frontpage.
newsnewestaskshowjobs

Made with ♥ by @iamnishanth

Open Source @Github

Asynchrony is not concurrency

https://kristoff.it/blog/asynchrony-is-not-concurrency/
151•kristoff_it•4h ago•104 comments

How to write Rust in the Linux kernel: part 3

https://lwn.net/SubscriberLink/1026694/3413f4b43c862629/
21•chmaynard•1h ago•0 comments

Ccusage: A CLI tool for analyzing Claude Code usage from local JSONL files

https://github.com/ryoppippi/ccusage
14•kristianp•48m ago•4 comments

Shutting Down Clear Linux OS

https://community.clearlinux.org/t/all-good-things-come-to-an-end-shutting-down-clear-linux-os/10716
13•todsacerdoti•26m ago•2 comments

Silence Is a Commons by Ivan Illich (1983)

http://www.davidtinapple.com/illich/1983_silence_commons.html
57•entaloneralie•2h ago•8 comments

Broadcom to discontinue free Bitnami Helm charts

https://github.com/bitnami/charts/issues/35164
81•mmoogle•4h ago•43 comments

Wii U SDBoot1 Exploit “paid the beak”

https://consolebytes.com/wii-u-sdboot1-exploit-paid-the-beak/
62•sjuut•3h ago•7 comments

EPA says it will eliminate its scientific reseach arm

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/07/18/climate/epa-firings-scientific-research.html
57•anigbrowl•1h ago•20 comments

Multiplatform Matrix Multiplication Kernels

https://burn.dev/blog/sota-multiplatform-matmul/
44•homarp•4h ago•16 comments

lsr: ls with io_uring

https://rockorager.dev/log/lsr-ls-but-with-io-uring/
291•mpweiher•11h ago•151 comments

Valve confirms credit card companies pressured it to delist certain adult games

https://www.pcgamer.com/software/platforms/valve-confirms-credit-card-companies-pressured-it-to-delist-certain-adult-games-from-steam/
139•freedomben•8h ago•141 comments

Meta says it wont sign Europe AI agreement, calling it growth stunting overreach

https://www.cnbc.com/2025/07/18/meta-europe-ai-code.html
84•rntn•6h ago•117 comments

Trying Guix: A Nixer's impressions

https://tazj.in/blog/trying-guix
132•todsacerdoti•3d ago•38 comments

Replication of Quantum Factorisation Records with a VIC-20, an Abacus, and a Dog

https://eprint.iacr.org/2025/1237
57•teddyh•5h ago•14 comments

AI capex is so big that it's affecting economic statistics

https://paulkedrosky.com/honey-ai-capex-ate-the-economy/
180•throw0101c•4h ago•196 comments

Show HN: Molab, a cloud-hosted Marimo notebook workspace

https://molab.marimo.io/notebooks
61•akshayka•5h ago•8 comments

Mango Health (YC W24) Is Hiring

https://www.ycombinator.com/companies/mango-health/jobs/3bjIHus-founding-engineer
1•zachgitt•5h ago

CP/M creator Gary Kildall's memoirs released as free download

https://spectrum.ieee.org/cpm-creator-gary-kildalls-memoirs-released-as-free-download
226•rbanffy•13h ago•118 comments

The year of peak might and magic

https://www.filfre.net/2025/07/the-year-of-peak-might-and-magic/
68•cybersoyuz•6h ago•34 comments

Sage: An atomic bomb kicked off the biggest computing project in history

https://www.ibm.com/history/sage
10•rawgabbit•3d ago•0 comments

Show HN: I built library management app for those who outgrew spreadsheets

https://www.librari.io/
42•hmkoyan•4h ago•27 comments

Cancer DNA is detectable in blood years before diagnosis

https://www.sciencenews.org/article/cancer-tumor-dna-blood-test-screening
152•bookofjoe•5h ago•94 comments

