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OpenAI and Anthropic unite against open-weight AI risks to their bottom line

https://www.axios.com/2026/07/22/openai-anthropic-open-models-trump-china
121•yogthos•1h ago

Comments

Havoc•58m ago
This feels like the US is going to take a page from Europes book and regulate itself into uncompetitiveness
close04•54m ago
Except without any of the benefits of regulation to its citizens.
testfrequency•48m ago
Exactly.

Europe regulates to protect humanity.

USA regulates to protect monopolies and political power

smallmancontrov•13m ago
Yep. Growing up, I always defaulted to the "enlightened centrist" perspective that antitrust law and IP law and trade law were failing to help the median person simply due to the difficulty of the problem, that insofar as our regulation was inadequate it was inadequate because it had to balance multiple crossed incentives and stay ahead of world class sprinters who had a systemic resource advantage. But the more I learn about the history of these subjects the more I realize that the levers were understood and that the outcomes were entirely intentional. Reagan and the Chicago school intentionally shifted antitrust and IP law into monopoly mode (Bork and Bowman+Posner). Trade is a messier story but Triffin articulated the distributional problems in the 60s so nobody gets to claim ignorance. So the bad news is that there is more corruption that I thought, but the good news is that the problems are more solvable than I thought.
embedding-shape•31m ago
The point of regulation in Europe is usually to protect people. Regulation in the US seems to be done with the purpose of protection companies. I'm not 100% sure, but this feels non-ideal for most people.
Sharlin•27m ago
To take the point further, the US still protects people. It's just that the people tend to exclusively inhabit the top 0.1% or 0.01% quantiles.
WarmWash•8m ago
More like the top ~35%, but it's taboo to talk about that.
baxtr•17m ago
You mean like Chat Control 2.0, by which ordinary people are targeted and politicians are exempt?
embedding-shape•9m ago
Many examples of when this is not seemingly the goal, hence the "usually". Some people suck, everywhere, and sometimes they end up with power to enact things, this happens everywhere, Europe is probably no better. Hopefully the institutions we've built up and continue to build, are more resilient when the future real tests come though, so far they haven't really been put under real stress.
nradov•10m ago
Please explain how making it difficult to start a business and hire employees protects people. I've never understood that logic but maybe I'm missing something.
watwut•18m ago
The winning monopolies and CEOs seem to be intent into turning into some kind of techno fascists feudalism with the most corrupt government on earth, uncontrollable start the war machine and increasingly less and generally destroying democracy.

So, I am not sure it is such a win. These guys seem to be winning.

Fricken•8m ago
Europe wins by knowing better than to play those games.
wolttam•40m ago
No way this can go wrong for the U.S. economy! Do everything you can to protect the existing incumbents, pay no mind to the wider consequences.

Winning strategy.

embedding-shape•32m ago
Clearly worked for Oracle and Intel, who are still making their executives rich. What do you mean "average person", who gives a fuck about those?
telep-io•29m ago
Doesn't help how the us gov is saying Kimi 3 stole IP of Fable even though it's not possible to distill Fable in 1 month.
echelon•28m ago
That's wild. It was only 15 days. It would have been impossible to gather enough data AND clean it up AND train AND do post training in just 15 days.
luckystarr•10m ago
Then it's a case of trying to uphold the narrative?
benjiro29•8m ago
> It was only 15 days.

That, and usage was also half.

Given the fact that we seen not any evidence beyond people "see, it one shot X game looks similar to Fable" (a lot of one shots look similar to other models).

You expect to see something from Fable its restrictions/fallback behavior popping up in K3. You do not filter out all that behavior. Especially on such a short notice.

For me the milk example, where somebody asked if some EU cheese's had type A/B milk type (they are allergic), triggering bio restriction prompts. That just shows you how hard it is to find all those restrictions because its not in obvious spots where Fable goes off.

Yet, not a single person has shown this behavior in K3...

The funny thing is, other Chinese companies can train on K3 when the open weight are released next week.

So even if K3 was or was not trained on Fable, they already have a alternative to get their models to the same level.

AJRF•40m ago
Who is in charge of AI strategy for the US? They are doing a terrible job!
derwiki•34m ago
Cynically: someone who is just fully deferring to Claude or ChatGPT

More cynically: someone directly in the pocket of OpenAI

yogthos•32m ago
and probably holding stocks in these companies
iugtmkbdfil834•39m ago
You know what? That is fine based merely on recent openai/hugginface incident ( after all, they needed open weights model to actually troubleshoot it, because 'safe' one did not let em ).

