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We May Be Living Through the Most Consequential Hundred Days in Cyber History

https://ringmast4r.substack.com/p/we-may-be-living-through-the-most
96•laurex•1h ago

Comments

ArekDymalski•1h ago
>Stacked on top of each other across roughly a hundred days, these events are something a historian of computing security writing in 2050 will probably file as a turning point, regardless of what else happens between now and then.

And yet, the public conversation around them has been quiet to the point of being strange.

There's a lot current events that once would have been considered historical: trip around the Moon, war out of nowhere, unprecedented explosion of kleptocracy l, enormously scandals and so long. Noone of these are moving much of the needle among general public.

Why? I think such indifference or rather apathy/torpor is a result of people becoming tired of constant stream of crises (either imaginary or real) that we're being flooded by. The capacity to react with something more than a shrug is finite. And I think we are being drained.

mwigdahl•1h ago
Agreed, call it future shock or the Singularity or just overall outrage fatigue, people just aren't reacting to these kinds of things at a level commensurate with their risk or danger.
titzer•1h ago
The idiocy out of the Whitehouse is an intentional strategy to flood the zone with crap that sucks all the air out of the room. They have intentionally broken the ability of the public to become informed through a number of means: attention atrophy, lowest-common-denominator mudslinging, and massive, manufactured, stupid global crises. People have become deaf and desensitized.

The fact that humanity sent people back to the moon barely even registered. Crazy times.

CoastalCoder•38m ago
> The fact that humanity sent people back to the moon barely even registered.

Are you sure that people would have cared much even in better times?

Although I'm just as subject to the fatigue as everyone else, this just isn't a pursuit that I see as important.

TBH I think dealing with global warming, cancer, homelessness, AI impact on human cognitive development, and the loneliness epidemic are far higher priorities.

nemomarx•37m ago
If I recall correctly opinion polling on the original Apollo program wasn't universally positive either. Space missions don't impress people who want money spent on the ground, it etc
RGamma•38m ago
"Amusing ourselves to death" was eerily prescient. Now that the amusement stopped, what might happen next? Not the metaverse, that's for sure.
lamasery•28m ago
I think nobody cares about the moon thing because 1) they aren't landing, and (this one's more for people who are paying some attention to this stuff to begin with) 2) it's basically the same mission they already ran on auto-pilot, but with people on board, so... I dunno, hard to get excited about some very-expensive passengers on an automated ride.

I mean, part of why they cut the Apollo program short was because nobody cared back then either, after the first ~2 landings, so they muddled on a while longer but support simply vanished in a hurry. It'd be surprising if people started caring more now. I suppose if we land people on the moon it'll be a bit more of an event than this one (the landing, not the launch) but I'd expect interest to plummet again after that. Hopefully they have better-selected video feeds for the landing than they did for this launch, I had my kids watch it and it was bad enough I think I'll have trouble getting them to sit down for another NASA launch stream.

SoftTalker•30m ago
> people becoming tired of constant stream of crises

They aren't tired, they're distracted. X/TikTok/et. al. are all fire and motion mechanisms.

energy123•24m ago
The precipitous drop in fertility even in low income countries. The rise in populism and fear.

It's the phones, humans are being DDoSd. We need government intervention against many aspects of modern technology.

The profit motive works when it comes to reducing manufacturing costs and passing some of that on to consumers through the beauty of competition. It doesn't work so great when it's X training a transformer model to maximize the amount of time you spend doom scrolling so they can feed you gambling advertisements.

scottyah•6m ago
Well society had to go and get rid of religion, so people needed another opiate.
phil21•12m ago
> Why? I think such indifference or rather apathy/torpor is a result of people becoming tired of constant stream of crises (either imaginary or real) that we're being flooded by. The capacity to react with something more than a shrug is finite. And I think we are being drained.

I think it's more that the impact of all these constant string of "crises" ends up having very little impact on the average American's lifestyle. Groceries a bit more expensive, gas higher, rent continues to creep up. Some giant incomprehensible national debt number gets higher. Those all suck and people complain about them - but they are complaining about them in packed bars while they drink $7 beers and eat $30 burgers and fries.

You can only yell so many times that the world is ending before people tune it out since their day to day lives are largely unchanged. Just look at the focus on complaining about almost irrelevant things like the price of eggs or whatever totally irrelevant culture war topic of the day. It's societal bike shedding.

I am firmly of the belief (and have been for quite some time) that the "average" middle class American is going to need severe pain - as in widespread great depression level pain - before anything really changes at all at the ground level. Americans have simply become so used to living the lifestyle being part of an insulated hegemonic superpower empire that they have taken that for granted as how things generally will always be no matter what happens. There is zero consideration for the amount of sheer effort, will, and constant vigilance it took to build and maintain such a state of being.

