Ditto for the panels themselves.
No I can't. Just recycle the batteries, and you've solved both concerns in one go. Lead acid batteries have a >99% recycling rate, the economics for recycling EV & grid storage batteries are even better.
It took 20 years of standardisation and effort to raise lead acid batteries to 99%, and they're as simple as batteries get. Large scale recycle of litium batteries (including the cobalt and nickel) requires changes in how batteries are made to be (either or both) less energy dense and more expensive.
Pumped hydro is the best bet for gridscale. And i'm hoping sodium batteries roll out for EVs within the near future.
That said, sand batteries are amazing for the heat users who can use them - just plug em into some off-grid solar/wind (and/or on-grid, and make money by buying electricity when the prices go negative) and you get 24/7 heat for the price of intermittent renewables.
Ignoring the local effects of their construction, a damb breach is one of the worst man-made disasters possible. Mantinence and error margin must be very very carefully accounted for. There is a reason the world bank stopped funding them, and it wasnt purely enviromental. (Some badly managed projects led to expensive and dangerous situations)
So when relevant it's most powerful energy source avalible. But the list of preconditions and caveats is massive.
The sun doesn’t have this issue. It's ubiquitous.
China building world's largest hydropower dam in Tibet (reuters.com)
* Hydro project located on Yarlung Zangbo in Tibet
* Project to dwarf Three Gorges Dam on Yangtze River
* Start of construction fuels surge in engineering, related shares in stock market
* India, Bangladesh have expressed concern about the dam's impact
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=44631938https://www.reuters.com/sustainability/climate-energy/china-...
Ancalagon•6mo ago
bryanlarsen•6mo ago
ginko•6mo ago
jasonwatkinspdx•6mo ago
erentz•6mo ago
qwe----3•6mo ago
https://www.reuters.com/sustainability/boards-policy-regulat...
stinkbeetle•6mo ago
bryanlarsen•6mo ago
stinkbeetle•6mo ago
Much smaller nuclear footprint inside existing industrial sprawl is usually preferable in terms of land use.
daymanstep•6mo ago
Animats•6mo ago
The ideal big dam is Hoover Dam. Large, deep canyon in a desert. Narrow, deep canyon dam site. Hard rock geology. No major towns or agricultural areas in the area to be flooded above the dam. That's the best case.
Most later dams are at worse sites.
tomrod•6mo ago
eunoia•6mo ago
Cadillac Desert is a great history of American dam building and the Bureau of Reclamation
igor47•6mo ago
mcv•6mo ago
marcosdumay•6mo ago
notepad0x90•6mo ago
janice1999•6mo ago
The water requirements of nuclear power stations cooling systems can cause significant issues. The discharge of heated water back into rivers and the sea is also a major problem.
tomrod•6mo ago
cyberax•6mo ago
marcosdumay•6mo ago
So, hell no, nuclear is not competitive with mega-dams. It's not even competitive with small dams.
notepad0x90•6mo ago
colechristensen•6mo ago
zahlman•6mo ago
V__•6mo ago
qwe----3•6mo ago
bobthepanda•6mo ago
> China installed 1GW of nuclear last year, compared to 300GW of solar and wind, Mr Buckley said.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/science/2024-07-16/chinas-renewa...
forrestthewoods•6mo ago
That is not an intrinsic truth. We have chosen to make it economically unviable.
Most things get cheaper to build with time. Nuclear is an outlier where it used to be affordable and now it isn’t. That’s insane.
permo-w•6mo ago
zahlman•6mo ago
bronson•6mo ago
zahlman•6mo ago
permo-w•6mo ago
coal plants were allowed to produce more radiation than nuclear plants because nuclear plants are nuclear plants and radiation management is an intrinsic part of the process. although they undoubtedly should have been, no one was paying attention to coal plants' radiation output, because they were invented before radiation was even discovered, and it's just not the star of the show there, nor is it the first consideration people have when considering coal pollution
bryanlarsen•6mo ago
Here's how much it cost to build nuclear in France during its golden age: https://ifp.org/nuclear-power-plant-construction-costs. Adjust for inflation and draw your own conclusion.
China's nuclear costs are more opaque, but are estimated at $3B per GW. Again, not competitive.
zahlman•6mo ago
bryanlarsen•6mo ago
Kon5ole•6mo ago
Finland spent 18 years and 11 bn euros to get 1.6 GW of nuclear, the US spent 7bn in subsidies and got some 20 GW of solar in 2022 alone.
Countries going for nuclear will wait decades to get the same power that solar can add in weeks.
Nuclear basically makes no sense at all in 2025.
(For nighttime use dirt-cheap batteries and natural gas now, even cheaper batteries and generated hydrogen gas later).
geysersam•6mo ago
olddustytrail•6mo ago
geysersam•6mo ago
scythe•6mo ago
Ekaros•6mo ago
Kon5ole•6mo ago
To solve the variable production from solar and wind, most nations should probably have a safety valve in the form of synthesized fuels. Meaning that during summer when energy is abundant and has to be dumped at negative prices, we use the surplus to synthesize fuels instead.