Let it all burn:D

edit:

And lets hope we learn a lesson.

rogerrogerr•33m ago
They also could have used their brains.
iugtmkbdfil834•23m ago
I laughed, because it absolutely is an option and I dont see it happen.
sschueller•28m ago
> And lets hope we learn a lesson.

That is the last thing that will happen. We don't seem to ever learn a lesson.

dgellow•9m ago
2008 could have been that time :(
echelon•26m ago
I would rather we not lose the AI race so idiotically.

Winning the AI race means letting OpenAI and Anthropic face market forces.

Edit: Clearly other companies are doing well. ElevenLabs, Runway, FAL, RunPod, CoreWeave, Lambda, BaseTen, Lovable. These are real companies that didn't raise absurd amounts of capital. They've grown revenues at a solid clip, provide real value, and didn't go off the deep end with fundraising.

northernsausage•37m ago
The other 95.8% of the world has entered the chat.
sschueller•21m ago
The US will try to force Europe to implement such restrictions as well.
echelon•31m ago
Fuck these two companies.

Fuck Sam and Dario.

These fucking assholes want to selfishly sink our country and our competitiveness because their valuations are tied to a thin little moat, and they moronically raised way too much capital. They think regulation can save them, when in actuality it will doom all of us.

Go to hell, OpenAI and Anthropic.

Call your senators right now.

sschueller•19m ago
The problem isn't only them, it's all the greedy investors and enablers around them thinking they can hold the potato just long enough to enrich themselves before the whole things explodes. The "enablers" are the real problem and this is why Elon is still not behind bars.
throwa356262•30m ago
"Why it matters: ...

The big picture: ...

Zoom in:...

Zoom out:..."

I wonder if they used an American or Chinese LLM to write this article?

ForHackernews•26m ago
Nah, that's Axios house style for their readership of extremely busy/important illiterates.
throwa356262•19m ago
You are right, all their recent articles are written this way :(

Still, if feels very LLM-y with their short sentences, definitive statements and a love for lists when none is needed.

On the other hand, maybe Axios was such dominant component in the training dataset that now every LLM speaks like this...

lantry•23m ago
I think axios has always used this style
andy99•18m ago
Yeah this makes it unreadable for me, immediately distracted by how stupid it is and lose interest in the article. As someone else noted, it’s people who think they are writing for an “executive” audience that have never been within 100 feet of an executive.
TeMPOraL•8m ago
I bounced off that at first, too, but I'm glad I revisited. It's exactly what I wanted from most news. All the relevant information up front. None of the bullshit of regular news reporting.
randomname4325•25m ago
Ironic that US companies are monopolistically pushing FUD for regulation and China is pushing open source to the world. How the tables have turned. The reality is the AI trade and "bubble" is masking an otherwise flat, inflated economy. History tells us that the US position doesn't end well.
mosura•24m ago
The fact these two cos are bleating about this while having built their empires on IP theft is just insane.

They act like people don’t see it and then wonder why there might be any resentment towards AI companies.

I am pro AI but there has long been a cultural problem with mercenary attitudes in the big data/ML and now AI world of which this is just the latest most extreme manifestation.

seydor•23m ago
This is so boring, it's like the tarriffs on chinese EVs.
abroszka33•21m ago
There is nothing these big tech companies hate more than competition. It took Google, Apple and M$ long long time to establish their monopolies. OpenAI and Anthropic are trying to speed run it.
sodapopcan•9m ago
> nothing these big tech companies hate more than competition

Their users? (Not to be confused with their users' money)

an0malous•5m ago
“competition is for losers” — Peter Thiel
stego-tech•19m ago
And to think I got warned in another post that I need to be nicer/more professional in discussing this topic.

Yeah. Nah.

Bringing out the same drum I’ve been banging for years now, these companies have never actually cared about ensuring safe AI, regulation, or ensuring it benefits all humanity. It has always, always, been about control and their profit margins. Their actions have never reflected any sort of positive, shared human benefit since OpenAI released ChatGPT, and they’ll never actually provide said shared benefit when it comes down to benefitting everyone versus benefitting themselves.

The technology is built off wholesale theft of protected works without compensation; at least China gives most of those models back, for free, in the form of open-weights.

It’s the Princess Bride meme but for AI: “you’re trying to take what I’ve rightfully stolen!” I’m tired of having to put on some sort of mask of decency and professionalism to discuss a topic whose counterparty gets to wallow in toxic waste without recourse, and these sorts of stories only reinforce that despite being a glib jerk about it, I’m still on the high road, here.

More folks should join us in open mockery of hypocritical whinging from technological robber barons.