A New Geometry for Einstein's Theory of Relativity

https://www.quantamagazine.org/a-new-geometry-for-einsteins-theory-of-relativity-20250716/
71•jandrewrogers•8h ago•1 comments

Show HN: Simulating autonomous drone formations

https://github.com/sushrut141/ketu
12•wanderinglight•3d ago•2 comments

How I keep up with AI progress

https://blog.nilenso.com/blog/2025/06/23/how-i-keep-up-with-ai-progress/
165•itzlambda•5h ago•85 comments

Benben: An audio player for the terminal, written in Common Lisp

https://chiselapp.com/user/MistressRemilia/repository/benben/home
45•trocado•3d ago•3 comments

Making a StringBuffer in C, and questioning my sanity

https://briandouglas.ie/string-buffer-c/
26•coneonthefloor•3d ago•15 comments

Hundred Rabbits – Low-tech living while sailing the world

https://100r.co/site/home.html
214•0xCaponte•4d ago•60 comments

How to Get Foreign Keys Horribly Wrong

https://hakibenita.com/django-foreign-keys
49•Bogdanp•3d ago•23 comments

When root meets immutable: OpenBSD chflags vs. log tampering

https://rsadowski.de/posts/2025/openbsd-immutable-system-logs/
126•todsacerdoti•15h ago•41 comments
Open in hackernews

Cancer DNA is detectable in blood years before diagnosis

https://www.sciencenews.org/article/cancer-tumor-dna-blood-test-screening
152•bookofjoe•5h ago

Comments

bookofjoe•5h ago
https://archive.ph/uE18w
andrewstuart•4h ago
Blood testing sounds like a great opportunity for a startup…….
adamors•4h ago
I wonder if they could work with very small amounts of blood …?
supportengineer•4h ago
What if they took a small amount, but ran many different tests with it?
sylens•4h ago
What if the testing unit was so small it could sit on your kitchen counter and send the results digitally to your doctor?
andrewstuart•4h ago
What if major venture capitalists rallied around a charismatic founder and gave the startup huge financial backing.
cnst•3h ago
What if the founder had a really nice deep voice to convince everyone that they're legit?
jjtheblunt•4h ago
that made me chuckle.

then i remembered a month or so ago seeing this, and not knowing what to make of it.

https://siphoxhealth.com/

ada1981•2h ago
Have you seen function health? It’s now a unicorn.

As far as I can tell, they did a wholesale deal with quest diagnostics, and run your results through ChatGPT and give you supplement / diet recs via a pretty web portal 2x a year for $499.

Claim is it’s 100 biomarkers and would cost avg person $15k retail.

I’m a member and love it.

andsoitis•4h ago
AgelessRx offers the Galleri Multi-Cancer Early Detection test: https://agelessrx.com/galleri-multi-cancer-early-detection-t...

Ageless also provides many other longevity therapies.

eej71•4h ago
Some life insurance companies offered it for free as part of a service to existing clients. Mine claimed they would not know the results. I hope its true because I did take them up on the offer. Results were statistically favorable for me so I appreciate the test for what it is.

Curious to see how these hold up over the long term.

pnw•4h ago
That test is cheaper directly from https://www.galleri.com/ ($799 vs $949).

I get it every year. So far, so good!

avgDev•4h ago
Quite interesting to me and first time I am hearing about this.

Question for you, what do you do when it shows you may have cancer? Do you speak to your physician? Surely, this will change your life even if it doesn't need treatment for next 6 years? Does the treatment change? Can the treatment be done based on those results?

So many questions.

