The actual quote is far worse than the title:

>> In a 42-minute IPO roadshow video the company released on Tuesday, Amodei made the audacious prediction that "cancer, Alzheimer's, heart disease, mental illness — these will be relics of the past in, I think, less than a decade."

Mental illness? I'm sure that will be worked out exactly a day after AI-induced psychosis stops being a thing.

Question: Without heart disease, cancer and Alzheimer's, what will kill us? It cannot all be shark attacks and avalanches. What new horrible diseases will step up to be big killers in the future?

Fill that bag up to the brim before dumping it on public investors. Looks like everyone's adopting the Elon Prediction Model.

Genuinely curious-- if we eliminate cancer, dementia, and heart disease, what exactly will there be left to die of in old age?

I've yet to see anyone with expertise in medical research express optimism that AI will cure major diseases like cancer in the next several years. Help us in parts of the research? Sure. But the bottlenecks to medical research are the speed at which the human body does things, and AI isn't going to move that.

That also aligns with my (non-medical-expert) intuition.

Dario et al are smart enough to know that as well, and they have not presented any compelling counterargument to the speed of biology, which makes me they that they are full of shit and know it.

Stock market goes up

”It's literally too dangerous for us to release"

Stock market goes down

"Ai will cure cancer everyone!"

wake me up when it can cure death

I wonder how Elizabeth Holmes is doing these days.

Here's a more correct title:

"One person (who doesn't know the future but has a financial incentive to promise golden age) promises golden age.

Other people (who also don't know the future but don't want to lose their jobs) predict that they won't lose their jobs.

Both sides can be utterly wrong, so we spend our time in vain here".

> cure cancer

Which one? All of them? The mechanisms of neoplastic development and growth are protean. If his prediction is based on aspirations of finding a common pathway, I’m afraid it will be unrealized.

I share his enthusiasm for assisted drug development and so forth; but let’s be realistic. Besides, doesn’t his company have an upcoming IPO? I guess it’s a fine time for unbridled optimism then, isn’t it?