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CapROS: The Capability-Based Reliable Operating System

https://www.capros.org/
38•gjvc•2h ago•14 comments

2002: Last.fm and Audioscrobbler Herald the Social Web

https://cybercultural.com/p/lastfm-audioscrobbler-2002/
157•cdrnsf•6h ago•93 comments

Elevated errors across many models

https://status.claude.com/incidents/9g6qpr72ttbr
270•pablo24602•5h ago•132 comments

JSDoc is TypeScript

https://culi.bearblog.dev/jsdoc-is-typescript/
120•culi•7h ago•148 comments

Hashcards: A plain-text spaced repetition system

https://borretti.me/article/hashcards-plain-text-spaced-repetition
256•thomascountz•10h ago•106 comments

Ask HN: What Are You Working On? (December 2025)

156•david927•10h ago•557 comments

In the Beginning was the Command Line (1999)

https://web.stanford.edu/class/cs81n/command.txt
101•wseqyrku•6d ago•44 comments

History of Declarative Programming

https://shenlanguage.org/TBoS/tbos_15.html
34•measurablefunc•4h ago•11 comments

An attempt to articulate Forth's practical strengths and eternal usefulness

https://im-just-lee.ing/forth-why-cb234c03.txt
21•todsacerdoti•1w ago•11 comments

The Typeframe PX-88 Portable Computing System

https://www.typeframe.net/
93•birdculture•9h ago•28 comments

Interview with Kent Overstreet (Bcachefs) [audio]

https://linuxunplugged.com/644
44•teekert•3d ago•29 comments

Shai-Hulud compromised a dev machine and raided GitHub org access: a post-mortem

https://trigger.dev/blog/shai-hulud-postmortem
194•nkko•17h ago•115 comments

Advent of Swift

https://leahneukirchen.org/blog/archive/2025/12/advent-of-swift.html
61•chmaynard•7h ago•19 comments

AI and the ironies of automation – Part 2

https://www.ufried.com/blog/ironies_of_ai_2/
216•BinaryIgor•13h ago•93 comments

DARPA GO: Generative Optogenetics

https://www.darpa.mil/research/programs/go
16•birriel•3h ago•2 comments

Developing a food-safe finish for my wooden spoons

https://alinpanaitiu.com/blog/developing-hardwax-oil/
157•alin23•4d ago•97 comments

GraphQL: The enterprise honeymoon is over

https://johnjames.blog/posts/graphql-the-enterprise-honeymoon-is-over
188•johnjames4214•9h ago•164 comments

Price of a bot army revealed across online platforms

https://www.cam.ac.uk/stories/price-bot-army-global-index
96•teleforce•10h ago•34 comments

Baumol's Cost Disease

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Baumol_effect
93•drra•14h ago•97 comments

Checkers Arcade

https://blog.fogus.me/games/checkers-arcade.html
25•fogus•2d ago•1 comments

Claude CLI deleted my home directory and wiped my Mac

https://old.reddit.com/r/ClaudeAI/comments/1pgxckk/claude_cli_deleted_my_entire_home_directory_wi...
175•tamnd•3h ago•135 comments

Microsoft Copilot AI Comes to LG TVs, and Can't Be Deleted

https://www.techpowerup.com/344075/microsoft-copilot-ai-comes-to-lg-tvs-and-cant-be-deleted
65•akyuu•2h ago•57 comments

SPhotonix – 360TB into 5-inch glass disc with femtosecond laser

https://www.tomshardware.com/pc-components/storage/sphotonix-pushes-5d-glass-storage-toward-data-...
16•peter_d_sherman•2h ago•6 comments

Checkpointing the Message Processing

https://event-driven.io/en/checkpointing_message_processing/
8•ingve•6d ago•0 comments

Show HN: Dograh – an OSS Vapi alternative to quickly build and test voice agents

https://github.com/dograh-hq/dograh
8•a6kme•6d ago•2 comments

Compiler Engineering in Practice

https://chisophugis.github.io/2025/12/08/compiler-engineering-in-practice-part-1-what-is-a-compil...
113•dhruv3006•19h ago•25 comments

Our emotional pain became a product

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/ng-interactive/2025/dec/14/trauma-mental-health
24•worik•3h ago•7 comments

Getting into Public Speaking

https://james.brooks.page/blog/getting-into-public-speaking
114•jbrooksuk•4d ago•35 comments

GNU recutils: Plain text database

https://www.gnu.org/software/recutils/
125•polyrand•7h ago•35 comments

Efficient Basic Coding for the ZX Spectrum (2020)

https://blog.jafma.net/2020/02/24/efficient-basic-coding-for-the-zx-spectrum/
51•rcarmo•15h ago•13 comments
Open in hackernews

If AI replaces workers, should it also pay taxes?

https://english.elpais.com/technology/2025-11-30/if-ai-replaces-workers-should-it-also-pay-taxes.html
29•PaulHoule•2h ago

Comments

bofadeez•2h ago
No obviously not. Lots of machines replace workers.

