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AI is breaking our proxies for expertise

https://www.seangoedecke.com/ai-is-breaking-our-proxies-for-expertise/
52•jbkcc•2h ago

Comments

yellow_postit•1h ago
“ Like mathematics, software engineers are going to have to rebuild our cultural sense of the kind of work we value.” From the closing is the change I see going in at every job area and level.

My hunch is that this ultimately doubles back to those that excel at story telling and human coordination. As the AI systems “offload” not just production but I believe some initiation of what to build, the “why” and how to rally groups for any appreciably complex work matters more.

I also hope to see a plenty of solo shops succeeding in spaces that used to take entire teams, but (for now) remain convicted human coordination remains a key need for most endeavors.

jplusequalt•1h ago
>My hunch is that this ultimately doubles back to those that excel at story telling and human coordination. As the AI systems “offload” not just production but I believe some initiation of what to build, the “why” and how to rally groups for any appreciably complex work matters more.

The "why" behind most products is of little interest to the majority of workers. While it may be of the upmost importance (on the surface at least) for the leaders of a business, I see no reason why Bob from accounting is going to give a fuck about your company's grand vision.

This is especially true if your company is in a mundane lane like B2B SaaS. You could argue that workers at SpaceX care about the "why", but 99.99% of companies aren't SpaceX.

vlan0•54m ago
You are highlighting their point. You are pointing to current culture and behavior. The very first sentence that you responded to points to that culture and says it's gonna need to change, if you'd like to keep your job.

People skills imo will always trump other skills. The best ideas never live because people don't know how to sell. And knowing and being very successful at selling requires that excellent story telling and human coordination.

hirvi74•1h ago
> people would know you were a skilled engineer. But now projects like that are worthless, because everyone just assumes they’re vibe-coded.

I do not really care what other people think. Build something for the purity of building it for yourself or for a purpose.

Thanks to AI, I feel like I have been writing the best code in my life. Yes, writing, not vibe-coding. I mainly just ask questions and ask for hints and clues. I do not use LLMs to do the fun parts for me.

I am currently working on a game. If and when I ever finish it, I want to be able to say that I wrote every single line by hand. Will it make me better than anyone? No, not at all. I want to do it for myself.

daveguy•1h ago
I am 100% certain the code will be better quality with you writing it by hand (even with AI pointing out options) than letting the AI string together completely obtuse abstractions.
vouaobrasil•1h ago
Good for you. But some people need others to know that they are skilled to get a job or to be part of a community. You must be one of those priveleged ones moderately far along in your career that you don't need to worry about that.
idiotsecant•11m ago
The fact that you 'need' that is not an inviolable feature of the universe. It's not even a good thing. It's just a thing that has evolved based on the current arrangement of society. It's as mutable as whether or not we have regular religious crusades.
CuriouslyC•1h ago
jplusequalt•1h ago
I'm sure this delights many people in todays age.

Just like how social media has possessed many people with cultivating an outward facing image that often diverges with reality, AI posses people to portray themselves as an artist/developer/musician/etc. without having put in any of the work.

vatsachak•55m ago
I disagree that AI has broken the proxies.

Football analogy; AI is the wide receiver and the human is the quarterback. Even if you're the best WR in the game you're still not producing touchdowns unless you have a decent QB.

It's super easy to smell vibe coded projects.

All of these proofs and vibe code are impossible without human work. Call me when GPT whatever writes gcc from scratch

BoxFour•14m ago
This is a good point but probably not in the way you intended.

If AI is the wide receiver, it’s perceived currently by many to be an absolutely elite top-tier receiver.

Especially at lower leagues, QBs who have these clearly elite WRs are discounted and considered more-or-less replaceable all the time, because “anyone could throw the ball to Megatron 2.0”.

See, for example, Graham Harrell at Texas Tech: Paired with Michael Crabtree, put up insane numbers, went undrafted. Shedeur Sanders is another more controversial recent example.

It’s definitely not a guarantee that people will see the QB as valuable if the WR is that good.

exprez135•46m ago
Anastasia Berg and Jon Baskin wrote a piece in August called “On Radical Preservation,” [1] in which they use the example of the shared concept of 'merit' to warn about the dangers of an AI-filled present and future. They anecdotally compare our situation to that of the Crow people, through the testimony of Plenty Coups, who described the fall of the buffalo and the end of the practices, rituals, concepts, and way of life that his people understood as making up what it was to live an excellent life (or not).

Likewise, they point to merit (which I think we consider very much like expertise) as one such fundamental concept in our society, which is very much undermined by unchecked use of LLMs. This coming not just via "cheating," but by the way in which we so quickly are willing to claim, and ourselves believe, that we deserve praise for that which the machine has created. On a wide scale, their use will not just compete with those who may not use the machine, but will destroy even our shared idea of personal merit.

Beyond merit alone, AI might lead generally to our "own cultural values becom[ing] not just decadent or debatable but unintelligible." At the end, Berg and Baskin basically say that hope is not sufficient (hope that the old concepts will be replaced with new ones); the proper attitude is to do everything in our power to preserve them in the present.

[1]: https://thepointmag.com/letter/on-radical-preservation

unified101•17m ago
Serious question - what's so special about personal merit anyway? In hunter gatherers it was might, in current age it's brain, but either are equally arbitrary.

I prefer a world that's equalocracy, with a focus on specific personal-freedoms (live and let live principle).

bwfan123•21m ago
> Understanding the concrete problem mathematicians are upset about can help us better understand the impact of AI on our own fields,

imo, The author of this essay does not understand the concrete problem that mathematicians are upset about. There is an idea that math [1] and coding [2] are human activities whose purpose is to achieve a certain kind of insight or mental clarity of things. The simplest description of this is by Feyman [3]. AI completely short-circuits that and therefore goes against the primary purpose. The declaration is calling this out loudly. However, in my opinion though, AI is a useful tool like others and needs to be embraced towards the same goal.

[1] "On proof and progress in math" https://arxiv.org/pdf/math/9404236

[2] "Programming as theory building" https://pages.cs.wisc.edu/~remzi/Naur.pdf

[3] "What I cannot create, I do not understand"

omnicognate•15m ago
> But that doesnt mean it is not useful.

If you think the declaration is saying AI is not useful it's you that "does not understand the concrete problem that mathematicians are upset about". Terence Tao uses AI heavily and has been writing extensively about how useful it is ever since it became useful in maths.

ngriffiths•13m ago
> We might say that generating ideas is the real intellectual work of mathematics.

The article talks about how many new ideas are relatively worthless and the real goal is to find the "concepts that 'carve nature at its joints.'" I think this is the crux of the whole thing and I haven't seen a satisfying discussion of it anywhere.

I mean, FLT is mentioned. Is that an accessible proof to humans? Is it full of these high value, refined concepts or is it more like a bunch of little hacks that at least dozens if not hundreds of people randomly stumbled upon, in an all out attempt to solve one of the most famous math problems?

I'm not totally convinced what value math concepts have beyond "you can use them to solve even more math problems." I really want to believe there is. But if not, it's just a pure benefit to have faster ways to solve them, no?

In a few years we'll look at this the same way as people who unicycle or blacksmith.
recursive•1h ago
As interesting people.
hirvi74•48m ago
That's fine with me. I'd even appreciate that even more. I get one life on this miserable planet. I am going to do what I enjoy for as long as I can. Call me a blacksmith or a Luddite, I couldn't care less. One thing you can never call me is unhappy.
idiotsecant•12m ago
the struggle of the artisan against the self is one of the more worthwhile struggles there is.

In an ideal world, we would all be able to do such a thing all the time, and not worry about our position in the howling ape hierarchy.

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