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OpenCiv3: Open-source, cross-platform reimagining of Civilization III

https://openciv3.org/
594•klaussilveira•11h ago•176 comments

The Waymo World Model

https://waymo.com/blog/2026/02/the-waymo-world-model-a-new-frontier-for-autonomous-driving-simula...
901•xnx•17h ago•545 comments

What Is Ruliology?

https://writings.stephenwolfram.com/2026/01/what-is-ruliology/
22•helloplanets•4d ago•17 comments

How we made geo joins 400× faster with H3 indexes

https://floedb.ai/blog/how-we-made-geo-joins-400-faster-with-h3-indexes
95•matheusalmeida•1d ago•22 comments

Unseen Footage of Atari Battlezone Arcade Cabinet Production

https://arcadeblogger.com/2026/02/02/unseen-footage-of-atari-battlezone-cabinet-production/
28•videotopia•4d ago•0 comments

Show HN: Look Ma, No Linux: Shell, App Installer, Vi, Cc on ESP32-S3 / BreezyBox

https://github.com/valdanylchuk/breezydemo
203•isitcontent•11h ago•24 comments

Monty: A minimal, secure Python interpreter written in Rust for use by AI

https://github.com/pydantic/monty
199•dmpetrov•12h ago•91 comments

Show HN: I spent 4 years building a UI design tool with only the features I use

https://vecti.com
313•vecti•13h ago•137 comments

Microsoft open-sources LiteBox, a security-focused library OS

https://github.com/microsoft/litebox
353•aktau•18h ago•176 comments

Sheldon Brown's Bicycle Technical Info

https://www.sheldonbrown.com/
355•ostacke•17h ago•92 comments

Hackers (1995) Animated Experience

https://hackers-1995.vercel.app/
459•todsacerdoti•19h ago•231 comments

Delimited Continuations vs. Lwt for Threads

https://mirageos.org/blog/delimcc-vs-lwt
24•romes•4d ago•3 comments

Show HN: If you lose your memory, how to regain access to your computer?

https://eljojo.github.io/rememory/
259•eljojo•14h ago•155 comments

Dark Alley Mathematics

https://blog.szczepan.org/blog/three-points/
80•quibono•4d ago•19 comments

An Update on Heroku

https://www.heroku.com/blog/an-update-on-heroku/
392•lstoll•18h ago•266 comments

Was Benoit Mandelbrot a hedgehog or a fox?

https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.01122
7•bikenaga•3d ago•1 comments

PC Floppy Copy Protection: Vault Prolok

https://martypc.blogspot.com/2024/09/pc-floppy-copy-protection-vault-prolok.html
53•kmm•4d ago•3 comments

Vocal Guide – belt sing without killing yourself

https://jesperordrup.github.io/vocal-guide/
3•jesperordrup•1h ago•0 comments

How to effectively write quality code with AI

https://heidenstedt.org/posts/2026/how-to-effectively-write-quality-code-with-ai/
235•i5heu•14h ago•178 comments

Introducing the Developer Knowledge API and MCP Server

https://developers.googleblog.com/introducing-the-developer-knowledge-api-and-mcp-server/
46•gfortaine•9h ago•13 comments

Why I Joined OpenAI

https://www.brendangregg.com/blog/2026-02-07/why-i-joined-openai.html
122•SerCe•7h ago•103 comments

I spent 5 years in DevOps – Solutions engineering gave me what I was missing

https://infisical.com/blog/devops-to-solutions-engineering
136•vmatsiiako•16h ago•60 comments

Show HN: R3forth, a ColorForth-inspired language with a tiny VM

https://github.com/phreda4/r3
68•phreda4•11h ago•12 comments

Understanding Neural Network, Visually

https://visualrambling.space/neural-network/
271•surprisetalk•3d ago•37 comments

Female Asian Elephant Calf Born at the Smithsonian National Zoo

https://www.si.edu/newsdesk/releases/female-asian-elephant-calf-born-smithsonians-national-zoo-an...
25•gmays•6h ago•7 comments

I now assume that all ads on Apple news are scams

https://kirkville.com/i-now-assume-that-all-ads-on-apple-news-are-scams/
1044•cdrnsf•21h ago•431 comments

Zlob.h 100% POSIX and glibc compatible globbing lib that is faste and better

https://github.com/dmtrKovalenko/zlob
13•neogoose•4h ago•9 comments

Learning from context is harder than we thought

https://hy.tencent.com/research/100025?langVersion=en
171•limoce•3d ago•92 comments

FORTH? Really!?

https://rescrv.net/w/2026/02/06/associative
60•rescrv•19h ago•22 comments

Show HN: Smooth CLI – Token-efficient browser for AI agents

https://docs.smooth.sh/cli/overview
89•antves•1d ago•66 comments
Open in hackernews