GiorgioG•15m ago
Anyone who thinks these companies ever cared about any of that is naive.
Davidzheng•5m ago
Then I am naive, but I think they cared before they got powerful and chatgpt release.
epolanski•11m ago
> at least China gives most of those models back, for free, in the form of open-weights.

China also publishes a lot of impactful research in the open which has benefitted US labs too.

jerrythegerbil•18m ago
This AI generated article about closed-weights model providers collaborating for additional scrutiny of open weights models, where the article itself has the tell-tale structure of being written by Claude Opus, which is aware it is a closed-weight model.

Thank goodness no one is taking any of this seriously, because it could never be anything more than a machine generated hatchet job.

A faster and better educated understanding of the subject matter could be achieved by standing in front of a wood chipper and dropping a brick in it to see what happens. “Yes, there were results! But why? Why to literally every variable involved?”

mlok•18m ago
OpenAI vs. Open AIs

I knew this would happen someday.

hmokiguess•18m ago
That's what you get living on borrowed time. The entire thing started off with the wrong foot, using copyrighted and licensed work without attribution followed by a nonsensical illusion of "fair play" because you wanted to win. This is just one way where the moat will fall, the next wave will be when consumer and local inference catches up.
zkmon•17m ago
We might see people rushing to download the Chinese models expecting a ban, like they mobbed stores for tissue paper a few years ago.
plagiarist•17m ago
Two companies stole trillions of tokens worth of IP from Americans so of course the US government will step in and protect "their IP" from competitors
baxtr•16m ago
How ironic that OpenAI is fighting Open AI.
jacobgold•16m ago
Humanity discovered a technique for compressing the world's information into a few files that fit on a USB drive. It's just insane that some people thought they'd get to be the only ones who get to possess them.
q8zd3•16m ago
Those people really believe in the idea of a "technological republic", heh.
manoDev•15m ago
It's inevitable. The value proposition of the software isn't large enough to justify (by itself) the valuation. Not to mention it's trained on lots of public or scraped data.

It's a gold rush, and the only guy getting rich will be the one selling the shovel (nvidia + cloud in this case).

jake-coworker•15m ago
Regulation won't beat engineering here. China will continue to release open weight models that are impossible to ban without unprecedented surveillance in Western countries.

AI labs need to innovate if they want to win. Open models are capitalism. Ideally Western companies should get more efficient, but if we can't then we should be doing the opposite of regulation, and subsidizing western models.

mosura•6m ago
Given all the models were effectively subsidized by being granted free access to copyrighted data for training on it only makes sense for the resulting weights to be free.
skeledrew•14m ago
More and more I'm getting the feeling that I should drop my Claude account and fully move to Chinese providers. This is sickening, especially with every mention being about "the US evaluating" aka controlling. Meanwhile us in the rest of the world can only look on and hope cracks remain for us to benefit.
oefrha•13m ago
> Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei has argued that open-weight models are harder to keep safe because, once their weights are released, developers lose the ability to revoke access, update safety guardrails or prevent misuse.

Yes, I totally love the fact that when using the closed source models that I pay for, once released, they can still shut me out or silently poison the results based on IP address, timezone, hostname, keywords or just the general vibes, etc. at any time (all of which already proved to have happend or even admitted to / bragged about). /s

epolanski•12m ago
I don't think it's ever a good idea to change the rules of the game in order to stay competitive.

In recent years, with US further turning their back from globalization into America first protectionism, the rest of the world is getting increasingly tired and slowly de risking out of US products and tech.

European companies are either suffering us levies, or us interference with whom they can conduct business with, or consistently risking that their service and cloud providers can become liabilities over night.

EU is also strongly pushing for US alternatives in payments, telecoms, space, etc. And I didn't even mention politics yet.

US is still enjoying an apex position, but it may overestimate its gripe and underestimate resentments (Greenland threats have been a point of no return).

The actions of US looks like those of a decaying empire.

What plays in US hands is that its biggest "allies" are mature democracies, and mature democracies really procrastinate any painful change unless they have to confront it, thus it may keep getting away with this for very long.

m_ke•12m ago
I wonder what they'll do when there are open european and american models that lap them. Will we see "Open"AI claim open ai is a threat to humanity?
foco_tubi•12m ago
How can distillation be considered IP theft, when IP theft is the defacto method in how the closed-weight models were trained?
throwaway836123•10m ago
My bet: Thanks to China, compute gets cheaper, models get better, both economically and qualitatively, and AI becomes increasingly commoditized rather than controlled by a select few.

