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Starlink unlimited aviation plan to rise from $10k/month to $20k

https://www.corporatejetinvestor.com/news/starlink-price-rise-reckless-says-correnti/
104•r2sk5t•1h ago

Comments

p-o•1h ago
Hard to not look at the crazy valuation of SpaceX and not see a correlation. At some point, something's gotta give.
idontwantthis•1h ago
Unfortunately, their valuation has almost nothing to do with starlink revenues. It’s almost entirely speculative oribital data centers that have not been invented yet. They could double their starlink revenues and it would have no impact on the valuation.
_doctor_love•1h ago
Wasn't it Jeff Skilling who once waxed poetical about hypothetical future value?
croes•1h ago
Even if invented, what is the advantage of orbit data centers?
0cf8612b2e1e•1h ago
The best I have heard: It makes you fully independent of the terrestrial energy grid. There is also some nebulous freedom from governmental authority possibilities.

Both of which strike me as poor arguments. We are in a short term energy crunch. I expect within five years that most of the energy problems will be resolved and the eye watering financials of launching a GPU into space will look absurd

Governments also do not like to cede authority, so I find it hard to believe that they will not claim jurisdiction over any business operating within their borders (all of those ground stations).

bakies•29m ago
if you launch enough solar panels to power the data center into space, its easier to put them on the ground. Yeah there's some less power, but also have six times the lifespan so just build twice as many and it's still more efficient. Getting land in Texas can't be that hard.
amanaplanacanal•1h ago
I think the idea is easy energy availability and no push back from the locals. Those both seem to be to be fairly simple to solve on the ground compared to the unsolved issues doing it in orbit.
scottyah•36m ago
The Laws of Physics are much easier to build around than the Laws of Men.
largbae•1h ago
Regulatory problems are doing the heavy lifting. Sure power is "free", if you can launch it, station keep it and cool it and if the data services are useful at the modem latencies of geosync and lunar orbits. But if datacenter projects can't be built/powered fast enough due to permitting, this is an expensive workaround.
whatisthiseven•1h ago
Might as well base the valuation on SpaceX getting a colony to Alpha Centauri and then billions living there and needing regular SpaceX shuttle services from Sol.

Then we could properly value the IPO in the quadrillions. (I know you know this is ridiculous. But investors clearly are riding high on the tulip mania).

epistasis•1h ago
In the meantime, until Musk comes up with the next big "idea" to switch to, all the current revenue levers need to be pushed to max to try to make it to that next stage, since public companies demand revenue every quarter.

A lot of their revenue is also from renting out GPUs to more productive AI companies, so depending on how long that game can keep on going (getting access to GPUs before other companies), it could last for a while too.

prymitive•1h ago
Here’s an idea: Musk launches a ton of orbital gpus but in reality it’s just an empty shell and real gpus sit in unused grok data centres. How would we even know?
arijun•1h ago
I disagree, but not for the reason you think. They need to fund R&D to justify their high valuation. A new stock issue would decrease the valuation, and they will have a difficult time borrowing the money with their poor bond valuations. So this will (maybe) slow the bleed.

Musk doesn't need to deliver to keep valuation up. We've seen him doing pretty well stringing people along indefinitely with "3 months maybe, 6 months definitely" self driving capabilities.

idontwantthis•59m ago
It’s not an opinion it’s laid out clearly in the prospectus. Spacex is not a space company. It is a 2 trillion dollar AI company with a small launch business and a smaller ISP.
arijun•55m ago
I am not disagreeing with that. I am saying that having enough revenue is necessary to keep the house of cards standing.
ZiiS•1h ago
It is possible they delayed this rise as they didn't want bad news in the run-up to going public; but the is absolutely no way this can touch their fundamental numbers.
BoppreH•1h ago
Note that this is for the "aviation plan" which already requires six-digits equipment.
vel0city•1h ago
Yeah, for regular people they're just starting to suddenly charge $1,500 fees.

https://www.reddit.com/r/Starlink/comments/1uklz4q/starlink_...

r3trohack3r•1h ago
> He then reviewed my billing history and account details, confirmed that my service address had never actually changed, and determined that nothing had been moved. As a result, he issued a full refund.
BoorishBears•1h ago
Yeah but it still sounds like $1,500 demand fee was not a mistake, charging OP was the mistake.