Wall Street is worried the private credit bubble will burst

https://www.thetimes.com/business-money/economics/article/wall-street-first-brands-private-credit-bubble-risk-363q2tcds
103•zerosizedweasle•3mo ago

Comments

nick__m•3mo ago
https://archive.is/SBM15
Neywiny•3mo ago
We need failure. Just like forest fires, we need controlled burns of dead wood
nick__m•3mo ago
To reuse your analogy, I fear that the forest wasn't managed properly and that the coming fire will do a lot more damage than a controlled burn. And I have no idea when it's going to start nor how to fireproof my investments !
moandcompany•3mo ago
Too big to burn
actionfromafar•3mo ago
Controlled burn = good regulations.

Too big to fail = put out all fires.

bfg_9k•3mo ago
Regulations are what lead to private credit being what it is today. Post Dodd-Frank banks are unable to take on a lot of the lending risk with these style of transactions anymore which paved the way for asset managers to create the shadow banking system that exists today.
pixl97•3mo ago
Then you'll find a new set of regulations on private credit at some point in the future.
dapperdrake•3mo ago
The lending risk is the same. It doesn’t really matter what color the rug has. Stop sweeping.
bfg_9k•3mo ago
It's most certainly not the same. An asset manager going broke because they bought some bad loans is infinitely better off for the public at large than a bank becoming insolvent and depositors losing their money.
walleeee•3mo ago
> And I have no idea when it's going to start nor how to fireproof my investments !

You don't, that's the idea.

Terr_•3mo ago
The hypercolony of wood-termites, on the other hand... :p
dyauspitr•3mo ago
Slow controlled burns that don’t bring down the ecosystem. For a hypothetical person in their late 50s, they’re looking forward to having their retirement go to shit and not recover before they’re dead.
skopje•3mo ago
Yeah I was a burn-it-all-down person too when I was in my 20's. It hits differently now after 40 years of work and the desire to retire and play with my grandkids. I guess in the current batch of 20'something's eyes that makes me The Man. I admire their spirit but scoff at their lack of empathy, the same lack I had. Fucking irony.
eloisius•3mo ago
Might be better than putting it off until the discontent grows to the point that the young generation sees it fit to kill us off or confiscate everything we have and leave us standing in breadlines and living in collectivized apartments.
skopje•3mo ago
Tell me what to do. I go to protests. I vote. I volunteer for Indivisible. What ELSE should I be doing?
m0llusk•3mo ago
Keep the focus on the evidence and the science. We have Picketty's book on Capital, Peter Turchin's research exposing elite capture and elite overreach, and perhaps most important the experience of digging our way out of the great depression with strong regulations, high taxes, and pervasive unionization of labor. Promoting the idea that we understand what is going on, have been here before, and know ways out can be very empowering.
skopje•3mo ago
Thanks. Honestly I'm terrified about what is happening, and feel 100% impotent. I worry that no matter how many protests we have, he and his fascist ideology are still winning. Voting every 2 years doesn't seem to be doing much.
imtringued•3mo ago
Why is playing with your grandkids more important than making sure that they have a future to look forward to? Maybe there is a lack of empathy on both sides.
skopje•3mo ago
Tell me what to do. I go to protests. I vote. I volunteer for Indivisible. What ELSE should I be doing?
malshe•3mo ago
Unfortunately the government will bail out the billionaires and no new lesson will be learned. Exactly like what happened during the Great Financial Crisis.
Spooky23•3mo ago
I remember my dad who was a great investor always said that and it was one of the things that disturbed him about QE and letting some of the big banks survive.

What we’re seeing today with these quasi-public markets and even the AI mania is exponentially worse. We’re playing chicken with the whole economy, and the marginally effective regulatory regime has been completely gelded.

On the other side of the coin. Two of the most powerful barons of the era believe they are eradicating the Antichrist and colonizing mars, respectively.

missedthecue•3mo ago
Interestingly, the big banks today are some of the best run financial institutions in history. The real garbage in today's banking sector is in the mid-cap banks who went heavy into commercial real estate loans.
Bratmon•3mo ago
Saving this for next time the big banks fail and demand a government bailout.
mhh__•3mo ago
I don't know what it would be, e.g. pretty major dislocations go untouched because the banks can't deploy capital into them like repo in 2019.