Or put another way: Inertia is a hell of a drug.

john_strinlai•1h ago
>And yet, the public conversation around them has been quiet to the point of being strange.

i dont think its that strange. there are multiple wars raging on, with many people fearing the breakout of a global conflict. a giant pedophile ring has been exposed that no one in power seems interested in doing anything about. prices for everything are haywire. markets are an absolute rollercoaster, hinging completely on one mans late night tweets. and so on.

people just dont have the bandwidth to also learn about what an npm or github is, and why a hack of it is important. news stations are going to pick the news that results in the most people tuning in to watch. that is war, not whatever a mercor is.

the non-tech (and many of the tech) people in my life are also just plain tired of hearing about hacks. they have heard that their information has been stolen 10 times or whatever in the last 5 years. they have heard 100s of "this company was hacked" stories. "another hack? who cares?".

tokai•1h ago
Its the tech worlds equivalent to eating X causes cancer.
ifwinterco•1h ago
HN is a bit of a bubble in that people here tend to be quite privacy focused and would be horrified at the prospect of their details being leaked.

For a lot of normal people that's not the case and as long as they don't get someone actually stealing their identity etc. they aren't really concerned about these kind of things

hydrogen7800•1h ago
Frustratingly, I have my foot in both worlds to a degree. I'm interested enough in tech to pay attention and often lurk the tech bubble that is HN and hear about the raging dumpster fires from the folks who live and work in that domain. But I exist in a mostly non-tech world IRL where this exists among the other burning dumpster fires to the point that I can't care about another data hack, and i hate that I don't have the bandwidth to care. To a more acute degree, my mother was nearly wiped of half her life savings by "hackers"/fraudsters posing as employees of her bank. Being "hacked" is a part of life now, and outrage fatigue is real.
Ray20•1h ago
> a giant pedophile ring has been exposed that no one in power seems interested in doing anything about

But that's not true. The European Union and many other countries are taking extreme measures to ensure that what happened in the United States never happens with them and they are introducing a bunch of different measures to strengthen control over society, the media sphere, and other measures to ensure that no pedophile rings could be exposed.

Der_Einzige•1h ago
Really? The UK never even did anything except sweep the LAST pedophile ring uncovered under the rug too!

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rotherham_child_sexual_exploit...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rochdale_child_sex_abuse_ring

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Investigations_into_the_Rother...

"A 2024 report on child sex exploitation in Rochdale from 2004 to 2013 found that there was "compelling evidence" of widespread abuse, and that Greater Manchester Police and Rochdale Council had failed to properly investigate these cases, leaving girls "at the mercy of their abusers". While there were successful prosecutions, the report said that the investigations carried out during the period covered by the report only "scraped the surface" of what had happened, and that many abusers had gone unpunished."

john_strinlai•51m ago
>The UK never even did anything except sweep the LAST pedophile ring uncovered under the rug too!

the comment you are replying to is written sarcastically, ending with: "to ensure that no pedophile rings could be exposed"

in other words, they agree with what you have written. your reply appears to assume the opposite.

pfdietz•50m ago
Read again what you are responding to.
imglorp•1h ago
As fatiguing as legal breach notices are to lay people, it's equally frustrating as a dev because security is not a distinguishing feature we can advertise in our product so we can't prioritize it at all. Let the lawyers figure it out later seems to be best practice now.

And of course vuln finding is now automated so even if we do a good job locking it down this morning, nothing will not keep out the next wave tonight.

Plus, our current political atmosphere encourages digital chaos, for example gutting CISA.

philipallstar•48m ago
> a giant pedophile ring has been exposed that no one in power seems interested in doing anything about

This was one of the things Trump got 2024 elected on - many Republican voters were extremely keen on this being addressed. I'm glad Trump's fumbled it now so the Democrats are interested in addressing it, though for the wrong reasons.

jgeada•48m ago
The issue is also one of agency: the public has absolutely no agency in this. There is nothing an ordinary member of the public can do to avoid having their data exposed, there is nothing they can do to cause corporations to have more robust security models nor to cause actual consequences for all the executives that chose profit over security at every possible decision point.

To the public this becomes like the risk of being hit by lightning or being in a car accident, just background noise we avoid thinking about as much as possible. It is just the cost of living in this economy.

titzer•1h ago
> Cisco’s private GitHub was cloned.

From this,

https://www.sdxcentral.com/news/cisco-source-code-breach-lea...

It sounds like they were/are using GitHub to host company-private source code, presumably of high-value.

