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America vs. Singapore: You Can't Save Your Way Out of Economic Shocks

https://www.governance.fyi/p/america-vs-singapore-you-cant-save
76•guardianbob•1h ago•58 comments

Pebble Production: February Update

https://repebble.com/blog/february-pebble-production-and-software-updates
152•smig0•3h ago•51 comments

Paged Out Issue #8 [pdf]

https://pagedout.institute/download/PagedOut_008.pdf
124•SteveHawk27•4h ago•25 comments

Dinosaur Food: 100M year old foods we still eat today

https://borischerny.com/food/2022/01/17/Dinosaur-food.html
18•simonebrunozzi•1h ago•6 comments

Don't Trust the Salt: AI Summarization, Multilingual Safety, and LLM Guardrails

https://royapakzad.substack.com/p/multilingual-llm-evaluation-to-guardrails
136•benbreen•2d ago•49 comments

-fbounds-safety: Enforcing bounds safety for C

https://clang.llvm.org/docs/BoundsSafety.html
64•thefilmore•3d ago•44 comments

AI made coding more enjoyable

https://weberdominik.com/blog/ai-coding-enjoyable/
4•domysee•14m ago•0 comments

Show HN: Micasa – track your house from the terminal

https://micasa.dev
9•cpcloud•40m ago•4 comments

Gemini 3.1

https://deepmind.google/models/model-cards/gemini-3-1-pro/
37•PunchTornado•20m ago•6 comments

Bridging Elixir and Python with Oban

https://oban.pro/articles/bridging-with-oban
75•sorentwo•5h ago•31 comments

Coding Tricks Used in the C64 Game Seawolves

https://kodiak64.co.uk/blog/seawolves-technical-tricks
49•atan2•4h ago•4 comments

Show HN: A physically-based GPU ray tracer written in Julia

https://makie.org/website/blogposts/raytracing/
84•simondanisch•5h ago•32 comments

Against Theory-Motivated Experimentation

https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/26339137261421577
14•paraschopra•2h ago•7 comments

Sizing chaos

https://pudding.cool/2026/02/womens-sizing/
735•zdw•19h ago•380 comments

Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview

https://console.cloud.google.com/vertex-ai/publishers/google/model-garden/gemini-3.1-pro-preview?...
57•MallocVoidstar•1h ago•26 comments

Large Language Models for Mortals: A Practical Guide for Analysts with Python

https://crimede-coder.com/blogposts/2026/LLMsForMortals
23•apwheele•4d ago•4 comments

The Mongol Khans of Medieval France

https://www.historytoday.com/archive/feature/mongol-khans-medieval-france
73•Thevet•2d ago•23 comments

Measuring AI agent autonomy in practice

https://www.anthropic.com/research/measuring-agent-autonomy
14•jbredeche•2h ago•5 comments

Zero downtime migrations at Petabyte scale

https://planetscale.com/blog/zero-downtime-migrations-at-petabyte-scale
14•Ozzie_osman•2d ago•2 comments

Famous Signatures Through History

https://signatory.app/#famous-signatures
22•elliotbnvl•2h ago•26 comments

Show HN: Mini-Diarium - An encrypted, local, cross-platform journaling app

https://github.com/fjrevoredo/mini-diarium
74•holyknight•4h ago•42 comments

27-year-old Apple iBooks can connect to Wi-Fi and download official updates

https://old.reddit.com/r/MacOS/comments/1r8900z/macos_which_officially_supports_27_year_old/
415•surprisetalk•19h ago•232 comments

Voith Schneider Propeller

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Voith_Schneider_Propeller
65•Luc•3d ago•16 comments

ShannonMax: A Library to Optimize Emacs Keybindings with Information Theory

https://github.com/sstraust/shannonmax
33•sammy0910•5h ago•5 comments

15 years of FP64 segmentation, and why the Blackwell Ultra breaks the pattern

https://nicolasdickenmann.com/blog/the-great-fp64-divide.html
167•fp64enjoyer•14h ago•61 comments

Old School Visual Effects: The Cloud Tank (2010)

http://singlemindedmovieblog.blogspot.com/2010/04/old-school-effects-cloud-tank.html
64•exvi•9h ago•9 comments

Cosmologically Unique IDs

https://jasonfantl.com/posts/Universal-Unique-IDs/
441•jfantl•21h ago•140 comments

Step 3.5 Flash – Open-source foundation model, supports deep reasoning at speed

https://static.stepfun.com/blog/step-3.5-flash/
164•kristianp•14h ago•69 comments