People first mentioned these fees at like $100... now you can go to Costco, grab a Starlink, and they'll randomly ask for $1,500 to actually start service.

Congestion is a thing when each node needs to go to space, but it also feels like they're cashing in on years of "just move to a cabin in the woods and work off Starlink"... once you've done that they have you by the balls even worse than a typical ISP.

wat10000•54m ago
Isn't this fee specifically before they have you by the balls?
panative•1h ago
Won’t somebody please think of the luxury private aviation consumers?
Finnucane•1h ago
Rich people are screwing over the slightly less rich, get out the silver pitchforks.
scottyah•1h ago
I don't think spacex is rolling in cash. Their valuation has little bearing on cash reserves until they sell.
estearum•1h ago
A lot of people on this forum actually have investments in SpaceX, directly or indirectly, and they're interested in this stuff as a signal of the health of the company.

Not everything has to be some little gripefest.

meristohm•47m ago
I reckon a lot of people on this forum have poorer health thanks to man-made pollution.

The more money a person has, the greater the chance they spend it in ways that increase environmental harm. (Travel is a big one, and buying large homes, remodeling homes, heating and cooling those homes, well beyond the private sufficiency that would be enough for us if we also supported public luxuries instead of playing Smaug)

Rather than corporate health I'm more concerned with ecosystem health (actual eco-system, as in interconnected living beings, not the word applied to software...), and care much more about investing in the performance of the ecosystems (based on land, water, and air) that sustain life in the region I have this tiny bit of influence on.

Corporations are fictions, a game we're playing. After they go up in smoke, the land will still be here.

behnamoh•1h ago
As I write this, I'm disputing a charge from Starlink because when I activated mine, they automatically started the free trial for me, but nowhere in the receipt or on their website did they say they would switch me to the most expensive plan after the free trial was over. And they made it extremely confusing to cancel my free trial. So I ended up being charged $120 for something that I had just opened out of the box. I disputed it twice through Apple Card and it still got rejected, even though I have the invoices. So I'm disputing it a third time, and I know one thing is clear: I am never going to purchase anything that Elon has made ever again. They also lied to me about the cost of keeping the Starlink. Their app said the satellite would need to stay "alive," and to do so I had to pay $5 a month. But then I recently realized that that was also a lie—you don't have to pay to keep the service or the satellite alive.
pfdietz•1h ago
As a matter of personal policy I never sign up for free trials, for just this sort of reason.
petilon•1h ago
Apple Card aka Goldman Sachs is notoriously bad at handling disputes. They were fined $89 million for mishandling disputes, yet they continue to reject disputes offhand [1]. I no longer use Apple Card other than for Apple Store purchases.

[1] https://www.consumerfinance.gov/archive/newsroom/cfpb-orders...

scottyah•24m ago
Who's your target audience for this... misinformation? > charged $120 for something that I had just opened out of the box

It does not work out of the box, you need to install an app, add a payment method, and sign up for a plan, free trial or not.

>you don't have to pay to keep the service or the satellite alive

Not sure what you mean by keeping a satellite alive, but you do need to pay for the service. There is no "Free" or "Pay as You Go" plan. Also, the Standby Mode $10/mo, not $5.

As for it being "extremely confusing", that's highly subjective so I won't comment, but it's definitely standard UI and I think it took me less than 8 clicks to first downgrade then cancel my plan.

delichon•1h ago
At the other end they recently doubled the cost of the Starlink Mini standby plan, from $60 to $120 per year.
rsyring•1h ago
I have a Starlink v2 dish and I pay $10 per month for a residential "standby" plan.

I only get 10G per month of bandwidth but I rarely use it since I have a fiber connection that is mostly reliable.

It might be a grandfathered plan because they don't list it anywhere I can see:

  - https://starlink.com/service-plans
  - https://starlink.com/roam
Edit: turns out this is a feature/mode and not a plan:

https://starlink.com/na/support/article/37bb3b47-9525-7224-5...

And, apparently, I now have to reactivate the service to one of the published plans if I want to use more than low-speed data. Previously, I still had high-speed bandwidth for $10 a month just not a lot of it.