While it's hard to know exactly the setup (e.g. maybe they are running their own instance of GitHub internally), this is your reminder that public clouds are not secure, no matter how much you pay the maintainers of said clouds.

Internal network compromise is of course always possible, but sheesh, it sounds like this list has lots of public cloud failures.

jjmarr•1h ago
> In August 2025, three of the most notorious financially-motivated crews on the planet, ShinyHunters, Scattered Spider, and LAPSUS$, formally combined into a coordinated alliance widely tracked as Scattered LAPSUS$ Hunters (SLH), sometimes called “the Trinity of Chaos” (Resecurity; Cyberbit; Infosecurity Magazine; The Hacker News; Computer Weekly; ReliaQuest). Scattered Spider provides initial access through highly-effective social engineering and vishing. ShinyHunters handles exfiltration, leak-site management, and extortion. LAPSUS$ contributes its own brand of identity-system compromise.

Lmao that cybercriminals are closing M&A deals to create vertically integrated SaaS companies.

Do you think anyone was made redundant through kinetic means?

nirav72•1h ago
Not too long ago, a few gigabytes of data being stolen was a big friggin deal. Now they're swiping data in the terabytes or even petabytes.
cols•1h ago
Add to this the Rockwell Automation attack and you get a beautiful Chickens-Coming-Home-To-Roost stew!

https://www.cisa.gov/news-events/cybersecurity-advisories/aa...

jrm4•22m ago
As someone who's older, and is just generally gobsmacked all the time by the sloppiness in cybersecurity, all of this is just not surprising.

Look, love or hate it, here's what happened; a LONG time ago (in tech terms) Microsoft and others normalized some very stupid practices; when I teach about it I basically illustrate it like this: "If I handed you a piece of paper that said 'Go jump off a bridge'" will you survive this encounter with me? Because a very large, perhaps majority, of computer infrastructure will not.

We managed to put buttons on appliances that don't make the appliance explode, but failed to do that in email links, which are just buttons.

And then, we still have yet to punish or hold accountable any large party who made things this way. Until we do that, keep expecting this.

ryandrake•7m ago
> And then, we still have yet to punish or hold accountable any large party who made things this way. Until we do that, keep expecting this.

This is the key. No incentive to change. It's always "the hacker's fault" and never "the manufacturer's negligence" or "the developer's carelessness" or "the user's gullibility." Combine this with the currently-prevailing Don't Blame The Victim mentality, and it's the perfect environment for never improving cybersecurity.

john_strinlai•4m ago
>As someone who's older, and is just generally gobsmacked all the time by the sloppiness in cybersecurity, all of this is just not surprising.

as someone who used to work in cybersec, most of the time it isnt sloppiness.

1) people fight tooth and nail against anything that inconveniences them. security is almost always going to be an inconvenience tradeoff, so it is always fought against. from every person and every department. rolling out 2fa was worse than pulling teeth, despite it being a single button press ("approve") on the phone, once or twice a day.

2) security offers no immediate or visible return on investment. so, it gets little attention by c-suite and even less budget. you end up with underpaid, under-qualified, over-worked people trying to figure out which thing they might be able secure out of the 10 things that need securing.

even here, a forum of hackers, security is often put in scare quotes and almost always mentioned beside the word "theater". people brag about still running windows 7, because it was the last good windows. antiviruses arent needed. X security feature is just a lie so that company Z can control my device. people mad when a company rolls out mandatory 2fa. and so on.

stalfie•3m ago
If I can play devils advocate in favor of public disinterest about these events, I think you can argue that cybersecurity doesn't really matter, in the grand scheme of things. At least data exfiltration.

What would the consequences for humanity be if every single electronic patient record was leaked onto the internet? After a good deal of embarrassment and drama, probably positive. It would most likely facilitate a lot of scientific inquiry. A lot of people, especially in medical deserts, also use Chatgpt as an md. Providing AI companies with high quality medical data is actually a public service.

So it goes for most things in life, except for financial and destructive wipe attacks, data security is mostly about protecting the IP of incumbents, which doesn't really matter in the grand scheme of things. It's hard to say what the long term consequences of the IP system breaking down would be, but there is a good argument to be made that it's not negative As for individual people, most don't really care or are resigned to the fact that already knew Google everything. Plenty of societies have extremely collectivistic mindsets of public info being shared, like Scandinavian countries having public tax filings, and they work just fine.

I think most people would secretly relish the outcomes of everything leaking everywhere. Just like people relish the Epstein files being released, and probably would have loved an unredacted version being leaked. Secrets are something human beings naturally gravitate towards to dig up and sharing, and this is actually for good, sensible reasons. Evolution has simply favored groups that did not hoard knowledge, at least not internally.

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