitor is going to need to be priced starting at $40k to have a chance of breaking even.

How do you get people to stomach $40k for a base Honda Accord but Electric? You add things that cost very little but make the car feel more premium. Power seats, big screens, LED interior lights, glass roof, a processor that can play video games, cameras and autonomy features, etc. don't cost that much in the big scheme of things. Some of them, like screens instead of physical controls, might even save money in production and assembly costs.

So you add ~$3k worth of "premium" features to the car, price it at $45k, and now the buyer feels like they are getting something worth the money.

seanmcdirmid•3h ago
> Give me a boring ass 90s control layout with the electric drive train and I'm much more interested. Make the car kind of ugly too. On purpose. I don't need a GPU farm inside my car. I'm not running a robotic taxi company. I just want to go get some groceries.

People say there is a huge market for this, but I really doubt it. Yes, there is a market for old school, but it is a pretty small niche where investments in more expensive analog tech (compared to digital anyways) just isn't worth it.

jqpabc123•8h ago
As far as Wall Street is concerned, none of this really matters.

Tesla stock (P/E over 250) is priced as if Telsa is the largest auto manufacturer, the biggest robotaxi company, the dominant robot producer and the leading AI service provider.

Meanhile; back in reality, none of this is even close to being true.

Logic simply cannot explain it --- so the fallback is a conspiracy of some sort. One that Wall Street must have a stake in.

rsynnott•8h ago
> Logic simply cannot explain it --- so the fallback is a conspiracy of some sort. One that Wall Street must have a stake in.

... Wait, is your contention that every time the markets price something incorrectly, there must be a conspiracy? Tesla is a meme stock, one of hundreds, albeit the biggest. There's no need for a conspiracy; the markets are just actually not all that great at pricing, especially where there's significant retail involvement.

jqpabc123•8h ago
Tesla is a meme stock, one of hundreds, albeit the biggest.

Nothing about the valuation makes any sense and it hasn't for years. Tesla is no longer a startup. Market performance history is readily available from which one should be able to make rational judgments.

Tesla only has about 10% of world wide *EV* sales. Yet it's market cap exceeds all major auto manufacturers *combined*.

As you point out, it's the scale and magnitude of the disconnect from reality maintained over a long period of time that puts Tesla in a league of it's own.

JohnFen•8h ago
> the fallback is a conspiracy of some sort.

I don't think you have to go to conspiracy theories to explain it. The fact that Wall Street has always been highly suggestible, fad-driven, and has a strong herd mentality is sufficient. Combine that with sunk cost fallacies and this is exactly the sort of behavior I'd expect.

jqpabc123•6h ago
Combine that with sunk cost fallacies and this is exactly the sort of behavior I'd expect.

Sorry, fads and sunk cost fallacies can't explain why a majority of Wall Street "analysts" maintain a *buy* rating on a company with a PE of over 250 and a *declining* global market share --- while the companies eating Tesla's market share have a P/E of around 10.

bamboozled•7h ago
I came here to say something similar, no matter how bad the numbers, no matter how bad the cars, no matter bad the press, there will be absolutely no consequences for any of it.

We live in bizarre times. The older I get, the more I wonder why I try do things "properly" and honestly. I guess it's just a preference.

Zufriedenheit•8h ago
Somebody sued Tesla at a UK consumer court because FSD was advertised as delivering fully automatic driving soon. It was based on Consumer Rights Act, which states that goods must match their advertised description. Tesla ended up paying back the full purchase price + interest and legal fees in return for him dropping the case. It seems Tesla lawyers know they are in a bad position with this. The company has just promised way to much to early. Which was totally unnecessary imo. The car were pretty cool products and would have sold well if they just called it driver assist system or something similar.
cjrp•8h ago
Maybe this is the next PPI/dieselgate/car finance campaign? "Did you buy a Tesla between 2015 and 2025? You could be owed £1000s"
pjc50•8h ago
UK small claims court is really effective. I've often wondered if any of the various PayPal problems cases have made it to there.
mystraline•8h ago
Pity that BYD is banned in this country, thanks to Biden, and now Turnip.