I'm hoping we find more stuff for Alzheimer's. My aunt and now mother have it. I fear that I am next and I am too scared of doing the DNA test to check for genes.

octaane•4h ago
You immediately bring the results to your doctor ASAP. They'll recommend follow-up testing since they want verification of third-party results and, well, are doctors and will know better about what to test for. If you do indeed have cancer, they will refer you to an oncologist who sub-specializes in that type of cancer.
the_arun•3h ago
Isn’t $799 expensive for average families?
wiz21c•3h ago
what about Europe ?
andsoitis•3h ago
> what about Europe ?

what about Europe?

ada1981•2h ago
as far as tumors go, that one has become fairly benign in the last century.
rscho•31m ago
Benign ? It metastisized through the ocean stream to develop aggressively a bit more to the west.
octaane•4h ago
I actually know a little about this through my work. Cell-free DNA (CfDNA) Has been known about for a few decades, but has become more of a focus in recent years because of the advent of immunotherapies, which are often highly targeted drugs. CfDNA has also been used in "liquid biopsies" i.e, a simple blood draw, because it can help you profile the tumor and location of the cancer.

In my field, we all think that CfDNA testing will eventually become a standard thing that will go along with your annual physical's blood test, because it has predictive/preventative abilities.

drdrey•2h ago
how actionable is the result? let's say you do detect trace amounts of tumoral DNA in your blood, what can you do? can you prevent it from developing into a full-on tumor if you don't even know where it is?
mikert89•3h ago
The big secret is that they could detect cancer very early in most people, but the health care companies don't want to pay for the screening. You can pay out of pocket for these procedures. I was told this by a cancer researcher

EDIT:

Adding these caveats:

1. There is a ton of nuance in the diagnosis, since most people have a small amount of cancer in their blood at all times

2. The screenings are 5-10k + follow up appointments to actually see if its real cancer

3. All in cost then could be much higher per person

4. These tests arent something that are currently produced to be used at mass scale

melling•3h ago
Probably not true. It’s much cheaper to catch cancer early than to treat advanced cancer later
mikert89•3h ago
Nope, the cost is 5-10k maybe more, and there is alot of nuance and follow ups to those detections
HPsquared•3h ago
That's true in the case someone actually does have cancer, but what about paying for all the negative tests?
vasco•3h ago
Yeah but then you'd go through life having biopsies all the time. If all people did a full body MRI almost everyone would have weird lumps that doctors would have to biopsy to be really sure, and then what do you do? Do you biopsy yourself every time some weird tissue appears? Most of those will be nothing and you'll be going through the complications of surgeries and anesthesia all the time just to always make sure.
rwmj•3h ago
Assuming some future MRI technology which was very cheap, wouldn't you have MRIs at fairly regular intervals, to first see if the lump was growing or changing shape? And if this was being done at population scale, you'd train up an AI on the known outcomes, to have it flag up problems for a human to review.
cogman10•2h ago
Assuming MRIs weren't exorbitantly expensive, then the answer would probably be to simply rescan a month or 2 later and biopsy the lumps that don't go away.
deadbabe•3h ago
Wrong.

The usual story is that you’re just better off not knowing because you’ll end up doing more harm than good chasing every little suspicious diagnosis. Cancer happens all the time, but many times doesn’t lead to anything.

delfinom•3h ago
Health insurers would absolutely pay for the screennig if the sum spent on screening everyone was cheaper than long term cancer care.

It's the same reason they pay for annual physicals in the first place.

mikert89•3h ago
Nah the tests can go up to 10k per person
graeme•3h ago
>if the sum spent on screening everyone was cheaper than long term cancer care
doctoring•3h ago
The not so big secret is that we can detect cancer early in a lot of people, but we also would detect a lot of not-cancer. We don't currently know the cost/benefit of that tradeoff for all these new types of screening, and therefore insurers and health systems are reluctant to pay the cost of the both screening and the subsequent workup. This is not just a financial consideration, though the financial part is a big part -- the workup for those that end up as not-cancer has non-negligible risks for the patients as well (I have had patients of mine suffer severe injury and even die from otherwise routine biopsies), and on top of that, some actual cancers may not really benefit from early discovery in the first place.