Anthropic officially bans using subscription auth for third party use

https://code.claude.com/docs/en/legal-and-compliance
541•theahura•13h ago•655 comments

Tailscale Peer Relays is now generally available

https://tailscale.com/blog/peer-relays-ga
448•sz4kerto•23h ago•226 comments
Open in hackernews

America vs. Singapore: You Can't Save Your Way Out of Economic Shocks

https://www.governance.fyi/p/america-vs-singapore-you-cant-save
73•guardianbob•1h ago

Comments

rayiner•1h ago
A confounding factor here is that savings behavior is cultural rooted: https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC6135367/. Studies show that people within a country can have substantially different savings behaviors, robustly correlated with their origin countries, even among people who are third generation immigrants. It’s a mistake to treat either the U.S. or Singapore as homogenous populations for purposes of this analysis.
guardianbob•1h ago
Both sides see declines when hit with economic shocks

We are talking about material impacts, not culture

mothballed•1h ago
Singapore has a regressive shock absorber model where something like half the country are immigrants that are ineligible for, say, public housing which even the better off citizens take advantage of in Singapore (maybe even disproportionately so since there can be a long wait to get in, you are older and more settled at that point). Immigrants that get milked dry and go broke and jobless during a shock are booted from the country before they can be polled.

------ re: below due to throttling -------------

Vs say US, where immigrants and those funding public housing are generally better off than the people getting subsidized housing. Public housing is more a progressive than regressive tax in the US, so quite dissimilar. Immigrants in US are on average far better off than those on public housing. Asking "but how is this any different" (after I already answered it, lol) over and over doesn't negate this, nor the fact that immigrants are like half of workers in Singapore vs only 10% in the US so the funding dynamic and dependency is far different.

dangus•58m ago
That sounds quite similar to the US.
joe_mamba•49m ago
>Singapore has a regressive shock absorber model where something like half the country are immigrants that are ineligible for, say, public housing which even the better off citizens take advantage of in Singapore

It's similar in Vienna where only native Viennese are immediately eligible for social housing, but outsiders will end up paying into the system without being eligible.

erichocean•38m ago
> outsiders will end up paying into the system

By definition, outsiders don't have to pay into the system since they already have a gov't somewhere else that is dedicated to them, just like the Viennese do.

eunos•34m ago
I think you can buy if youre PR and married (or old enough). If you are lucky you can receive your PR in 1 year.
finolex1•22m ago
How is that different from the US? Immigrants also get booted here if they lose their job. They also pay social security, Medicare, and other taxes but usually don't get the benefits unless they stay here for long enough and get a green card.
paxys•13m ago
The difference is the number. Workers on temporary visas make up ~1% of the labor force in the US. And a large chunk of them will eventually get citizenship or permanent residency and qualify for benefits later in life.

Countries like Singapore and all of the Middle East meanwhile rely on a revolving door of cheap immigrant labor. In the extreme cases like Qatar 95% of the working population are on short term visas. Most of these countries don't have a pathway to citizenship at all for this worker class. You could live there for 10 or 20 or 50 years, but the day you "retire" you need to pack up and leave.

Aperocky•1h ago
This article seem to be confounding external impact with internal motivation.

Yes the jobloss impact caused the people to be unable to save and in turn they wished they have saved more.. but ignored is whether they could to begin with.

Of course external impact had little to do with internal procrastination.

dangus•58m ago
Maybe I read the article too fast but I didn’t get that takeaway at all?

It’s basically just saying that the uninsured catastrophic event risk in America magnifies shock events.

E.g., if you have a major hospital visit in America you’re way more likely to regret not saving enough, but in Singapore there’s basically no effect since hospital stays don’t drain your savings account.

guardianbob•51m ago
That’s what I also got from this article

Not just healthcare stuff, but also apparently Singaporeans tend to have a lower unemployment rate, so they be able to recover from stuff faster

ebiester•49m ago
It's not confounding at all. It's making the point that internal motivation, according to the study, has no major factor in savings regret.

It says that understanding risk (as operationalized by understanding probability) has a larger effect.

But it is also saying that the more external impact someone has, the more they regret saving more -- in the United States but not Singapore.

The study is explicitly saying that internal motivation does not seem to matter. And the article is arguing the reason why.

hnthrow0287345•58m ago
>They’re failing to save because the world is rough, and their institutions don’t do enough to help them weather it.