Synthesizing fuel is inefficient, but since you use surplus energy that doesn't matter.
These are options that are viable right now, but there are also promising developments in batteries that could make them viable for season storage too.
geysersam•6mo ago
Kon5ole•6mo ago
It can also be argued that many of them are not motivated, because they make money from selling electricity from highly valued assets (power plants). If electricity gets permanently cheaper, they stand to lose a lot of money.
There are probably other obstacles as well, but I don't think any of them are insurmountable.
ackfoobar•6mo ago
But, AFAICT, to overbuild consumption the capital cost is so high that it does not make much economic sense.
SideburnsOfDoom•6mo ago
Is this a serious question or "raising concerns".
A quick search brings up wind: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wind_power_in_Finland
and hydro: https://www.andritz.com/hydro-en/hydronews/hn-europe/finland
And connections with friendly neighbours: https://cinea.ec.europa.eu/news-events/news/cef-energy-finla...
I'm sure that there is a role for Nuclear or gas to cover the last few % that renewables find hard to reach. For now.
geysersam•6mo ago
SideburnsOfDoom•6mo ago
That's slightly different from "they should have built solar" in 2005 when the last nuclear plant was started, according to https://world-nuclear.org/information-library/country-profil...
It's 20 years later, and "not nuclear" isn't always "go 100% solar".
Kon5ole•6mo ago
- Solar is bad in Finland during the winter, but good during the summer. Whatever other fuel is used during the summer now can instead be offset to winter. Even natural gas, but preferably imported wind, hydro and such.
- Solar was not an option when Finland decided to build o3. They couldn't have chosen solar instead, back then.
- Finland is a net exporter of electricity, and is in fact exporting a similar amount as o3 produces manually. So basically Finland didn't really need o3 for themselves, they built it to sell electricity.
- When other countries add lots of cheap solar, it will be difficult to sell nuclear since it's much more expensive.
- If the price forces o3 to close ahead of time, Finland still has to pay for it, and its waste, for decades if not centuries.
cyberax•6mo ago
Solar simply can't work alone for northern countries without insane amount of batteries. We're talking about having a MONTH of supply in reserve for Germany. It's probably even worse for Finland.
debesyla•6mo ago
aDyslecticCrow•6mo ago
Japan builds them in 3 years. USA took about the same during the heights of its use.
kibwen•6mo ago
Japan hasn't built a new nuclear plant in 20 years.
Kon5ole•6mo ago
Not as unfair as disregarding my points entirely just because I used the latest reactor built in europe as an example. ;-)
We can use Hinkley point C instead?
When Hinkley point C is completed, estimated 2029 at the earliest, it will have taken 12 years and will produce as much electricity per year as the solar panels installed in Germany last year. And those panels are already producing, now.
Hinkley point C is estimated to cost 44 bn euros by 2029, and it will still cost money after that of course, for maintenance and operations.
If that money had been spent on battery storage for solar instead, the UK might have gotten way more energy at a way lower cost per GWh, and they would have had it _already now_.
When they are in place, battery banks and solar panels have a basically negligible maintenance cost compared to a nuclear plant. Its an investment where you pay upfront and get benefits down the line.
I don't see how nations that wait 10 years for 2-3 GW of nuclear will be competitive in any energy-consuming endeavor against countries that add 40-50GW of solar every year.
robertlagrant•6mo ago
I agree that engineering in the UK is a mess, which explains a lot of Hinkley Point C, but just a technical point: people in these conversations often do what you've done and pick a "levelling" stat that elides all of the non-nuclear's disadvantages.
E.g. in this case maybe solar in Germany does produce all that power, but does it do it consistently? And does that cost include the batteries needed to level it out?
It's like saying you're more likely to get rained on in Johannesburg than in London because the yearly rainfall's higher there. It's an accurate stat, but in Johannesburg all that rainfall is concentrated between 3pm and 5pm in summer months, so you're much less likely to get rained on all year round.
Kon5ole•6mo ago
This is a fair point, I only mentioned the total power produced per year, but it wasn't intended to be deceptive. I wanted to emphasize that solar is not a "toy amount of energy" any longer, which it was as lately as say 2020 in many countries.
It used to be that solar doubled from tiny to slightly less tiny, but it's basically doubled semi-annually for many years by now, and the rice on the chessboard is starting to get heavy, so to speak. China went from "same as all nuclear" to "twice all nuclear" in two years. I think that's remarkable and might have gone unnoticed.
That you can't predict very reliably when you get peak production is for sure a problem with solar, and wind, but it's not without solutions. Solutions exist and are also being deployed already.
And even before we have built enough of those, solar still saves the use of hydro reserves, reduces the burning of oil, coal and gas during the day, and so on.
The leveling argument is often employed the other way too btw - all downsides to nuclear tends to be erased, mainly by pretending there is no cost or risk related to the long-term waste management, or for financial risks related to accidents.