They apparently changed things recently. And, now that I'm thinking about it, I probably skimmed an email that said something about this a month or two ago but, since the charge was staying at $10 a month, didn't pay much attention to the details.

throwitaway222•45m ago
I noticed this too, but decided to keep my mini because I downgraded my max plan (I was defaulted to this as a customer since they started) to a bitrate I still won't reach, and by doing so am saving $480 per year.
palmotea•29m ago
> At the other end they recently doubled the cost of the Starlink Mini standby plan, from $60 to $120 per year.

I kinda wanted to get one of those for standby, but the price seemed too good to be true, so I figured they'd either eliminate it or raise the price.

kamranjon•1h ago
I am traveling in Europe currently and got a Saily SIM card - 5g coverage is really good and seems to be expanding fast - a small village I visited 2 years ago that had no cell coverage at all I was getting 250mbps download, faster than than the wired internet at most of the places I was visiting. This prompted me to actually look into Starlink speeds and apparently 5g is generally faster than Starlink...

This made me wonder if Starlink is a much more niche product than I thought - I actually thought it was significantly faster than cell data - but it seems it's just for folks in super remote areas at this point?

esseph•1h ago
> but it seems it's just for folks in super remote areas at this point?

TBF that's like 70% of the US, large parts of the Southern Hemisphere in general, much of China, India, Russia, etc.

But yes, StarLink is best when it has some user density but not too much user density. It will be this way until... probably forever.

If I go camping? StarLink. Otherwise no cell/internet service.

kamranjon•31m ago
70% seems a little extreme? Here is a helpful mobile coverage map: https://www.fcc.gov/BroadbandData/MobileMaps/mobile-map

A few years ago I actually traveled all around the US and worked remotely with a 4g unlimited data sim card and was pretty amazed at the coverage, only very few places was I left without coverage. I'm guessing it's even better now?

justapassenger•1h ago
Remote areas of USA (and other third world countries when it comes to the communication infrastructure) + companies that operate in remote areas (logistic, resource extraction, etc) + military are main customer base.
justapassenger•1h ago
I’m pretty sure rest of starlink customers will get similar treatment in the future. Their potential customer base is limited and it’s only ISP that literately burns their backbone network every few years and has to replace to keep it running.

On top of that, their claims it’s profitable does some heavy lifting with how to account for the cost of launching rockets.

It’s extremely cool product and very useful for many customers. But sustainability of current pricing is very questionable.

mattmaroon•1h ago
Their potential customer base is literally everybody because they are the only ISP that can cover the entire globe. Everybody’s potential customer base is technically limited because there are only so many humans, but they have the least limited potential customer base of anything that exists.
novafunc•1h ago
Yes, but the primary reason for Starlink is for areas with poor traditional ISPs.

If you had a choice between Fiber or Starlink, you’d choose Fiber.

So as traditional ISPs improve service and coverage, Starlink becomes less in demand.

grim_io•58m ago
Sounds like a great long-term investment.

Starlink would only make sense if the world was not getting more and more concentrated around densely populated areas.

scottyah•39m ago
I think it'd be easier for Starlink to start building and deploying wide area ground stations (like 5g towers or something) to serve urban areas than it would take all the other telcos to deploy satellites.
ForOldHack•1h ago
Surprise, surprise, surprise. Well, well well. The honeymoon is over. It's just so predictable.
epistasis•1h ago
Gotta pay the massive coupons on SpaceX's bonds, whose yields are heading towards junk territory:

https://www.ft.com/content/3a023b95-66c3-41e1-b0ce-df752a499...

Having just flown some flights with Starlink internet connection, I really love the service, it's just amazing. But the rugpull here might actually break through the distortion field of Musk. It's really interesting to compare the reality distortion fields of Elon Musk and Steve Jobs. It took a looooooong time for Apple stock to get properly valued in the 2000s, after it was clear that they would take over consumer computing. Jobs' RDF worked amazingly well on aligning engineering towards consumer needs, and towards convincing consumers and (some) reviewers that they had created the right sort of products for the future. Elon Musk seems to have mastered RDF on investors plus consumers, and when you're chasing sky high valuations by always piling your prior failed "ideas" into your next big thing (i.e. next big gamble), it only takes a few bad gambles to bring down the entire house of cards.

scottyah•32m ago
At the end of the day, there's the people who can make a vastly superior product time and time again, and they all like to work with other people who can do the same. They like to be pushed, they love solving hard problems, hate bureaucracy, and will find leaders that can accommodate all that. Elon provides that the same as Steve did.
ben_w•18m ago
> people who can make a vastly superior product time and time again, and they all like to work with other people who can do the same