But as for Musk, I always thought something was absolutely not right with him. I thought of him as a pandering populist with feudalistic tendencies. And I lost what little credibility with him back in 2015/6 with him screaming from Twitter about the flooded cave rescuer was a pedophile.

I also remember him launching the first starlink SATs, without any permission. Flooded the LEO with thousands of space junk. I'm just waiting for a Kessler syndrome event.

And come to find out, he also defrauded customers on FSD on teslas.

Basically, stay as far away as you can from anything musk. It will come toppling down. And when it does, all the devices will come with it. (Think of when IoT companies shut down, and equipment is now landfill)

aDyslecticCrow•7h ago
> I'm just waiting for a Kessler syndrome event.

That will thankfully never happen. LEO is a range, and Star-link is near the bottom of that range. Their satellites have a 5 year lifetime, because that's when the fuel needed to re-adjust their orbit runs out, and atmospheric drag pulls them down. A Kessler syndrome event in that orbital plane would resolve itself within a decade at most.

> Pity that BYD is banned in this country

BYD makes unreliably good EV's for the price. From a consumer perceptive it's a big loss. But i understand why we restrict their import if we want to keep that industry around ourselves (In particular lithium battery production). There is some truth to china using it as a leverage. That being said... the approach Biden and especially Trump took to supposedly help the local industry is ... a bit crude.

jhgb•6h ago
What do you mean by "without any permission"? Any sort of orbital launch in any country is subject to government permission.
mac-monet•8h ago
Altman, Amodai and Musk seem to have no problem outright lying about the capabilities they have or the potential of what they're working on, in order to drum up hype. It sounds cool in the moment but it gets so old so fast. And with real costs in this case.
maxdo•7h ago
Just to balance this article.

HW3 owner. Car drives really good on FSD as for 5 years old car , it’s not even close to anything that was on the market , I still receive updates .

Any short trip or long trip when I’m lazy I simply turn it on, and it works perfect 99% of the time. Both highway and local roads.

When I’m in the gym and it’s raining or snowing , I press the button and car actually comes to me. It used to be broken now they fixed it. It recently also start to park itself after fsd route is over. How awesome is that for a 5 years old car ??

Why should I be upset ? Do I want free hardware ? Sure . Is $7k I paid a fair price ? Yeah . go check modern offering from any other company . They charge you comparable price for way less functionality. In the world where bmw tries to charge you every month for heated seats , I think it’s a fair price.

Oh yeah , I live in New York , I use fsd almost daily for 5+ years . In this very busy setup 0 accidents . Which is rare even for an experienced human driver.

JumpCrisscross•7h ago
> Why should I be upset ?

You shouldn't. If you're happy, enjoy it and move on. Others being upset doesn't negate your right to be happy. Just as your experience doesn't negate someone being upset about feeling they were lied to.

> I live in New York , I use fsd almost daily for 5+ years . In this very busy setup 0 accidents . Which is rare even for an experienced human driver

FSD was sold as Waymo. Unsupervised. Tesla is unable to match that capability on its newest hardware so far.

ramzez•7h ago
here in the uk, I paid and we don't even have FSD yet
matthewdgreen•7h ago
I'm a 2018 model year owner who also paid for FSD. The current FSD is not "fine" or "FSD" at all. It requires constant monitoring because one out of every 50-100 decisions will be problematic. Even the highway driving (autopilot), which was great initially, has recently degraded in quality: now it's much harder to get it to consistently stay in one lane or choose the speed I want to go.

Tesla knows the current FSD isn't fine; if it was, they wouldn't be upgrading the hardware to handle bigger models. So there's nothing surprising about expecting Tesla to deliver the same hardware to people who already paid them for the product they're still trying to deliver. If you're satisfied not receiving the full product you paid for, that's fine, of course. Heck, you're free to write Tesla a donation check. But Tesla should deliver the product (or a refund) to those who aren't.

vardump•6h ago
"Even the highway driving (autopilot), which was great initially, has recently degraded in quality"

Are you sure it's not a hardware or calibration issue? Disclaimer: I don't own a Tesla, but I'm just pointing out that it could also be a hardware issue.