Well, America is rough. It turned on hardcore capitalism mode for itself because a significant portion of its population wants to try and solo socioeconomic hardships and hates any one who doesn't want the same challenge.

But not to just blame the voter, lots of money is spent for setting up systems to be amenable to acquiring more money. The very richest have correctly made a bet that uprisings to displace the wealthy and politicians just don't occur here these days, and therefore there is no real threat or need to change the way things have been going for the last 25 years or so.

vladms•46m ago
Isn't it more a cultural issue though? As a European, I think many Americans take pride and love to succeed "on their own" and accept they could "die trying" (exaggerating a bit, hence the quotes, but the feeling holds).

Yes, the systems are amenable to acquiring more money, but I would claim that all that the richest need to do is to push the idea that "anyone can make it" - which was probably (more) true 50 years ago, but is probably an illusion today (some comments at: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Socioeconomic_mobility_in_the_...).

Edit: I do not claim one model is better than the other; just that the culture influences the outcome more than other aspects.

irishcoffee•42m ago
Most Americans I know in my middling years are counting on the government to support them in their old age, quite the opposite that you’re exposed to via online manipulation hitpeices.
bluGill•24m ago
And the government will - sortof. It is enough to eat and keep the heat on. However if you want anything other than a basic simple life (travel, hobbies...) it is easy to run out of money.
jorblumesea•34m ago
if by "culture" you mean rampant corporate propagandized media then yes. the US has historically been pretty close to europe over the last 100 years on many aspects. In the 70s there was legitimate debate about college being free. Now the debate is how much debt someone should take on. The overton window has shifted significantly since the 80s. We're now more like Russia with an entrenched oligarchy.
eli_gottlieb•15m ago
> Isn't it more a cultural issue though?

No. Culture is downstream of institutions.

arolihas•38m ago
Like half of our budget goes to welfare (Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, Income Security, etc). https://www.usaspending.gov/explorer/budget_function
phkahler•30m ago
Social Security is a separate tax in a separate fund (invested in T-bonds). If you split that out of the budget, the budget looks even worse. The boomers retiring is just going to be bonds maturing without the holder (social security) reinvesting the money.
danny_codes•23m ago
And yet that GINI keeps rising and cost of living outpaces inflation over the past 40 years in housing, healthcare, and education. If you are bottom quintile, maybe bottom 2, you are poorer now than 40 years ago on average. Recent policy changes seek to drop the third quintile as well.

America is designed for rich people

Herring•18m ago
Yes, the US spends by far the most on healthcare per capita, and still gets the worst outcomes. It's not about throwing money at problems. You have to actually solve them (and want to solve them).
InkCanon•48m ago
Singapore's economic policies are complicated and often misdirecting. I'll break down the misconceptions.

The primary purpose of CPF is not a pension scheme. It is structured as a massive forced bond purchase scheme by citizens. Financially what happens is the 37% of citizen income buys a long term bond (till retirement age, on average decades) at rock bottom interest rates (it's pegged to the overnight rate or a minimum of 2.6%). The returns are specifically decoupled from the real long term returns. This has historical roots in the government needing vast capital financing. They make enormous amounts of the delta between the short term interest rate and long term capital gains. Singapore has no oil or natural resources, but it's sovereign wealth fund has AUM in the regions of countries like Norway which do for this reason. It is not a shock absorber like the article suggests. The withdrawal terms are strict - housing, a significant medical expense and retirement are the only real ways to get money out of it.

"Trying to keep people employed" is a goal, not a policy. In fact the Singapore government maintains a large worker supply through immigration. The foreign worker population, ~30%. The main goal of the government is to maximize the absolute number of people working.

The reason it raising the retirement age is effective in workforce participation is because most people have no choice. Retirement only pays out after the age. The working life of an average Singaporean has seen 37% gone to CPF, maybe another 10% to income taxes, another 5% to GST, road tax, property tax, etc. After all this there's the astronomical cost of living. This is also intentional, to raise the number of employees.

ecshafer•29m ago
The CPF sounds pretty clever. It covers a major individual cost and need (retirement, medical, housing) instead of just throwing it into a tax. It makes the government money. This sounds like a win win kind of policy.
foxyv•26m ago
Why does the government get to decide when we retire?
paxys•21m ago
You can retire whenever you want. The government decides when to start funding it.