These parts are likely pushing the best minds away from Musk these days. Not sure when that turned, perhaps Cybertruck?

jameskraus•1h ago
It is an reckless business practice to not have the monthly price locked down, with strong contractual protections. Sounds like Correnti didn't negotiate well and are now finding out.
e_i_pi_2•1h ago
Agreed with this, and it also doesn't seem like this is the case but I'm generally a fan of charging B2B as high as possible to lower costs for regular consumers - other companies will generally pay a lot more even if it just includes the potential of getting better support, and that profit can be used to give access to more people at a lower price.

A lot of open source software uses this model - free for everyone, but if you're a company that wants support then you have to pay for it, and that covers the development for everyone

smt88•1h ago
The aviation pricing will be passed to consumers either way, as increased fares or in-flight fees.
josephcsible•27m ago
The price increased by $10,000 per month. United's 737-800's seat 166 passengers, so assuming each plane has 5 flights per day, that would only make the average ticket about 40 cents more expensive.
w10-1•59m ago
> Sounds like Correnti didn't negotiate well

Are you sure this is negotiable?

jameskraus
petilon•1h ago
Blue Origin's Terawave [1] can't come soon enough.

[1] https://www.blueorigin.com/terawave

sucrosesucrose•1h ago
What we need is a public service constellation, not more billonaire ones.
khurs•1h ago
There will be many price increases seeing as:

-SpaceX raised $75bn in the IPO which will only last so long for a loss making high capital requirements company.

-Then $25bn via bonds which have an annual interest rate repayment of $1.46 billion + repayment of the $25b (depending on bond length in years 2031,33,36,46 and 2056)

-Morgan Stanley said: "In our model, we estimate SpaceX raising an average of $72bn annually between 2027 and 2030 and then an average of $95bn annually between 2031 and 2034."[0]

So huge amounts needed continuously.

[0]https://www.ft.com/content/09a62ed4-16af-433c-adb7-c877d1975...

jerlam•54m ago
SpaceX stock has also dropped below their IPO price. It doesn't change their current financials but it may make it more difficult to raise money in the future.
khurs•49m ago
Will be interesting to see if Elon regrets only floating 4% [0] of the company at the IPO and not more seeing as it was over subscribed.

[0] https://www.businessinsider.com/spacex-ipo-spcx-stock-free-f...

tcp_handshaker•41m ago
You missing the point...the 4% that is what caused the artificial scarcity.
khurs•
w10-1•1h ago
Note that the objection is as much to the abruptness as the scale of the price increase.

Large customers sinking millions into (here aviation) assets rightly expect that their vendors respect their market lifecycles.

Starlink's behavior creates a credibility gap that could drive such customers to the 2-3 upcoming competitors with poorer service and even higher costs, but perhaps more reliability as partners.

I'd see this as an opportunity.

huslage•58m ago
The "upcoming" is doing a lot of work. There is not currently a viable alternative to Starlink with the same capability, speed, or latency. Amazon Leo will be the next to go online and it won't be fully operational until sometime in 2028. No one in the aviation industry will want to wait for that.
khurs•57m ago
> Note that the objection is as much to the abruptness as the scale of the price increase.

When companies buy a service, they normally agree a bespoke contract for 5 years or so and a fixed price for additional units, often with an option of a further x years period too.

So sounds like there wasn't a bespoke contract as lawyers should have picked it up.

CamelCaseName•1h ago
This is so par for the course for Elon's companies.

He will extract as much as possible, whenever possible.

404mm•37m ago
He’s like the God. Always needs more money!
scottyah•35m ago
And he will tell you beforehand, in clear manifestos, why and how it fits the mission.
grim_io•1h ago
You don't get to be all of the USA's GDP without a buck or two more per month, you know?
khurs•56m ago
>SpaceX has also increased the price of its Starlink Aviation equipment to $200,000 per business aircraft, up from $145,000 last year.

ouch.

1234letshaveatw•43m ago
Won't someone think of the aviators!!
TimTheTinker•22m ago
Brand-new Cessna planes were selling for roughly 2x the US median annual income in the 1960s. Today that number is at around 5.5x.