It's quite possible that the drive towards central clearing kills someone e.g. by warehousing too much in one place/lack of discretion in margin requirements for a central house etc

Spooky23•3mo ago
Agreed. In my city some midrange bank is financing a new commercial office space - the surrounding blocks are practically vacant. That whole category is practically useless for much anything other than allowing chinese people to get cash out of china.
digdugdirk•3mo ago
Out of curiosity - what is the definition of a "well run financial institution"? I could imagine plenty of well run criminal organizations that make all sorts of profit via a combination of human trafficking and protection rackets. But is there an industry recognized understanding of what the best run financial institution would be?
missedthecue•3mo ago
Extremely low leverage, diversified portfolios, lots of cash on the balance sheet, and large amounts of stable free cash flow. Citi which is probably the crappiest of the US megacap banks used to be levered 50:1, today it is only 12:1 and prints $10-$15B a year.

This isn't just me the internet rando saying this. Steve Eisman (the character the big short is based on) has been covering the large banks for 30 years and said on his podcast that for the first time in his career he sees no problems in those banks.

orwin•3mo ago
US banks managed to lobby recently to be able to hide their restructured loan rate, again, so while your sentence is true, given the hate for regulation in the US, do you reckon it will not last?

Banking regulation drawn under Obama one are the main reason why US big banks financial are sane and not over-leveraged. I bet those will disappear slowly, then all at once. Given no one seems to be working on obvious insider trading cases (AMD weird trade pattern just before OpenAI announcement), I'm not sure the annual stress tests will even be looked at next year.

Spooky23•3mo ago
My anecdata - I’m not based in NYC, and I’ve interviewed a half dozen excellent candidates purged from FINRA. That place has been set aflame. SEC is worse from what I’ve been told.
imtringued•3mo ago
Credit Suisse wasn't a mid-cap bank.
missedthecue•3mo ago
Not a US bank, and their market cap in 2019 was only $35B
EA-3167•3mo ago
Right or wrong it would be political suicide for anyone with a shred of power to say that. Quite understandably the “dead wood” burning takes a lot of lives with it, and the people on fire tend to be understandably distressed and angry.
rchaud•3mo ago
You can get jail time if you're found to be responsible for causing the forest fire. That's what's needed in finance, otherwise it's just a matter of time until the next "financial innovation" befalls the economy.
anon291•3mo ago
The issue is this: the main driver of demand for higher-than-market returns is government pensions, and these cannot fail.
kg•3mo ago
> The financial distress the company now finds itself in can be traced back to early August, when it was seeking to raise another $6 billion in loans. Through that process, investors started to raise questions about the numbers being presented.

> In early September it was reported that Apollo Global Management had amassed a short position against the debt of First Brands Group, meaning that it stood to profit if the auto parts maker failed to continue paying its debt.

> The news caused a rush for the exit and the value of its debt started collapsing, before a bankruptcy process was initiated to bring some order to what appeared to have become the equivalent of a bank run. First Brands said that its Chapter 11 cases pertain solely to US operations and it expects its global operations to continue uninterrupted.

Makes me think of the subprime mortgage crisis. Everyone seemed to agree that it was fine to issue loans to an auto parts company so it accumulated multiple billions USD worth of loans before anyone finally noticed that it might not be able to repay the money it was borrowing.

SilverElfin•3mo ago
I wonder if these companies would be solvent if shorts from companies like Apollo didn’t tip them into failure by setting off a bank run
dapperdrake•3mo ago
Their thermodynamic bound is finite either way.
aardvarkr•3mo ago
Shorts are people pointing out bad activity in the market and making it public. I’d prefer the bad actors get called out
nradov•3mo ago
I think you're confused about causality. When an investor takes a short position on a company that doesn't impact the company's balance sheet. First Brands Group isn't a bank.
dyauspitr•3mo ago
Everyone is trying to make out like a bandit and get theirs before Trump brings this whole thing down crashing and burning.
hank1931•3mo ago
Including the Trump family
toasterlovin•3mo ago
Reading the details in another article, it seems like this was just old fashioned fraud. They used the same collateral for multiple loans and they were hiding other debt from lenders. Any loan agreement they signed would have required an affirmation that they weren’t doing either of those. They probably also went to some lengths to hide what they were doing, since payments to lenders would show up on bank statements, which underwriters certainly would have looked at.
zerosizedweasle•3mo ago
I think the point here is that a lot of money has been lent out under loose conditions where there was very little scrutiny of the borrower.
pastureofplenty•3mo ago
Someone I used to work for was borrowing all kinds of money with seemingly little scrutiny and when she couldn't pay it back the worst possible thing happened. https://sfstandard.com/2025/10/09/family-four-murder-suicide...
locallost•3mo ago
I understand tragedies happen, bad choices leading to these type of outcomes, but can never accept when children suffer. They did nothing wrong.
rr808•3mo ago
One of the reason companies like staying private is that they do not have to provide all the public reporting that listed companies do. You can argue lots of public reporting is a waste of time and possibly gives competitors information they'd prefer to keep secret, but it does provide extra light on sketchy activity.
jrochkind1•3mo ago
> which underwriters certainly would have looked at.