As for why - the same reason why they get to decide what side of the road you drive on and what laws you follow. They rule the patch of land you were born on, and if you don't like it you can either participate in the system (assuming it's a democracy) or leave.

foxyv•10m ago
This boils down to a "Might makes right" claim. It doesn't answer the question why. Only how.
paxys•8m ago
What question do you want answered exactly? Why we have governments and not anarchy?
foxyv•5m ago
Why does the government get to decide when we retire?
paxys•4m ago
Like I said, they don't. You can retire today. They decide when you get access to a national retirement plan. Citizens of the country vote for that plan and how it is implemented.
ecshafer•16m ago
The government decides when we can retire and they help us out. You can stop working today if you want, Government shouldn't pay you for it for no reason. Your duty as a citizen is to work and build your nation, eventually the government pays back that service with benefits.
foxyv•6m ago
This isn't something the government gives you. It is something they have confiscated and held on to.

> Your duty as a citizen is to work and build your nation

What about the duty of the trust fund babies and idle wealthy? What about the duty of the capital owners? Why is the retirement age going up instead of down as productivity increases?

drivebyhooting•26m ago
Except for the part where citizens get low returns and are forced to work their whole lives accruing minimal benefit.

How is being a serf win win?

butterbomb•18m ago
People don’t believe me when I tell them that there’s a large portion of even the American population that will happily accept the simplicity and safety of serfdom.
3rodents•14m ago
I can’t speak for Singaporeans and every government has their detractors but the Singaporeans I’ve known loved their system and hated the western systems they were exposed to. They would laugh if you tried to describe their life as serfdom when compared to a life in the U.S. or Europe.
InkCanon•7m ago
I'll be blunt and say most Singaporeans have a very poor idea of how these policies work. Another major one - virtually all Singaporeans believe they own their houses, and it is a point of pride and financial security. Most houses are on 99 year leases, but the idea that is deeply lodged is that this is longer than you can live so this is inconsequential. While this is true if they only cared about living in it, houses have huge financial/investment value to Singaporeans. Despite the iron mathematical law that these houses must depreciate their lease value, most Singaporeans believe house prices will continue to rise based on historical trends. The math just doesn't work out.
nosianu•13m ago
Unless we scale back our lives significantly, and are fine with a lot less stuff and vacations and devices and modernized living (houses and transit today are vastly more complex systems than a few decades ago), there simply is no way to let a large number of people live like rich people.

I grew up in East Germany, and while it was a total failure, they got at least one idea correct in the workers paradise: We need to work. (Never mind the implementation, I already said it was a total failure, okay? It's about problem recognition, not about the quality of the solution.)

And you know what? I'm actually like my grandfather, who without any need whatsoever continued to work well past retirement, privately, painting a house here, doing some paint shop there, designing and installing a sun dial somewhere. He only got off the scaffolding on a house's paint job a week before he died.

I too would hate to just laze around. I LOVE doing useful stuff. I worked and made money many times as a child already, and it was always fun!

What stopped the fun was the coming of The West (which I too went to the streets for and wanted, still, "side effects may apply"). While I studied CS I took a job in a chocolate factory, not because I needed the money, but because that's what I always did and was used to. Being in the production of stuff is actually FUN! Except then came some western management idiot to make it clear fun is over. I had just setup a machine to work as efficiently and as well as possible (because that's fun!), so now I had to wait a few minutes for it to finish. Just a few minutes, no time to start something else. So I briefly sat next to it and waited for it to finish. In comes the management idiot, immediately jumping on me, why am I lazing around??? That's not what they pay me for!

Just an anecdote, but that, and the fact that the money accumulates towards the top is what I think is a HUGE problem in today's capitalism. No wonder they have to make live as miserable as possible for the working majority, because there is no fun. The managers and owners think we don't want to work, and treat us accordingly. But it is THEM who are responsible for much of that.

spyckie2•9m ago
You mean the US, right? Especially with the part 2?

I know this may sound like a shock because you are privileged but 7% yoy return on capital is NOT the norm for the rest of the world. Just look at any other index not called the S&P or the Dow. Look up US exceptionalism.

The US policy for retirement savings shackles the younger generation with a ticking time bomb. Forcing your own citizens to save money for themselves is a lot better than forcing your own citizens to pay for others. Which one is more morally cruel?

HK has a similar forced savings, but that ROI is like 1 or 2% and the options to invest are paltry.

Some perspective is necessary. Yes it’s not great but compared to the rest of the world it’s stellar.

delta_p_delta_x•8m ago
Singapore is one of the last countries one will be a 'serf' in.