I've always wanted to fly my wife & kids in a plane, but I just can't afford a high-maintenance luxury asset that costs as much as a house, and fuel costs are prohibitive as well.

so yeah, if someone could mass-manufacture an FAA MOSAIC-certified light-sport aircraft with >2 seats, that could bring the cost of fractional ownership and once-every-two-months weekend use down to my level. And if small local air strips could stop closing too, that'd be great.

---

All to say, aviation used to be semi-reachable as a middle class hobby for family people. Now, the only way to get a family in the air for people like me is to spend years building a kit plane from scratch or fixing up a cheap broken plane.

bakies•25m ago
I wonder how this compares with non-starlink aircraft ISP? Was/Is Delta using something else? Their internet has been good for a while.
theturtletalks•36m ago
What’s even more concerning is that the current government changed their requirements for the rural broadband program so companies like StarLink can bid to bring internet to those remote areas instead of using wired or fiber connections. Not far-fetched that StarLink wins this contract and then squeezes those customers over time. ISPs will have little reason to expand in those underserved areas without government subsidies.
hughes•28m ago
There is a nuance missed in the discussion so far - Starlink is creating a new product level, differentiating service between continental and intercontinental aviation connectivity. Previously these were a single category.

If you are operating in North America for example, your service is going from $10k to $12.5k. Still a 25% increase, which is not fun, but I think a lot of the customers affected by this will fit into this category. You only need the $20k plan if your aircraft travels between their roughly-continental regions.

Nicholas Air, quoted in the article, appears to have no need for the $20k plan and should not use it.

ck2•26m ago
isn't Amazon LEO now available or very soon at $60/month?

https://old.reddit.com/r/AmazonLeo/comments/1uupd3w

will they offer aviation suitable plans?

bakies•27m ago
The orbits are lower than that. Not that it changes the point.
ben_w•21m ago
Also, the lifetime of the panels on the ground is longer by about the same multiple as the power advantage of going to space, so if you're limited by the size of your photovoltaic factory, there's no reason to go to space.
TheOtherHobbes•13m ago
No planning restrictions. Throw up as many as you can afford to build and launch. No grid strain because they're self-powered.

And they're likely out of national jurisdictions, so you can generate all the porn you want.

Technologically? Maaaaaybe a slight ping time reduction in certain configurations compared to terrestrial fiber, because even with multiple hops lasers can still be faster than fiber.

Super-expensive, questionably economic way to do it though.

BoorishBears•47m ago
Not unless you had a potential $1500 fee top of mind before you moved...

Wanna guess if Starlink is advertising how insane these fees have gotten?

naturalmovement•46m ago
If you're privileged enough to work a six-figure tech job while engaging in a homesteader larp in a "cabin in the woods", you can probably afford the fee. So can "off-grid" YouTuber grifters.

It's like everyone feels entitled to something they didn't know existed a few years ago.

Cyberdogs7•40m ago
So we should let companies do what ever anti-consumer practices they want, because you don't like the group they are doing it to?

Should a car company be allowed to charge you an extra fee every time you have a passenger?

naturalmovement•37m ago
If you need a specialized amphibious vehicle to get to your shack in the woods, it's not anti-consumer if it costs you more than a Mitsubishi Mirage.
0cf8612b2e1e•34m ago
The world is more than rich tech bros living in the woods. Normal income people also wanted to use this service without being bankrupted.

Rural homes do have roads that can be reached on a rusty pickup.

ben_w•31m ago
A few days ago people were telling me the Starlink was brilliant because it gave small African villages with no mains electricity an internet connection to share.

This kind of behaviour does rather dampen the value proposition for such people.

naturalmovement•20m ago
Do you think tech bros who voluntarily choose to live in the woods should pay the same subsidized price as a rural African schoolhouse? Equity and all that.
ben_w•14m ago
It doesn't matter what I think in this case (I have already decided to not give Musk any money), what matters here is what Musk thinks and does, and how the actual real market reacts to that.
0cf8612b2e1e•38m ago
People feel entitled to the advertised rate structure. Was there anywhere in the promo material that you might get slapped with $1500 connection fees?

If you are not big tech, that’s a lot of money. For the home in the middle of nowhere, $1500 could be more than you would pay in monthly rent. Plenty of rural people without access to good internet were hoping for Starlink to save them from garbage DSL connection options.

naturalmovement•32m ago
Boo hoo.... these same people were previously faced with $40,000 connection fees for Comcast and Verizon to trench a cable 1/2 mile to their property so $1500 seems like a pittance.

