love reading about idiots that swallowed trumps "superintelligence" drivel. Altman said we had AGI years ago, now we wait for the "superintelligence"

TLDR; someone used some fake graphs and probabilities pulled out of thin air to justify an unwarranted conclusion based on a false analogy to a situation that is far from clear.

The machine of AI influencers is running at overdrive. A true avalanche of bullshit.

It's coming for everyone: there's a startup that introduced robot arms that promise to learn anything 1 shot: if it holds - and there's little wiggle room for one shot - it would be a good indicator that manual labor is also soon gone.

The only question that remains is if 99.9% of the world population will let themselves be fooled by UBI & VR to keep the 'masses content; while the 0.1% hold all the wealth and AI power.

And this is decided now, because it is too late once AI is consolidated under one bi/tri-llionaire.

I feel like this is why more distributed control or open ownership of AI models is such an important goal for regulators. As AI begins to accelerate its own development, the private companies that are initially maybe only a few months ahead of open-source projects will widen the gap more and more.

It seems likely we end up with an even more extreme tech oligarchy than we already have when superintelligence arrives. And that's only if we manage to solve alignment enough that it doesn't do something more horrible.