The parent contributor has conveniently left out the fact that the 37% of CPF contributions is split 20-17 in terms of employee-employer contributions[1], and has a ceiling of S$8000[2], so if one earns more than that, every additional dollar goes entirely to them, which is also taxed at globally low income tax rates[3]. One can put all one's post-tax money into any stocks/bonds/funds, and there is also no capital gains tax[4].

[1]: https://www.cpf.gov.sg/employer/employer-obligations/how-muc...

[2]: https://www.cpf.gov.sg/employer/infohub/news/cpf-related-ann...

[3]: https://www.iras.gov.sg/taxes/individual-income-tax/basics-o...

[4]: https://www.iras.gov.sg/taxes/individual-income-tax/basics-o...

ww520•8m ago
It’s not a win win policy. The citizens lose massive amount of their money to government on the bond yield delta. It preys on people not knowing the effect of long term compound interest.
Aurornis•4m ago
> instead of just throwing it into a tax. It makes the government money

It is a tax, but with extra steps.

The reason it makes the government money is because they’re collecting the extra interest that citizens would have earned if they were free to invest it on their own.

DaedalusII•24m ago
> It is structured as a massive forced bond purchase scheme by citizens

the UK effectively does the same thing with DB schemes forced to buy Gilts

mark_l_watson•27m ago
I had the privilege of getting a working gig in Singapore for a small AI startup: such a well run country! There is a sense of community for helping by employing people who need jobs, the police were friendly and I felt very safe there (I like to take long walks either early in the morning or late at night and I felt very secure.)

Amazing what the people and government have achieved since the end of WW2. 100% respect for them.

A side comment: I enjoy listening to English language news from many countries around the world to get different viewpoints. News media from Singapore is very interesting, indeed!

bluGill•27m ago
You know who they didn't interview: those who regret saving so much. Many of those people are dead and so the regret is something we can only apply on assumption that they would. I've known a few people who unexpectedly died before they hit retirement age. I've know a few people who retired and died suddenly. The vast majority of people in a "first world" country have an expected lifespan of about 80 - but there is a statistical curve and people start dieing in significant numbers at 65, while you are not an outlier until you make it to near 100 (though some exist).

You need to have some emergency savings. You should save for retirement somehow. If you can structure the above as insurance - and you can trust the insurance - (I know a few cases where the insurance type system went bankrupt and those with a "policy got nothing") that is best.

Once the above is taken care of though, you can't take it with you (at least in most religions) so spend it. Save enough, but not too much.

3rodents•18m ago
People who save a lot are typically people comforted by sitting on a big nest egg. Saving a lot for retirement and then dying the day before retirement isn’t necessarily going to be a source of regret, because they had 30 years of warm fuzzy feelings about eventually hatching their nest egg. They could have spent it all instead, and had a life full of anxiety.

You’re looking for people who didn’t want to save but begrudgingly saved at the expense of their pre-retirement life and then died before they could enjoy retirement. That’s a much smaller group.

bombcar•8m ago
This is more fleshed out in the book "Die with Zero" which may be a bit too extreme.

But in general you have three things to spend in your life: time, money, and effort.

You don't want to spend all your time saving money because you'll run out of time eventually, but you also don't want to spend all your money saving time because you'll run out of money.

It's all about balance and thoughtfully understanding what you actually want and how to get it.

throw-the-towel•8m ago
As someone who used to save too much, I agree.
readthenotes1•20m ago
"In Singapore, people who report never putting off difficult things are more likely to express saving regret than those who sometimes do."

That seems like what they should have been looking at re procrastination--conscientiousness.

I am not at all surprised that people who Take Care of Business lament not doing a better job (saving) and people who YOLO don't as much.

Filip_portive•20m ago
My new comment
Noumenon72•19m ago
"Saving regret" ought to also refer to when you have saved too much. The shocks in that case would be things like "inflation ate away all my savings before I got to use them" or "the government confiscated my savings via wealth taxes" or just generally "the government made me spend 37% of my income on saving when I wanted to use it to raise kids."
kdheiwns•13m ago
Raising kids in a society where people hate their community and don't want to contribute through things like taxes generally isn't a society that is good for kids and their development.
kaibee•7m ago
> "the government made me spend 37% of my income on saving when I wanted to use it to raise kids."

This is a particularly funny one tbh. A nation's kids _are_ the retirement plan. It doesn't matter how many numbers you put in spreadsheets dated for 20-40 years into the future, if in said future, there isn't actually anyone to accept those numbers in exchange for labor.

nancyminusone•6m ago
That seems like it causes a different category of problems than "I wish I had saved more but I didn't and now I have nothing"