Why would taking scarce resources away from productive businesses and allocating to unproductive things be good for anyone other than government bureaucrats?

varenc•1h ago
If full AGI dreams are achieved and 80% of jobs disappear, leading to mass unemployment, then we need to do something to support the huge numbers of people that no longer have any income. Taxes to support a UBI program seem one solution. Or maybe the labor market can shift to find opportunities for humans that AI can't replace and we'd avoid the mass unemployment.

But feels like we're a long way from that right now.

bofadeez•1h ago
We don't need taxes to pay a UBI.

If "every country" is in debt, who owns the debt exactly? ... (it's not real debt)

WillAdams•1h ago
The problem with socialism, is eventually, one runs out of other people's money.

For an example of what unlimited borrowing and money printing results in, look up Germany in 1921--1923

lovich•1h ago
I’m pretty sure the poster you’re replying to is hinting at MMT and for your own statement,

Money is a nations currency. It’s actually the people of that nations property and you only get a lease on it.

If you disagree then try to do something like ceding the land that you “own” to another nations and see how that goes

harimau777•1h ago
Sure, but then we at least don't have the ultra wealthy coming up with ways to make everyone elses lives worse.

If we took Elon Musk's money away and simply burnt it, that would still be a net win for society as a whole.

smallmancontrov•1h ago
We're 45 years into the trickle-down experiment and we can now tell if what trickled down was gold or piss.

(It was piss.)

BurningFrog•1h ago
We have "disappeared" ~97% of jobs since the Industrial Revolution started, and no increased unemployment has materialized.

Until you understand how something that counter intuitive happened, you should not speculate on how AI replacing current jobs will play out!

the-mitr•1h ago
Can you give a source for the 97% claim?
BurningFrog•25m ago
I have two ways to think of it, and both give similar numbers.

A: 250 years ago, 98% worked in farming. Today it's 2% (who produce more food!). Assume that the other 2% are at least twice as productive, and you get that 3% of the population now produces as much as 100% back then.

B: It's hard to directly estimate how much GDP per person has increased in 250 years. But the typical number economists get when trying is that it's 30x as big. Which means 3.3% of today's workforce produces as much (per person) as the whole workforce did back then.

Both A and B can be critiqued, but the precise numbers don't really matter for the argument.

harimau777•1h ago
I suspect that the reason might be that the Industrial Revolution happened over 200 years ago. That provides a lot of time for 97% of jobs to progressively disappear without disrupting society too much (except for all the revolutions and world wars). That would be quite different than if AI caused any significant percentage of jobs to disappear in a much shorter period of time.
smallmancontrov•1h ago
If you're so sure that new jobs will appear (and -- critical omission -- that they will be any good), surely you would be willing to ask the capital interests for whom these arguments are self-serving to put money where their mouth is and backstop a guarantee?

No?

Hmmmmmm.

varenc•54m ago
This analogy happens a lot, and it might be true, but it's not clear to me that they're comparable.

The Industrial Revolution mostly ate mechanical labor and created more 'thinking' and knowledge worker jobs closer to the top of the stack. AGI goes after the information / decision-making layer itself. And it's unclear how much remains once those are automated.

BurningFrog•34m ago
I consider the Industrial Revolution to still be ongoing, since jobs have constantly been automated away by technology for 250 years. Some like to split that time into separate eras. In that paradigm we're now in the Fifth Industrial Revolution (Industry 5.0).

Whatever you call it, jobs keep getting "stolen" by technology, and yet employment rates stay high and average living standard keeps rising.

I'm genuinely fascinated by how this keeps happening, decade after decade, and yet most people are convinced the opposite is happening. I'm old enough to remember this exact discussion from 50 years ago.

We all see and interact with jobs that did not exist 20 years ago, and many of us work those jobs. And yet... this knowledge is somehow compartmentalized away from future expectations.

If you want a theoretical framework for why this keeps happening, my thought is that unemployed humans are an unused resource. And capitalism is really good at finding ways to use those.

