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My Random Forest Was Mostly Learning Time-to-Expiry Noise

https://illya.sh/threads/out-of-sample-permutation-feature-importance-for-random
13•iluxonchik•3d ago

Comments

zzleeper•1h ago
That's a refreshing article. Easy to read and I learned a few things!
phyzome•12m ago
What's the context? I feel like there's at least three paragraphs of intro missing here.
andai•3m ago
https://illya.sh/thoughts/

If you scroll past the posts about oil, you will find dozens of posts on the same subject (mentioning random forests).

It seems to be predicting Bitcoin price.

Claude Code: Channels

https://code.claude.com/docs/en/channels
103•jasonjmcghee•1h ago•43 comments

Wayland set the Linux Desktop back by 10 years

https://omar.yt/posts/wayland-set-the-linux-desktop-back-by-10-years
96•omarroth•1h ago•52 comments

Astral to Join OpenAI

https://astral.sh/blog/openai
1208•ibraheemdev•12h ago•749 comments

Google details new 24-hour process to sideload unverified Android apps

https://arstechnica.com/gadgets/2026/03/google-details-new-24-hour-process-to-sideload-unverified...
487•0xedb•8h ago•572 comments

Cockpit is a web-based graphical interface for servers

https://github.com/cockpit-project/cockpit
165•modinfo•4h ago•102 comments

How the Turner twins are mythbusting modern technical apparel

https://www.carryology.com/insights/how-the-turner-twins-are-mythbusting-modern-gear/
113•greedo•2d ago•58 comments

Return of the Obra Dinn: spherical mapped dithering for a 1bpp first-person game

https://forums.tigsource.com/index.php?topic=40832.msg1363742#msg1363742
236•PaulHoule•3d ago•35 comments

Show HN: Three new Kitten TTS models – smallest less than 25MB

https://github.com/KittenML/KittenTTS
313•rohan_joshi•9h ago•106 comments

Bombarding gamblers with offers greatly increases betting and gambling harm

https://www.bristol.ac.uk/news/2026/march/bombarding-gamblers-with-offers-greatly-increases-betti...
61•hhs•2h ago•61 comments

The Day I Discovered Type Design

https://www.marksimonson.com/notebook/view/the-day-i-discovered-type-design/
26•ingve•2h ago•2 comments

Noq: n0's new QUIC implementation in Rust

https://www.iroh.computer/blog/noq-announcement
142•od0•7h ago•20 comments

Drugwars for the TI-82/83/83 Calculators

https://gist.github.com/mattmanning/1002653/b7a1e88479a10eaae3bd5298b8b2c86e16fb4404
6•robotnikman•1h ago•5 comments

4Chan mocks £520k fine for UK online safety breaches

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c624330lg1ko
263•mosura•10h ago•417 comments

EsoLang-Bench: Evaluating Genuine Reasoning in LLMs via Esoteric Languages

https://esolang-bench.vercel.app/
57•matt_d•4h ago•27 comments

How many branches can your CPU predict?

https://lemire.me/blog/2026/03/18/how-many-branches-can-your-cpu-predict/
15•chmaynard•1d ago•28 comments

Waymo Safety Impact

https://waymo.com/safety/impact/
212•xnx•5h ago•209 comments

“Your frustration is the product”

https://daringfireball.net/2026/03/your_frustration_is_the_product
426•llm_nerd•13h ago•248 comments

Be intentional about how AI changes your codebase

https://aicode.swerdlow.dev
64•benswerd•4h ago•26 comments

NanoGPT Slowrun: 10x Data Efficiency with Infinite Compute

https://qlabs.sh/10x
98•sdpmas•6h ago•16 comments

From Oscilloscope to Wireshark: A UDP Story (2022)

https://www.mattkeeter.com/blog/2022-08-11-udp/
76•ofrzeta•6h ago•17 comments

Juggalo makeup blocks facial recognition technology (2019)

https://consequence.net/2019/07/juggalo-makeup-facial-recognition/
229•speckx•12h ago•141 comments

Clockwise acquired by Salesforce and shutting down next week

https://www.getclockwise.com
69•nigelgutzmann•5h ago•45 comments

Scaling Karpathy's Autoresearch: What Happens When the Agent Gets a GPU Cluster

https://blog.skypilot.co/scaling-autoresearch/
120•hopechong•8h ago•59 comments

OpenBSD: PF queues break the 4 Gbps barrier

https://undeadly.org/cgi?action=article;sid=20260319125859
177•defrost•11h ago•55 comments

Launch HN: Voltair (YC W26) – Drone and charging network for power utilities

48•wweissbluth•8h ago•23 comments

My Random Forest Was Mostly Learning Time-to-Expiry Noise

https://illya.sh/threads/out-of-sample-permutation-feature-importance-for-random
13•iluxonchik•3d ago•3 comments

An update on Steam / GOG changes for OpenTTD

https://www.openttd.org/news/2026/03/19/steam-changes-update
267•jandeboevrie•8h ago•185 comments

I turned Markdown into a protocol for generative UI

https://fabian-kuebler.com/posts/markdown-agentic-ui/
80•FabianCarbonara•11h ago•38 comments

The Shape of Inequalities

https://www.andreinc.net/2026/03/16/the-shape-of-inequalities/
96•nomemory•10h ago•14 comments

macOS 26 breaks custom DNS settings including .internal

https://gist.github.com/adamamyl/81b78eced40feae50eae7c4f3bec1f5a
320•adamamyl•10h ago•165 comments