This is not to downplay the potential benefit of early cancer detection... which is huge. And in the US/UK anyway, there are ongoing large trials to try to figure some of this stuff out in the space of blood-based cancer screening, as part of the path to convincing regulatory bodies and eventual reimbursement for certain tests. As mentioned, you can currently at least get the Galleri test out of pocket (<$1k, not cheap, but not exorbitant either), as well as whole body MRIs (a bit more expensive, ~$2-5k).

mikert89•3h ago
Yeah, after a detection there is alot of work to determine if what they detected should be worried about. But this doesnt take away from the fact that cancer can be detected very early, and these screenings could easily save your life
rscho•3h ago
... or could do you harm, which is an important point.
ospray•3h ago
To clarify is the harm that many healthy people would stress while it was confirmed the detection was not cancer?
rscho•3h ago
No, the potential harm comes from follow-up tests. That's why screening strategies are designed by professionals. It's a pretty complex field, and all the people here fielding their opinions on how we should proceed about tests don't have a single idea about the implications of their theories.
mikert89•3h ago
this is medical gate keeping ("only the holy priests can practice medicine"), please take this attitude elsewhere
rscho•2h ago
Honestly, you don't have access to the necessary data to make rational decisions. That's not gatekeeping, it's logic. I don't have access to it either, although I'm indeed a healthcare pro. Screening strategies are a hyperspecialized domain and only experts somewhat understand what they're doing. It's just like making theories about what the CERN guys should be doing while not having passed physics 101 with no access to experimental data. That's why I'm just saying: you're certainly allowed to question, but you certainly can't make up assertions either.
_coveredInBees•2h ago
What a ridiculous statement to make. No wonder the US is in the state it is in. Lets let the ignorant and uninformed decide on policy rather than the scientific community and experts. What could possibly go wrong?
terminalshort•2h ago
How could the screening do you harm? (other than financial)
rscho•1h ago
What are you gonna do if the screening test comes back positive?
jmcgough•3h ago
There's not a lot of evidence that full body MRIs are beneficial. A lot of people have pre-cancerous growths that may or may not become cancer in the future, so you may just be giving them unnecessary surgery, and surgeries are not risk-free. If you don't operate, they might develop an anxiety disorder.

We do a lot of CT imaging in the emergency department and it sucks if we incidentally find an abnormal growth in a young patient's CT head. These are usually benign and often not worth performing brain surgery to get a biopsy.

ospray•3h ago
I had one at detected at 5mm close to the amigdala and they just scanned again in 3-6 months on MRI to prove it wasn't growing. That was a decade ago.
DiscourseFan•3h ago
Most healthy, active people who eat decently, get enough rest, and avoid drinking and smoking, will be able to eliminate cancer as it comes up. The only people who would benefit from these screenings are already unhealthy and cancer might be just one of many potential conditions they could experience—the goal of healthcare is not to dedicate an inordinate amount of resources for procedures that may amount to not much of any long term benefit.

People talk about the “immune system” but they are really referring to a number of systems the body uses to regulate itself, more or less successfully, around environmental pressures. The body is a system under tension, sometimes extreme tension leads to extreme success (success here being growth of power), sometimes it breaks the body, and sometimes the systems have been slowly failing for a while, and most treatments will not help. Medicine is only useful in the specific case where the power of the body would be promoted if not for one thing, that the body would be healthy, at least manageably so, without that issue.

cogman10•3h ago
> Most healthy, active people who eat decently, get enough rest, and avoid drinking and smoking, will be able to eliminate cancer as it comes up

Incorrect.

There are tons of cancers that hide and mask with symptoms common to other symptoms. Kidney cancer, for example, presents pretty similarly to both kidney stones and UTIs. Even blood in the urine isn't proof positive that anything is wrong beyond either of those conditions. And, by the time blood is in the urine, it's often too late.

Liver cancer is even worse. The first symptoms you get can be thought of as a simple pulled muscle, just a little ache in the back. By the time you have appreciable problems, like turning yellow, it's quite advanced and too late to really do much.

There are common cancers like colon, skin, breast, and prostate that more fit your description of being mostly harmless so long as you get regular screenings and eat healthy. But, for every part of the body, a cancer can form and the symptoms are very often invisible.