matthewdgreen•4h ago
They changed the features of the system considerably. It used to let you set the speed and handle manually-initiated lane changes. Then they started having it initiate lane changes on its own; because this was annoying, they added a “minimize lane changes” feature. Then (and I think this coincides with “FSD” being released to customers who opted in) they removed that minimize option and replaced it with an entirely new system with different modes, one of which is called “Hurry”. This combines aggressive lane changing with speed choices, but the speed never seems to be quite what you want it to be (manual control is gone.) This isn’t unique to my car: if you search for complaints on Reddit and Tesla forums you’ll find plenty.
shagie•4h ago
(Not a Tesla owner... so going based on what I recall reading)

Tesla originally had radar sensors in their earlier hardware models. This sensor not included in later hardware models and later software disabled the sensor inputs.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tesla_Autopilot_hardware

> Starting in 2021, Tesla stopped installing the radar sensor in new vehicles, and the ADAS was updated to drop radar support. In 2022, Tesla announced it also would drop support for the ultrasonic sensors, moving the ADAS to an all-visual system. The most recent sensor and computer implementation is Hardware 4, which began shipping in January 2023.

https://www.reddit.com/r/TeslaLounge/comments/179j7es/disabl...

https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/threads/tesla-wants-to-physi...

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=34153636

...

So it's quite possible it's a hardware issue in that Tesla disabled that hardware and no longer supports it.

stetrain•7h ago
It can be best in the market and still not what was promised.

Tesla has gained part of their stock valuation and customer base over the years by promising Level 5 FSD. As in, you can sleep while the car drives you to work, or the car can go make money for you as a Robotaxi on the Tesla Network when you aren't using it.

They haven't delivered those things which they have been promising to customers since 2016.

runako•7h ago
> They charge you comparable price for way less functionality.

BYD's comparable offering is generally free/included in the car's price.

Separately, I can't believe we are still discussing a product called "Full Self Driving" that is not "full self driving." Paying big companies to lie to us is not a recipe for building a better world.

burnerthrow008•6h ago
BYD does not offer a comparable offering in America.
rebolek•3h ago
We stopped building a better world long time ago. Now we're building better value for shareholders.
dvrj101•7h ago
Article clearly mentions multiple lawsuits in multiple countries, by what common sense one guy's experience unrelated to fake promises made by company will balance the article.
JKCalhoun•6h ago
> and it works perfect 99% of the time

Ha ha, you're not really selling it for me.

croes•4h ago
You do realize that even a Ponzi scheme has satisfied customers?

That balances nothing

beAbU•46m ago
99% is not good enough. Not even close.

Are you saying that for every ~1.5h of driving there is a minute where the car could go full an hero on you?

fred_is_fred•7h ago
"If you are a HW3 owner and still think that Tesla is going to retrofit your up to 10-years-old car with a computer that is going to make self-driving, you are being delusional."

I think this is the target market. Delusional people.

michelb•7h ago
Good thing it's not a car company, so a reboot is easy.
ajross•7h ago
Not to engage with the hyperbole angle here, but just to call out the spin in the headling:

Tesla has shipped 8 million cars total. Maybe 70% of them (including mine) have the HW3 computer that the article claims won't do FSD. Of those, maybe 10% (I'm one) actually purchased the FSD product[1]. So figure like 500k cars actually affected.

If the cost to Tesla of a HW4 upgrade is less than $2000 (it's likely *much* less, this isn't particularly fancy hardware and it requires no sensor or other upgrades, it's just a board swap), then we're looking at "sub-billion" and not "multi-billion-dollar iceberg".

It's a $1.4T company. If everything falls out like Electrek[2] expects, it might rise to "Really very notable recall". Hardly a Titanic collision.

[1] As opposed to renting it, for which there would be no remedy. You can't sue for a rental product that you claim doesn't do what you wanted. If you didn't want it, why did you pay for it? At most you get the first month's fee refunded.

