Well population grew significantly so it’s a bigger decline in per capita terms.

Notably this was even though AI systems got decent enough, supposedly, to do simple tasks and answer simple questions correctly.

We are of course still spinning, so I'm not overly confident we haven't just glanced off a guardrail on the way to the ditch (to belabour your analogy).

Even without Trump, US-Canada trade was on track to hit choppy waters. Even in the Biden admin (whose alums would have ended up in a Harris admin) there was an openness to armtwist Canada [0] into acquiescing [1]. China did the same [2] with Canada [3][4] until they acquiesced [5]. Heck, even the EU has been slowrolling the ratification of the EU-Canada CETA [6] to protect their industry.

Sadly, it's difficult for a country that is Canada's size to push back when faced against these sized economies.

[0] - https://ustr.gov/about-us/policy-offices/press-office/press-...

[1] - https://www.canada.ca/en/department-finance/news/2025/06/can...

[2] - https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/china-commerce-m...

[3] - https://www.reuters.com/business/autos-transportation/trudea...

[4] - https://www.reuters.com/world/china-tells-canada-it-should-c...

[5] - https://www.reuters.com/world/china/canada-china-set-make-hi...

[6] - https://carleton.ca/tradenetwork/research-publications/ceta-...

What’s funny is that Q1 per capita GDP growth in the U.S. was about 1.4% annualized (within the normal range) while Canada was only at 0.1%. Trump is the bull in the china shop but it’s not his China he’s breaking.

Given canada has so much oil,is the hormuz situation really a net negative for canada ecconomically? Like obviously its terrible in general, but id expect higher oil prices to help starve off a recesion.

A recession means a regression in GDP growth.

Economic malaise is orthogonal to the technical definition of a recession, though it is often correlated. And conversely, economic growth isn't always correlated with positive feelings (eg. South Korea in the 2010s)

> I wonder to what extent the clamp down on immigration is related to this

It doesn't hurt but it doesn't really help either.