I'm unfortunately all too familiar with how cancer looks. My wife currently has stage 4 cancer that started as kidney cancer. She does not drink or smoke, gets enough rest, and is very active.

unsupp0rted•3h ago
What's a good way for an otherwise healthy person to screen for kidney cancer, in terms of trade-offs?

Annual MRI?

cogman10•2h ago
IDK TBH. My wife had all the general recommended screenings. The only thing that showed potential problems was slightly elevated WBC. It was ultimately what they thought was a UTI that stayed a little too long that got us to get a CT and ultimately the diagnosis.

I do wonder if a 5 year whole body MRI or CT would be generally beneficial for the population. I don't think it needs to be Annual to have benefits.

The problem is it really isn't uncommon for your body to create random puss fill sacks all over the place. It's one thing our cancer doctor warned us about. My wife is now on a 6 month CT regimen and ultimately, they'll just ignore new lumps.

brudgers•1h ago
Talking to your doctor is the simplest thing that might work.
jacobgkau•37m ago
My NP would tell me "nothing to worry about" whether she knows what's going on or not, but that's beside the point.

GP wasn't asking what they should personally do. They were asking how the doctor would screen for it. (The truth is, the doctor can't/won't-- an annual MRI on every otherwise healthy person, for example, would be prohibitively expensive with how MRIs are currently set up-- and as another commenter pointed out, findings from those can be just as easily ignored or put off until it's too late.)

brudgers•23m ago
but that's beside the point

Being beside that hypochondric point is statistically a much healthier place to be.

The current state of medicine is the current state of medicine in the actual world.

PaulHoule•2h ago
Or cancers that aren't clinically relevant.

Many prostate cancers, for instance, are slow growing and won't kill you before something else does. If you try to take that kind of cancer out surgically or zap it with radiation or chemo the side effects could be severe.

brudgers•1h ago
Treatments for prostate cancer are consistently improving. And what makes sense when you are 55 might be different than what does at 75…like all health care issues.
agumonkey•3h ago
But what could we expect as fair price if mass scale production happens ?
daedrdev•3h ago
Doing this could be actively worse for you and society based on the false positive rate. Testing and accidental unneeded treatment carry very real risks that could lead to net suffering and more death or damage if enough people are tested.
mikert89•3h ago
This is a collectivist opinion on something which is very personal
rscho•3h ago
It's not personal, it's perfectly rational statistics, i.e. epidemiology. Designing screening strategies is not an amateur's game.
daedrdev•3h ago
Would you take a test if doing so statistically increases your probability of death?

Is it moral for a doctor to give a test they think is going to increase someone's chance of death.

twothreeone•2h ago
That's just wrong. Taking a test doesn't do anything to the data-generating process, your chance of death is 100%. The test merely informs your posterior about the timing of the event.
rscho•47m ago
The timing is pretty important to most people, and is actually the whole point of taking the test in the first place so the generating process and the test are not independent. See ?! What you said is just wrong too ! ;-)
andsoitis•3h ago
> The big secret is that they could detect cancer very early in most people, but the health care companies don't want to pay for the screening.

thanks for adding the caveats; they suggest that there are good reasons why it isn't clear cut that health care companies should pay.

biotechbio•3h ago
Some thoughts on this as someone working on circulating-tumor DNA for the last decade or so:

- Sure, cancer can develop years before diagnosis. Pre-cancerous clones harboring somatic mutations can exist for decades before transformation into malignant disease.

- The eternal challenge in ctDNA is achieving a "useful" sensitivity and specificity. For example, imagine you take some of your blood, extract the DNA floating in the plasma, hybrid-capture enrich for DNA in cancer driver genes, sequence super deep, call variants, do some filtering to remove noise and whatnot, and then you find some low allelic fraction mutations in TP53. What can you do about this? I don't know. Many of us have background somatic mutations speckled throughout our body as we age. Over age ~50, most of us are liable to have some kind of pre-cancerous clones in the esophagus, prostate, or blood (due to CHIP). Many of the popular MCED tests (e.g. Grail's Galleri) use signals other than mutations (e.g. methylation status) to improve this sensitivity / specificity profile, but I'm not convinced its actually good enough to be useful at the population level.