CrossVR•1h ago
Infrastructure is not unproductive, even machines need roads. I don't think self-driving vehicles should be exempt from road tax.
bofadeez•1h ago
Roads should be (and are in many places) paid for with fuel excise taxes only. The more you drive, the more you pay.
t-writescode•1h ago
Only if it’s not an electric car. Electric cars need to start paying somehow, too. I’m open to many options, especially including weight * miles driven or similar.
seanmcdirmid•59m ago
In most states electric cars are paying via registration surcharges. For me, it’s a lot more than I would have paid via WA state’s gas tax since I don’t drive much. Miles driven would work out better.
nemomarx•1h ago
I mean this is how all welfare works, isn't it? If as a society we think it's important to reallocate some resources so that people can get food in bread lines, we generally do that.
xg15•1h ago
Unproductive things like building roads, the electrical grid, water lines, schools, etc?
bofadeez•1h ago
Fuel excise taxes (roads) and property taxes (local stuff)
smallmancontrov•1h ago
> productive

According to the economic notion of value, which is unique among definitions of "value" in being wealth-weighted, enshrining "mega gainz in brokerage accounts" as the ultimate social good while shrugging its shoulders at the plight of the ahem low-weight individual.

bofadeez•1h ago
Value isn’t something society measures or adds up by people’s bank balances; it’s just how much each individual personally wants something, and markets show this only through voluntary choices, not by declaring rich people’s gains more important than poor people’s lives.
smallmancontrov•1h ago
If you have lots of money, you can spend lots of money. If you have no money, you can spend no money. Your demand is indeed wealth-weighted in the objective function of the market.

That's not really the problem, though. The problem is that rich people have most of the money and rich people care mostly about one thing: getting paid for being rich. That happens when assets go up.

Assets have a counterparty, so policy that pumps assets can do so by encouring genuine growth (difficult, unreliable) or by whacking the counterparty over the head (easy, reliable). Anti-consumer and anti-labor policy makes stocks go up, for example. NIMY policies make real-estate go up. Selling our industrial base to the Communist Party of China makes bonds go up.

Once rich people get all of the money (US gini is 0.83, are we there yet?) the objective function of the entire system shifts away from satisfying the needs of people and towards whacking counterparties of assets over the head. It's an ugly thing to see, once you know how to see it.

> bofadeez

Your name and arguments are both young-libertarian coded so let me take a shot in the dark at a personal appeal: the reason why houses are so damn difficult for you to afford is that you are the counterparty.

harimau777•1h ago
Except that it does declare rich people's gains more important than poor people's lives.

The purpose of a system is what it does.

harimau777•1h ago
It would benefit the people you are calling "unproductive things". That's basically the point.
PaulKeeble•1h ago
Depends on whether they intend to let all of these out of work people who were unlucky enough to be born as a worker starve to death really. They are going to have to find a way to give people a life even if there are no jobs or the paperclip creation doesn't have any buyers. Anyone proposing to just leave a decent percentage of the country to just die is going to face stiff opposition.
smallmancontrov•1h ago
Elon Musk hasn't taken to counting his Optimus bots in units of "legions" because he intends to let peasants tax him for ubi.
jsemrau•1h ago
Wouldn't higher productivity also lead to higher profits? Which then should be taxed accordingly?
t-writescode•1h ago
Only if the increased earnings are treated as profits. Amazon famously had zero taxable profit for, what, decades?
sandworm101•1h ago
No. Corporate profits, especially when forwarded to shareholders, are very difficult to tax. Several companies that pay virtually zero income tax (apple, google, amazon) also now sit on piles of cash, piles so big they honestly do not know what to do with it. Thats where all the AI cash is comming from. They need somewhere to spend thier post-covid winnings.
smitty1e•1h ago
Serious question: when will the AI generate the perfect taxation system/budget combination?
nospice•1h ago
Even if you assume a sci-fi scenario of an omniscient, infallible AI, there's probably no single utility function that would allow it to decide optimal resource allocation.

In fact, we avoid a lot of difficult moral dilemmas because we accept the systems are crappy and just a necessary evil. The closest you claim to be to perfection, the more you have to acknowledge that some moral questions are just impossible to settle to everyone's satisfaction.

Is the life of child X more important than the life of child X because of a score calculated based on their grades, parents' income, etc? The system we have today may implicitly result in such outcomes, but at least it's not intentional.

appreciatorBus•1h ago
By this logic owners of wheel barrows should be taxed for all the manual labour jobs the wheel barrow destroyed.
bko•1h ago
Exactly. This is such a silly argument. The article takes the argument "if a lot of jobs disappeared since they are now done effectively for free, what about tax revenue??"