Look, friends of mine did this, they bought a country place so they can live the dream and write software in the sticks.

Next thing you know they're drilling new wells and installing a generator to support the fantasy while the bills pile up. When you bring modern conveniences to rural life it costs money.

vel0city•54m ago
So not his service address, but a slightly different latitude/longitude would have received that.
cortesoft•51m ago
It sounds like this was a bug where slight updates to geolocation data (his address updated its physical location, probably to be more accurate) triggered a "location moved" process. Annoying, but not indicative of a new policy.
engineer_22•1h ago
Furnishing low-latency, broadband connectivity to private aircraft. The Challenger 350 noted in the article stickers north of $10M
toomuchtodo•1h ago
They are attempting to juice revenue across all product cohorts, this is simply another datapoint. Customers are captive until there are more connectivity options.
nelsonic•46m ago
“Juice?” As in they have the best product by a wide margin and are charging a totally fair price for it that reflects demand. Nobody flying private cares about the price of Starlink.

It’s worse if they are squeezing people in underserved rural areas… our monthly has gone down from €35 to €29 and still getting the same speed.

The second SpaceX offers direct-to-cell in our area we will switch to their service as we’ve never had any issues with it whereas the incumbent mobile/broadband providers regularly throttle even when we’re paying top tier prices.

Totally agree there needs to be more competition and preferably not from other billionaires … but until then, Starlink is great!

toomuchtodo•43m ago
SpaceX has a monopoly on high speed satellite internet. They will extract as much as they can from customers with said monopoly until there is a competitor. Doesn't sound like we're talking past each other except perhaps you might be a fan and I am not (specifically, extractionist monopolist behavior).
Rebelgecko•1h ago
They also recently doubled the price of the standby plan
throwitaway222•49m ago
Starlink should probably reverse course on this however, it's one thing to pay 10k for up to 20 guests on a small private jet vs a company like Delta with a fleet of 747s. Charge Delta 20k, charge this guy 10k.
theturtletalks•34m ago
Why would they not charge as much as possible? Who else is launching satellites? He’s got one of the biggest moats I’ve ever seen.
fallingbananna•5m ago
I don't know who else is launching satellites, but many airlines do offer wifi, often via partnerships with telco companies.

So the only moat he has is the speed and capacity. The wifi on airplanes is often slow and expensive. The one flight that I was on that had Starlink, had better internet during the flight, than most airports on the ground have.

anvuong•3m ago
That 20 guests on a PJ are probably worth more than a fully booked 747. Price has always been set based how much customers are willing pay, not based on the value it creates.
croes•1h ago
Just look at the price and you see it’s for those without other alternatives
gruez•59m ago
Presumably local telecoms would be able to sell it for cheaper? "travel esim" providers like saily are basically paying roaming rates for whatever carrier the customer is physically in, it's definitely not the cheapest price available.
wongarsu•55m ago
There are plenty of super remote areas in Europe as well. Even more in the US, where population is more clustered to population centers

But the big selling points of Starlink are either as a backup connection (which the consumer plan actively enables: in months where you use less than 10GB you pay $10/month) or as a connection for ships and airplanes

numpad0•24m ago
Theoretical max speed of 4G/5G are like 5Gbps down/1Gbps up, without going into mmWave. Actual link speeds of Starlink terminals don't seem to be published in the open, but it's at least throttled to up to 310Mbps down/44Mbps up for Priority plans. Looks like it's supposed to reach 1Gbps down with V3 sats, but then again, cellular is like up to 5Gbps yesterday, at least in the spec.

It's just that Starlink being a new thing and with zero users tended to be less congested, hence it tended to do better in somewhat of an unfair comparison in a remote cabin side by side against an LTE equipment. It was NEVER faster in theory compared to terrestrial cellular.

Alpha3031•32m ago
Why in the world would any MNO or WISP choose satellite backhaul for urban areas when their next tower is presumably only a few kilometres over (as opposed to tens of kilometres in more regional areas)?
StephenMelon•54m ago
The killer app is military usage, so they just need enough consumer and b2b demand to keep what they charge governments within what they can justify to taxpayers
Alpha3031•35m ago
Which militaries are you thinking and how much do you anticipate them spending and/or being willing to try and justify?
justapassenger•1h ago
For any dense populated area, starlink cost explodes exponentially to support customers there, while fiber/5G is linear.