- The cost-effectiveness of most follow on screening is not viable for the given sensitivity-specificity profile of MCED assays (Grail would disagree). To achieve this, we would need things like downstream screening to be drastically cheaper, or possibly a tiered non-invasive screening strategy with increasing specificity to be viable (e.g. Harbinger Health).

tptacek•2h ago
This seems like yet another place where the base rate is going to fuck us: intuitively (and you've actually thought about this problem and I haven't) I'd expect that even with remarkably good tests, most people who come up positive will not go on to develop related disease.
rscho•2h ago
Ideally, you'd want a test (or two sequential ones) that's both very sensitive (rule candidates in) and specific (rule healthy peeps out). But that's only the first step, because there's no point knowing you're sick (from the populational and economic pov) if you can't do something useful about it. So you also have to include downstream tests and treatments in your assessment and all this suddenly becomes a very intricate probability network needing lots of data and thinking before decisions are made. And then, there's politics...
Spooky23•1h ago
You might be able to target and preemptively treat some aggressive cancers!

I lost my wife to melanoma that metastasized to her brain after cancerous mole and margin was removed 4 years earlier. They did due diligence and by all signs there was no evidence of recurrence, until there was. They think that the tumor appeared 2-3 months before symptoms (headaches) appeared, so it was unlikely that you’d discover it otherwise.

With something like this, maybe you could get lower dose immunotherapy that would help your body eradicate the cancer?

tptacek•27m ago
I'm so sorry about your wife.

Literally anything that reduces cancer deaths is a win. I'm certainly not campaigning against early detection tests like this! Just talking about a challenge that comes up operationalizing them.

ada1981•2h ago
It could motivate to shift to plant based diet; start meditating; stop drinking; begin regular 5-7 day fasts; etc.
zaptheimpaler•1h ago
I guess the problem is a mismatch between detection capability and treatment capability? We seem to be getting increasingly good at detecting precancerous states but we don't have corresponding precancer treatments, just the regular cancer treatments like chemo or surgery which are a big hit to quality of life, expensive, harmful etc.

Like if we had some kind of prophylactic cancer treatment that was easy/cheap/safe enough to recommend to people even on mild suspicion of cancer with false positives, we could offer it to positive tests. Maybe even just lifestyle interventions if those are proven to work. That's probably very difficult though, just dreaming out loud.

eps•1h ago
> due to CHIP

What is CHIP?

biotechbio•1h ago
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Clonal_hematopoiesis
bglazer•1h ago
Clonal hematopoiesis of indeterminate potential.

It’s when bone marrow cells acquire mutations and expand to take up a noticeable proportion of all your bone marrow cells, but they’re not fully malignant, expanding out of control.

ajb•1h ago
Here's what may seem like an unrelated question in response: how can we get 10^7+ bits of information out of the human body every day?

There are a lot of companies right now trying to apply AI to health, but what they are ignoring is that there are orders of magnitude less health data per person than there are cat pictures. (My phone probably contains 10^10 bits of cat pictures and my health record probably 10^3 bits, if that). But it's not wrong to try to apply AI, because we know that all processes leak information, including biological ones; and ML is a generic tool for extracting signal from noise, given sufficient data.

But our health information gathering systems are engineered to deal with individual very specific hypotheses generated by experts, which require high quality measurements of specific individual metrics that some expert, such as yourself, have figured may be relevant. So we get high quality data, in very small quantities -a few bits per measurement.

Suppose you invent a new cheap sensor for extracting large (10^7+ bits/day) quantities of information about human biochemistry, perhaps from excretions, or blood. You run a longitudinal study collecting this information from a cohort and start training a model to predict every health outcome.