If I wager on anything else, it won’t matter, because it would mean living in a dystopian hell where any bet is meaningless.

andy99•9m ago
I’m in a bubble so I may not see the big picture, but I feel like these guys are completely destroying any kind of credibility they had.

Anthropic especially has this arrogant, “we’re smarter than you”, communication style, and acts like they’re serving some higher purpose (to the point of absurdity in some cases like “model welfare”) - I think part of all this might be the EA roots but I’m not sure. But then they get a little competition and suddenly they’re a little tattle-tale running to the government looking to artificially preserve their advantage. I’ve seen nobody who doesn’t see the naked self interest. There’s no mission, not higher purpose, not even competitive spirit, just some people that were on top and can’t handle the idea that they weren’t as special as they thought. It’s going to bite them in the long run, we’ll probably get some politically motivated legislation, but the cats out of the bag, they’ve lost all credibility and don’t even have a uniquely competitive model anymore, they’ll end up as just another also-ran.

f8ght•9m ago
idk if its competition?? if tech evolution from ability to distill from libgen to ability to distill from another closed source model means the closed weights models collapse, maybe claude/ openai can still evolve using ability to train further with chat logs from their users...but i think if someone makes algo that can fine tune open model on their own business logic/codebase/internal processes that is what most companies and customers want, they dont need or use 90% of the weights anyway only those that are relevant to their business processes,,then company will pay for optimized server hardware still but on their own weights if that is where they can get good tps. its always good if u own ur own weights and can fine tune but that is priveledge rn limited to large corporations not small business
cloudie78•8m ago
They can go pound sand.
WarmWash•6m ago
If the US government was bankrolling OAI and Anthropic, and those models were free, would the situation be better?
simonw•5m ago
Is the headline here ("OpenAI and Anthropic unite against open-weight AI risks to their bottom line") an editorialized version of the original "OpenAI and Anthropic unite against China's open models" or did Axios change theirs?
My_Name•5m ago
Ah, the ever present American Exceptionalism. China really does not care what happens within the borders of the US, at least as far as stopping them developing their own models.

Make laws, make policy, ban them from US markets. It won't stop China doing whatever the hell they want. Like SpaceX developed reusable rockets and China thought "That's a good idea" and now they have their own reusable rockets.

They will do that with AI too, and fast. Having your head in the sand just exposes your rear end, and you've removed your ability to see the predator coming...

SimianSci•4m ago
Open-weight is the destiny of our industry, it is the only endgame that doesnt lead to further totalitarian dystopia. A world in which Americans are forced to put up with a duopoly of AI firms who gleefully steal everything they can get their hands on is not the fertile ground of future innovation.

The fate of Open-Weight models in America is a turning point for the entire country's tech industry. Do we let the lifeblood of innovation flow freely and without restriction, forcing these large companies and their investors to compete on an even playing field with the rest of the market? Or do we let the industry calcify as the threat of dumb rich people losing their money is too great a sacrifice to make for our future?

iamleppert•4m ago
They can try to do whatever they want to do. They can ban Huggingface. It just means we will get our models from torrents, or have someone from China ship us an SD card with the weights on it.

The only practical open source models, that can be fine tuned and are of sufficient quality are all Chinese. The only thing that has been released by labs are yesterday's tech. And that's exactly how they want it. They don't care about open source, don't care about the community. It's just another funnel for them to capture customers into their closed tech, which is where the actual serious high quality models are.

Tenoke•4m ago
I am very pro open source models - I use them every single day.. But we obviously don't want everyone to have capabilities like and beyond what caused the huggingface incident in every domain, so it's not like it all comes from bottom line cynicism.
embedding-shape•7m ago
The goal isn't "making it difficult to start a business", the goal is to protect people, meaning things affecting the public are more controlled, slower and more bureaucratic to initiate. The slowness is a feature and there really isn't any "difficulty" in starting a business, it just takes time to fill out papers and wait for approvals and what not.
Someone1234•10m ago
And they've provided no technical explanation of how...

This may be an odd reference, but I remember this song and dance with Roomba Vs. Roborock. "Roborock stole our IP!!!" but the problem was that song was slightly believable in the very early days, then Roborock started releasing products far better than anything Roomba had, but the tune in the US never changed. Literally for years after Roborock's products were two generations better than Roomba, but somehow they "stole" that?

China has money, talent, and cheap electricity/superior infrastructure. The US's big AI built their products on stolen copyright material and social media scraping. China likely got a catchup boost via distilling, but recently a lot of their AI ventures have come fully online, and they've just throwing tons of compute/power at the problem, and we're starting to see legitimately competitive products without shortcuts/cheating.