I am not sure that is for certain, with these private debt "facilities" (as the OP calls them). Seems like that's a big question.

Related (I am aware does not answer the question), the OP suggests this credit was pursued precisely because "increased regulations and capital requirements made it more challenging for traditional banks to issue certain types of loans."

throwaway667555•3mo ago
A credit facility is a lengthy and detailed agreement that certainly includes checking for other debt and checking for liens on the collateral. Liens are usually documented by a UCC filing which is public information.
CGMthrowaway•3mo ago
Traditional banks are required to conduct deeper reviews, often looking at UCC filings, lien searches, and bank statements. Private debt lenders may not apply the same level of scrutiny unless explicitly required by their internal policies

>"increased regulations and capital requirements made it more challenging for traditional banks to issue certain types of loans."

Basel III requirements post-GFC made it expensive for banks to hold riskier loans so private credit was born.

CGMthrowaway•3mo ago
Literally banks. Banks did this historically (cf. Richard Werner), and it would try to be solved with various regulation after a crisis. Now "private credit" is doing their best to create money (credit) from thin air (cf. Bank of England paper), without being officially banks. It will be shut down, inevitably.
toasterlovin•3mo ago
Well in theory private lenders don’t have depositors, so there’s no average joes to protect.
wkat4242•3mo ago
The lenders aren't the only one needing protection. Society does as well. We don't need another 2007.
disgruntledphd2•3mo ago
The trouble is that the banks are lending these private lenders the money, so any large issues are gonna hit the banks hard, with consequent impacts on the money.

While some regulations post the GFC were necessary, it seems like a bunch of the rules just pushed this risk (bad loans) onto the balance sheets of non-banks. Not sure if it was worth it, especially given the large hit to worldwide productivity.

lesuorac•3mo ago
The private lender fails and the bank records losses is definitely better than the bank failing.
CGMthrowaway•3mo ago
When the central bank talks about systemic risk, too big to fail, etc - depositors are the least of its worries, if it worries about them at all (FDIC has that covered)
cantor_S_drug•3mo ago
There are loan companies which will lend to importers to pay the Trump's trade war tariffs. It's debt through and through.
deadbabe•3mo ago
Government will just write a fat check and bail them out while the people of America take it on the chin.

Seriously, how much more of this can people stand before we just flip out and go crazy?

doctorpangloss•3mo ago
FTX ended up paying back all of its customers and many of its creditors. Truth is you don’t know how any particular process is going to play out until it happens. Do you have any idea for an alternative to process?
Bratmon•3mo ago
> Do you have any idea for an alternative to process?

Any bank that asks for a federal bailout should get immediately nationalized no questions asked.

If you're too big to fail, you're too big to be run by executives with golden parachutes.

lesuorac•3mo ago
Didn't you both just describe a different process?

FTX used their investments and depositor's holdings to pay customers and creditors (a very arguably discounted rate).

OP describe the USG paying back customers and creditors.

anon291•3mo ago
Of course they will. The main investors in these high-risk ventures is government defined-benefit pensions. There is no way government will let its own pensions fail.

If you look at the entire market you will find that the private sector actually does not demand high returns. Instead, the government needs high returns because it has not properly funded its pension liabilities. Thus, it floods the market, and then unscrupulous financiers take the money with promise of high returns. The entire thing is messed up.

For example, public employee retirement systems constitute 30-40% of all hedge fund investments. They need more than the 7% real return from the S&P. CalPERS needs a 13% return to meet its obligations.

There is no investment on the market that can return 13%. Thus, CalPERS (and others) give money to these 'hedge funds' and private capital banks who promise them these money. Eventually, the banks go bust. THe government realizes that letting them fail makes their situation even more precarious and bails them out. Of course, the reason the government is incentivized to do this is because public sector unions hold disproportionate influence and will oust them if they don't get paid.

rightbyte•3mo ago
> Of course they will. The main investors in these high-risk ventures is government defined-benefit pensions. There is no way government will let its own pensions fail.

Would seem cheaper to do handouts directly to the retired?

anon291•3mo ago
Printing money to hand to retirees would not be popular. So instead, it's framed as a financial stabilization measure.
ChrisArchitect•3mo ago
Finally one of your First Brands stories stuck eh OP?

It's a bit weird how there isn't more interest in this story here and/or that there isn't much more noise about it in news other than the core business media

ChrisArchitect•3mo ago
More recently:

Billions of Dollars 'Vanished': Low-Profile Bankruptcy Rings Wall Street Alarms

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/10/10/business/first-brands-ban...