It really misses the forrest from the trees. You're transported into a world in which efficiencies mean that much fewer people need to work, but somehow government services and entitlements are unchanged and we need to hit roughly the same percent federal tax receipts or ... what exactly?

appreciatorBus•1h ago
Also, if magical robot AI makes private operations more efficient, requiring less cost for the same or more amount, then it can do the same thing for government operations.
jayd16•55m ago
Or people starve?

But ok look at it this way... What is silly about taxing a sector that is undertaxed because the current system assumed income taxes?

Teever•30m ago
> You're transported into a world in which efficiencies mean that much fewer people need to work,

It's a matter of perspective. I'm pretty sure that from their perspective those people very much need to work because they need to pay taxes, rent, insurance, food etc...

What mechanism is going to ensure that the increased productivity is going to result in lower cost of living for these people such that they no longer require to spend so much of their life working to survive?

threethirtytwo•1h ago
It’s not about logic. It’s about humanity. We are losing.
appreciatorBus•1h ago
1. No, we are not losing. 2. If it was true that we were losing, then tax revenue would be the least of our worries.
threethirtytwo•41m ago
1. We are absolutely losing. Wealth inequality has never been higher in human history. How does a single human amass such wealth when his physical and intellectual output doesn’t even match that level of equivalent worth? The first reason is he scrapes it off others, and the second reason is technological automation. AI is just one bump in the road of technological innovation magnifying work output.

2. I never said tax is the end all be all of the situation. It’s one attribute we can use to combat AI take over and wealth inequality in the face of a multitude of solutions that can be executed. It is not consistent with logic as shown by the wheel barrow example and I am saying it doesn’t need to be. Understand?

jayd16•1h ago
To some degree we already do. Corporations pay taxes.

We, as a society, allow corporations to pull resources from the commons because the other side of it is that their existence provides a value through jobs and tax revenue and such.

If the equation shifts such that the benefits dry up, but the downsides only increase, why should we allow that?

The solution could be as simple as higher business taxes or as wild as universal basic income.

It could be something like all AI is forced to be open source, open weight, free at least as far as the knowledge parts.

There's certainly no God given right to exclusively benefit from an invention. We allow that for as long as we care to.

And there's nothing illogical about changing these decisions as factors change.

appreciatorBus•42m ago
Indeed, there’s nothing illogical about adjusting tax rates and structures as things change.

I am deeply sceptical of the idea that 99% of us are suddenly going to be idle any day now, so I think endless think pieces on what we should do when that day arrives are kind of pointless. But it is certainly obvious that if it did happen, we would have to reassess how we do stuff.

rorylawless•1h ago
I'm not so sure this argument is valid. The invention of the wheel barrow created new jobs in wheel barrow manufacturing and distribution. On the other hand, the promise/threat of AI seems to be the complete displacement of humans in many industries without creating alternative employment for the vast majority.
jayd16•53m ago
Just to expand on this. The wheelbarrow increases the value of labor. It's not a good analogy.
appreciatorBus•45m ago
It increases the value for that one person who uses the wheelbarrow sure, but it does not raise the value of labour in aggregate. The same would be true of AI tools.
jayd16•40m ago
Taken to the extreme, you're arguing that tools have only lowered the value of labor in aggregate and that seems obviously false.

The value of labor is dependent on the demand of that labor and tools increase demand by increasing what projects can be done.