But the US won't change its tune; and that's convenient because they don't really want to compete, but rather roll out protectionism and fear per normal.

chlee•2m ago
the rumor in chinese web is the following.

Z.ai found a way to crack/overcome the cryptography that safeguarded Claude/Fable's thinking tokens in Claude Code, so Z.ai had the ability to peak into decrypted thinking tokens that Fable produced in Claude Code. Z.ai also shared their findings with other big LLM companies like Moonshot AI, which had 20,000+ accounts speed running through Fable to get their hands on as many high quality thinking tokens as possible for distillation.

Like all rumors, who knows what's true or what's not.

rkozik1989•23m ago
How are we winning? Nobody has actually created a business model that works yet. Just because you can hemorrhage hundreds of billions of dollars to build the most performant model doesn't necessarily mean you're going to make your money back.
lacy_tinpot•14m ago
Have you actually looked at the current financials?
1over137•21m ago
Who is 'we'?
sodapopcan•7m ago
My immediate thought as well.
trolleski•19m ago
The current US climate is for most of the people to face the market forces while some have pay-to-play privileges...
aleqs•2m ago
The companies in your 'edit' have raised huge amounts of money and are part of the same US VC shitcycle.
john_strinlai•9m ago
>And to think I got warned in another post that I need to be nicer/more professional in discussing this topic.

it wasn't really "be nicer" and im surprised that was your takeaway; your last comment which was flagged had no substance. it was boring. ("i hate american aitechbros". neat.) at least this comment has some conversation starter in it.

nozzlegear•6m ago
> Bringing out the same drum I’ve been banging for years now, these companies have never actually cared about ensuring safe AI, regulation, or ensuring it benefits all humanity. It has always, always, been about control and their profit margins. Their actions have never reflected any sort of positive, shared human benefit since OpenAI released ChatGPT, and they’ll never actually provide said shared benefit when it comes down to benefitting everyone versus benefitting themselves.

Preach! Anthropic and OpenAI care about one thing, and it's not safety or the benefit of humanity: it's regulatory capture. All that other shit they wring their hands about – Anthropic especially – is invariably a marketing tactic or a persuasion tactic meant to convince us that A) they have the most capable, dangerous AIs and wouldn't you like to use them; and B) only they can be trusted to develop them because look at all these precautions they take and all of the blog posts/tweets their founders writes about the oncoming doom of humanity.

usef-•4m ago
What should they do instead? As far as I can tell from their actions they are true believers about safety
jrflo•6m ago
No large company has ever cared about anything other than the financials, this is not specific to AI.
asdaqopqkq•4m ago
also China actually legally pays the API costs even when distilling. OPenAI and ANtro just straight up abused scraping bots which overloaded servers
usef-•3m ago
They are scraping too
brookst•4m ago
The thing about screaming and waving your arms is it makes it hard for people to connect with the argument.

A quick scan shows a lack of rigor that usually points towards zealotry rather than a reasoned position: you imply that models are only trained on copyrighted work, you don’t address the ridiculous “copyright forever, nothing goes public domain” policies that got us to this place, you don’t distinguish between training on an 80 year old copyrighted work whose author is dead and rights are just in a company portfolio, and you assert that neither OpenAI nor Anthropic has ever done anything altruistic.

If you enjoy the screaming, have at it. If you want to persuade people, dialing it down a few notches and at least giving token acknowledgement that nuance exists would help.

paulddraper•2m ago
Fortunately, some people see no reason to hamstring development.

> Meanwhile America is tying itself in knots: politicians and bureaucrats are banning new data centers, piling on state regulations, and pushing for new federal agencies to pre-approve frontier models.

> This is how you lose the AI race. The rest of the world won’t play by our rules if we bog ourselves down. Permissionless innovation is how America won the internet and became the technological envy of the world. We can do it again with AI -- while addressing risks in a targeted way -- or we’ll watch our lead evaporate. [1]

- David Sacks, Chair of the President's Council of Advisors on Science and Technology

[1] https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/2078092271296143593

OpenAI and Anthropic unite against open-weight AI risks to their bottom line

https://www.axios.com/2026/07/22/openai-anthropic-open-models-trump-china
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https://jtpeterson.substack.com/p/faq-on-expertise
23•surprisetalk•3d ago•2 comments

git's –end-of-options Flag

https://nesbitt.io/2026/07/21/end-of-options.html
175•Erenay09•2d ago•109 comments

Medici family mystery may be solved after more than 400 years

https://www.cnn.com/2026/07/15/science/medici-family-mystery-dna-malaria
137•effects•16h ago•43 comments