Nuclear is generally operated under a government umbrella that covers all such costs, so they are forgotten/ignored, but they shouldn't be.
robertlagrant•6mo ago
I think this is all priced into the TCO of a nuclear plant, as they are very well known.
Kon5ole•6mo ago
Fukushima was not well known and is not at all covered by profits from selling nuclear power in Japan. Same for Chernobyl. See also Asse II in Germany - not known. There are many many more examples.
robertlagrant•6mo ago
umvi•6mo ago
Because it doesn't have very many nuclear power plants relative to its size? France has the same number of nuclear reactors as China despite being a much smaller country.
I'd argue 50-60 nuclear power plants having the same energy output as millions (billions?) of solar panels is a win for nuclear - it's much higher energy density, much smaller environmental footprint, much smaller infrastructure investment, etc.
defrost•6mo ago
* https://world-nuclear.org/information-library/country-profil...
* https://world-nuclear.org/information-library/country-profil...
Kon5ole•6mo ago
I don't think that's correct. The infrastructure investment is clearly much much smaller for solar, in practice. IEA and other organizations have observed that solar is the cheapest source of electricity that humankind has ever developed, and this was already a few years ago, when it was more expensive than now.
Consider that several countries are adding the equivalent of several nuclear plants of energy generation yearly by now. Germany, Japan, Canada to name a few. Adding the same capacity with nuclear would be a budget-defining decision for years.
Solar is just so much cheaper and faster to make that nuclear becomes "too little too late" by comparison.
If any nation could decide to make 100s of nuclear plants to match the output from solar it's China, but it just doesn't make sense. It makes way more sense to invest in energy storage to stabilize the massive amounts of energy from solar. China does that too.
Nations that have nuclear weapons will of course keep nuclear plants around anyway, but it is really really hard to make a case for nuclear just for energy supply in 2025.
bapak•6mo ago
Probably not reliable but this is what ChatGPT outputs over 100 years, assuming equal output (100 TWh total):
I still dream of a future where nuclear batteries can be fitted in every item that needs it, but we can't get there without development. There's only so much energy a square meter of panels can output.Qwertious•6mo ago
Batteries especially are just absurd - they're ~10% lithium (and it's mostly in the electrolyte, which realistically means the electrolyte is 100% electrolyte, excuse the tautology), whereas 'lithium ore' is mostly 1-3% (there's some higher, even as high as 8%, but it's mostly 1-3% IIRC). With sufficient scale, that stuff will disappear like scrap copper left on the curb for an hour.
Kon5ole•6mo ago
Solar panel waste does not require army supervision to prevent it being used for terrorist acts. The US army has personell permanently stationed at plants that have been closed for several decades by now. They keep costing money for decades after they stopped producing any power.
As of 2025 there isn't a single nuclear site that has ever been in operation that has stopped costing money for the population of the country it is in, simply because of the waste. And there is no end in sight.
As for land, solar panels are usually deployed on land that can still be used for other things. (Rooftops of homes and office buildings, grazing grounds for sheep and farmland for crops that need shade).
The last point is of course why many countries have been able to deploy solar that matches the output of their nuclear generation in just a few years. You have hundreds of thousands of carpenters and electricians that can work simultaneously on building solar panel installations and they get approved by homeowners without any bureaucracy.
Looking at China, the US, the EU, Japan and even a nuclear pioneer like Canada, you see that Solar adds the equivalent of several new nuclear power plants per year, and the power is available immediately.
The only argument with merit is that nuclear works at night and during winter - but so do many other things, much cheaper things, things that don't take a decade+ to build and don't require eternal expensive vigilance.
seanmcdirmid•6mo ago
Gud•6mo ago
Nobody is arguing anyone should build reactors the way Olkiluoto 3 was built.
Kon5ole•6mo ago
I can only speculate, but I suppose two major reasons could be that Europe had several companies that could and did build reactors back then, and that o1 and o2 were much smaller than o3.
O1 and o2 were also built before we knew about things like Chernobyl and 9/11 of course.
NoMoreNicksLeft•6mo ago
And it will last 80 years, day and night. Solar can give you what, 20 or 25 years and 12 hours each day? And China can't hamstring your country either by just refusing to sell you more solar panels. There is almost certainly a place for photovoltaic in a nation's power grid as a sidekick to some other more serious technology.
>For nighttime use dirt-cheap batteries and
Also made in China.
eviks•6mo ago
Kon5ole•6mo ago
It's not policy it's physical logistics. Just building the roads to the site where you want the nuclear plant takes months and it's hard to transport anything else to the site before you have those.
You also need to sign thousands of workers who need to be physically on location, meaning you need housing, parking, plumbing, salary administrators, doctors, catering, janitors etc.
Solar is entirely trivial by comparison. Any small town has enough carpenters and electricians to assemble megawatts of capacity in weeks. Which is why it grows so much faster than anything else.
DarkNova6•6mo ago
… or you invest that money into renewables and battery technology.