appreciatorBus•33m ago
I did not argue the tools lowered the value of labour in aggregate - I merely said that they did not increase it. However, the effect on the individual and the group are different. If you have 10 people carrying boulders across the field, and you introduce a wheelbarrow, and now you have one person carrying the same amount of boulders across the field, the total aggregate value of labour has stayed the same. This particular person can certainly capture more of that aggregate value than they could have before, but the total value has not gone up. It’s also true that now you have lowered the cost of moving boulders across the field, so yes, there could be more demand for whatever it is you’re selling and that could mean that maybe you need two or three workers with wheelbarrows. but I think if you’re going to talk about the value of aggregate labor, you have to control for the amount of demand.
bdangubic•52m ago
you think when the wheel barrow was invented it was obvious that new jobs would be created?!?
appreciatorBus•27m ago
A little known economic fact – the wheel was actually invented billions of years ago by bacteria and reinvented by every species since. It’s just that they all held off using it until they could be sure that it would create jobs. Thankfully thousands of years ago, human economists finally did the math and let everyone know that it checked out!
appreciatorBus•37m ago
Wheelbarrows are pretty simple devices, I’m sure many people just made them on their own. But even accepting this point, there’s no particular reason why we should expect that every invention until now generated new and different types of work, just not this one. The people talking about complete displacement are selling you a story because it gets them clicks and sells books.
hexasquid•1h ago
When I was young I imagined a future where nobody had to work because computers and robots could do it all.
lovich•1h ago
Well, we’re in a future where everyone still has to work to live, but the robots are taking the jobs instead
paulryanrogers•1h ago
I imagine this future could come true, if we're willing to accept that there would be many fewer people.
denkmoon•1h ago
Why is the utopia predicated on less people?
agumonkey•1h ago
the issues is that work, salary was also an indirect way to structure society. want more, think more / work more (or be more cunning). now what we can't use that parameter.. how do we decide
k310•1h ago
Takeover artists and hatchetmen destroyed many thousands of jobs. Were they taxed or punished? Hell no, movies were made of them.

Just saying ....

Animats•1h ago
"In the United States, for example, about 85% of federal tax revenue comes from labor income"

That's the problem. AI has the same tax problems as corporations. But US corporate taxes are historically very low and easy to evade.

vee-kay•15m ago
The world's richest elites have managed to evade many types of taxes, using loopholes in tax laws and by controlling government policies to make them more beneficial to the ultra rich.

In most of the world's richest nations, the wealth inequality has become super inequality.

And for the ultra rich, the recent pandemic was a boon, not a bane. This pandemic was the best time in history, if you are a billionaire.

* According to the non-governmental organization Oxfam, the fortunes of the world’s richest people increased as much in the span of 24 months (2000-2021) as they did in 23 years. Now the bottom half of the global population would have to toil for an estimated 112 years to earn what the top 1% now rake in over just 12 months.

* “The pandemic—full of sorrow and disruption for most of humanity—has been one of the best times in recorded history for the billionaire class.”, says Oxfam.

* The world's richest people significantly increased their wealth during the pandemic, with two-thirds of the $42 trillion in new wealth going to the wealthiest 1%. Billionaires got 54% richer during pandemic. This surge in billionaire wealth occurred alongside rising poverty rates, as many individuals faced economic hardships due to the pandemic. This has raised concerns about money flowing to the well-heeled instead of to services for those hit hardest by COVID-19. It also points to broader potential implications for a sustainable reset of the global economy.

* Less than 8 cents in every dollar of tax revenue collected in G20 countries comes from taxes on wealth, says Oxfam.

* Oxfam found that the wealthiest 1% of the world population emit as much carbon pollution as the poorest two-thirds of the entire human population.

* “Only 0.4 percent of the world’s largest corporations are publicly committed to paying workers a living wage and support a living wage in their value chains”, Oxfam wrote.

* Oxfam likewise discovered that seven out of 10 of the largest corporations on the planet either have a billionaire as their CEO or have a billionaire as their principal shareholder.

* The world's richest people have significantly increased their wealth, with the top ten billionaires collectively adding over $500 billion to their fortunes this year, largely due to the booming AI sector. As of now, their combined net worth is approximately $2.5 trillion.

* 148 top corporations made $1.8 trillion in profits, 52 percent up on 3-year average, and dished out huge payouts to rich shareholders while hundreds of millions faced cuts in real-term pay.

* The world’s richest 1% own 43% of global financial assets, and the wealth of the top five billionaires has doubled since 2020, while 60% of humanity got poorer, according to a report by Oxfam.

* The five richest people on Earth in 2023 were Elon Musk, Bernard Arnault, Jeff Bezos, Larry Ellison, and Warren Buffett. Their combined wealth skyrocketed from $340 billion in 2020 to $869 billion just three years later. Adjusted for inflation, this was a real increase of 114%.

* Every year, America’s richest citizens paper over their earnings with losses and use other creative accounting strategies to shelter their fortunes, as the tax code allows them to do. As a result, the country’s billionaires pay lower tax rates than many of its millionaires do. Indeed, they pay lower tax rates than many middle-class professionals.

* Elon Musk, the world's richest man who's on track to become the world's first trillionaire, hasn't paid income tax for years.

* Many of the wealthiest individuals in the world, including billionaires like Jeff Bezos, Elon Musk, and Warren Buffett, Mark Zuckerberg, George Soros, Michael Bloomberg have been reported to pay little or no federal income taxes, due to legal tax avoidance strategies.