What are the properties of the bits collected by such a sensor, that would make such a process likely to work out? The bits need to be "sufficiently heterogeneous" (but not necessarily independent) and their indexes need to be sufficiently stable (in some sense). What is not required if for specific individual data items to be measured with high quality. Because some information about the original that we're interested in (even though we don't know exactly what it is) will leak into the other measurements.

I predict that designs for such sensors, which cheaply perform large numbers of low quality measurements are would result in breakthroughs what in detection and treatment, by allowing ML to be applied to the problem effectively.

gleenn•1h ago
Someone should add a sensor to all those diabetes sensors people have in their arms all day and collect general info. It would obviously bias towards diabetics but that's like half the US population anyways so maybe it wouldn't matter that much.
rscho•54m ago
Last time someone tried to inject chips into the bloodstream, public opinion didn't handle it too well. It's the same as we would learn a lot by being more cruel to research animals. But most people have other priorities. Good or bad ? Who knows ? Research meets social constructs.
ajb•49m ago
I am not proposing injecting chips.
rscho•36m ago
Apart from the likely technical infeasibility of your idea in today's society, this would require a humongous and diversified population sample to be meaningful (your 'heterogeneous bits'). This follows directly from the complexity of metabolic pathways you wish to analyze. Socially, you'll only be able to achieve that by not asking your sample for consent. Otherwise you'll have a highly biased sample, which could still be useful but for severely restricted research questions.
ajb•7m ago
There are some pretty big longitudinal studies with consent ( "45 and up" are a quarter of a million people, for example - that's big enough that working predictions within the cohort would be a worthwhile health outcome).

There are nevertheless privacy issues, which I did not address as my first comment was already very long, especially for a tangent. Most obviously, people would be consenting to the collection of data whose significance they cannot reasonably forsee.

I do agree that most current AI companies are unlikely to be a good steward of such data, and the current rush to give away health records needs to stop. In a way it's a good thing that health records are currently so limited, since the costs will so obviously outweigh the benefits.

standingca•33m ago
Or perhaps even routine bloodwork could incorporate some form of sequencing and longitudinal data banking. Deep sequencing, which may still be too expensive, generates tons of data that can be useful for things that we don't even know to look for today, capturing this data could let us retroactively identify meaningful biomarkers or early signals when we have better techniques. That way, each time models/methods improve, prior data becomes newly valuable. Perhaps the same could be said of raw data/readings from instruments running standard tests as well (as opposed to just the final results).

I'd be really curious to see how longitudinal results of sequencing + data banking, plus other routine bloodwork, could lead to early detection and better health outcomes.

ethan_smith•26m ago
The sensitivity challenge is compounded by the signal-to-noise ratio problem at ultra-low allelic fractions (<0.1%), where technical artifacts from library preparation and sequencing can mask true variants.
edwardog•1m ago
Would you say ctDNA tools are sensitive and specific enough now to be able to make a decision about post op adjuvant therapies? “Now that I’ve had surgery, did the R0 resection get it all, or do I need to do chemo and challenging medication like mitotane?”
siliconc0w•2h ago
Sadly health insurance in the US is unlikely to pay for most preventative care because the followup costs of false-positives and that they are betting that down the line someone else will pick up the tab when you get sick decades later (like the government).

It's kind of why I'm favor of universal option to align financial incentives. Like given how sick the US population is, it probably makes sense to put a lot more people of GPL-1s and invest in improving their efficacy and permanence. Like nationalize-the-patent COVID-operational-warp-speed level urgency. There are over 100M Americans that are pre-diabetic, the cost of treating a diabetic is about 20k/yr. So $4 trillion in new costs, on top of the misery and human suffering.

johnisgood•2h ago
It is sad that prevention is not something the US considers very important.
ziml77•2h ago
They care about prevention but only if it's very cheap. I get emails all the time from my insurance company about joining their program that is supposed to help you live a healthier lifestyle.
johnisgood•1h ago
Any details on this program?
jacobgkau•44m ago
I started getting emails from Cigna about Omada after switching over to them last year. They pitch it as something you can sign up for to get health coaching. They (or their AI, soon if not already) provide that by sending you some "free" sensors (scale, pedometer, etc) and collecting lots of health information.