You cannot just put more satellites on top of cities, as they aren’t geostationary (which is why they’re fast), so you need to add insane amount of satellites, that would do nothing most of the time, when they’re not on top of densely populated area.

kingleopold•36m ago
At some point in next decade they can literally be the biggest ISP by far, insane potential always. It's all about how long it takes to get there
ruszki•35m ago
First, they would need global coverage for that. Because looking at this map tells a different story: https://starlink.com/gb/map

It’s still the best option, but far from “global”. Also Iran is an obvious lie with that “coming soon” color, so god knows what else isn’t true on this.

bakies•34m ago
if you're in a city (where most people live) it'll never be cheaper to get this than fiber
latchkey•1h ago
it has already gone up in price two times since i got mine. i still happily pay for the convenience and safety of having internet on my campervan in the middle of a national forest. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
mauvehaus•57m ago
What harm are you worried about coming to in the middle of a national forest that having the internet could possibly save you from? You're in a van, for heaven's sakes. You can roll up the windows, lock the doors, and/or drive off from most dangers save a breakdown or a wildfire, and the internet won't save you from a wildfire.

I've tent camped a lot on forest service land (and BLM land) both out west and in the east. Generally having arrived there by human power. Not once have I been confronted with a situation where the internet would've added to my safety in any way whatsoever.

latchkey•47m ago
i can think of 1000 reasons to need to call for help. heck, two months ago i fell on my skateboard and shattered my femur at the hip. it sure was nice to be able to call 911 and have someone come pick me up given that i couldn't drive anywhere. my van was parked right at the skatepark and there was no way i was going to drive. obviously not skating in a national park, but it isn't out of the question to not have a major injury in a remote location.

but it isn't just about harm, as i said "convenience". i like being able to download detailed maps for trail hiking on-demand, and being off-grid and still able to be working (as my job requires me to be online).

runarberg•35m ago
If American infrastructure is in such a bad shape that it requires starlink to make emergency calls, then I think we have bigger problems.

And please, when you go hiking, download and print all the maps you need before you depart, and share a detailed plan with somebody able to call help, including a time estimate where you will make contact.

As for work. Please just take time off and take a proper vacation. By being constantly on call you will burn out at a much faster rate.

latchkey•16m ago
> download and print all the maps you need before you depart

If I'm living and traveling in my campervan for months on end, which is something I love to do, having starlink enables me to not have to plan. I can download the maps, hop out of my van and go. That's my own ideal freedom, I'm not tied to planning the same way you are.

> Please just take time off and take a proper vacation. By being constantly on call you will burn out at a much faster rate.

Wow, thanks for the advice. It is wild to me that you've got enough of an ego to say this to someone you don't know.

traceroute66•22m ago
> obviously not skating in a national park, but it isn't out of the question to not have a major injury in a remote location.

It isn't out of the question to have a major injury in a remote location.

But the fundamental problem would be being on your own in a remote location, not being unable to call 911.

Yes in your skating example, you "only" fell and shattered your femur.

But what if you fell and hit your head or landed and hit your spine ?

Or what if you had a heart attack ?

You would not be in a position to call 911 then, would you.

Being on your own in a remote location is not a risk problem that you can solve with any amount of technology.

latchkey•20m ago
> You would not be in a position to call 911 then, would you.

I never said anything about being alone.

1234letshaveatw•46m ago
Same. I also have never been confronted with a situation where 911 would've added to my safety in any way whatsoever. Why does 911 even exist?
latchkey•44m ago
see below. 911 just saved my life. not even counting the amount of pain i was in. i had internal bleeding and ended up need transfusions due to my red blood cell count dropping below 7.
1234letshaveatw•40m ago
Sorry, that didn't happen to me directly, doesn't count
mauvehaus•11m ago
> Why does 911 even exist?

