It took over a century to go from Oliver Twist to the broad Post-WWII Middle Class. How long this time?

This page fails to load for me (Firefox on MacOS with UBlock Origin AND DNS-level pi-hole adblock)

https://www.gatesnotes.com/search-reader?readerfocus=the-ris...

This link works, though

Bill Gates should stick to pretending to be a philanthropist. I.e., don’t quit your day job, Bill.

“Everything was fine before, so it’ll be fine now” is the level of argument I expect to find in thousand-year old religious texts.

The whole 'AI can't automate a lot of jobs, because that's exactly what everyone in the past said about technological advances then!' is a classic fallacious argument. It simply fails as a logical thought pattern. Past technological gains that happened decades or a century plus ago are discrete events separated by time and space from today. 'It didn't happen in the past so it can't happen today' is the same logic as 'I've flipped this coin and gotten heads 5 times, so it will land on heads on every future throw too'. It's completely possible that several times in the past, humanity was wrong about widespread job automation- but they can be right this time.

The whole argument just irritates me on a logical basis. You're basically saying 'the future will unfold exactly the way the past did'. No that doesn't follow at all. We may have dodged widespread automation in past history, but that doesn't mean it will automatically happen every time in the future. You haven't discovered like an Iron Law Of History that repeats every single time. You're just reasoning from a very small sample size and overfitting. Sorry for the rant, the whole argument just annoys me

This is so incredibly naive to me; the problem isn't AI, it's (as always) profit-above-all driven sociopaths that are running the show.