Searching the web shows that Cigna forces some patients to use this program in order to receive coverage for certain conditions. They're likely saving all the info collected through it in order to use it to deny you coverage if they can at all make an argument that something was caused by your lifestyle, was pre-existing for a certain amount of time, etc-- at least, that's the vibe I got from researching it.

riscy•2h ago
How do you convince those pre-diabetic people to use a GLP-1? There was quite a bit of backlash about the one-time injection COVID vaccine when it was mandated.
lispisok•1h ago
Are you expecting the government to mandate GLP-1 agonists the same way they tried to mandate the covid shot?
skissane•21m ago
You don’t need to mandate it, heaps of people who are obese or overweight are eager to take it, because they are sick of being this way, worried about the long-term health risks, feel the societal sigma, etc. For many such people who currently don’t, the big reason is not that they don’t want to, it is that their insurance doesn’t cover it and they can’t afford the $$$ of paying for it uninsured-but as patents expire the price is going to come down. Other people don’t like injecting themselves, but oral formulations are becoming available

COVID was different because being a transmissible disease, there was a strong motivation to try to maximise the percent of the population immunised. With GLP-1 agonists, if you made them freely available, likely over >50% of eligible patients would take them voluntarily, which would result in massive long-term cost savings from lifestyle diseases, even considering the continued costs from the other 50% who will refuse. And insurers may even give discounts to those who take GLP-1s (if permitted by regulators)

GLP-1s are probably going to have the unintended side effect of increasing weight stigma - already obesity skews poor, once most of the well-off obese people cure their obesity with GLP-1s it is going to skew even more poor. I can foresee a cycle in which GLP-1s increase weight stigma which pushes more people into taking them which then increases weight stigma even more, which could drive up their adoption even further

ada1981•2h ago
I wonder how much of that is directly tied to corn subsidies.
ruralfam•2h ago
I have a friend nearing mid-60s. Retired military so now covered by Medicare, then Tri-Care. Having prostate issues. PSA went from 12 to 19. Desperate to get a PET scan to determine his is benign BPH, or cancer. Cannot get his scan approved since both insurances will not approve a PET as an early diagnostic tool (scan is about $7500). Cannot imagine what will happen if everyone getting a cancer DNA signal of this type tries to get clarification via additional tests. USA health care really does not work that way. HTH, RF
brudgers•1h ago
A PSA of 12 is pretty far past the threshold for an MRI (don’t know about a PET scan) and an MRI would be pretty determinative about whether or not a biopsy is warranted. A biopsy would be pretty good at identifying cancer.

Sounds like either there are complicating factors or an absence of standard protocol adherence.

US health insurance is a mess, but that doesn’t sound like the entire story. I suspect urologists see a fair amount of friction for routine procedures related to prostrate health.

ruralfam•19m ago
He had the MRI. Not conclusive. The PSA jump (alredy very high) is biggest concern. PET would -- according to him -- be most conclusive. Yet he cannot get it approved, so lives in a cruel medical purgatory.
cpncrunch•1h ago
Seems like it might be overhyped. Here is the study

https://aacrjournals.org/cancerdiscovery/article-abstract/do...

Full text is paywalled, and no mention in abstract of false positive rate in control group. Has this test actually been independently verified? No mention of that important fact in the press release.

ceph_•52m ago
A relative had this or a similar test come back positive. This sounds like a helpful signal on paper, but in reality it's not always actionable.

They assumed their previous cancer had survived and metastasized. Doctors couldn't find the source. It turned into a waiting game, where they lived with a sword of Damocles over their head. They were retested every few months and monitored. Then after a year the tests the levels dropped off. And the end result was nothing came of it so far.

It's normal to have some amount of pre-cancerous cells get naturally removed by your immune system. And this catches those too.