Because liquor stores get robbed sometimes, but they aren't usually found in the middle of a national forest.

scottyah•42m ago
You really can't think of ANY situations that might be helped with instant communication with the outside world? If that's true, please don't go into national forests or BLMs anymore, I don't want my taxes to be spent looking for your body.
mrweasel•19m ago
I won't suggest that you can't find situation where having Starlink wouldn't be nice, but as another comment suggests: It's increasingly a niche product. Starlink may not be able to survive on being a product that provides internet access for campers and rural populations. That market might not be large enough to sustain the Starlink satellite fleet. There are entire countries where even to most remote areas have at least 2G cell service and fiber is frequently available even out in the country side.

Defence contracts are more likely than anything to be what keeps the satellites in orbit.

mauvehaus•12m ago
It's more that if you're that far off the beaten path, you'd better be prepared to hunker down and live with any kind of emergency that comes up for several hours up to a couple of days anyway. Which, for the record, is my standard and expectation for myself.

On the other hand, if you're dealing with being eaten by a bear, having a dangerous encounter with another person, or are at risk of being overrun by wildfire or flooding, a phone isn't likely to help much with the next 30 seconds of your possibly soon-to-be-abbreviated life. That's the risk you (and I) take by being out in the woods. You can't mitigate all or even much of that with technology.

runarberg•41m ago
I also don’t get the convenience part. If you are in a national forest, put on your boots, open the door and go for a walk, breathe the fresh air and touch some grass. Why is a low latency high speed internet connection convenient in this setting, you should be happy to be able to send text messages and make phone calls, as I assume you‘ll be spending most of your time enjoying nature or sitting around the campfire.
latchkey•32m ago
i'm in a campervan... i can be off-grid for many weeks and i also have a $dayjob.

starlink enables me to get the best of both worlds, which is a huge reason why i love it so much. don't knock it until you try it. =)

runarberg•26m ago
Sure, I am glad for you. I‘m sure there are dozens of people in your situation. Now if we can only get a whole constellation of satellites to accommodate every possible niche.
latchkey•15m ago
Now your bias becomes clear. Should have stated that in the first place.
bakies•35m ago
also all the flagship phones have emergency satellite connections now, so it's not even the emergency bit, it's just about having full broadband internet
latchkey•24m ago
powered by... starlink. https://www.t-mobile.com/coverage/satellite-phone-service
bakies•19m ago
Apple's SOS features are going to go to AmazonLEO and are currently globalstar. Google's SOS goes to a geosync orbit. This is some t-mobile feature.
kotaKat•11m ago
and the hilarious part is if you're along the US-Canadian border (or in most of Maine), you're in this magical 1.9GHz PCS coordination zone that they can't provide T-Satellite service in, and provide basically zero information that that's a thing.

https://i.imgur.com/pagujRS.png

this is a map of the t-satellite coverage from the t-mobile coverage map, just the t-sat layer.

grim_io•57m ago
At some point, everyone becomes price-sensitive.
latchkey•46m ago
"everyone" seems like a stretch of imagination. i'm not rich, but i'd still pay 2x (the amount mentioned) what i'm paying now.
grim_io•45m ago
So you are two more 2x increases from cancelling? :D

comment edited from one 2x increase, because math and language are hard.

•
37m ago
If price protection for something like this isn't negotiable it's a huge business risk, which would also be reckless to take on.
HarHarVeryFunny•28m ago
Everything is potentially negotiable.

Price on things like kitchen appliances, furniture often negotiable - you just have to ask.

My wife: (good customer) if I guy two pairs of shoes I want 2nd pair at 50% - them "ok"

My wife: what will you give me if I buy this (expensive briefcase)? - them "$100 gift card"

I got an extra $150 of a sheepskin coat at a going out of business sale just by asking

32m ago
Slightly over subscribed would say yes, but vastly over subscribed indicates they went too low?
bakies•39m ago
does low float and high demand drive the price up? the article just says more volatility which makes sense, but over subscribed would make me think it would have a higher price. Everyone is already bailing on their positions?
jamie_ca•47m ago
Yeah, up 50% over 5 days, back down to the starting line over the next 30 isn't a great outlook to my eye.
anvuong•5m ago
Holy cow how can they raise over $70B every year for 8 years straight? Who is investing this much?

Running Gemma 4 26B at 5 tokens/sec on a 13-year-old Xeon with no GPU

https://www.neomindlabs.com/2026/06/08/running-gemma-4-26b-at-5-tokens-sec-on-a-13-year-old-xeon-...
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https://fitelson.org/seminar/dawid.pdf
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