* Shockingly, the Billionaires in the U.S. pay a smaller tax rate than most teachers and nurses.

* ProPublica has obtained a vast cache of IRS information showing how billionaires like Jeff Bezos, Elon Musk and Warren Buffett pay little in income tax compared to their massive wealth — sometimes, even nothing.

* According to leaked tax returns highlighted in a ProPublica investigation, the 25 richest Americans paid $13.6 billion in taxes from 2014-2018—a “true” tax rate of just 3.4 percent on $401 billion of income.

* A new Oxfam analysis shows the wealth of the 10 richest U.S. billionaires increased by $365 billion in just 12 months, based on data from Forbes.

* According to a 2021 White House study, the wealthiest 400 billionaire families in the U.S. paid an average federal individual tax rate of just 8.2 percent. For comparison, the average American taxpayer in the same year paid 13 percent.

* The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, Trump’s signature first-term domestic-policy package, helped these billionaires keep more of their money. The One Big Beautiful Bill Act, passed this summer, extends the TCJA’s tax cuts, creates new business loopholes, and lowers taxes on estates. To help offset the revenue losses, the Trump administration is stripping health coverage from millions of low-income Americans and shrinking the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program. The rich, including Trump, will keep getting richer. The poor will pay for it.

Sources:

https://www.oxfamamerica.org/explore/stories/do-the-rich-pay...

https://www.propublica.org/article/the-secret-irs-files-trov...

https://itep.org/tax-day-billionaires-wealth-inequality-corp...

https://www.theatlantic.com/economy/archive/2025/08/billiona...

https://www.oxfam.org/en/press-releases/wealth-five-richest-...

https://geopoliticaleconomy.com/2024/01/18/billionaires-rich...

https://www.oxfam.org/en/press-releases/less-8-cents-every-d...

https://www.weforum.org/stories/2020/10/the-rich-got-richer-...

https://www.marketplace.org/story/2023/01/16/how-the-worlds-...

https://fortune.com/2022/05/23/pandemic-billionaire-wealth-o...

https://www.cnbctv18.com/world/wealth-of-worlds-top-10-billi...

https://www.businessinsider.com/10-richest-people-ai-boom-te...

iamgopal•1h ago
Nope, rather automation and AI should solve governance to the point that tax should be lower or abolished altogether.
ursAxZA•1h ago
We should probably let actual full automation happen before debating whether it should be taxed.

Worrying about a hypothetical T-1000 future seems less urgent than reducing the homelessness that exists right in front of us.

tahoeskibum•1h ago
Agreed, we should have ATM machines pay taxes, and internet pay taxes for replacing stockbrokers and travel agents...
BrenBarn•1h ago
Why not just tax wealth at steeply progressive rates? If the robots result in increased wealth inequality, a wealth tax will counteract that. If not, then it means the introduction of robots led to more broadly-based benefits.

Either way, I'm so sick and tired of people talking about the effect on GDP. GDP is a terrible way to measure anything remotely meaningful. GDP has gone up and up and things have gotten worse and worse for more and more people; GDP could go down a lot and things could still get better for many people. Without some kind of (in)equality adjustment, GDP is meaningless at best and misleading at worst.

PaulHoule•41m ago
Taxing income is straightforward in that there is a stream of it going by and some of it can be diverted. Taxing wealth is difficult because you don't really know what it is.

Arguably the value of a publicly traded corporation can be known because it is being traded continually. [1] For a privately held corporation it's quite opaque. Right now, for instance, Open AI is estimated to be worth $500B and might IPO at $1T but for all we know it could be a smoking hole in the ground in two years. Should we charge them a big bill in 2025 and then have the investors asking for a refund in 2027 when the real value is revised down to negative? Owners of imagined wealth could face big bills that, in the end, they couldn't pay. [2]

There would certainly be an incentive to avoid the taxation by minimizing bubbliness which might be a good thing but administering it would be a nightmare and manipulating the system to hide wealth would become a national sport.

[1] ... but it could be wrong seen from a future viewpoint

[2] I spent a lot of time in the 2010s calling up people in financial services on the phone and talking on the phone and there was no phrase that struck more fear into them than "mark-to-market", I could hear the voices crackle and feel the flinch. A bank or other institution that is perfectly able to make all its obligations as they unfold over time could be nominally insolvent at times when the market fluctuations down but winds up OK in the end -- the kind of accounting it would take to make wealth taxation accurate might be the end of fractional reserve banking and send us back to the giant Bitcoins of the Yap islands.