[2] Electrek has been expecting Tesla to fail for like seven years now.

ionwake•7h ago
I like Tesla but its def the new "never preorder ur game based on the latest viral video " vibe atm
Geee•7h ago
Are the cameras or other sensors different in HW4 vs. HW3? The compute unit might be quite easy to upgrade, but cameras probably aren't.
throwaway150919•7h ago
I feel like there is a bad sci-fi story here, where an Oligarch lies over and over and robs people blind. The revolution happens, and then instead of the guillotine, the Oligarch is beheaded by a chainsaw. The executioner will arrive in a Cybertruck.
WA•7h ago
The bad sci-fi story is that the Oligarch will get away with it, will die of old age peacefully while having scammed millions of people along the way and the average person foots the bill. No happy ending.
Workaccount2•7h ago
Electrek missed the boat

Tesla is now a robotics company, and their car business is now a rounding error of their future potential. Their robotaxi business is also not really important either.

See Tesla will now be building fully autonomous robots. This will allow Elon Stark to lock on to multi-trillion dollar revenues that are just around the corner once they dial in these last few bolts of the Optimus bot. Forget everything about the cars and the taxi. Those are outdated and irrelvant. Fill you head with visions of Tesla bots being everywhere all the time doing everything for you. By the end of 2026 there will be 100 million Tesla bots sold. So the stock is grossly undervalued. Go buy the stock please god buy the stock how the fuck is tesla ever going to fill the boots of a $1.5T company with collapsing revenue and the veil of empty promises slipping off.

ml-anon•6h ago
It’s sad we had to get to paragraph three to understand it was parody.
dh2022•3h ago
You should edit your post and add the sarcastic tag :) It is really good when I read it that way :)
rho4•6h ago
I really hope hacker news does not also turn into a Bash-Elon-Club like electrek.co (used to love that blog). But this comment section does not bode well.
insane_dreamer•4h ago
That's what happens when you promise again and again and don't deliver.
array_key_first•3h ago
Has it occured to you that maybe the reason Elon Musk is universally unliked is because he's unlikable?

Someone people deserve to be hated. Elon is one of those people. From a business perspective and a human perspective.

From a business and politics perspective, he's a con man. He stole your money. Mine too, with DOGE.

UltraSane•25m ago
Elon Musk is a very dishonest, misogynistic, neo-nazi grifter.
mft_•6h ago
Meanwhile in Europe, they've been selling FSD forever, and (until very recently?) there has been virtually no difference from the basic Autopilot package - and not the shiny FSD beta that we see on YouTube from other countries.

I had a company Tesla (with "FSD") for a couple of years, and as much as a liked the car, I've been wondering when the European class action case will start...

immibis•5h ago
In Europe you should probably not do a class action - you should just sue Tesla, directly. They do things differently over there. In Germany (which is what I know) the lawyer and court costs are a fixed percentage of the amount of money you want refunded, the loser pays for all of that in the end, and deliberately misleading advertising is illegal.

I am not a lawyer and this is not legal advice. You should consult one.

jdross•6h ago
I'm a 2024 Tesla Model 3 owner and my car drives me everywhere nearly flawlessly, thousands of miles. For all this I pay something like $500 per month for the lease, including FSD.

It's a miracle product to me, and the comments here about Tesla (not the ones about the story, which are reasonable!) are just so far removed from my personal experience with the product.

ssbash•6h ago
I have a 2025 Model 3 and feel the same way. I’ve used FSD a ton in Southern California and it’s fantastic.

People just want to raise their pitchforks at Elon/Telsa without actually evaluating the product.

insane_dreamer•4h ago
I have a model 3 and have tried FSD several times (Tesla regularly offers free one-month trials), and I've only found it to work well for long highway inter-city drives. I'm generally an early adopter and was eager to try it. It did _not_ work well for urban driving -- at least not in our city -- it acted like a new, nervous driver. I felt uncomfortable the entire time. I convinced my wife to try it for a day and she hated it and will never touch it again.

If you can't trust it 100% for urban driving, then FSD provides almost no benefit over more basic adaptive cruise control, early collision detection and lane departure warnings, etc. You still have to sit there and focus on the ride. The idea that I can now sit in the backseat and catch a nap or do some work or whatever, is still sci-fi at this point.

croes•4h ago
> It’s unclear why would Tesla sell a subcription to something that doesn’t even exist, but it is not helping build confidence with customers.

Money